Click here for full display of South Australian election results.
Some very general observations on the result before diving into specifics. As expected, Labor appears to have won every seat in Adelaide except Bragg, where Liberal member Jack Batty achieved a surprisingly normal-looking result. That involved unseating the Liberals in Colton, Hartley and Morialta, which Labor had held at various points during its previous time in government, together with Morphett and Unley, which it hadn’t. In a great many other seats in Adelaide, the Liberals have been reduced to minor party status, in many places running fourth and in one place even fifth. My system is calling four seats for the Liberals and has them leading in a fifth, making them likely but not certain to retain opposition status ahead of One Nation, who are being called in three and ahead in a fourth.
Labor may not be entirely spared the One Nation lash though, which needless to say has been the other big story of the election. My own preference estimates suggest a knife-edge result in Light, which the long-serving and highly popular incumbent Tony Piccolo abandoned for an unsuccessful run in Ngadjuri, presumably to help Labor win both seats but in fact putting them at the risk of winning neither. The ABC’s preference estimates give Labor a slightly more comfortable margin of 2.0%, but we really won’t know until we get a fresh two-candidate count, which hopefully ECSA will conduct over the coming days. Also in northern Adelaide, Elizabeth and Taylor have also gone from being safe Labor seats against Liberal to marginal ones against One Nation.
My system is calling three and very nearly four regional seats for One Nation, though none are being given away by the ABC. However, it’s difficult to see the Liberals closing their substantial primary vote deficits in MacKillop and Narungga, and in neither case is the independent incumbent competitive. I’m a little less confident about my system’s call of Ngadjuri for One Nation, but Liberal incumbent Penny Pratt will undoubtedly have a difficult time overcoming Labor to make the final count, as she’s effectively tied with them on the primary vote at present and the minor parties whose preferences will decide the issue are mostly of the left. If she can’t manage it, my system is undoubtedly correct in projecting that her preferences will give the seat to One Nation over Labor.
I am just about giving Hammond to One Nation, where Liberal member Adrian Pederick has fallen to a fairly distant third, with his preferences set to decide the result for One Nation over Labor, each of whom have about 27% on the primary vote. Neither my system nor the ABC’s are writing off One Nation’s chances of deposing independent Geoff Brock in Stuart, where we’re both estimating margins for Brock of 4.5% and applying very conservative error margins due to the complications involved in projecting an independent-held seat that has gained territory in a redistribution. Brock would have to be rated a pretty clear favourite though.
There are two other seats that my system rates as in doubt. Heysen is rated a three-way contest between Liberal, Labor and the Greens: the latter would have to close a small deficit against Labor to make the final count, but my system gives them a solid chance mostly by giving them more preferences than Labor from One Nation, based on observation of preference distributions from the federal election. It’s a close run thing though, and should they fall short, ECSA’s notional two-candidate count shows Labor leading Liberal in two-candidate terms by all of two votes, although late counting will presumably favour the Liberals.
Kavel looks fiendishly complicated, with no candidate polling higher than 23.9%. That candidate is Labor’s, who my system is rating the favourite, but its preference assumptions wouldn’t need to be too far wrong to overturn this. ECSA’s two-candidate count shows independent Matt Schultz will win if he faces off against Labor in the final count, but to do that he will have to get ahead of One Nation, who he slightly leads on the primary vote. However, my system assumes Liberal will drop out before all of the above, which I think very likely, and has more of their preferences going to One Nation than to Schultz, which is little more than a guess.
Those who were following my results late last night may notice some changes to the projections, which are due not to late counting but my reconfigurations of who the last three candidates are likely to be and changes to preference estimates. The system has been dealing with combinations of candidates that hadn’t previously been encountered, and in some cases was splitting preferences evenly where it had no defaults to fall back on. I haven’t been keeping score, but I believe my system had been calling Kavel to Matt Schultz on this basis, and I’m certain it wasn’t calling Finniss for independent Lou Nicholson, as it’s now doing. It’s more than possible that I’ll unearth another anomaly or two when I review the matter in the morning, or more likely afternoon.
