Two new federal polls are out, the more sobering for Labor being the monthly RedBridge Group/Accent Research poll for the Financial Review, which has the Coalition up four to 25% and Labor down two to 26%, with One Nation maintaining a lead on 28% (down one point) the Greens up two to 13%. The Coalition’s two-party lead on respondent-allocated preferences has actually narrowed slightly, from 54-46 to 53-47, and Labor’s lead over One Nation has widened from 52-48 to 54-46. On previous election preference flows, the Coalition now leads 51-49 after a tied result last time. Movements in personal ratings were also better for Labor than the voting intention figures might suggest, with Anthony Albanese improving from minus 27 to minus 23 and Jim Chalmers nudging from minus 23 to minus 22. Angus Taylor was up a point to minus 5 and Pauline Hanson was down four to minus 14. The three-way preferred prime minister result has Albanese down a point to 30%, Hanson down two to 24% and Taylor up one to 16%. The poll was conducted Monday to Friday from a sample of 1005.
The monthly Resolve Strategic poll for Nine Newspapers has Labor down a point to 28%, One Nation steady on 25%, the Coalition down one to 22% and the Greens up one to 13%. The three-way preferred prime minister question has Anthony Albanese down three to 29%, Angus Taylor up three to 25% and Pauline Hanson down two to 24%. Anthony Albanese’s very good plus good rating is down two to 34% and his poor plus very poor rating is up three to 57%, while Angus Taylor is up one to 42% and steady on 33%. The three-way preferred prime minister result has Albanese down three to 29%, Taylor up three to 25% and Hanson down two to 24%. The poll also finds 42% holding the federal government primarily to blame for rising living costs, compared with 26% for global factors outside Australian control and 7% for the Reserve Bank. The poll was conducted Tuesday to Saturday from a sample of 2250.
Considering the housing market, the oil crisis, the acute technological changes, the income and wealth inequality and a MSM barracking for “anyone but Albo”, the polling still remains supportive of a Labor government in its second term.
The next federal election remains a long way away and any of a million things could impact the next election.
Trump may of not have been a great prime minister, but as a think tank his views are well worth listening to. This talk is after the US midterms.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dxN2E4XwKbw
The resolve poll
The federal lib/nats combined Primary vote 22% and lower
In NSW ,
in rest of Australia combined primary vote 19% equal with one nation
Labor primary vote 36% close to double both lib/nats and one nation
Lib/nats combined primary vote 29% in Victoria the same level as 2025 federal election
I think you have a typo there Scott, the Labor primary vote is at 26-28 in the above polls
I haven’t looked but my guess is it would definitely be sub 25 in Victoria where Nadia points out Labor holds a lot of seats
That might self correct after the Victorian election though
OOps Rudd not Trump in second post.