Bennelong and Herbert “polls”

Talk of a Bennelong poll from the Daily Telegraph prompted much excited chatter yesterday, but it turns out to be a semi-qualitative “study” with a sample of 200. John Howard has 87 backers against 86 for Maxine McKew, with “only one in five swinging or first-time voters” backing Howard. The Townsville Bulletin brings us a poll of 209 respondents in Herbert, conducted by consultants AEC Group. It shows Labor’s candidate George Colbran and Liberal incumbent Peter Lindsay each on 41 per cent of the primary vote, with Colbran leading 53-47 on two-party preferred – a swing of 9 per cent. A similar poll published in early September produced the same result.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

714 comments on “Bennelong and Herbert “polls””

Comments Page 13 of 15
1 12 13 14 15
  1. Overington just wants Turnbull to survive and be Pm at the expense of howard and costello (and Rudd)…

    She’s liberal lite, but canvassing a politician in that way is beyond the pale, she should be slapped on the wrist with a wet tram ticket,

    then taken out and shot.

  2. That Willis Bimbo on Private Schools must have been conned by the blatant electioneering by Private Schools via Newsletters at the last election.

  3. I see the Ecuyer story got a run on Lateline too.

    I can’t believe the knob polishing going on at the GG for Malcolm. It’s like something out of that film Clerks.

    I keep looking about, thinking Jay and Silent Bob are gonna turn-up and ask for a bit of action too.

    Poor Caroline. She’s gonna end-up with a very sore jaw at this rate.

  4. 600 – health, climate change, EDUCATION, more housing. World peace. The Beatles reunion; a lost work by James Joyce; the finding of a decent cricket team for Australia to play… it’ll be all good.

  5. 597
    Antonio Says:
    November 12th, 2007 at 11:10 pm
    The point about Albrectson, which made the Media Watch story very significant, is that she’s on the ABC Board.
    ….
    The fortunate thing is no-one really gives a damn who she is, what she says or where she’s from. She’s a flea on the lumbering backside of public opinion who will be returned to her former obscurity in the fullness of time.

  6. StanS the irony is that despite Howard having better policies on education and housing than Rudd as shown today, he will merely me-too the best bits of them on wednesday. Either that or with the press on his side, like the ABC on lateline tonight, he’ll merely get the media bashing Howie on being an irresponsible big spender.

    It’s sad that the party with vision and with good policies on education and housing is so far behind in the polls. Well you get what you vote for i guess and we’ll soon find out who that side is on the 24th.

    So long…for now.

  7. where did Rudd say anything about me-tooing? How can you me-too on policy that is already me-too (geez this election is getting downright stupid)

  8. Glen, but aren’t Howard’s education and housing policies just a “me-too” of Rudd’s earlier announcements (with maybe a bit extra added or done differently)?

  9. 612
    Charlie Says:
    November 12th, 2007 at 11:17 pm
    “If we take democracy seriously in this country, Overington’s jail-bound.”

    Wow – Spoken like a graduate of the Crikey Whitey school of Stalinism.

  10. Yeah Janet is an ABC board member, so what. Adams works for the ABC.

    It’s only when Janet A uses the “I’m a journalist” defence that I think she really slips.

  11. Glen…….Howard is a loser! Why can’t you accept that fact? Gee, from what I have read over the past week, you are a glutton for punishment.

  12. I suspect Rudd will annnounce big initiatives in health, education(preschool, public schools and unis), climate change and perhaps family tax benefits?
    I wonder if Gough will make it to the Labor launch on Wednesday?
    And despite the almost certain cheerleading from the GG tomorrow, the general reaction in the media so far seems to be one of boredom.

  13. Glen, I admire you for your persistant support of your side of politics.
    You’re an intelligent guy, I wish you’d see the light and join the rest of us.

  14. [The fortunate thing is no-one really gives a damn who she is, what she says or where she’s from. She’s a flea on the lumbering backside of public opinion who will be returned to her former obscurity in the fullness of time.]

    Hopefully Rudd fires here from the ABC board, and Pearson from the SBS board.

  15. Jail bound is a bit over the top don’t to you think??? Afterall we are all allowed to email any candidate and say we think they should put their preferences for a certain party (or complain if they preference a party we don’t like).

    And if we’re not allowed to do this, why the hell not??

  16. Will why can’t you grow up we don’t and should never have to come here to be personally insulted by people we can question and debate their beliefs but don’t come here and spread your hate it is not welcome, and i for one dislike it.

    “Glen, but aren’t Howard’s education and housing policies just a “me-too” of Rudd’s earlier announcements (with maybe a bit extra added or done differently)?”

    Matt unlike Labor’s 91% copy of our tax plan our education and housing plans are greatly different than the ALP’s despite what Kevin wants the left to think.

    Education – 6.2b to 2.3b for starters, it is a big reform ‘we don’t need a revolution in education we need to give a helping hand’ (Vaile).
    – for all families not just on Family Tax Benefit A
    – for all schools kinder, primary secondary and not just government but private and independent schools
    – money can be used for school fees to assist parents in sending their children to private schools if they so wish.