I’m not exactly sure what can be expected today in the way of counting, but around half of the early voting centres were evidently unable to complete their primary vote counts by the end of last night, and only a few reported two-candidate numbers. There has been a fair bit of talk about the impact of South Australia’s unique savings provisions that cause ballots that have not been fully numbered to be deemed to conform with preference tickets pre-registered by the parties in question. This is of particular interest due to One Nation how-to-vote cards that show only a number one for the One Nation box and advise voters to fill out the rest in order of preference, which some may have misinterpreted as meaning a single number constituted a valid vote for One Nation.
However, the effect of this in late counting will be minor. One Nation lodged multiple registered tickets with the effect that its saved preferences will divide evenly between Labor and Liberal. Only in the four seats where it was included in the notional two-candidate count (Chaffey, Giles, Schubert and Wright) are its own soon-to-be-saved votes currently withheld from a published count, and none of these are in doubt. Furthermore, the differences in the number of votes reported on the primary vote and two-candidate counts is not all that dramatic, so the number of votes should in any case not be over-estimated.
Before I finally turn in for the evening, my first look at the Legislative Council result. Only 219,769 first preference votes have been counted, which is barely a third of the lower house count total, so this must be considered highly preliminary. It currently looks very much like Labor four, One Nation three, Liberal two and Greens one, with one more seat in doubt. With Labor on 4.4 quotas and the Greens on 1.4, one would think their collective surplus of 0.8 quotas would mean a further seat for one or the other. That would add up to nine or ten seats for Labor in the new parliament along with two or three for the Greens, for a combined total of 12 out of 22. The Liberals would have six, and One Nation’s new cohort of three would be supplemented by former party member Sarah Game, whose Fair Go for Australians party was one of a number of right-of-centre concerns that accomplished very little at this election.
While this was a great result for SA Labor, I’m concerned that Malinauskas’ popularity is going to lead to Labor ignoring the reckoning of this result for their own side going forward, and that doesn’t fill me with a lot of confidence when I have no fucking clue what we’re in for with a far less popular Labor government in Vic in November.
I’m really worried that the takeaway from this is basically going to be that One Nation are an LNP problem, when we’re in the firing line if Vic and federal Labor gets complacent and is wrong about that.
This issue with Ramping, is they have thrown everything at it, but the goal posts has moved. If they hadn’t it would be abysmal now. Across the Western world the average time people need to be in hospital has gone up about a day. Doesn’t sound much individual, but in aggregate that a lot of bed days being used up. In addition the slowdown in investment in Aged Care facilities and closing of the others due to non compliance has caused a perfect storm, seeing 500+ people in a hospital bed who should be in an aged care home instead. As a result the state government is having to hire levels in hotel as a temporary ‘beds’ etc.
I noticed that they stopped doing a statewide 2PP count.
It looks like Liberals preference to ON has resulted in two ON members.
torchbearer@12:58 pm
Thanks! That makes good sense.
D & M
“Also, I hope that if mum does have a massive stroke, she does not linger for so long, and she hopes the same. But, it does happen.”
You should think about Advanced Care Directives. Doctors are terrible about initiating discussions about it. So much care is delivered in hospitals at the end of life which is not what the patient, family, hospital staff or health system wants.
I disagree with torchbearer. Labor (well really SA Health) is not looking at all the areas that are causing ramping. For some reason, Labor is anti-GP and is only making their lives worse. Primary care is mainly Fed but the antipathy between Picton and GPs is pretty open. SA Health has made not a single major reform in 4 years. They have been incredibly risk averse and decided just to just say they are building more beds and employ more doctors and nurses.
The public hospital system is a basketcase. Its fragmented, inefficient and has no leadership. Picton and Lawrence will be gone soon and NOONE will be sad to see the back of them. It sounds like Boyar or Emily Burke will be Health Minister. Burke would be fantastic.
It obviously hasn’t hurt them but SA Labor is a boys club. Mali, Turbo, Picton, Maher, Boyar, Szakacs and Champion have all the good portfolios. They need to promote some of the women like Rolls and Burke. They have lots of female MPs to choose from. And the women get Child Protection and Social Services which aren’t exactly driving the state.
From open thread:
Fastwheelssays:
Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 1:14 pm
Oh dear!
https://x.com/kenmcalpine/status/2035311277560746050?s=46
===========================================
So the SA election was a real downer for Downer, so sad.
@Arky – I doubt Ashton Hurn made a unilateral decision here. It seems her view was to preference One Nation candidates who didn`t have problematic views. I don`t know if you`re from South Australia but lumping all those candidates together in a grab bag of Australian nativism and racism just isn`t honest discussion. Making a general point here.
