Morgan: 54-46 to Labor

The latest Morgan poll, combining responses from face-to-face surveys of 1862 respondents from the last two weekends, has Labor’s two-party lead unchanged at 54-46, although their primary vote is down two points to 41 per cent. The Coalition is down half a point to 40 per cent, with the Greens up 1.5 per cent to 12 per cent. The margin of sampling error on the sample is about 2.3 per cent, but this is a lot less meaningful than Morgan face-to-face polls’ obvious house bias to Labor.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

662 comments on “Morgan: 54-46 to Labor”

Comments Page 2 of 14
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  1. Kiddo, Uncle Rupe bought Myspace back in 2005 for $580M hoping to corner the emerging social network market:

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/4695495.stm

    [Mr Murdoch says the networking site will drive traffic to his Fox TV sites. ]

    He he he, he forgot there was this chubby kid at Harvard setting up a thing called Facebook in the Dorm. It has driven Myspace into extinction.

    Uncle Rupe needs to realise he is so last century.

  2. [I’m free for a mere 10 mill]

    Gus, i have always said you are cheap and you are. i offered you more last time remember? πŸ‘Ώ

  3. Finns,

    As I was trawling through the IT side of the world today, Myspace announced it had given up competing with facebook and was ‘reinventing itself for a specific niche’ and allowing integration with facebook.

    I was so busy laughing that I didn’t bother to read the rest, but I am sure someone in Murdoch’s empire is getting a $580m boot out the door!

  4. Joe De Bruyen getting a run on lateline.

    If memory serves me correctly, Whitlam once characterised him as the Dutchman who hates Dykes.

  5. Tonight’s agenda for #OhMike:

    [Weekend Overnights with Mike Williams From midnight on 2GB in Sydney and MTR 1377 in Melbourne – we’ll talk about politician’s pay packets – do we need a new system? Also the ramifications of the asylum seeker self-mutilation protests and we’ll keep you up to date with the search for survivors from the New Zealand mine explosion throughout the night.3 minutes ago Β· 1]

  6. bemused,

    Thanks so much for the link yesterday. I have purchased a new logitech mouse and illuminated keyboard. Can’t wait to pick them up tomorrow!

  7. OPT

    I have been reading the comments of others and wondering what to say. Perhaps I can offer this:

    “Life is mostly froth and bubble;
    two things stand like stone –
    kindness in another’s trouble,
    courage in our own.”

    Adam Lindsay Gordon

    I have read the kind remarks of others and I hope they help you find the courage to cope with your loss.

    My thoughts are with you.

  8. Thanks Gus for your direction, was used in the most broad interpretation possible, but wtf whoever is moderating must be feeling out of sorts tonight. No sweat.

  9. OPT, my thoughts are with you too. saw you posted Auden:

    [Lullaby – by W. H. Auden

    Lay your sleeping head, my love,
    Human on my faithless arm;
    Time and fevers burn away
    Individual beauty from
    Thoughtful children, and the grave
    Proves the child ephemeral:
    But in my arms till break of day
    Let the living creature lie,
    Mortal, guilty, but to me
    The entirely beautiful.]

    http://www.poets.org/viewmedia.php/prmMID/15542

  10. SK @ 68

    I hope you got a good deal, prices vary wildly.

    I have to say Logitech products have served me well (still using my wireless mouse and keyboard from 2005) and they offer great service. I managed to break the wireless transmitter for my wife’s mouse by sheer stupidity and clumsiness. I emailed Logitech and asked where I could buy a replacement as none of the retailers stocked them. They sent me a replacement for free even though I freely admitted it was my fault it was broken. Beat that!!!!

    Well they have me as a loyal customer and someone who freely recommends them and their products.

  11. [DavidPosted Friday, November 19, 2010 at 10:30 pm | PermalinkThanks Gus for your direction, was used in the most broad interpretation possible, but wtf whoever is moderating must be feeling out of sorts tonight. No sweat
    ]

    Herr William of Bowe is chief moderator grand poohbah etc.

  12. David, I’m moderating tonight, as I always am, and I would delete a comment like that 100 times out of 100. You may not have noticed, but I’ve deleted a good many of your comments over time, as they are frequently extremely childish.

  13. Puff,

    I was thinking today does the law in relation to leaks only cover the internal leak or the person who receives the leak as well? (like being in possession of stolen goods is as illegal as actually stealing it).

