Taverner: Labor leads among mortgage holders

The Sunday Fairfax papers (see here and here) carry a Taverner poll covering mortgage holders only from Sydney and Melbourne, showing a 57-43 lead to Labor. There was apparently a similar poll published during the 2004 campaign which had the Coalition leading 54-46 among this group, but I can’t find any record of it. Seats in which this looks like bad news for the Coalition include La Trobe, McMillan, Corangamite, Deakin and McEwen in and around Melbourne, and Lindsay, Parramatta, Dobell, Robertson and Macarthur in the Sydney area.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

617 comments on “Taverner: Labor leads among mortgage holders”

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  3. 597 – it’s the non-wedge thing I think – “Labor tries to tell people what to do by legislating against choice” – dross of course.

  4. ESJ #562:

    I’ll take you on for a $100 donation to PB so long as you promise to shut up until William confirms you’ve paid the $100. 53.00-47.00 ALP TPP = draw (and we both give William $20. ALP 53.01% TPP and you pay William $100.

  9. Gott ist tot, and so’s the rodent.

    Or maybe Nietzsche’s lovely aphorism is more appropriate:

    When you stare into the abyss, the abyss also stares into you.

    …one for the rodent, don’t you think?

  11. Channel 10 Melb. showing many amny lib ads……..interest rates, unemployment of the young under Labor etc.
    Where the hell are the ALP ads?

  12. Channel 10 Melb. showing many many lib ads……..interest rates, unemployment of the young under Labor etc.
    Where the hell are the ALP ads?

  13. Kev 07 missed a good opportunity on Rove.When asked who he would turn gay for he should have said:

    If something bad happened with global warming and there were three people left,
    myself-Amanda Vanstone and Avuncular Joe then i would have to shag Joe.

  15. 588
    Flash Says:
    November 18th, 2007 at 6:36 pm

    Working on the premise that most about these parts are Kevin07 types, when it comes to election night would you prefer:

    A: Early indications from the tally room that the Coalition, against all odds, is going to be returned to government. Followed by a virtual concession by one of the Labor commentators. Followed by shocks results from WA which seal a narrow Labor victory.

    or

    B: A clear victory by Labor by 15 seats, called early and clean by Anthony Green about 8.10pm, without any roller-coaster ride to add excitement and “memorability” to the night.

    A would be fun as the govt supporters would be out of control and then when the w.a results roll in, they would shit a brick.

    However B would be even funner as there would not be any need for the w.a results and the conservative commentators may shut up (finally).

  16. Re: comment 23:

    Jason Koutsoukis is a gutsy journalist prepared to give credit where it’s due, even when it’s not a fashionable subject, and he fairly acknowledge poor performance – two examples;
    1. Feature article which exposed poor performing Labor Party MPs during the 2006 ALP preselections.
    2. Recent feature detailing the merits of the Democrats, in comparison with other Senators, notably the Greens.

    Also, Jason acknowledges his (rare) mistakes and changed perspectives – an unusual phenonenon in Australian journalism.

    Along with the excellent George Meglogenis and the outstanding Nick Xenophon, Greek-Australians are becoming prominant in Oz politiics, and that’s a good thing !

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