The Australian reports Newspoll has One Nation edging back into the lead on the primary vote, gaining one point on three weeks ago to 30% while Labor holds steady on 29%, with the Coalition up a point to 19% and the Greens down one to 13%. Anthony Albanese was up a point on approval to 38% and steady on 59% disapproval, Angus Taylor was down one to 33% and up four to 50%, and Pauline Hanson was up one to 47% and down one to 48%. Albanese’s lead over Taylor on preferred prime minister was out from 44-37 to 44-35, while a three-way question was entirely unchanged on last time with Albanese on 46%, Taylor on 23% and Pauline Hanson on 31%. The poll also has a question on housing prices which differs from others showing support for a fall in including a “stay about the same” option, which was favoured by 32%, with 30% favouring an increase and 32% a decrease. The poll was conducted Monday to Friday from a sample of 1243.
The latest monthly RedBridge Group/Accent Research poll for the Financial Review has Labor edging back in front of One Nation on the primary vote, holding steady at 29% while One Nation drops three to 28%, with the Coalition steady on 22% and the Greens up two on an unusually weak result last time to 12%. Labor’s two-party lead over One Nation is in from 53-47 to 52-48; the Coalition retains a 52-48 lead over Labor on respondent-allocated preferences (which suggests RedBridge Group is finding more One Nation voters favouring the Coalition than is Roy Morgan), while Labor leads 52-48 on previous election preferences compared with a 50-50 result last time. A three-way preferred prime minister result is little changed, with Anthony Albanese down a point to 31%, Pauline Hanson steady at 24% and Angus Taylor steady at 15%. There are also approval ratings that I will hold back on reporting until I see the full results. The poll was conducted Monday to Friday from a sample of 1006.
Steady as she goes.
From previous thread
Ashasays:
Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 9:14 pm
ALP is finished. Albanese is finished. Albanese should dissolve the parliament and call parliamentary elections now and hand over the lodge keys to Pauline Hanson.
The next election is over a year and a half away.
Asha
I am calling on behalf of Hanson and Joyce to dissolve the parliament and call elections now.
Hang on. I thought ON had peaked some weeks back and was now going backwards and Albo was going to govern forever.
I find it funny how Albo has now said One Nation is “dangerous”.
Ven – good one! 😆
No. Haven’t you seen yesterday’s secret harbour results? ALP is finished. ALP PV is sub-30
In yesterday’s election, Labor’s PV is a pathetic sub-25
Asha in the last thread.
Ven, Nadia and a few other posters seem to think that HBG is the same poster as LVT. I have no idea why: perhaps because of HBG being a three word name.
Lars wouldn’t vote Green in a fit. He/she is clearly a disillusioned Labor person who now seems pretty chary of supporting any party.
JJ
ON is the greatest thing ever to happen to Australia. You are right, everyone else is wrong.
ALP is finished JJ, ALP is finished I say.
Ven – what’s a secret harbour?
MB – I’m with you: there is no way HBG is LVT.
Mavis in the last thread.
Burnham has been a pleasant surprise so far. I thought he was going to be all flash and no bang, but he’s doing some seriously good stuff , including re Ukraine.
Jolly Jumbuck um remember when the liberals were 40% compared to Labour’s 30 how did that end up van you might want to calm down over a percentage Point increased that’s probably noise. Now for my opinion yeah this is the most stagnant Poll I’ve ever seen
meherbaba
What is that you don’t understand in ‘Hard being Green’ ?
HBG wanted cross bench to have control over minority ALP government after 2025 federal election like Lars did. HBG appeared around the same time when Lars disappeared before election. HBG attacks ALP from left like Lars started doing before federal election.
MB and Mavis: I had strong hopes for UK Labour under a potential Burnham Prime Ministership, before it came to be. Now he is actually PM, he has not disappointed me … so far.
It’s kind of humourous MB, I don’t really remember the poster they think I am but it seems to amuse them so whatever
Maybe Albo will see the light and recognise the way forward is to pass more progressive policies while he has the Greens to work with in the Senate
Leaving less people behind, might well improve their chances of being returned
Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election
News 24 was very quick off the mark to interview Hanson after the Secret Harbour win. This poll indicates the likelihood of more of the same ON success elsewhere. Is Murdoch media about to ditch the Coalition for ON?
Secret harbour by-election result. Feigning surprise emoji.
I mentioned earlier there might be a NSW state poll from DemosAU in the Daily Telegraph shortly. Turns out it was tucked away at the side of page four in today’s edition, and doesn’t appear to have been reported on their website. I’ll have a post up on it overnight. The results, compared with three months ago: ALP 32 (-), L-NP 25 (+5), ON 23 (-4), GRN 13 (-). There’s a TPP of 57-43 to Labor based on previous election flows, but they attach the big caveat that this entails a very high exhaustion rate among ON preferences.