Some of the candidates made it clear they didn`t share Hanson`s views on Muslims, for one. There are regional candidates who are articulate and anti Labor and anti Liberal on a number of state issues before they want to scapegoat immigrants especially non white ones. If they want to, that is.
Sarah Game who got elected to the Upper House on a One Nation ticket thinks independently. For exanple, after Israel invaded Gaza post Hamas attack, she suggested that the Palestinian colours be lit up as well as the Israeli ones as both had innocents who were suffering because of conflict. She left One Nation – not because of anything to do with that but because she is a genuinely independent-minded person.
Now she`s getting sued by ex Crows footballer Chris McDermott because she told him although he was running with her group, that didn`t mean he could say whatever he felt like saying, whenever. Standard way political groups operate but Chris` overreaction shows why he`s never been in politics before and will never get the chance to again.
As a swinging voter who voted this time for the Purple and Pink Independents as well as Greens, I take politicians and parties on their merits. The Liberals also had candidates of Indian ethnicity in 3 seats I think – there was no way Ashton Hurn was going to preference any ON candidate in those seats who would have offensive views on immigrants/race/ethnicity.
And for years Labor at state and federal levels has owed its election to Greens preferencing. Even while doing what the Mali Govt has done – pretending for a while that toxic seas were fine, ripping out trees and removing natural cover that protects the ecosystem, concreting over public spaces etc so a minority of people who can pay for overpriced tickets or get them for free can enjoy sports that put money in the coffers of Saudi monopolies or pollute the environment.
Diogs, the Election is over you clown!! You lost, never mind, see you in 4 years.
@Monty –
“@Arky – I doubt Ashton Hurn made a unilateral decision here. It seems her view was to preference One Nation candidates who didn`t have problematic views.”
It was tactically dumb to help One Nation win seats that might make it the official opposition ahead of the Libs, it is nothing to do with individual candidates or their views.
As the leader, the buck stops with Hurn. If the party organisational wing makes a decision she disagrees with there’s nobody better placed to say so. Thus, she wears the decision.
Greetings from the Middle Kingdom. VPN on so I can see the results. As predicted the One Nation “cancer” has eaten the Liberals alive.
Their stupid decision to preference One Nation keeps the ball rolling and whilst some Labor seats could potentially be at risk, those remaining Tory seats in major urban areas should go to Labor as those “decent” (and there are some) Tory voters plump for Labor or Green and put Nation last. It happened in Queensland in 2001 after Queenslanders got a real taste of One Nation.
So a vote for the LNP is a Vote for One Nation. That’s poison in the Cities of Australia where elections are decided.
Madness from the LNP to keep injecting themselves with One Nation cancer cells. They will continue to be eaten alive then whither and die.
Ok I’m off to the Yangtze. The water is especially low. Interesting. Keep well Bludgers.
Mabwm says:
Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 11:38
Congratulations Mali on your thumping win. I would have liked a few green seats, but the main game is the fascists have 10 seats between them in a 47 seat parliament. A good day. Perspective my friends. Perspective .
………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
Mabwm always has a way with words.
He summed it up perfectly.
Perspective my friends
Perspective.
98.6 says:
Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 1:50 pm
Mabwm says:
Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 11:38
Congratulations Mali on your thumping win. I would have liked a few green seats, but the main game is the fascists have 10 seats between them in a 47 seat parliament. A good day. Perspective my friends. Perspective .
………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
Mabwm always has a way with words.
He summed it up perfectly.
Perspective my friends
Perspective.
中华人民共和国
He is indeed wise. And makes a good point. The progressive side of Australian politics must untie to defeat One Nation and their rag tag bunch of RWNJs.
Rebecca
Victoria could be a mess, it feels like its heading for a minority government
1. Jacinta Allen and Jess Wilson threatened in their own seats
2. Labor threatened by the Greens in the inner city
3. Labor threatened by the Liberals / Nationals in Melbourne’s east and rural areas
4. Labor threatened by PHON in the outer suburbs
5. Liberals / Nationals threatened by PHON in rural areas
6. Liberals threatened by Teals in the inner city
The only quiet front is the Frankston trainline.
Mabwm always has a way with words.
