GhostWhoVotes informs us that tonight’s Newspoll has the Coalition opening a 52-48 lead. More to follow.
UPDATE: Matthew Franklin of The Australian reports “Newspoll chief executive Martin O’Shannessy said tonight that Labor had suffered a six-point plunge in primary support outside cities”, prompting speculation the fall has been driven by the Murray-Darling Basin report. Primary votes are apparently little changed on the previous Newspoll survey, which had Labor at 35 per cent, the Coalition at 42 per cent and the Greens at 14 per cent – but they must have changed at least some to have wrought a two-point shift in the Coalition’s favour on two-party preferred. No doubt GhostWhoVotes will reveal all shortly.
UPDATE 2: GhostWhoVotes has full results here. Labor’s primary vote is down two to a new low of 33 per cent, the Coalition is up one to 43 per cent and the Greens are steady on 14 per cent. The move is reflected on personal ratings, with Julia Gillard down four on approval to 44 per cent and up four on disapproval to 37 per cent, and Tony Abbott up two on approval to 41 per cent and down one on disapproval to 46 per cent. However, Gillard has held even on preferred prime minister with a lead of 53-32, with both leaders up a point on last time.
UPDATE 3: James J notes in comments that this is Labor’s lowest primary vote since 3-5 December 2004, equal lowest since 20-22 August 1993, and second lowest since Newspoll began in 1985.
Backs up Neilsen.
[Although the poll shows only small movements in the primary vote since the previous survey, which was taken between October 8 and 10, Newspoll chief executive Martin O’Shannessy said tonight that Labor had suffered a six-point plunge in primary support outside cities.]
Looks like MDB more than AS
Good, they deserve Abbott.
Time for the ABC to be decommissioned or otherwise directly funded by the Liberal Party and be done with it.
Shoes for GWB and JWH. Now, if only we could find Tony Blair…
Fess, relax. the Gillard Govt is doing things, some are unpopular. It will take a hit here and there. It will lose some battles but it will win the war.
[Posted Monday, October 25, 2010 at 10:15 pm | Permalink
yep my say, i agree. Julia is leading. Sure it’s slow, turning the ol’ Titanic. But it’s happening, despite the MSM. when I hear my new hero – Chris Bowen ]
dont worry its all boats and Howard and its three years to turn
it around, dam stupid people
o but did they include tasmania this time
Australians appear to want simple slogans preferably backed with no substantive solutions.
Fortunately the independents are not poll driven. The government needs to hold its nerve on key issues and take real action. The poll that counts is three years away.
may be a blessing in dsiguise it will make abbott more cheeky and out going.
Howard reckons he is ‘agnostic’ on AGW.
Phht. He ensured that Australia did nowt on AGW for a decade.
[ortunately the independents are not poll driven. The government needs to hold its nerve on key issues and take real action. The poll that counts is three years away.]
thats why we all and i mean all have to email and support Chris our new hero
I know what the most watched video on YouTube will be tomorrow.
So will Dick Togs now come out of hiding and go on 7.30 Report Land
48/52
What can one say?
It’s a race to the bottom perhaps?
48/52?
Circle the wagons.
We’re gonna do Masada Down Under.
[The Finnigans
Posted Monday, October 25, 2010 at 10:24 pm | Permalink
Fess, relax. the Gillard Govt is doing things, some are unpopular. It will take a hit here and there. It will lose some battles but it will win the war]
would some on go back to the day Julia became pm and i think she said just that.
Whether the polls are 52/48 or 48/52, is of no importance. They have just come out of the barriers.
The Melbourne Cup winner will NOT, be leading all the way 😉
Where is Tone? He’s been conspicuously absent from the media.
My Say,
DONT MENTION THE WAR!!!!!
This Gillard Labor Government has not actually done anything yet, I believe.
[So will Dick Togs now come out of hiding and go on 7.30 Report Land]
Only when their Chris Uhlmann hosts in next year.
outside cities ah the water more selfish people
You idiot, In Asia, they think you are a bloody racist!!!!!
David Hick and detainment without charge
Tampa
Childern Overboard
Iraq
Racism
WorkChoices
MUA
Weasel Words
All the damage and pain of those terrible, terrible, retrograde hate filled years have been brought back to me.