Hard Been Green is quite obviously not Lars. Their writing styles are entirely different.
Ven. You’re the first poster on here I’ve ever seen suggest that Lars is to the left of Labor.
But thats no weirder than you claiming to be a lefty although you adore the BJP.
As the Kinks put it, It’s a “mixed up, muddled up, shook up world.”
Lars is and always was right-wing.
“The poster who used to refer to you as a “sad clown” is active on the site tonight too.”
I think you will need a lot more evidence to convince anyone besides Ven that HBG is Lars. I just don’t see it. I certainly could see Timmy being Gympie or Badthinker. While Jolly Jumbuk would make a good second coming of Alabama. Which would leave agitprop to be PaulA or an outside chance at Lars.
Serves L-NP right. They wanted to defeat ALP so badly that they sacrificed themselves in that cause. I have absolutely no sympathy for L-NP anymore. They can GAGF(as BW would say)
HBG – I think Andy Burnham has found a template Anthony Albanese can selectively work off to good effect, going by what has happened to voting intentions in the UK since Burnham won the Makerfield by-election in late June.
Mr Mischief – it’s him.
Anyway. I’ve seen the dreadful Newspoll result and it’s time for bed.
Ha, Tele trying to bury a poll they didn’t like the results from! Thanks for pointing it out, William.
I’m not sure i really believe the result, it’s hard to see the current context in NSW resulting in a swing to the Coalition and away from One Nation.
I never said Lars is/was to the left of Labor. Never. I said that Lars attacked Labor from left before federal election. Even when Lars briefly appeared around October last year, Lars attacked Labor from left.
Lars job on PB was to troll Labor and Labor supporters.
One last comment.
Lars is clearly a chameleon. Everybody gets the Lars they are looking for.
“And so to bed.” As Samuel Pepys was wont to write.
You do, what you do. Asha
meher babasays:
Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 9:32 pm
Ven. You’re the first poster on here I’ve ever seen suggest that Lars is to the left of Labor.
==============================================
The second, as Ven is only following what Nadia was inferring.
Thinking about the timing of the Newspoll, the One Nation result is surprisingly high given they spent the week arguing amongst themselves on what is really the party’s soul unifying agenda item.
Asha
guess what. Your name will be called every day in our family. 🙂
Newy Boy I’ll steal a post from elsewhere on your new hero Andy Burnham
“Before he became prime minister, he promised to deliver “the most significant change moment in our politics for 40 years” and said he felt “uncomfortable” that some politicians backed certain causes but then got into government and “didn’t do anything”.
But even before he took office he wavered on compensation for the ‘Waspi women’ pension campaigners
And since then, in at least six other areas, he has backed away from his original position.
Let’s have a look ….
1) Council housing
One of Burnham’s signature policy pledges was to carry out “the biggest council housebuilding programme since the postwar period”.
At the launch of his campaign to be MP for Makerfield, he said the existing £39bn fund for affordable and social housing “should be dedicated to council homes. Let’s not be coy any more”.
But last Monday the government set out plans to allocate £10bn to 33 organisations that — while including some councils — were primarily housing associations.
The allocation was broadly similar to that being finalised under his predecessor Starmer. Government figures said Burnham had decided tearing up previous plans would have caused unacceptable delays.
Meanwhile, the overall proportion of the “social rent” homes being built through the programme will remain static at 60 per cent.
2) Donations cap
Burnham emailed a campaigner earlier this year saying he would support a cap of £500,000 on political donations, saying it would “guard against the perception of any one party being unduly influenced”.
But the prime minister has decided not to back amendments to the Elections Bill that would cap the amount a person or organisation can give in a single donation.
Burnham dropped his previous support for the idea after trade union leaders warned that it could damage their ability to keep the Labour Party afloat.
Shaun Bowler, the electoral reform campaigner whom Burnham emailed in May, said the prime minister had “broken the promise he made to me”.
3) Thames Water
Burnham’s team has denied that the quasi-nationalisation of troubled utility Thames Water has been “shelved”, insisting he has never made any such commitment.
The prime minister raised expectations in June, saying: “Public ownership is absolutely an option. I would say for Thames Water that is what should be done.”
But since entering Number 10, he has been briefed on the technical challenges of pushing Thames Water into a “special administration scheme”. Officials are drawing up a menu of options, and Burnham is expected to make a decision in the autumn.
4) Personal tax threshold
Burnham hinted in July that he could increase the tax-free personal allowance.
The allowance has been frozen at £12,570 since 2021 — dragging more and more people into paying income tax as their pay rises.