He summed it up perfectly.
Perspective my friends
Perspective.
DITTO What Upnorth says:
Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 1:50 pm
We all remember the One Nation invasion in Queensland.
It seems like the far-right have turned their Facebook and X rhetoric into actual votes, and seats in the House of Assembly. I’ll be curious as to what would happen in the upcoming Victorian Election if they can sustain the momentum that they have.
Upnorth, are there any Rakali in the Yangtse ?
Try as I may I still have not seen one in our local creek.
Ms 98.6 has seen one and others have videos of them but
I think they must see me coming.
They are native and perhaps protected, so I presume we can’t eat them like they do
in the Middle Kingdom
Arky – The idea that the parliamentary leader has paramount control over everything within the party is an idea that One Nation endorses. As much as the South Australian Liberal party has issues, they are internally democratic with a state level council/committee calling the shots.
And internal democracy is the thing One Nation will have to introduce if they wish to become a serious long-term party. All of the major parties in Australia (Labor, Liberal, National and Green) have some form of internal democracy where there are ways of dissenting and dispute resolution process (even if they flawed in many cases). Whereas within One Nation if you do agree with Hanson or she has an issue with you, members soon find they are no longer in the party.
@Rebecca – so you`re really worried for the chances of Jacinta Allen Labor, the same Jacinta who runs yet another toxic state government in Victoria? Quaint.
Admittedly she`s not the political thug that Dan Andrews was but the sooner the Vics wake up and boot this disaster out of power in the state election the better. Labor there need some years in the wilderness to get some decent people running their show.
I`ll give Jacinta one thing – she didn`t go on a dictator tour to the PRC to be surrounded by despots and tyrants, happily posing for a group photo in-between working out more questionable business deals. Dan fitted in well there in such horrible company.
What`s taking Victoria so long? Stockholm Syndrome seems a collective one there.
Rod H
“Diogs, the Election is over you clown!! You lost, never mind, see you in 4 years.”
Umm, I won. I voted Labor. Alice Rolls really impressed me.
But that doesn’t mean I cant pick a dud minister. The three biggest stuffups were all Health
1. Ramping
2. Using confidential patient information to attack patients
3. The algal bloom suspiciously slow response
98.6 says:
Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 2:14 pm
Upnorth, are there any Rakali in the Yangtse ?
Try as I may I still have not seen one in our local creek.
Ms 98.6 has seen one and others have videos of them but
I think they must see me coming.
They are native and perhaps protected, so I presume we can’t eat them like they do
in the Middle Kingdom
中华人民共和国
I have seen a few Ratus Ratus on our cruise vessel! Actually I’ve done the Yangtze a few times and just spent the last few days in Chongqing.
The Government has banned any fishing or hunting in the river. It’s the first time I’ve seen such a measure here. The river is quite low at the moment but that is usual for this time of the year. There are some villages that were flooded some years ago when the Three Gorges Dam was built that have re-appeared. Will be interesting to see.
Stay safe Bludgers – I’m off (in more ways than one).
Monty says:
Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 2:22 pm
too convenient by half.. no such thing as 1/2 pregnant.. you are either On or you aren’t
The Bragg result is somewhat surprising given the Liberal carnage everywhere else in the wealthier seats in the eastern and southern suburbs, with double-digit 2PP swings (and with One Nation only a modest presence, solid primary swings to Labor) in most of them. Waite, which Labor had never held before 2022, is currently projected at 72% Labor 2PP.
1 out of 3, Diogenes. Positive improvements have been made to the ramping situation, which is an issue Nationwide. Try looking at the facts. And have you noticed all those cranes above all of the hospitals? 2 was a stuff up, now blown over, what will be the next outrage? And the Governments fault, the Algal bloom! There has been plenty of action by the Government on this, try and keep up. I see Picton’s seat of Kaurna is about 60/40, the Electorate seems happy.
The Albonator says:
Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 12:40 pm
“When Fascism comes to America it will be wrapped in the flag and carrying a cross”…..what’s the Australian version of this I wonder?
———————-
When fascism comes to Australia it will be wrapped in yesterday’s newspaper and carrying fish and chips.
@BT – No surprises for me about Jack Batty holding Bragg. Believe it or not there are people who still resist the idea that our city has to become a replica of all the ugliness in cities of the world `because development`. Often speculation and tax shelters masquerading as beneficial.