    Housing – parents can contribute $$ without CGT to assisting their children to buy homes

    These policies have not been copied and on housing especially there is only really one way to tackle it with tax offsets, it’s how you structure them that show how different yours is.

    Regardless of how the polls go and the result comes in on Antony’s computer, Howard & co did a good job today considering how much was riding on it. Still it may not be enough, we’ll have to wait and see.

    Good night and pleasant dreams.

  17. WOW surprise surprise! Kevin Andrews the most incompetent minister of all time screws up another immigration issue, and has opened up Australian tax payers to possibly the biggest immigration compensation pay out in the history.

    The sooner that moron leaves parliament the better.

  18. Overington’s blog has something about a “shameful mindset letting kids die”. I just posted this (wonder if it will get on?):

    “What about “Shameful hack journo tries to influence marginal seat outcome by promising independent candidate a good run if she preferences the Libs?”.

    Poor flower. Is this the kind of transparency and impartiality you and your publication bring to political journalism? For God’s sake, hand back the media award, you aren’t worthy of it.

    Dire.”

    Don’t think I’ll be published, to be honest.

  19. Are there still any Labor voters subscribing to that Right wing rag The Australian?
    If there are, they should get OVER IT after the OVERINGTONGATE.
    She is an abolute disgrace in the same vein as Shennanigan, Piers et al.

    I remember when Piers Ackermann was the editor of the The Sun in the early 90’s in Melbourne. He ran a personalised vendetta against Premier Joan Kirner (Polka Dot) calling into question the legitimacy of her democratically elected Govt.
    Kirner in turn called for all Labor voters to boycott the paper. Piers got called in by the Big Boss Murdoch to receive some counselling. The effect of this brought back some sanity and civility. Business is the only language which cuts through with the MSM.

    “To sell dog food ads or not to sell dog food ads. That it’s the question”

  20. [Education – 6.2b to 2.3b for starters, it is a big reform ‘we don’t need a revolution in education we need to give a helping hand’ (Vaile).]

    How is this not middle class welfare? How is this not a dramatic expansion of the welfare state?

    This is a socialist policy that if you had any principle would oppose.

    You are a supporter of the PRIVATE sector Glen, NOT the GOVERNMENT sector.

  21. Grog, read section 326 of the Commonwealth Electoral Act. If Overington really did send that e-mail, then she’s guilty of attempted bribery of an election candidate. Call me an idealist, but I’d like to think that we consider that to be a big deal.

  22. [can someone please explain why no Lib was on either 7.30 report or Lateline to spruik their launch?]

    They all had to get back to campaigning in their marginal seats.

  23. I think we’ve missed something important with Overingtongate. I don’t think the Wentworth voters are going to be very happy at all. In fact, the silly pox-ridden cow may have terminated Turnbull’s career. Maybe there is a God after all!

  24. Glen, show me where I was showing hatred? I have been following this blog site for over a week and I have seen your posts demolished quite effectively. Many posts have told you that Howard was a loser, and I just pointed this out to you, as well as pointing out that you are getting a pasting from all sides, and you have not accused them of spreading hatred.
    Don’t judge me, you do not have that right.

  25. 635 Steady up Showson the Libs are still to sell the budget yet. They had a policy launch and forgot to bring their nuclear power policy, they are probably out searching for it.

  26. Delusional

    the problem is not giving everyone who goes to school a taxt cut, the problem is the the billions taken out of the education system in 11 years of wilful incompetence by a churlish antiintellectual whose only attribute is rat cunning.

    Being able to pay for an education is one thing, having to pay for a third rate education and skills system is another thing.

    Good night Glen, I dont think youll ever wake up.

  27. 633

    [can someone please explain why no Lib was on either 7.30 report or Lateline to spruik their launch?]

    The ABC are running an edited version of the launch at 7:30pm tomorrow. Presumably there will be much of the aforementioned spruiking on The 8.00 Report immediately afterwards.

  28. The Rodent must be out saving the orang-utangs for that 10 year old boy.
    I felt a little sorry for that kid, he’s been shamelessly used for political gain: akin to child abuse.

  29. Diogenes i agree.

    Wentworth people probably actually buy the Oz. i don’t think they’ll be happy with Overington trying to pinch their seat.

    may work ever so slightly against Moneybags.

    if he loses by a couple hundred votes we can have a good ol laugh at Overington for *years to come

    *because you just know Rupe won’t sack her.

  30. 634 Charlie- I’m an idealist as well and I agree with you. A legal opinion or a formal complaint to the AEC is in order. The email was clearly an inducement to allocate preferences in exchange for a front page story. It just might have legs. Not sure jail time but serious problem for job prospects.

  31. There was nothign to spruik, the launch was a non event, there was the budget the fairness test then the tax cut, now the final launch, result
    nothing nothing nothing nothing.

    Goodbye rodent.

  32. Howard was saying he wanted to do away with the ‘welfare state’ but launches his campaign with his biggest ever launch and it’s about $10b of middle-class welfare. Shame Howard, Shame!

  33. Gerr
    Good education is cultural.
    Money doesn’t buy culture, no matter how much you’ve got.
    JWH, Bishop et al. will never understand

Comments are closed.

Comments Page 13 of 15
1 12 13 14 15