Nine Newspapers has results from what it is calling a “special” Resolve Strategic poll, presumably because it was commissioned specifically to gauge reaction to the Bondi shootings, conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1010. It is thus not part of the pollster’s normal monthly series, which typically targets 1600 respondents and presumably produced its final result for the year a fortnight ago. The field work period for that poll was from December 3 – the date first reports appeared that Communications Minister Annika Wells had spent nearly $100,000 on air fares to New York for herself and two staffers, thus initiating a period of bad publicity for the government concerning travel expenses – to December 7.
The latest poll finds only a modest decline in support for Labor on two-party preferred, their lead narrowing from 55-45 to 54-46. However, Labor is down three on the primary vote to 32% with the Coalition up two to 28%, with the Greens up one to 12% and One Nation up two to 16%. Anthony Albanese takes a substantial hit on his personal ratings, his combined very good and good rating down eight to 40% and poor plus very poor up six to 49%, and his lead as preferred prime minister has narrowed from 41-26 to 38-30. Sussan Ley’s personal ratings have also weakened, down three on very good plus good to 36% and up three on poor plus very poor to 40%.
Despite everything, 37% rate social cohesion in Australia as very good or good, compared with 30% for poor or very poor, with the balance undecided. Twenty-nine per cent rate the government’s response to the attacks as strong and 46% as weak, and 72% agree that there has been “a rise in racism and religious intolerance in Australia, including as a result of the Israel-Gaza conflict”, with only 9% disagreement. A further question, whose utility I have my doubts about, finds 55% rating that there has been more anti-Semitism than Islamophobia in recent months, compared with 13% vice-versa and 32% for unsure or both equally.
UPDATE: Further results have been published by Nine Newspapers today, including a finding that 76% want tougher gun laws, compared with only 6% for relaxing them and 10% for keeping them as they are. Respondents were given a list of nine “priorities for government” and asked to pick the two most important, with those at the law enforcement end of the equation (49% for preventing terrorist attacks, 45% tackling crime generally, 35% restricting access to guns) favoured over more abstract concerns (33% preventing radicalisation, 29% tackling anti-Semitism and 26% tackling hate speech).
nath says Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 9:18 pm
Collingwood supporters 🙂
Merry Christmas!
Looks like there is a newspoll in the Oz. Can someone jump in pls. {WB is probably still enjoying festivities somewhere}
I’m guessing it’s the 3 monthly aggregates.
Joseph is the world’s most well known cuckold.
Key groups shift from Coalition to Hanson: Newspoll: Coalition support has crashed to historic lows as Queensland voters and older Australians abandon the party for One Nation, a Newspoll analysis reveals.
bcsays:
Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 9:26 pm
nath says Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 9:18 pm
Boerwarsays:
But that was the last generation, and they are almost all gone and the few that remain are docile. We have become almost civilized.’
=============
Wow.
______________
Seventh generation convicts, wharfies and alcohol.
Collingwood supporters
Merry Christmas!
___________
Come here and say that 🙂
C@tmomma says:
Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 9:24 pm
After the ad break, she mentioned to the audience that that would probably be the last time she ever interviews him.
nadia,
He’s probably thinking, ‘thank goodness!’
Honestly, I’m really getting fed up with all those disrespectful bunch of lip flappers who think that because they have a microphone in front of them that they can be cock of the walk. Instead, they just sound like turkeys.
=========
She launched in to him about this video from the 1980’s/1990’s, which is circulating on social media.
It’s footage of Albo at a pro-Palestine meeting somewhere.
He refused to discuss it, stating he hasn’t seen the video, and today was not appropriate.
She continued with the questioning, and he basically said “right, thanks for this. I have to go.”
That was the end of it.
Here’s the video footage in question. Looks like “this” is going to continue over summer.
Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3gRL3AYDAZU
C@t,
Yeah, it’s pretty outrageous that these people in the media act that way. I mean for crying out loud, it’s Christmas Day and they want the Prime Minister to just sit there and take abuse from the Coalition-Media alliance and then be all uppity when he says “I’m not taking more of this, goodbye.”
Ghost Of Whitlam says:
Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 9:31 pm
Key groups shift from Coalition to Hanson: Newspoll: Coalition support has crashed to historic lows as Queensland voters and older Australians abandon the party for One Nation, a Newspoll analysis reveals.
===========
I think Holdenhillbilly & Leroy are amongst the last few posters here with Oz access.
Oh well, will just have to wait. I think it’s the 3 monthly aggs.
Kirsdarke says:
Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 9:33 pm
C@t,
Yeah, it’s pretty outrageous that these people in the media act that way. I mean for crying out loud, it’s Christmas Day and they want the Prime Minister to just sit there and take abuse from the Coalition-Media alliance and then be all uppity when he says “I’m not taking more of this, goodbye.”