For those who notice and care in Adelaide, we`re losing the uniqueness of our city to people who want to see towers everywhere and the character, quality and environment of the city can go to hell.
Liberal Jack Batty`s been one of the few MPs to consistently challenge the way in which developers want to flatten unique inner city suburbs especially in the east side off the parklands with the Mali World fans saying how wonderful all this concrete and bulldozing is because it shows `SA is building`.
There still are MPs who aren`t in the pockets of developers, developers who enjoy blocking off views of the Mt Lofty Ranges for the people – only those who pay exorbitant rates to live in an ugly tower incompatible with the environment are allowed to have that in Mali World. Shame Labor Shame.
As for Waite – Frank Pangallo was the wrong candidate. For example, Waite takes in Blackwood, hills suburb where there used to be a lot more Liberal voters but now has more of the environmental issues type of people. Women there are going to expect more from a Liberal candidate than good ol Frank.
I still think if he`s been put in David Gardiner`s old seat (Gardiner retired this election) he would have had a better chance. Still an affluent electorate but with more of the kind of people who liked his style.
Both Josh Teague and Jack Batty are thoroughly decent people who genuinely work hard for their electorates and the community at large.
We may not agree across the board but SA is richer for their contribution.
I am not surprised by Batty’s success in Bragg.
I will be surprised if Teague is not successful in Heysen.
Upnorth
As per Kos of Redbridge
“On the first-preference counts available from last night, the Liberals finished fourth in 17 seats and third in another 11. In two seats, Black and Port Adelaide, they finished fifth. That is a party being structurally displaced across an entire state.”
Absolutely Eston. Swinging voter here who has also voted Labor and Liberal before but it all depends on the individual candidates as far as I am concerned.
I was talking to Greens volunteers yesterday at my local polling booth and they said that a Labor rollover was bad news for the state – and these people would never vote Liberal. As we all agreed, the state where there is little opposition in the real sense of the world is not a good one especially in today`s limited attention span society.
Very real issues that people should be worried about and putting pressure on elected reps about get easily dismissed – it`s on to the next news item and what circus will be coming to town next.
In a different time, state govts would have been given a rough electoral ride when they were happy to play with ballooning debts, get away with flouting privacy laws, suck up to ME business cartels and thus destroy unique places, bulldoze places of beauty and replace with soul-less brutalist buildings, sit on their hands about toxic seas and widespread loss of marine life, giving public money to get Katy Perry here to the tune of a million, ignore native species being slaughtered by developers going outside the law etc.
Not in this state and a lot of that is down to the lack of opposition from the Liberals and the fact that the Greens still aren`t big enough to win a House of Reps seat and put some real pressure in the Upper House.
It is also because of the way the Labor Caucus functions to muzzle dissent – I`m pretty sure one of the reasons Susan Close is gone is due to not being able to act effectively and publicly about the toxic seas disaster.
https://kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2026/03/south-australia-postcount-2026-hammond.html
South Australia Postcount 2026: Hammond (and Ngadjuri).
Looking highly likely and very likely ON wins respectively which should get them to four. #savotes
B.S.Fairman @2.21
Hanson’s hero, the Tangerine Tantrum couldn’t understand Starmer deferring to his party room over support of the Iran excursion. I doubt, as you say that PH would have much in the way of democratic process in her party room.
More like the morning fight amongst the Cookers who took over EPIC in Canberra during Covid…everyone want things their way.
“Positive improvements have been made to the ramping situation,”
You’re kidding! It has doubled!! The cranes are there because Labor stuffed up by building the nRAH way too small (Mali has admitted that) and closed the Repat. Lets see how they go staffing those beds. Ask SALHN how they are going staffing their new mental health beds.
“And the Governments fault, the Algal bloom! ”
I’m not blaming the government for the bloom but they downplayed it, got the wrong organism and didn’t tell the public there was a neurotoxin. And tried to deny it was a toxin.
And Picton had a 10% swing against him on primary votes. I think there is a message in all that.
Dio is explaining in great deal how the ALP is going to lose the SA state election this weekend.
Dio, we have just seen the biggest win in S.A. Labor’s history!! The last thing anyone needs, and I am totally OVER, is disgruntled old-school Laborites. Look at the bloody scoreboard, mate.
