The Australian reports Newspoll has One Nation edging back into the lead on the primary vote, gaining one point on three weeks ago to 30% while Labor holds steady on 29%, with the Coalition up a point to 19% and the Greens down one to 13%. Anthony Albanese was up a point on approval to 38% and steady on 59% disapproval, Angus Taylor was down one to 33% and up four to 50%, and Pauline Hanson was up one to 47% and down one to 48%. Albanese’s lead over Taylor on preferred prime minister was out from 44-37 to 44-35, while a three-way question was entirely unchanged on last time with Albanese on 46%, Taylor on 23% and Pauline Hanson on 31%. The poll also has a question on housing prices which differs from others showing support for a fall in including a “stay about the same” option, which was favoured by 32%, with 30% favouring an increase and 32% a decrease. The poll was conducted Monday to Friday from a sample of 1243.
The latest monthly RedBridge Group/Accent Research poll for the Financial Review has Labor edging back in front of One Nation on the primary vote, holding steady at 29% while One Nation drops three to 28%, with the Coalition steady on 22% and the Greens up two on an unusually weak result last time to 12%. Labor’s two-party lead over One Nation is in from 53-47 to 52-48; the Coalition retains a 52-48 lead over Labor on respondent-allocated preferences (which suggests RedBridge Group is finding more One Nation voters favouring the Coalition than is Roy Morgan), while Labor leads 52-48 on previous election preferences compared with a 50-50 result last time. A three-way preferred prime minister result is little changed, with Anthony Albanese down a point to 31%, Pauline Hanson steady at 24% and Angus Taylor steady at 15%. There are also approval ratings that I will hold back on reporting until I see the full results. The poll was conducted Monday to Friday from a sample of 1006.
In my Bluesky post I have an image of the main Newspoll graphic as it appears in The Australian today. Open the the post, then click on the image to enlarge to see all the detailed numbers, or right click to open in another tab.
https://bsky.app/profile/leroylynch.bsky.social/post/3mudkj3tyrk2i
Rafiki
The court ruling was based on the meaning of the words. Anti-zionism is opposition to a political program. Anti-semitism is opposition to a religious group and the race that practices it. By definition, Anti-semitism is racist. Anti-zionism is not.
Either way, Pied Piper deliberately conflating anti-zionism with racism to criticise Labor as racist was a dishonest debating tactic.
Pied Piper frequently drops these dishonest memes here then scurries off. It is not an honest political debate, just waste of our time and the blog’s attention.
meher baba at 8.50am.
“What the massive swing to ON represents is dissatisfaction among many ordinary voters at the rapid cultural transformation of Australia through the consistently high migrant intake over more than 25 years”
I can accept that proposition, it has been made many times. The question I can’t find an answer to is WHY?
Is it racism? Don’t they realise that WASP’s (white anglo-saxon protestants) don’t want to come here any more. Europe has recovered from the devastation of WW2. If rents are high, isn’t that because landlords are ripping people off? If there aren’t enough houses being built, where do we get more builders from? Is it a cultural thing? How many Australians actually wear ten gallon hats and talk like outback banana benders?
I really don’t know.
Conflating Judaism and the Jewish people is also interesting. Surely if we can critique Islam and Christianity, Judaism as a religion should also be open to critique?
The risk is obvious, if you conflate a religion with a group of people you can then hate a whole group of people based on a critique of a significant or dominant religion.
Like Australia’s favourite and most acceptable hate speech Islamaphobia.
Since 1901 the average tenure for a PM has been 4.1 years, Take out Menzies Hawk and Howard and that drops down to 3.1 years.
Until Rudd PMs did not have to content with social media, which is a polarizing multiplier. Albo has done well to get to 4 years 3months, if he gets to 2028 that will be a major achievement.
Kevin Rudd (1st term): 2 years, 203 days
Julia Gillard: 3 years, 3 days
Kevin Rudd (2nd term): 83 days
Tony Abbott: 1 year, 362 days
Malcolm Turnbull: 2 years, 343 days
Scott Morrison: 3 years, 272 days
Anthony Albanese: 4 years, 3 months (ongoing as at 31 Aug 2026)
GrannyAnny says:
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 9:37 am
“Don’t they realise that WASP’s (white anglo-saxon protestants) don’t want to come here any more.”
Any evidence for that claim?
