Morgan: 58.5-41.5

This week’s Morgan face-to-face poll has Labor’s lead down to 58.5-41.5 from 63-37 last week, its weakest Morgan face-to-face showing since the election of the Rudd government. It seems Morgan also conducted a phone poll between June 4-9 which put the score at 56-44, compared with the government’s previous weakest result of 58-42 at the phone poll of May 7-11.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

256 comments on “Morgan: 58.5-41.5”

  1. At 203
    Antony Green Says:
    June 15th, 2008 at 8:30 pm
    The internet’s not irrelevant, but then neither is talk back radio.

    If you listened to talk back radio jocks and callers before the election, you would have sworn that Howard was going to win comfortably. At least the internet through sites like this and Crikey gave an alternative, and I think a more realistic viewpoint given Howard lost.

  2. And Michelle Grattan proves her worth by acknowleding the ALP lead in the headline: Nelson polls better but far behind PM. Wonder what Shameaham would have gone with??

  3. The Neilsen Poll is good and nothing has really changed. 2PP well within MoE. I couldn’t help but compare in my mind the sober, analytical way Michelle Grattan goes about dealing with the poll results and the hysterical, fanciful way Shannahan does the Newspoll.

    The petrol price problem shows how bias of MSM can affect people’s thinking. Imagine people preferring a 5c fuel tax cut to Fuelwatch where the actual savings in knowing the cheapest fuel would be far nmore than the av 2c/lr save as in WA. It would be interesting to see what the poll results would be in WA. Rudd is having trouble because of MSM getting his message across re long term effects.

    Saying that Labor really has to find a more effective way of managing the media, especially when plastic man Nelson just follows populist trends without any geuine policies.

    It also indicates to me that most voters who are addicted to BS progammes like TT/CA really do not want to think at all about the proper issues and will not forsake a couple of dollars in the pocket now for a future benefit. This is what makes populist issues so dangerous in the short term.

    Rudd has to stick to his guns. He is riding high in the polls and inflation will be more dangerous to him later on when it matters around election time than this problem with petrol prices. I believe high interest rates will be more deadly to him than high petrol prices. He was elected to govern, not to be popular all the time. Let Nelson try to worry about that.

    I have hopes that a steady head will prevail.

Comments are closed.