    I only ask because I would have thought the people who published the leaks should have known it was a leak and should not have published it.

  14. Godwin Grech admitted to writing the fake email that suggested former prime minister Kevin Rudd gave preferential treatment to a political donor.

    The then Opposition leader, Malcolm Turnbull, used the email to call for Mr Rudd’s resignation.

    Mr Grech later admitted he concocted the email and it emerged he had been leaking information to the Opposition for some time.

    The Director of Public Prosecutions, Christopher Craigie, says there is evidence of unauthorised disclosures but he has decided not to prosecute Mr Grech.

    This F’n prick tried to bring down a government and he gets away with nuthing.

    What a piss weak set laws we have.

  15. [davePosted Friday, November 19, 2010 at 10:51 pm | Permalink Godwin Grech admitted to writing the fake email that suggested former prime minister Kevin Rudd gave preferential treatment to a political donor.
    The then Opposition leader, Malcolm Turnbull, used the email to call for Mr Rudd’s resignation.
    Mr Grech later admitted he concocted the email and it emerged he had been leaking information to the Opposition for some time.
    The Director of Public Prosecutions, Christopher Craigie, says there is evidence of unauthorised disclosures but he has decided not to prosecute Mr Grech.
    This F’n prick tried to bring down a government and he gets away with nuthing.
    What a piss weak set laws we have.
    ]

    More like he used his hospitalisation as an excuse to avoid being charged.

  16. dave,

    I can understand your anger. I am none too impressed myself. But I did see him once after his release from hospital and I have to tell you he was one totally broken man. Not just sad he had been busted type ‘broken’, but not quite with us ‘broken’.

  17. Your opinion William, and as the boss your perogative. interesting you should say that, given some of the discourse between others, but hey i can live with it no big deal. Cheers carry on.

  18. [86 GusfacePosted Friday, November 19, 2010 at 10:59 pm | PermalinkI wonder if the alan bond manouvere was utilised?
    can we expect a miraclous recovery down the track?
    ]

    To quote your tweet to Pebbles aboout Dio:

    Does a bear do Number 2’s in the woods ?? πŸ™‚

  19. SK – No fight with you on anything really, but this mongel tried to oust an duly elected PM on nothing but fraud.

    ABC saying *the fake email that suggested*

    It didn’t just f’n *suggest* it ploted, calculated and tried it darndest to fraudulently
    oust a totally innocent a duly elected PM, by gretch conspiring with the politician enemies
    of the government – and everything is supposed to be hunky f’n dory.

    Well it not ! Its a total disgrace ! The prick should be shot and so should whoever
    let him off the hook.

  20. dave,

    I get all that. And if for one minute I thought these were the actions of someone who was in their right mind I would be gung-ho for the same.

    I guess only time will tell if it was all just an act, but if it does surely the DPP would then be able to resurrect the charges? (I am not sure how that works)

  21. [GusfacePosted Friday, November 19, 2010 at 11:05 pm | PermalinkI doubt he will ever join the real world – ever. But Dio might have a different opinion.
    Dio is about to rejoin the real world?
    About time

    ]

    But will he cope with real people telling him to his face that he is wRONg though ?? πŸ™‚

  22. [The FinnigansPosted Friday, November 19, 2010 at 11:08 pm | PermalinkDio is about to rejoin the real world? About time
    Gus, Wot!!! is he a Tree Surgeon now?
    ]

    Well ringbarking of trees is a form of “plastic” surgery πŸ™‚

  23. So, Grech did do a bad thing for which he could spend some time being careful not to drop the soap while showering, but the DPP is a sympathetic soul who has decided not to inflict that on him.

    The email was concocted, but what about the [evidence of unauthorised disclosures]??

    If he was the mole that was passing stuff to the Libs for some time, isn’t there something that the Libs involved could be charged with given that they were using info they would have had to know they were getting from someone doing less than appropriate things??

  24. I get all that. And if for one minute I thought these were the actions of someone who was in their right mind I would be gung-ho for the same.

    I guess only time will tell if it was all just an act, but if it does surely the DPP would then be able to resurrect the charges? (I am not sure how that works)

    Just wake up !

    Gretch was totally sane & in his right mind until he was CAUGHT !

    Turnbull and the hun from tasmania knew exactly what they were doing.

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