The entire political Right in Australia has been doing this, conflating any criticism of the State or Government of Israel, or even any expression of concern for the Palestinians, with anti-semitism, especially since the Bondi attack. They rarely or never express any concern about racism in any other context, least of all regarding those groups that suffer most from it in Australia, First Nations people and Muslims. It is highly dishonest.
“If rents are high, isn’t that because landlords are ripping people off?”
No.
A few probably are. The rest are charging market rates quite fairly.
All the evidence would suggest that while like communism it might be seen by some as elegant in theory, in the real world the chance of a market operating fairly is absurdly low, approaching nil.
Anti-Zionism is no more racist than anti-communism.
Opposition to the actions of the Government of Israel in Gaza and the West Bank is no more racist than opposition to the actions of the Government of Russia in its war on Ukraine or to that of China with regard to its treatment of the Uighurs.
To find out properly whether or not rents are ‘too high’, compare rent yields with returns on other classes of investment in Australia right now:
Average rent yield 3.7%
Average dividend yield 3.3%
Average interest yield 3.0%
I’d say rents – as a class of non-earned income – are still relatively high.
Good News for wheat farmers.
The New South Wales water regulator has cast doubt over its ability to prosecute potential water theft due to uncertainty about the validity of licences governing billions of litres of water entitlements in the state’s north. It follows a successful legal challenge brought by a group of irrigators in the state’s north-west which found 11 floodplain harvesting licences issued by the former Coalition government were invalid.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/aug/31/nsw-water-licenses-found-to-be-invalid-casting-doubt-on-regulator-powers
WeWantPaul
Sure, that is another problem with PP’s whole fake-racist meme.
Fubar at 9.52am.
Any evidence for that claim?
Only that people emigrate when they think they can have a better life elsewhere. Seventy years ago people emigrated from a devastated Europe. Those countries are now prosperous so why would you leave.
These days most immigrants come from Asia and the Middle East.
“Victoria says:
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 9:05 am
Zoomster
The possibility of a liberal one nation govt in Victoria is giving me conniptions.
Surely we are better than that…”
_____
Short of another Labor term in office, this is actually my preferred outcome.
Mexico can take one for the team, as a salutary lesson for the rest of Australia to not go full cooker in 2028.
Rents are rising because vacancy rates are catastrophically low.
https://propertyupdate.com.au/rental-vacancy-rates/
The maths is pretty simple:
– the stock of available rentals right now is around 40,000
– population rises by around 30,000 per month
– new housing gets added at about 14,000 per month.
Demand for housing is very high, and supply is incredibly difficult to lift. So the balance between stock and flows are way off.
On yields, a bit of a complicated comparison because yields will rise as house prices fall – so are people suggesting investors should now buy up cheaper stock to charge lower rents?
Although, presuming the headline yeilds are “gross” and not “net”, lowering rents only makes sense for those seeing to invest into new stock for the negative gearing advantages, given where investor interest rates are at (north of 5.5%).
Steve777says:
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 10:01 am
Opposition to the actions of the Government of Israel in Gaza and the West Bank is not Anti-Zionism.
Anti-Zionism is the call for the elimination of the State of Israel.
Why did the UN create Israel?
A nuanced view might suggest it had something to do with the Jews and something that happened to them in the 1930’s and 40’s in Europe. Remind me what that was?
What has happened to every Jewish population, excluding Israel, throughout the Middle East since WWII? Thrived? A nuanced view might suggest that the entire Middle East outside of Israel has been ethnically cleansed of Jews. Please tell me if I am wrong.
Given that about 73% of the population of Israel are Jews, and the history of the rest of the Middle East and their Jewish populations, can you suggest what will happen to the Jews currently in Israel if the Anti-Zionists get their way? No Israel = NO _ _ _ _. Can you complete the answer? A nuanced view might see that as being very Anti-Jew which might even be a racist one. No?
Peggy Dwyer SC is on fire attacking Charles Perrottet. She is VERY impressive.
GrannyAnny says:
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 10:16 am
It is just your opinion, that you are completely entitled to.
I am also entitled to my opinion. I work in an office that is full of young Irish, English, Scottish and Welsh lads all under thirty. Of the approx 30 in our Office there are 15 of them. We make it expensive and difficult to come here but they have because living in Australia (Perth in particular) is far better than living in the UK and Ireland for young people now – even with our ridiculous property prices. There are so many that I have had to join the Office EPL tipping.