=============
It’s a nasty “gotcha” style of politics being employed.
It started in the U.S. around 2010/11 with the Tea Party movement
It moved to the U.K around Brexit time, 2016.
It moved to France around the yellow vests movement time circa 2021.
In France it’s gone to “next level” with the personal stuff about the President’s wife.
Look’s like this similar style gotcha/visceral politics has come to Oz. Sad, but I think it’s the new sort of politics we can expect.
nath
You are one of the Dropkick Murphys, and I claim my 5 pounds.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qTx-sdR6Yzk
Queenslanders, older voters and those without university education are abandoning the Coalition and swinging in behind One Nation, according to a Newspoll analysis that shows young Australians continue to shun the conservative parties.
An exclusive state-by-state and demographic Newspoll quarterly analysis for The Australian, which compiles the results of polls conducted from September 29 to November 20, has revealed the extent of Sussan Ley’s battle to claw back electoral ground from Anthony Albanese.
While the Newspoll snapshot covers two months before the Bondi Beach terrorist attack and Labor’s expenses scandal, it identifies key electoral pressure points the Opposition Leader must focus on over the summer break.
The election battleground state of Queensland has emerged as a focal point for the Coalition’s loss of support, with One Nation’s primary vote in Senator Hanson’s home state soaring to 18 per cent across the final three Newspolls of the year and core support for Labor climbing to 33 per cent.
The Coalition’s primary vote has plunged to 27 per cent in Queensland, a state previously dominated at a federal level by the Liberals and Nationals.
Compared with the previous analysis of Newspolls from July to September, the Coalition’s primary vote in Queensland fell six percentage points, while One Nation gained eight points.
The latest quarterly analysis captures the period when core support for the Coalition sank to 24 per cent in October, the lowest level for the Liberals and Nationals since Newspoll first counted primary votes in November 1985. The final Newspoll of the year published in late November showed the Coalition remained stuck at 24 per cent, which helped Labor claim its equal biggest two-party-preferred margin of 58 to 42 per cent since its May 3 election victory.
The Newspoll demographics analysis shows the Coalition losing ground mainly among older voters and Australians without a university education, who are moving to One Nation.
This shift is compounded by the loss of younger voters and those with university degrees during Peter Dutton’s disastrous election campaign.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/key-groups-shift-from-coalition-to-pauline-hanson-newspoll-finds/news-story/8826bb431e5ebcd98764193fa481603c?amp
nadia @ #1459 Thursday, December 25th, 2025 – 9:40 pm
While true, it doesn’t mean that we have to assume the position and just take it without a fight.
Douglas and Milkosays:
You are one of the Dropkick Murphys, and I claim my 5 pounds.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qTx-sdR6Yzk
__________
those are amateurs. As if you would waste good chicken by throwing it on the floor. And no one under 70 wore festive hats.
nath
😀 Yes, for a self-described “American Celtic Punk band” it was a bit mild.
Thanks Holdenhillbilly.
So the LNP in QLD is in trouble, not terminal, but not flash either.
Time perhaps (possibly) for the Libs & Nats in QLD to split again – similar to how they function in other states.
Demography is destiny.
The latest Newspoll quarterlies are analogous to nath’s family gatherings at Christmas. All the cranky olds are for Pauline and the young for Labor.
I wonder if the shock jock trying to gotcha Albo is plann8ng on asking Lazy Susssan how she came to be chair of the fede4al parliamemt parliamentary Friends of Palestine group back in 2003.
(Not that there’s anything wrong with that)
nadia,
I think that it’s the LNP state government in Queensland that are keeping the federal LNP from sinking beneath the waves there. With the usual caveats about seperation of jurisdictions. I don’t know that a split is a good idea right now as a result.
Mundo,
That’s an interesting question. Due to the fact of Ley’s staunch support for Israel now, probably not.
Douglas and Milko at 9.40 pm
It would appear that the civilised stupor of Christmases in Warrnambool passed nath by. See:
https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/scienceshow/a-nod-to-dylan-thomas/6456492 or
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Znd7DwJBxE4&t=10s
The first version (from the Science Show) has a Welsh rendition.
For those wanting John Clarke’s own reading, it is toward the end (c. 25 mins in) of this show:
https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/earshot/john-clarkes-parody-poetry/8436588
C@t,
Given how Ley and McCormack’s performative outrage has played out in the past week, I reckon they’d best not continue like that for their own sake.
Of course I’d be delighted if they continue their cringey outrage and then come to the conclusion that their best option would be to double down on it.
