The Illawarra Mercury has published one of its occasional small-sample polls on local voting intention, this time gauging reaction to David Campbell’s enforced outing at the hands of Channel Seven and subsequent resignation from the state ministry by targeting his seat of Keira. The poll gives Campbell a 55-45 two-party lead over the Liberals, and while this points to a 17 per cent swing on the 2007 election result, it marks a slight improvement from the 53-47 he recorded in a similar poll in January. No primary vote figures are provided, but we are told equal proportions of voters one in five said they were more and less likely to vote for him following his recent dramas. The sample for the poll was 300, with a high margin of error of about 5.5 per cent.
The accompanying report in the Illawarra Mercury notes rumour is rife that the party is considering endorsing another candidate, one report suggesting Heathcote MP Paul McLeay registered interest in the seat on the evening Channel Seven aired its exposé of Campbell’s gay sauna visit. However, this was dismissed by McLeay as a a pathetic, juvenile attempt to regurgitate the ‘Kick Campbell’ story.
NOTE: Please reserve this thread for discussion of state politics. Those wishing to discuss federal matters can do so in the post below.