The fortnightly result from the YouGov poll series now known as News24 Pulse has Labor steady on 28%, One Nation down one to 25%, the Coalition up two to 22% and the Greens up one to 13%. Respondent-allocated two-party measures give Labor unchanged leads of 53-47 over the Coalition and 56-44 over One Nation. Anthony Albanese is down a point on both approval and disapproval, to 37% and 55% respectively, while Angus Taylor is unchanged at 33% approval and 49% disapproval. Albanese’s leads on preferred prime minister narrow from 45-34 to 43-37 against Taylor and from 54-35 to 52-37 against Hanson. The poll also finds only 10% rate that multiculturalism has “not served Australia well”, with 37% rating it an unalloyed good and 46% good but “becoming a problem”. The poll was conducted last Tuesday to this Tuesday from a sample of 1519.
Also out is the fourth poll for the term from Spectre Strategy, whose primary votes of Labor 28%, One Nation 26%, Coalition 23% and Greens 12% differ from their April result only in being a point lower for the Coalition. Labor has a steady respondent-allocated two-party lead over the Coalition of 51-49, while that over One Nation widens from 52-48 to 54-46. Quite a few of the poll’s other indicators were improved for Labor after bad results in April, including Anthony Albanese’s personal ratings, which are up two on favourable to 33%, up four on neutral to 19% and down five on unfavourable to 47%. Angus Taylor is down two to 26%, up two to 34% and up eight to 33%, while Pauline Hanson is down two to 41%, up two to 16% and up two to 42%.
The Essential Research has updated its website with its monthly voting intention result, which has Labor up one to 31%, One Nation down one to 25%, the Coalition down one to 22% and the Greens up two to 12%, with the undecided component down a point to 4%. The pollster’s 2PP+ measure, which has been particularly sticky for Labor, now has Labor leading 48-47 after trailing 48-46 last time. Angus Taylor takes a hit on his personal ratings, down three on approval to 33% and up seven on disapproval to 44%, while Anthony Albanese is steady on 38% and up one to 52%. The poll had a sample of 1060 and I assume was conducted last Wednesday through to Monday. The Guardian reports further results on the salience of various issues and how the government has handled them, which should shortly be published along with other attitudinal results on the pollster’s website.
The fruitloop hamas loving greens haven’t budged an inch from around 12% forever.
That’s what you get for wanting a wall to wall gazapoolza rather than helping your
constituents to own their first home… 😡
Time differences suck but getting up to watch the 100m finals from Glasgow, hopefully the Aussies can get it done in both
The Greens at 12 in Essential is a nice lift, they usually have them on 10
Interesting the polls all seem to be evening out a bit expect Essential which has Labor above 30, feels like an outlier
It’ll be interesting to see how being named in ICAC impacts Taylor, if at all
One Nation’s primary vote has plateaued and Angus Taylor’s approval rating has crashed, according to the latest Guardian Essential poll.
The Guardian Essential poll, of 1,060 voters last week, found One Nation’s popularity was continuing to level off, attracting a 25% primary vote, down one point from June’s poll. Meanwhile while Labor’s indicative primary vote ticked up one point to 31% and the Coalition’s vote dropped further, down another point to 22%.
Struggling for political oxygen and attention amidst One Nation’s rise, the opposition leader has seen his own approval ratings plummet in the last month. In June, 36% of people approved of Taylor’s job performance and 37% disapproved, for a net approval of minus-1; but this month’s poll has seen his approvals drop three points and his disapprovals increase by seven points, for a new net approval of minus-12.
Taylor’s approval rating has crashed 16 points among men and four points among women, as well as by 20 points among people aged 35-54 and 13 points among those aged 18-34.
Anthony Albanese’s approval rating ticked up one point to minus-14, with 38% approving and 52% disapproving of his performance as prime minister. It’s the fourth straight month in which more than half of voters have disapproved of his performance.
Respondents to the poll also rejected Labor’s handling of the inflation and cost of living crisis, with a decisive 64% rating the government’s performance as poor; while just 16% of Australians rated it as good. Nearly 80% of voters said cost of living and inflation was one of the most important issues to them, far and away the most-cited issue among respondents. Next most-cited was Medicare and health (50%), crime (42%) and immigration (35%).