May they go full Monty Python.
Christmas went great. My brother in laws, brother is transitioning. She seems much happier.
I flew a drone with my nephew in the park.
My niece and nephew are teenagers now and have adult senses of humour, so a lot of my drunken uncle jokes killed.
I ate ham and fancy cheese.
Anyone else watching Pluribus? It’s so great. Highly recommend you do if not.
I see Holdenhillbilly has posted the link and the main points from the text. Tomorrow morning I will post an image of the main Newspoll aggregate table, as it appears in the hard copy of The Australian, on my Bluesky account. I will share the link here.
nadia at 9.35 and 10.03 pm, Holdenhillbilly at 9.41 pm
Using those aggregate Qld figures, LNP down 8% since May 3 and Labor up 2% on primaries.
Even in 2007 the LNP beat Labor by 1.6% on primaries in Qld, so poll is worse for LNP than 2007.
G’day Dr.D., & good to see you back posting from time to time & Merry Chrissie to you too.
OK – This “get Albo thing” which started around the time of his wedding on 29-Nov (when someone leaked his honeymoon location…and the nightly cost), is starting to skyrocket a bit out of hand, me thinks. I thought it had settled down late last week but it’s still bubbling along.
What’s your take on Oz politics atm, if you have time to drop an opinion.
1. Who’se being this
2. Why, &
3. When will it calm down or stop.
My amateur read is that most Australian’s are tiring of the PM being targeted with gotcha stuff, yet for some reason it continues.
Blanket Criticism,
That sounds like fun! Glad you had a good day 🙂
Dr Doolittle @ #1474 Thursday, December 25th, 2025 – 10:26 pm
While true, there’s a bit to play out in Queensland before the next election. They’re due for a redistribution to start with, and there seems to be an indication that One Nation preferences will strongly flow back to the LNP.
Blanket Criticismsays:
Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 10:19 pm
Christmas went great. My brother in laws, brother is transitioning. She seems much happier.
______________
Funnily enough my SIL said I was transitioning into less of an asshole.
Hi Blanket
Glad you had a great day.
Agree with you about Pluribus.
Great show and the acting from Rhea Seehorn as the main character Carol Sturka is worthy of an award.
It’s on Apple TV for anyone interested, worth watching.
Kirsdarke says:
Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 9:46 pm
nadia @ #1459 Thursday, December 25th, 2025 – 9:40 pm
Kirsdarke says:
Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 9:33 pm
C@t,
Yeah, it’s pretty outrageous that these people in the media act that way. I mean for crying out loud, it’s Christmas Day and they want the Prime Minister to just sit there and take abuse from the Coalition-Media alliance and then be all uppity when he says “I’m not taking more of this, goodbye.”
=============
It’s a nasty “gotcha” style of politics being employed.
It started in the U.S. around 2010/11 with the Tea Party movement
It moved to the U.K around Brexit time, 2016.
It moved to France around the yellow vests movement time circa 2021.
In France it’s gone to “next level” with the personal stuff about the President’s wife.
Look’s like this similar style gotcha/visceral politics has come to Oz. Sad, but I think it’s the new sort of politics we can expect.
While true, it doesn’t mean that we have to assume the position and just take it without a fight.
====================
I don’t know how it can be avoided. I suppose via his media advisors.
It was about 10.25 am Brisbane time I went outside for a cup of coffee & turned the radio on before getting ready to head off to the in-laws. I was just assuming there would be a couple of Chrissie songs & a weather and traffic update. The radio presenter (Susie Elelman) then announced that she had the PM on line. The convo basically went like this….
S.E. – Morning PM, thankyou for taking the time out from your schedule this morning.
P.M. – Thankyou Susie & Merry Christmas to you and your audience.
S.E. – I’m not feeling particularly Merry at all PM with what’s transpired this past 10 days.
{This was the point he should’ve got up and walked out}
It then continued on with a barrage about his previous “pro Palestine” positions. He said he hadn’t seen the footage she was referring too. She then raised the temp somewhat with a comment along the lines of “so you deny it was you in the footage”.
After several more questions, he said I’m off, and that was the end of it.
I’ve never heard an interview like it before, but I understand the Sydney media can be a bit feral.
We get 2GB networked up here every summer and then we go back to normal reporting around Oz Day.
My face fell off listening to the interview. As I said, I was just hoping to get some traffic/weather updates and a few songs.
Don’t know how these sorts of interviews can be avoided though.
Kirsdarke at 10.30 pm
Unusually, there will be two federal polls in Qld between the last state election and the next one, 2025 and May 2028 at latest (next state election by October 2028).
Consequently, Dr Bonham’s “federal drag”, if it eventuates in Qld, will be postponed there.
