Newspoll: 56-44

The latest fortnightly Newspoll survey shows Labor’s two-party lead down slightly, from 58-42 to 56-44. Kevin Rudd leads Malcolm Turnbull as preferred prime minister 61 per cent to 21 per cent. More to follow.

UPDATE (10/3/09): Reporting a day later than usual, Essential Research also shows a four point narrowing on two-party preferred, from 62-38 to 60-40. Also featured: “political party characteristics”, executive salaries, climate change, maternity leave and “confidence in Australian economy to withstand the current financial crisis”, which Essential Research has been tracking since October last year (and which has taken a big hit in the current survey). You also probably know by now that yesterday’s Newspoll featured a headline-grabbing supplementary question on the Liberal leadership showing Peter Costello favoured by 53 per cent against 40 per cent for Malcolm Turnbull.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,318 comments on “Newspoll: 56-44”

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  1. [The latest face-to-face Morgan Poll conducted on the weekend of March 7/8, 2009 shows a slight weakening in support for the Rudd Government. Despite this the Government maintains a strong lead over the Opposition. ALP support is 50.5% (down 1%) compared to L-NP support 34.5% (up 1.5%).

    On a two-party preferred basis, support for the ALP is 60.5% (down 1%), while support for the L-NP is 39.5% (up 1%). If a Federal Election were held today the ALP would easily retain Government.

    Among the minor parties, support for the Greens is 8% (down 0.5%), support for Family First 2% (down 0.5%) and Independents/Others 5% (up 0.5%).

    The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has fallen to 119.5 (down 5.5pts) with 50.5% (down 3%) of Australians confident that Australia is “heading in the right direction”, compared to 31% (up 2.5%) that say Australia is “heading in the wrong direction.”]

  2. The Libs have two choices on IR if they don’t get their amendments:
    1. Vote against it and have the WorkChoices millstone around their necks all the way to the next election.
    2. Vote for it and look wimpish for not sticking to their guns.

  3. 8 Join Family First Party so they got the numbers (only problem is Fielding would be their new leader and Smirk would sulk)

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