Steaming hot off the press: a Roy Morgan phone poll of 435 voters conducted last night (that’s a couple of hours ago at the time of writing), covering the Perth marginals Brand, Cowan, Hasluck, Stirling and Swan. The result of 50.5-49.5 in favour of the Liberals points to a tiny swing in their favour of 0.8 per cent. To allow direct comparison with Morgan’s national poll of marginals on the weekend, a result for Stirling and Hasluck has been hived off from the other three. It shows that the respondents surveyed in these seats generated the overall swing to the Liberals, with the others moving slightly to Labor. For what it’s worth, the Stirling and Hasluck result was replicated in the similarly small sample survey on the weekend.
Razzmatazz that was after the election – not before. Though it is perhaps an indictment on his previous behaviour that he needs to say this time that he really will keep his promises.
LTEP: It ties in with his policy of, inject $2.5b to the state hospital systems and given them 18 months to cut waiting times or he will hold a referendum to take over the control of them. Sorry if I made it sound like a broad policy, it’s not really.
Did someone mention pork and Vaille in the same breath? Heard some Tory on ABC radio midmorning trying to butress Herbert with a new sponsorship for the North Queensland Cowboys Rugby League.
Rates Analyst @ 546 : I’m with you on that. It seems like the old man hadn’t given it much thought and came up with some broad ideas that sounds like he has a plan.
LATEST HEADLINES :
We are getting dumber : Rudd (HeraldSun)
OZ dumber under Howard : Rudd (Daily Telegraph)
Howard’s education failure : Rudd (Adelaide Advertiser)
The first 2 headlines BIASELY but cleverly paint Rudd calling Aussies dumb
The 3rd headline tells the TRUTH of what Rudd said
I have failed in vain on this blog to get ANY interest in bloggers boycotting these
anti Labor newspapers in favor of evenhanded ones like Sydney Morning Herald/Age
555 [I have failed in vain …]
Huh?
I strongly believe that the real plan was (is) Nuclear and Health. They plan to allow Nukes and take over the Health system. They just haven’t really articulated it clearly. Mainly becuase it would be an invitiation to even further annihilation electorally.
I doubt they would take WC further – though I think they originally planned to.
Rudd ain’t gonna call a DD – why would he risk losing so soon (however slight the chance) when Labor has been in opposition misery for 11.5 long long long years.
557 [I strongly believe that the real plan was (is) Nuclear and Health. They plan to allow Nukes and take over the Health system. They just haven’t really articulated it clearly. Mainly becuase it would be an invitiation to even further annihilation electorally.]
That’s why their campaign has been so ineffective. The Tories have not been game to say what they are really up to and just look unelectable as compared to wiped out totally.
Howard’s REAL 5 point plan for his first 12 months:
1) Keep economy strong – Workchoices Mark 2
2) Keep Australia secure – Invade IRAN
3) Implement election promises – ONLY CORE promises
4) Resume efforts to implement the $10b Murray-Darling water plan – FIND envelope with original plan…
5) Start talks about having the Aboriginies recognised in the constitution – I talk you listen: YOUR LAND IS MINING LAND – RELOCATE OR LOSE WELFARE
553,
Yes, but it was Donna Vale, sitting Lib for Hughes in SW Sydney. No worries, though, as they all know how to promise money out there, no matter which part of the coalition they are from 😉 ……
The headlines are maybe not so bad because they attract attention – it will depend on the first paragraph of the text as people have a quick glance to see what it is about.
I don’t go to those newspapers at all except if someone posts a link that seems interesting. After the election I will have no reason at all to visit them.
555,
I live in Sydney and I won’t touch the SMH in the paper edition. I read only the online version and that way, I can filter out what I like without giving them any of my money.
SMH is too conservative. Not that the DT is NOT but since they are endorsing Rudd, albeit reluctantly, but doing it none the less, I am willing to give them the time of day.
I hear you on The Age though. I don’t live in Melbourne but The Age is my homepage when I start up my computer. I ALWAYS read that first and always will, no matter where I live in Australian. The Herald Sun can get stuffed 😉
Richard-Vic Pet are issuing $8 million to its shareholders out of a total of $15 mil.dont have a calculator handy.
Those sections of the Oz media that need to will encounter their own irrelevance on Saturday night.
Should be a good evening all round. I look forward to the post-mortems. Honetly, I still recall the glory that was the 93 post-election wrap ups. Mmmmm, I bathed contentedly in those for weeks.
Julie the DT has not endorsed Rudd, that was the Sunday version, which is another matter entirely. We won’t know which way the DT jumps until Friday or more probably Saturday.