Pi
I’m pointing out Health has been a shocker. And will continue to be a problem.
It’s just reality. Reality is the thing that doesn’t go away when you stop believing in it.
So all this ON cheering, ballyhooing and flag waving is for 3 or 4 seats. So much winning. I suppose you have to take what you can.
Dio, you’re whingeing about the same things you’ve been whingeing about since forever, and as can be seen by the absolute thumping that the ALP delivered this very weekend, it is mostly in your head. Maybe you should update your information feeds so that they don’t present so much whingeing material for you to fixate on. You seem to have become addicted to it. The ‘reality’ is gaining seven seats in a landslide election, the largest election landslide for the ALP in SA history, and that doesn’t go away because you don’t want to believe it.
Pi
When you are working in the health system, it’s kind of important.
I know you probably don’t care but seeing people die who should have lived because of a crap system isn’t something you can airbrush away because of “so much winning” by your footy team.
Like I said, you should update your information feeds. Maybe it isn’t the system that’s crap; You know… maybe it’s you. Once you get sucked into the whinge-vortex, it’s very difficult to get out. You just shift from one whinge subject to the next, because that’s what many media platforms serve you. Because it’s addictive.
pi
“Like I said, you should update your information feeds. Maybe it isn’t the system that’s crap; You know… maybe it’s you.”
I doubt I’m responsible for people dying who I had nothing to do with their care.
You’re responsible for your addiction to whingeing, no-one else. And the subject of those whinges will change as soon as your information feeds change it for you.
Pi
It would take someone who has no conscience not to point it out. Nothing improves if everything gets spinned into fairy floss.
This might be spoiling your happy day but that’s just too bad. Don’t read it. Don’t look at the ramping or waiting list figures.
All you provide is whinge. No solutions, just never ending whinge whinge whinge whinge whinge. And as soon as your information feeds program you to whinge about the new thing, you’ll whinge about that too. Because it’s addictive. Today is the day of the largest election thumping in SA history, but what are you doing? Whingeing.
Pi
There are lots of solutions. I have mentioned them on many occasions.
The first is to get a better health minister and CE. That will happen.
Promising to fix ramping was ridiculous. It also put so much emphasis on ramping that all the effort went into that (futile) and the rest of the system was starved. Lots of operating theatres even had to close because of lack of maintenance.
If you tried any improvement, it was never funded unless it was going to reduce ramping. This term I hope there is less emphasis on ramping and more on the rest of the system.
Dio wants 10 new hospitals, 10 new elder-care facilities and 5,000 more people to staff everything and he wants them NOW!! He could manage all that easy, just ask him. Anyway, I’m off to celebrate, commiserations Dio!! See you in 4 years (oh wait, it’ll be Albo next!)
We have moved way beyond psephology. Is the open thread any better? 🙂
Edit: I just checked and it is worse. As you were!
If you are old enough we’ve seen this before, 52 years ago Al Grassby lost his seat on multicultural advances.
Grassby’s actions attracted criticism from anti-immigration groups, led by the Immigration Control Association, which targeted his electorate in a campaign at the May 1974 election. Partly as a result, Grassby was defeated by the National Party candidate, John Sullivan, by just 792 votes. Grassby and his supporters accused these groups of mounting a smear campaign against him.
Rod
More staff and more hospitals isn’t the answer.
I think some of you might do well to look at the UK GE result – an absolute Labour landslide, a decimated Conservative party and a far right insurgent party “only” winning a few seats – and see where things have evolved to from there. I don’t think what happens here will be quite as disastrous – Keir Starmer is a charisma vacuum and the UK government seems to be allergic to doing anything about anything – but to me this result has a similar feeling of what looks on paper to be a good result with some concerning signs for where things are headed hidden within.
Also as an aside if you’re from interstate be careful extrapolating Elizabeth and outer northern Adelaide generally to being exactly equivalent to whatever your city’s main “bad” area is. I’ve worked in public facing jobs in both outer northern Melbourne and outer northern Adelaide and while they both have equivalent reputations and poor socio-economic indicators Elizabeth is notably a lot more Anglo. I can’t speak to other cities but if you want a Melbourne equivalent think less Sunshine and more Frankston or even the Northern part of Geelong.
Elizabeth was initially populated as a satellite city full of “ten pound Poms” and had very good soccer teams.