Essential Research: 62-38

The latest weekly Essential Research poll has Labor’s lead steady at 62-38. Also included are an interesting question on what Peter Costello should do (34 per cent quit, 46 per stay in various possible capacities), along with very detailed material on economic management. Not only but also:

• A comprehensively briefed Andrew Landeryou at VexNews explains the background to the Victorian Liberal Senate preselection vote to be held this Friday. Michael Ronaldson seems assured of retaining his top position, but Julian McGauran faces an uphill battle for third place against Ross Fox, a Peter Costello backer. The second place is reserved for the Nationals.

Phillip Coorey of the Sydney Morning Herald reports on a NSW Liberal state executive ruling that new members in Bradfield will not be eligible to vote in the preselection to replace Brendan Nelson, to be held in nine months. Normally party rules require membership for six months for eligibility, but that would be an invitation to mass branch stacking in the current circumstances. Coorey also weighs in on recent shenanigans in the Perth seat of Tangney.

• Tasmanian LHMWU secretary David O’Byrne has confirmed he will seek preselection as a candidate for Franklin at next year’s state election. O’Byrne is a former state party president and brother of Bass MP Michelle O’Byrne. Among the Liberal candidates will be Vanessa Goodwin, who narrowly failed to defeat the now-departed Paula Wreidt at the 2006 election.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,522 comments on “Essential Research: 62-38”

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  1. [Costello’s 2008 appearance on Q & A was miles better.]
    But he gives the same answers all the time! “I’m great, cut taxes, APRA, tsunami, bring back WorkChoices.”

  2. Why when looking at Cossie does the film the “Life of Brian” come to mind……..that’s it….HE IS NOT THE MESSIAH!

  3. Tanner for Treasurer!

    Costello for the backbench ‘let him get good with old age’…just so we could use him if we ever needed it…

    I think Costello is loving the current environment, everybody saying nice things of him, everybody wanting him to lead the Liberals this is not what he got during the Howie Years…

  4. [I think Costello is loving the current environment, everybody saying nice things of him, everybody wanting him to lead the Liberals this is not what he got during the Howie Years…]

    out of that coal seam of yours,from time to time,comes a diamond.

  5. I note that he refused to answer yes or no when asked if he wanted to bring serfchoices back. Pleeeaaasse make him the opposition leader. Labor will rule for 25 + years.

    Tom.

  6. Bit of a boring episode.

    Costello was occasionally funny but generally idiotic. Tanner should be Supreme Emperor of the Universe.

  7. Glen from the liberal parties point of view, Q and A was an absolute joke. Costello is not going to be the leader and his behavior was more about undermining the Liberal party, and as for those egging his on, what a bunch of jerks, and as for the happy clappers. It was an absolute disaster for the Liberal party.

  8. Jones got Cossie a beauty with the tsunami comment. Cossie in full swing, saying Rudd uses exaggerated language re the GFC and going through the words Rudd used. Then Tony chimes in with Costello’s tsunami comment re the coming economic probelms before the last election. Magic.

  9. Havent seen QANDA over here as yet, but from the comments it seems that the most effective thing that the Union movement in Australia could do to ensure that the Libs never get another shot at Serfchoices would be to set up a fighting fund to help Costello take over the Liberal leadership.

  10. [I think Costello is loving the current environment, everybody saying nice things of him, everybody wanting him to lead the Liberals this is not what he got during the Howie Years…]

    Spot on Glen. There are 4 reasons I can think of as to why Costello is still in parliament. Your point is one. The others are:

    – he’s got nothing better to do, seriously. he has NOTHING to occupy himself

    – he needs the exposure to defend attacks on his legacy as a senior Liberal

    – he has it in for several of his former collegues

  11. Hahhahah if we are in a economic storm, we should make it easier to sack people!

    Costello is like an old record that just keeps playing the same tune.

  12. And Rudd heads this team of Tanner, Swan, Gillard, Roxon and so on…. tells you how good Rudd has to be to be at the front of that talent.

    Tanner has a way of getting a clear confident message through that makes him an excellent front man. Swan struggles in that area. So does Rudd often.

  13. “I think Costello is loving the current environment, everybody saying nice things of him, everybody wanting him to lead the Liberals this is not what he got during the Howie Years…”

    Sounds like simple self indulgent attention seeking behavior.

    But beyond the self pleasure he seems to be getting at the moment, we are basically paying him a substantial salary to sit on his butt in parliament, write books no-one wants to read, and continually destabilize the Liberal Party.

    H’mm considering that if he actually does become leader the Libs will be even more unelectable that they are now……has anyone checked if the ALP is slipping him a few bills on the side??

  14. Maybe Costello will become a Tuckey or Ruddock figure in the party an old sage sitting up the back making occasional points of order…

  15. [Maybe Costello will become a Tuckey or Ruddock figure in the party an old sage sitting up the back making occasional points of order…]

    “Old sage”? You’re always demanding they leave and let some new blood in.

  16. I think tax cuts have gone too far and any suggestion that they be cut even further is simply asking for budgetary problems down the track. When the mining boom resumes as it surely will we should again work to build a strong surplus combined with further spending on significant infrastructure. Tax cuts don’t have a place in that equation.

  17. Glen @1388

    Surely he has more self respect than that!! Nope, i reckon he’s actually an ALP double agent (#86, shoe-phone??).

  18. Costello said wages went down under Hawke and Keating, but of course he left out the fact that we got Medicare and compulsory superannuation as part of a social wage. This was compensation for the fact wages and broken out under Fraser / Howard to unsustainable and inflationary levels.

  19. [Maybe Costello will become a Tuckey or Ruddock figure in the party an old sage sitting up the back making occasional points of order…]

    Geez, Glen I didn’t realise your disgust for Costello ran that deep.

  20. [I think tax cuts have gone too far and any suggestion that they be cut even further is simply asking for budgetary problems down the track.]
    There’s tax cuts legislated for July 1st. Also the Henry review is going to propose cutting the corporate tax rate, and paying for it by abolishing franking on shares.

  21. [Maybe Costello will become a Tuckey or Ruddock figure in the party an old sage sitting up the back making occasional points of order…]
    Would it be too hard for him to ask a question during Q.T.?

    WOW Leight Sayles nice hair style and shirt combo tonight.

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