I spent three weeks in the UK in July – and met lots of under thirties, because we were there to watch my daughter row in the Henley Royal Regatta and a couple of others, and lots of the young ones said “It’s hot isn’t it – but you Aussies are used to this – and we would love to move to Australia”. The only ones who didn’t say that they wanted to move to Australia were planning to move to the UAE for the tax free dollars (and heat).
Fubar still pretending the world didn’t watch the idf do some of the worst things imaginable streamed in 4k for 2+ years
The IDF are war criminals. Israel is a rogue state.
WeWantPaulsays:
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 9:42 am
“Surely if we can critique Islam”
Try it.
The screams of racism at anyone criticising Islam are deafening.
Set up another log-in to this site and start criticising Islam and see how long you last before being called racist and then probably being shut down.
FUBAR
“Why did the UN create Israel?
A nuanced view might suggest it had something to do with the Jews and something that happened to them in the 1930’s and 40’s in Europe. Remind me what that was?”
It’s not a nuanced view
Israel itself largely ignored the UN resolution and the requirements it laid down.
newy boy says:
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 10:37 am
Incorrect on both accounts.
Anyway, I’ve said my piece for the moment on the issue. There used to be a moratorium on these issues. Not sure where the Host stands on it at the moment, so I shall desist.
Bizzcan says:
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 10:21 am
Even with negative gearing the reason for investing in rental property was not a logical one if made solely on the return from rental which generally is at 2% or lower. It is a terrible risk-reward trade off even before adjusting for inflation.
No investors invest in real estate for the rental return, and with the cancellation of negative gearing, there is going to be a massive shortage in investment in rental property, therefore prices (rents) will go up – and we have seen the forecasts of that from the professionals in the property markets.
I’ve not seen much actual criticism of Islam, as a religion based in theology here that I can remember.
I’ve seen a lot of Islamaphobia and it getting some well deserved feedback. I don’t think I’ve seen people banned or posts taken down for it, but it could have happened I’m not here a lot more than I’m here) although I have seen posts I would consider to be unlawful (no one complained so they were not found to be unlawful, it is just my opinion).
Also your argument that effectively amounts to a conclusion that is is ok or even good for Palestinians to be ethnically cleansed to provide compensation for the actions of Europeans across centuries up to and including the Holocaust is not the brilliant argument you think it is.
newy boy says:
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 10:37 am
The IDF are war criminals. Israel is a rogue state.
_________________
They have A CHIP on their Shoulder from 1930-1945 !.
And are now out of control !.
Andrew Earlwood
Thanks for nothing
1934pb – that’s what I call holding a grudge! I guess Turkey can thank Allah that Armenia doesn’t have nukes.
The Liberal Wets and the Teals are responsible for the rise of One Nation. The Teals effectively neutered the LNP’s threat to the ALP to be able to be a realistic alternative government. The Wets, mostly from the leafy wealthy suburbs, wanted to LNP to pander to the Doctors Wives. The LNP has therefore been unable to run a policy platform that aligns with the voters who are now flocking to One Nation. Weak on immigration, no policies to effectively provide large quantities of low cost housing (not social housing) for first home buyers, rolled over to the ecofascists on climate catastrophisation, and screwed the pooch on the “cheaper and reliable” renewables scam.
The LNP have only one logical option – start working with One Nation. They don’t need to be a formal coalition, but as a starting point, accept that One Nation are a far better option than the ALP-Greens for the nation and the future of the LNP and conservative politics.
1934Pc:
Um.
I’m no fan of those currently in charge of Israel either, but I don’t think any reasonable person could blame those of Jewish descent and/or faith for having a “chip on their shoulder” about the events of WW2.
NB: “The IDF are war criminals. Israel is a rogue state.”
—
Correct.
Which begs the question, why on Earth did Labor let the war criminal President of Israel Isaac Herzog visit ASIO accompanied by a bunch of Mossad agents?
Is the genocidal administration of Israel allies with Labor and Australia? If not, WTF are they doing at ASIO?
The answer is the same as the answer to why Labor maintains and doubles down on their close military alliance with Donald Trump. Labor is aiding and abetting the war crimes committed by these rogue states.
Fubar at 10.58am.
“as a starting point, accept that One Nation are a far better option than the ALP-Greens for the nation and the future of the LNP and conservative politics.”
So you reckon the country would be better off if wage rises were curtailed, abortions banned, no more immigrant labour, deportations etc?
Douglas and Milkosays:
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 2:03 am
The realignment did not happen in the way I expected. I thought that the Teals and the wet Liberals would form a new party, becoming the new modern conservatives, à la Menzies, thus modernising the conservative side of politics.