But only 39% of voters rated the Labor government’s performance on Medicare and health as good, with 30% saying poor; on crime, 22% rated Labor as good and 50% as poor, while 24% rated Labor as good on immigration and another 50% as poor.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/jul/29/guardian-essential-poll-angus-taylors-approval-rating-crashes-and-one-nation-support-plateaus
An Energy and Climate Change Ministerial Council (ECMC) meeting was held yesterday. According to the communique, data centres were the main topic of conversation:
https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/view.aspx?src=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.energy.gov.au%2Fsites%2Fdefault%2Ffiles%2F2026-07%2Fecmc-communique-28-july-2026.docx&wdOrigin=BROWSELINK
In short, Qld and the NT won’t agree to anything. For example:
Silver for Lachie Kennedy in an amazing 9.85, Fast Eddie running 6th
And
Bronze for Torrie Lewis in 10.99
Amazing times given the conditions, both Australian records
The future is so bright for Australian sprinting
World News & Politics Patrol:
Trump on Netanyahu opposing F-35s to Turkey: ‘Nobody tells me what we should be selling’: https://www.timesofisrael.com/trump-on-israel-opposing-f-35s-to-turkey-nobody-tells-me-what-we-should-be-selling/
Netanyahu orders new West Bank settler outposts, legalises existing ones after deadly clash: https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260724-four-palestinians-and-one-israeli-killed-in-occupied-west-bank-shooting
China in touch with Yemen’s Houthis to allow ships to sail through Red Sea: https://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-touch-with-yemens-houthis-allow-ships-sail-through-red-sea-sources-say-2026-07-28/
Pakistan accused of fatally shooting 30 unarmed protesters in Kashmir: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jul/28/pakistan-accused-firing-unarmed-protesters-kashmir-killings
People trapped in collapsed shopping centre after magnitude 7.1 earthquake shakes Japan: https://www.nine.com.au/world-news/asia/powerful-earthquake-japan-kumamoto-kyushu-20260728-p60je9.html
France orders 4,000 more evacuated as fires displace a third of a million across southwest Europe: https://apnews.com/article/europe-wildfires-france-spain-bordeaux-0880421447ebd9ad4d2e505b37c54181
European football’s governing body Uefa and Prime Minister Andy Burnham have criticised proposals from Fifa to seek private investment in its competitions, including the World Cup: https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/articles/c8xng9894z0o
Kentucky Gov Orders McConnell to Give a Real Update or Resign Already: https://newrepublic.com/post/213614/kentucky-gov-beshear-mcconnell-update-health-resign
Teacher arrested for repeatedly clapping in favor of data center opponents during city commission meeting: https://www.kcbd.com/2026/07/27/teacher-arrested-repeatedly-clapping-favor-data-center-opponents-during-city-commission-meeting/
Gen Z adults are staying away from churches because of Trump: https://www.lgbtqnation.com/2026/07/gen-z-adults-are-staying-away-from-churches-because-of/
Talarico leads Paxton by 5 points in new poll of Texas’ U.S. Senate race: https://www.texastribune.org/2026/07/28/texas-senate-poll-james-talarico-ken-paxton-july-2026/
Anthony Fauci grew increasingly annoyed by ‘obnoxious adolescent’ Trump as Covid pandemic spiraled, diary reveals: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/anthony-fauci-pandemic-diary-trump-b3022990.html
Trump Veers From Script to Mock Lindsey Graham at His Own Funeral: https://newrepublic.com/post/213637/donald-trump-veers-script-mock-lindsey-graham-funeral
Trump, 80, Falls Asleep After Mocking Lindsey Graham at His Funeral: https://newrepublic.com/post/213641/trump-falls-asleep-lindsey-graham-funeral
Newsom affair with friend’s wife resurfaces amid presidential run rumors: https://www.sfgate.com/politics/article/gavin-newsom-affair-ruby-rippey-22363904.php
Q: The future is so bright for Australian sprinting
Australia also won both the longest distance too…10,000m!