He said “frustration about the personal allowance” that he heard while campaigning in the Makerfield by-election was “lodged in my mind”.
Subsequently, he seemed to pour cold water on the idea, warning that any such change would be pricey and “difficult given the financial circumstances in which we find ourselves”.
While the policy change was not part of Burnham’s recent cost-of-living package, it could still be in theory feature in his first Budget in late October.
But he would have to find £9bn a year by the third year of the policy if he restored the link between the allowance and inflation.
The prime minister subsequently complained that his musings about the allowance had been over-interpreted: “It’s funny these days you can’t answer a question honestly without people then reading everything else into it.”
5) Electoral reform
Burnham has long backed electoral reform, arguing since 2022 that it was time for Labour to back proportional representation.
At the party’s conference last autumn he declared: “There is nothing more unstoppable than an idea whose time has come, and PR’s time has come.”
But this summer he said that any such policy was still at least three years away, saying: “I support it . . . but it would require it to be in a manifesto and endorsed at a general election.”
6) Parthenon Sculptures
Burnham said in 2023 that the Parthenon Sculptures housed at the British Museum should be sent back to Greece with “no strings attached”. As far back as 2002, he supported a change to the law to facilitate the move.
He has now retreated from that position over the sculptures, also known as the Elgin Marbles.
He is a straw man
No Good At All”
The Wombat, Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 9:43 pm:
————————
The Wombat – ON has a soul?
newy boy
ON are soul
Or spellchecker does.
Thanks re NSW William, I was expecting the Liberals may take a hit from ICAC, seems not
Looks like I’m safe going back to not numbering a box next to Labor
HBG – what seems to be working electorally for Andy Burnham is a non-ideological determination to focus on tackling problems voters say they want fixed. I guess we’ll see how much slack UK voters will end up giving him for any eventual shortcomings in delivery, as long as they see him as sincerely trying to fix them.
The more I think about that Newspoll, the more i think it’s actually pretty worrying for the ALP. City house prices are generally tipped to keep falling for a year, at the moment the predictions being primarily in the same seats the ALP does well in. While a lit of younger voter’s in those seats will benefit, I do wonder if we’ll see more Dave Hughes-like phenomena amongst the metropolitan old farts.
meher baba:
Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 9:25 pm
Mavis in the last thread.
Yes, I think the voter prefers someone who stands for something. Unfortunately,
Starmer didn’t. The reform of indefinite sentencing is an issue that could cause him strife, but he’s taking a principled stance.
________________________________________________
newy boy: It’s good to see that Burnham is a true friend of Ukraine, despite the threats of Putin to target Britain. I’m off.
2026 is definitely one of if not the worst year for Labor (with South Australia being a huge exception). Hopefully starting in 2027 they’ll rebound again.
Thomas Brian Mutter
Probably gets worse before it gets better, if the economic uncertainty turns into a more negative economic environment.
The Wombatsays:
Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 9:52 pm
The more I think about that Newspoll, the more i think it’s actually pretty worrying for the ALP.
==============================================
National Party supporter genuinely worried for the ALP or just being a concern troll?
You decide
This polling is clear evidence we are a bunch of narrow minded selfish racist barnacles.
ALP, for Dog’s sake start winning the politics or we will all be going down the gurgler.
Newy Boy, we’ll see how he goes. Starmer set a very low bar
Overall, we live in interesting times
Night All
#PlentyIn28
The primary vote gap doesn’t look too concerning yet, but the recent movement with the last 2 polls that have been published today are a bit concerning.
Mavis – I completely agree. Good night to you, and to all.
Entropy, One Nation just had one of their most self destructive weeks on record, and on 2PP they are ahead of the ALP and potentially looking at winning an election. Worse, the polling also gives pretty good reason to think falling capital city house prices over the next year are going to hurt the ALP in many of their metro seats.
I’m genuinely starting to think One Nation could win an election, not a thought I’m very comfortable with, but surely less scary to me than yourself. Personally, I still believe Albanese only won the last election because he was up against a version of Lord Voldemort whose car kept running out of petrol. He was on track to lose. That vote, the same vote that smashed the referendum, is clearly coalescing behind Obe Nation.
“1) Council housing
But last Monday the government set out plans to allocate £10bn to 33 organisations that — while including some councils — were primarily housing associations.”
___________________
Over 10 years.
So about the same funding level as the Australian HAFF (to respective populations), to the same type of organisations as the HAFF, except it comes out of general revenue rather than a self perpetuating fund. I guess the touch of consolidated revenue washes away all sins.
Do I have to also point out that UK Labour is seeming talking about a donation cap higher than Australia’s?
The more I look, the more it seems like Andy Burnham’s big socialist revolution is to largely adopt Aus Labor policies.