E StJ is what is commonly known as a smart-arse. He presumably has some particular field of expertise, but his contributions here show no evidence of it, so what it is, is anyone’s guess. I see someone above says he is a historian, and that would certainly fit, although he would be a poor one, because he plainly has great difficulty being objective. I suspect his mathematical ability is relatively low, since whenever he attempts to make any economic or statistical point he makes a goose of himself. Other than that he comes across as a dilettante with a smattering of knowledge on a few subjects, a passable vocabulary, and an argumentative streak. Whenever he is challenged he will use one of several tactics.
1. Change the subject.
2. Create a straw man, by quoting a small part of his antagonist’s argument, embellishing it with untruths and generalisations, and then demolishing his own ridiculous confabulation. As an example, see his plagiarism invention some time ago. (This is also known as the McGuinness, Devine, Henderson, Albrechtsen method)
3. Resort to ridicule or abuse, with no counter argument at all.
He has great difficulty discerning when he is being ‘had’, and bites like a hungry barracouta. He also has a monstrous ego.
Renaissance man! Pull the middle one!
cheers,
Alan H
thanks for the discussion on geothermal. i am going to invest my winnings from my maxine bet in some of that underground green…. to help kev do the right thing by the kids of the future.
i am going down to the opera house in sydney on saturday night after midnight after all is run and done…to watch her turn the lights out in kirribilli house for the last time. i think it will be the place to be for a quiet moment of reflection after all these years of pain.
566,
Fair enough Adrian, but it matters not to me. They are as far as I am concerned the same paper. I don’t think of the weekend paper as different from the main paper. That might be a distinction that the paper makes, but in my mind, it isn’t there. It is enough for me to know that there are moderating voices on the editorial panel. I have noticed a considerably less vocal voice for the government though in the daily paper as well.
Does the advertising blackout also apply to on-line ads?
[Does the advertising blackout also apply to on-line ads?]
No
The GG:”I’m Ready To Lead – Rudd.
[The 2007 election was an opportunity to turn a page in history and take up the challenges that had been overlooked for too long, Kevin Rudd said today.
In his pitch to the National Press Club, the Labor leader said he offered a real alternative because he was prepared to stay and see the plan through.
“I am not ideological. I am not dogmatic. But I (am) driven by a deep belief that our country needs to change to secure a better future,’’ Mr Rudd said.
The election would decide whether Australia was stuck in the slow lane of international competitiveness or would step up a gear. ]
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,22796666-601,00.html
Is there an ACN poll out this week?
Julie, the Daily and Sunday Teles are different papers; different editors, journalists, time frame, interest spectrum. Ditto at the Herald and Age. Some of the ‘senior’ commentators appear in both, but that’s about it.
cheers,
Alan H
Yeah, I know that Alan. The other PB poster told me as well, that makes 2 of you now 🙂 . What I said was that to *me*, it *doesn’t matter*. I think of them as one in the same. It is all about perceptions I suppose.
573 – Is the pope a Catholic?
576 – adrian
Do you know when?
Since the day he was born, probably. 😉
Wasn’t Rasinger born Jewish?
Alas, poor Bernie, I knew him Horatio.
Banton’s oncologist, Prof Stephen Clark, said: “I’m confident that he’s clinical diagnosis has been, and remains, malignant, peritoneal mesothelioma.”
“He’s”? 😮
Nice work, AAP staff writer. Back to grade school with you.
Sorry tdt, I would assume Friday or Saturday, but that is just an assumption.
Alan H @ 567,
I suspect that ESJ may be in the legal profession. Your list of character failures seem typical of those in that line of work.
Eddy at 451: “Yes Socrates lots of “engineers” on this site I am a social engineer.”
EC at 461: “It’s important for you to develop a broader understanding of these mores if you are to grapple successfully with the social realities of 21st Century Australia.”
“464
Edward StJohn Says:
November 21st, 2007 at 2:46 pm
How may I learn Enemy Combatant?”
Eddy, your humilty is most touching, however you represent quite a challenge in these last heady days of Empire El Rodente. Should you show civility over the next few days to commenters here who have not had your educational advantages, then I shall gladly shortlist you for consideration as a suitable cadidate for instruction.
Judicious use of commas in your missives would be an excellent start.
If the ACT Senate vote goes ALP + Greens, which is apparently a good chance, the Senate numbers change straight away as Territory senators don’t wait until 1 July to take up their positions. So immediately it would be one less Lib and one more on the ALP/Greens grouping. So it would be more difficult for the coaltion to block legislation.
Beyond that, Rudd would want to wait until the new Senators take up office in July before considering a double dissolution.
Bear in mind too that with a double dissolution all Senate positions are up for grabs ie 12 for each State, which means minor parties only have to get half the quota the need in a 1/2 senate election. Go the Greens in that case! Makes the major parties wary of forcing a double dissolution.