Oh my god how could we have had this person as PM.
Still cannot take responsibility. Too bad the show didn’t hit him.
I’m in SA anxiously waiting for the shoe.
I just turned on QandaA and it is ending. How luckment.
OK, that last question makes me wanna blow chunks.
Excuse me…
[Former PM Howard gets 2 shoes thrown at him on live TV. #qanda]
As you were. It was only Tones returning the two jackboots he borrowed from him.
Does Dubya give medals for surviving a shoe assassination
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/coalition-takes-lead-newspoll/story-fn59niix-1225943446993
Although the poll shows only small movements in the primary vote since the previous survey, which was taken between October 8 and 10, Newspoll chief executive Martin O’Shannessy said tonight that Labor had suffered a six-point plunge in primary support outside cities.
the show should be the shoe BTW
Well well, that does cheer me up.
I’ve been a bit down since Webber backed it into the wall in Korea, but this is a shot in the arm ahead of the Vic state election
[Boerwar
Posted Monday, October 25, 2010 at 10:29 pm | Permalink
This Gillard Labor Government has not actually done anything yet, I believe]
is that tongue in cheek. they are trying petty dam hard, wait till July. and alot will change may be even there abc
[The Melbourne Cup winner will NOT, be leading all the way 😉 ]
Might and Power did from memory.
The shoe-throwers couldn’t afford to hit him, assault charges would have followed. I missed it but I bet it is enshrined on utube.
Dr. Diog, you are a pain the arsk, what shall i do?
[Looks like MDB more than AS]
Agreed Diogs. Thats what I thought about ACN but the regional stratification (as far as it has been reported) makes it pretty likely to be the water issue.
I think this is quite interesting based on the two indies are from regional areas- waiting to see the next poll in their seats. They could be gone if they are tarnished with this.
Oh The Hypocrisy of Ltd News:
[
MoreOj Jules Morrow by CatherineDeveny
Ouch. Will News sack @penbo for offensive tweets like the Age did @CatherineDeveny? RT @penbo Was that Susan Boyle in the crowd at #qanda?
39 minutes ago Favorite Undo Retweet Reply ]
Show Throwing lead story on ABCNews24
william what was the polls like for hawke and Keating, may be we are just used to the wonderful days of Kev in the beginning.
i mean after they where elected for second terms
Yes it was not meant to hit the bastard, it was symbolic.
The pain of pre 24th Nov 2007 returned.
Doesn’t matter who is in power, I am glad Howard the weasel worded lying rodent in gone.
If the poll movement is driven by the MDBA plan then I assume the plunge is concentrated in the affected regional areas.
If so, would it even translate into any additional lost seats, given that most of them are held by the Nationals ?
Diogs,
I’m talking about this year. Besides, Might And Power was a champion.
my say
I will agree that there are a lot of people irritated about asylum seekers and about the banks and about water cuts in the Murray Darling Basin.
Now, to offset all that, this Gillard Government has effected the following changes to peoples’ lives:
(a)
(b)
(c)
and so on, and so forth…
Mr Jones will have a good show tomorrow. O dear
So if the PV hasn’t moved much overall then the minus 6 points in the rural areas must be offset with an improvement in the pV in the cities. Is this right?
Well that five minutes of the rodent was enough, the pstd of those 11 years is coming back. The poor Brits are just about to get the same aske-furrowing in the name of ‘paying off debt.’
Haha, the shoe-throwing made the ABC news break segment.
Q: What do you get when you throw a shoe at John Howard?
A: Satisfaction.
I wonder if the shoe thrower had athlete’s foot?
Well, here’s one assessment of Q&A:
[Pollytics | 1 minute ago
]
Sounds like I dodged a bullet tonight!
[Fess, relax. the Gillard Govt is doing things, some are unpopular. It will take a hit here and there. It will lose some battles but it will win the war.]
Yo, Finn. Abso-bloody-lutely. Let’s enjoy the show. The Libs will be salivating and fantasising, and meanwhile the Red team will methodically deal with one issue after another. Jules and the gang aren’t going to be rolled by that mob, MSM or no MSM. It’s the economy stupid! Prediction – mid next year Jules approval high 50s, Labor a solid 52 TPP.