Morning all. The Guardian quote about the Essential poll appears to apply to the three polls announced today more generally, and to Bludgertrack.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/jul/29/guardian-essential-poll-angus-taylors-approval-rating-crashes-and-one-nation-support-plateaus
Three polls within a point or two of each other is significant IMO. Angus Taylor is the one who should be concerned. Though the Liberals are cautioned against making any Hastie decisions 😉
We haven’t seen the end of the NSW ICAC inquiry either.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/memory-failure-shakedowns-and-the-icac-trap-liberal-staffer-s-long-day-in-the-box-20260728-p60jau.html
One nation is now firmly baked in as a dangerous third party, permanently in the minds of voters getting free gains in the public awareness stakes.
A few months back lefties said one nation had peaked now an Everest plateau? WTF?
? Morons.
Inflation day today labors failure day each month as it is still in Population Ponzi scheme mode and slipping in polls.
Labor in huge trouble they cannot even do well on public opinion in health which I think they have done a good job in.
Meanwhile Trump derangement syndrome rages.USA economy booming Australia terrible.USA crime 100year lows, Australia a disaster.
USA hard borders excellent ,Australia 100 thousand visa overstayers labor government does nothing about and illegals boat people rock up to bars in northern Australia.
Comm games vic state labor gave 130 million taxpayers money to Scotland to host.Losers!20o billion state debt soon.
Yes good point Torchbearer, both 10,000m
A million gold in the pool, not unexpected
A few in the gymnastics as well which is great to see
Just a pity it’s not all unfolding in Melbourne / Victoria like originally planned
Ave, Bill Oddie.
https://www.smh.com.au/culture/tv-and-radio/for-he-s-a-bill-oddie-good-fellow-why-this-goody-was-the-best-20260728-p60j9o.html
Following up on a few posts from overnight:
1. The purpose of the $4 million pre-feasibility study into a WA oil refinery is to determine the location of a site for a subsequent feasibility study.
2. The Perdaman site that Albo visited yesterday will produce most or all of our urea.
3. The oil situation isn’t as dire as some media outlets make out, at least according to the IEA:
https://www.iea.org/news/iea-executive-director-statement-on-oil-markets (21/7/26)
These funerals of prominent people are an opportunity for all manner of conversation between the pews of mourners – at Lindsay Graham’s memorial two prominent leaders of Jewish heritage chat…
https://bsky.app/profile/savchenkoua.bsky.social/post/3mrq2gbsdmk23
Can’t see Angus Taylor making it through to the next election with these kind of numbers
The most powerful man in the world
Hard Being Greensays:
Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 7:28 am
Just a pity it’s not all unfolding in Melbourne / Victoria like originally planned.
_______________________
I would have loved to have gone and watched the athletics.
Sally Sara asked Dan Tehan re Angus Taylor getting a mention at ICAC, he didn’t miss in response saying Murray Watt had raised it but effectively he should be looking closer to home re the PM’s dinner with Felix Lee.
Touché
Trump, 80, Falls Asleep After Mocking Lindsey Graham at His Funeral:
Unsurprising given Trump posts social media all night long.. he has to sleep at some stage & those big macs for breakfast, lunch & dinner take some digesting.
Feel a bit weird this morning.
Coyote has finally caught the Roadrunner.
It’s going to free up a lot of time.
Let the billions in renewable investment flow to the other states SL. Queenslanders (and soon Victorians) can enjoy living next to noisy data centres and their associated gas turbines.
Can they do it again? Can Victorian Labor defy history, the media, and polls again to win a 4th term?
It’s going to be a fascinating few months TBM, lots of moving pieces including the One Nation factor, but yeah, they can win. Hopefully in minority with the support of the Greens
Great to see the move to get rid of GVT’s has started
Why are MRP’s so bad on independents?
Anyways, time for work. Enjoy your day folks
TBM
I would think the most likely scenario is a hung parliament with a minority Liberal government (probably not a formal coalition) which quickly becomes very messy as the PHON block disintegrates: rather like what happened with the Jacqui Lambie Network in the Tasmanian Parliament. This disintegration could occur within a matter of weeks following the election.
Assuming that Labor doesn’t experience an electoral wipeout, a PHON disintegration could provide opportunities for them to make lots of mischief and, under some scenarios, seize back the government benches.