—————
This is almost certain to still happen, the timing is just not quite right, yet.
At the next election, the preferences of most of those remaining moderate hangers-on, will re-elect sitting Labor MP’s in any number of electorates where One Nation finishes second on primaries.
They will collectively hold their noses and vote Labor back in for a third term, because the alternative is an abhorrence. If this doesn’t happen, then I guess we’ll have Queen Pauline for a decade.
Either way, a great realignment is occurring.
The LNP in its current form is a dodo, something moderate/conservative and economically liberal will emerge from the ashes.
Why so many here seem to be shitting themselves at the prospect, is both amusing and incomprehensible, in equal measure.
“Whatever happened to Wayne?
He was one of my favourite bludgers.”
@Bob Lynch
Why would you miss Wayne? He contributed nothing in terms of discussion except repeating that same one comment at nausea. He thought it was funny, but nobody else did.
GrannyAnny
“ So you reckon the country would be better off if wage rises were curtailed, abortions banned, no more immigrant labour, deportations etc?”
Don’t forget measles, polio, and poison beef
‘The LNP in its current form is a dodo, something moderate/conservative and economically liberal will emerge from the ashes.’
I had great hopes the indies would take on this role.
Alas, the essentially selfish attitude that ‘I’m here to represent only my electorate’* got in the way of that.
*Strangely this doesn’t always apply, and the demarcation isn’t clear…
I am waiting on Scott to educate us about the ALP victory in Secret Harbour.
Logically, can you celebrate the goodness of Dolly Parton and also support Trump or Hanson ?
FUBARsays:
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 10:47 am
Bizzcan says:
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 10:21 am
Even with negative gearing the reason for investing in rental property was not a logical one if made solely on the return from rental which generally is at 2% or lower. It is a terrible risk-reward trade off even before adjusting for inflation.
No investors invest in real estate for the rental return, and with the cancellation of negative gearing, there is going to be a massive shortage in investment in rental property, therefore prices (rents) will go up – and we have seen the forecasts of that from the professionals in the property markets.
___________________
There were certainly plenty of writers hanging out in places like the Guardian who swore it would never been an issue:
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/sep/21/australia-housing-crisis-negative-geating
Not withstanding, when Elsake and others stop sniffing their own farts, their one qualifier (the “but, but, but…”)
“The truth of this episode is that rents did rise at double-digit rates in Sydney and Perth during this period – but that was because vacancy rates had fallen to barely above 1% in Sydney, and to about 2% in Perth, by the first quarter of 1986”
Now is the national situation:
https://propertyupdate.com.au/rental-vacancy-rates/
So a NG and CGT change should have been accompanied by a substantial migration cut to rebalance the rental market.
What a great big 2 tonne pile of steaming bullshit! In my opinion he was in it right up to his greedy little eyeballs and most likely he’ll now be desperately trying to figure out ways to throw others under the bus to protect himself.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/icac-operation-rosny-live-updates-charles-perrottet-to-resume-evidence-as-inquiry-enters-week-six-20260831-p60sx6.html?post=p5b1e2&gb=1
zoomstersays:
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 11:18 am
I had great hopes the indies would take on this role.
————–
I have been expecting it since at least 2022, but the Turnbull faction hasn’t quite given up hope of resuscitating Menzies carcass.
Won’t be long now.
I think Dwyer should tone it down a little.
She’s clearly very frustrated.
Mavis, why?
Inner Westie:
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 11:37 am
You catch more flies with honey than with vinegar. She’s too combative with this witness.
Mavis. Good point. I’m getting emotionally involved in the vivisection. But vivisection might not be the best approach if the goal is to expose lies and corruption.
Rex Douglassays:
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 11:18 am
Logically, can you celebrate the goodness of Dolly Parton and also support Trump or Hanson ?
————-
Dolly Parton was a hillbilly.
Join the dots.
Hard Being Greensays:
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 7:18 am
Albanese has principles?
He sold them out long ago imo. Corporately captured these days and a class traitor
==============================================
I would of thought left wing people trying to bring down the Albo Labor Government as they perceive it not left enough for their values. Which will most likely result in a LNP/ON Government, are the true class traitors in my opinion. At least right wing nutters like PP believe in the type of Government he is pushing to install. While left wing Albo haters are willing to eat a shit sandwich, as they believe the lettuce is a little limp in the alternative.
“the good is the enemy of the best”