But I would think Labor will benefit over the longer term if it stays in opposition for a term. Other than in the seemingly unlikely event that the Coalition were to win an outright majority of seats, Wilson has the odds of making a go of it heavily stacked against her. Probably just about the only thing that would help her would be a sense among the public that Labor are sore losers and won’t give her a fair go.
Anyway, that’s my view, FWIW.
– The DC Brief
There was a “Yes Prime Minister” episode about it:
https://youtu.be/TeW3FltKvGM?si=dK2YGBqbwYpfV_gz (~ 2 mins)
Every time Angus speaks, someone should cue this song;
He’s a real nowhere man
Sitting in his nowhere land
Making all his nowhere plans for nobody
Doesn’t have a point of view
Knows not where he’s going to
Isn’t he a bit like you and me?
Nowhere man please listen
You don’t know what you’re missing
Nowhere man, the world is at your command
He’s as blind as he can be
Just sees what he wants to see
Nowhere man, can you see me at all
Nowhere man don’t worry
Take your time, don’t hurry
Leave it all ’til somebody else
Lends you a hand
Taylormade
I always say. Be careful what you wish for………
Meher baba, my guess is the same as yours. I think we are generally probably overestimating the number of One Nation candidates elected, but a few will get up and a Coalition government will probably be dependent on them. And they will be shit.
I drew attention yesterday to coverage in The Australian on One Nation’s perspective on Victoria, which was essentially that they were struggling with the lack of local organisation, and didn’t think they could arrange a coherent campaign and lower house candidates in time for November. The coverage said the gossip was that One Nation would largely limit their intentions in Victoria to the upper house for this election, and their main immediate focus was going to be the NSW election, mostly because they just didn’t think they had enough time to get organised in Victoria
The overall picture was still of an absence of local organisational structures in Victoria (and NSW), a fear local branches would put up dude candidates, that they didn’t think they could appropriately vet candidates, and that basically the entire One Nation operation is still micromanaged out of head office in Queensland.
I don’t they’ll be much better organised for the NSW state election, they’ve had plenty of time to get their shit together in Victoria. The issue isn’t time, it’s lack of people who know what they are doing.
TBM
Now Essential shows ALP PV at or above 30%. Yesterday you mentioned that Newspoll seems to be an outlier.
Yes, we had outlier polls from Newspoll and Essential. But they are more reputable than most others.
I know ALP PV is stuck around 28% in other plethora of polls but we are not even half way through the term.
There are lots of ‘known unknowns’ and ‘unknown unknowns’ , which will unfold in future.
Victoria
Taylormade wishes for L-NP-ON government at federal and State level. 🙂
Labor finally introduced mandatory fuel efficiency standards in 2025, and they are modest standards compared to other nations. Now Australia is only the second worst in the world on this front (the worst is Russia). Way to go! Why didn’t Labor do this in the 1990s when the evidence about climate change was already clear? Failing that, why didn’t they do it between 2007 and 2013? Labor are laggards on decarbonising our economy. They have let us down in a big way.
https://theconversation.com/at-last-australia-has-fuel-efficiency-standards-but-theyre-weaker-than-they-could-have-been-230302
HH@6:40am
Shaking my head emoji.
This is the reason why we can’t have good things.
Before Landlord, Pegasus, HBG, Miskal say that they are providing information on why ALP is bad,
I repeat ‘careful what you wish for….’
A government will never be able to satisfy and convince all Australians. The reason why Australia had 20 out of 30 years of bad and horrible L-NP governments is because right-wing people were united in support of L-NP governments and left was/ is splintered in their support of ALP with carping criticism all along for something or other.
I gave up on Nicholas long time ago.
Citation required.
Are our standards worse than those of, say, Haiti? Niger? Kiribati?
Australia phased out leaded petrol around 1986.
Climate change wasn’t much in public awareness in the early 1990s, outside of those who had an interest in science. Scepticism was still a credible position. In 2010-2013 Labor was fighting 300 battles and probably couldn’t get to it. If they did the, the Greens would have joined the Coalition to reject them because they wanted their version of standards while the Coalition opposed everything.
Full post in the current VIC thread but here’s the (currently empty) page for new electoral bill.
https://www.legislation.vic.gov.au/bills/electoral-amendment-miscellaneous-matters-bill-2026
Asha
Ben Carroll reminded me of you. Patiently explaining his message. He has a face, which was/is under stress but might have been a handsome in youth.
His start of career is same/ similar to yours.
He seems to know journalists by first name. He is calling all of journalists by first name only.
He wants to put workers, front and centre of Victory Labor priorities.
Answering a few questions, that is not his priority. So he has his priorities set, whether one like its or not.
He said he wants to assure that community safety is very important to him.
Anti-Labor slaggers abound. Dozens of countries do not have any fuel efficiency standards. At all.
What have fuel standards got to do with climate change? The aim is get rid of it’s use.
I’m really getting sick of the bullshit.
ON faces some of the same challenges the Greens Party faces.
The main challenge is how to switch from being a political protest group that focuses on being anti-everything into a political party that aspires to, and could actually do, sound government.
It turns out that running a country, as opposed to whinging and whining self-piteously about everything, requires entirely different political skills.
ON’s Victorian empty chair campaign is a classic of its kind.
Easy being Liberal, yeh! HBG
From the previous thread:
Speaking of the “quality to Australian business executives”, I wonder how Gina Rinehart is feeling about the performance of her $1 billion SpaceX investment, right about now?
… or how she’ll feel when sell-offs of IPO buy-ins are permitted in just over a week or so?
(Hint: all the rises you see were in the first four days in June. It’s been downhill all the way since then.)
Other than ALP/ Labor, no other party does governance is its true sense. Maybe that is reason everyone whinges about everything ALP does because others do not have any record of proper governance.
Steve777says:
Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 9:46 am
……………………………………..
Australia phased out leaded petrol around 1986.
Climate change wasn’t much in public awareness in the early 1990s, outside of those who had an interest in science. Scepticism was still a credible position.
=================================================
The phasing out of leaded petrol had absolutely nothing to do with climate change. It was about reducing the health risks of lead pollution in exhaust fumes.
FMD that is the best the stooges have, either having labor outcome expectations set at struggling global south levels or nasty personal abuse.
MAGA levels of stupid devotion, North Korean media want to know if you have some time to teach them this level of pathetic grovelling and reality avoidance.
“In 2010-2013 Labor was fighting 300 battles and probably couldn’t get to it. If they did the, the Greens would have joined the Coalition to reject them because they wanted their version of standards while the Coalition opposed everything.”
For the love of god this is dumb… you cant say “well party x would have raised Y, even though they made no noise around y, but party a and b would have stopped this policy that was never discussed from being raised”
Brain rot of an extreme level…
“Anti-Labor slaggers abound. Dozens of countries do not have any fuel efficiency standards. At all.”
Address the point BW; why does Australia have such awful fuel standards when compared to similar countries?
North Korean devotion indeed…
I have a lot of time to teach you about grovelling and reality avoidance. 🙂
I don’t have much of an impression for people who think their way is the best way.
There seems to be an assumption by some here that a Liberal win in Victoria is a foregone conclusion now that Allan is gone. I disagree. Ben Carroll can see the writing on the wall and is saying he will adopt the same policies, or a version of them, that the Liberal’s are proposing. A Royal Commission into corruption, review of the viability of the Suburban Rail Loop, fixing the pot holes in the state’s roads and so on. They will still lose some skin, no doubt about that, but given the number of seats the Liberals/ON have to win I suspect they will now fall short.
Perhaps one issue the Liberal’s might gain traction with is the aboriginal voice to parliament which the Allan government has set up. It is not popular and it is one area where Carroll cannot just mimic the opposition’s policy. But in my opinion that will not be enough to get them over the line.
Watching and listening to Pauline Hanson last night Murray’s Sky program, where ON’s at became clearer. They have their candidates selected, and the public will know by Monday at least. Plenty of time to get voters to focus.
Pauline said she personally vets Senate aspirants, but not the Reps. I suspect that in the next phase of State and federal elections, ON is aiming at being in a position in the upper houses to block Labor, and, if the Liberals can form a government, to bargain with them in the upper house.
ON can tolerate its lower house members blowing up, but they need to have the trust of those in the upper house.