Would any reverse drag from Crisafulli’s failures to federal LNP be significant? Possibly, but at the margins. As for Hanson/Barnaby preferences, will the Ugly Duo still be in play in 2028?
Focusing on a pair of egomaniacal has-beens at this stage of the electoral cycle lacks foresight.
@nadia at 10:50pm
Honestly I don’t know how Albo could have handled that any better.
He’s contacted for a Christmas Day interview, in which most people in Australia would be inclined would be something of a positive, unifying matter.
Then only a few minutes in the interviewer is like “Where’s the nazi gold, you donkey-shagger?!” and I don’t think there’s a possible “out” for that better than “I’m sorry, this interview’s over.”
And to hear that afterward they’re trying to be like “How dare he do that?!” it’s like, what the fuck is wrong with these people?
Another great Christmas almost been and gone. Hope everyone had a nice day.
Was in company with about 10 others across the road.
The terrible event last Sunday was not mentioned once in the general among the crew I was with…and some were quite strong LNP supporters.
I got the impression that people genuinely want to move on.
There was no open or implicit reference to Albanese and the government.
In reality, people are reflective mode about the murders but intelligent enough to recognise that such a complex issue is just not a simple matter of easy blame and easy fix.
I think the hostile right-leaning media may have overplayed their hand.
It was interesting that by yesterday, or the day before even, the feral West newspaper had “other” news to offer its dwindling batch of readers….at about the same time the East Coast press (other than the Oz newspaper) had move on…More or less at the same time as the flowers were moved?
Mundo:
Ley clearly stands for nothing except political gain. Just look at how quickly she went from her post-May-2005 conversion to centrism to happily caving to the right on practically every issue of import.
As always, the Liberals have decided to forget about difficult stuff like developing policy in favour of trying to ride a wave of outrage back into office, and Ley is enthusiastically leading the charge.
A song for Sussan: (and all the other shallow, oppurtunistic populists in public life)
“I’ll put down your disco,
And take your heart away.
I’ll put down your disco,
And take your heart away.
I’ll be born again.
I’m someone else,
I’m someone new.
I’m someone stupid,
Just like you.”
https://youtu.be/z4h_ILtWwsc?si=kdkKzHpIcmwHFJDI
nadia at 10.27 and 10.50 pm
Thanks for your merry self. Now, regarding ‘This “get Albo thing” which started around the time of his wedding on 29-Nov …’ I am barely qualified to comment on the media. I try to consume as little of it as possible while monitoring public opinion broadly, but here goes.
Many years ago, I found that Mr Bowe Esq. was performing, with the assistance of his many followers, a public service in enabling the efficient and informed reader to keep a broad update on Australian media reporting without getting infected, or at least perturbed, by the unsavoury and chilly details in much media commentary, as occurs if it is read first hand.
Sister Veronica Brady, an erudite nun, once wrote a book titled Caught in the Draught about the unhealthy effects of too much consumption of the Australian mainstream media. That was 30 years ago, before the steep decline of what ethics many in the media then possessed. Her book is only $8:
https://www.ebay.com.au/itm/276590595547?srsltid=AfmBOoo0bDxfNLOKBnxNPIQrM9K6wVy88-biE8NwNSc1uAZCpZjEEwxD
I think the “get Albo thing” has been going for well over 2 years, not just a month. Lars was a cheerleader of sorts, a year ago. Then, great Scott, the media suffered an electoral correction.
Most Australians have not thought about politics for months, and they won’t until something big happens in 2026 or 2027 that affects them.
Remember what Graham Morris, the brains behind the J.W. Howard artifice, said about the lonely job of an Opposition Leader. He said there are only a few, rare opportunities during an electoral cycle for the LOTO to be really noticed by the marginal voters who count most.
Now, during the summer holidays, which for the senior bods in the media began over a week ago, is certainly not a time for Ms Ley to get noticed. Why is she so hyped up? Because she knows her colleagues think she is on borrowed time. A sad case of extreme anxiety overload.
James Walter, Prof Emeritus at Monash, a leading expert on Australian PMs, has stressed the growing personalisation of Australian party political leadership. For his output see:
https://research.monash.edu/en/persons/jim-walter/publications/
The trend is a long one, but Walter thinks it has become more entrenched in the past 20 years.
The point is this. It’s very unlikely that, if the Liberals survive as a non-rump party by 2028, they will go to the next election with Ms Ley as their leader. The fact that Frydenberg, beaten by an educated woman and lacking the guts to run again against her, is reportedly (according to Ms Ferguson on 7.30) being talked about as a saviour shows you how lost the Libs are. The choice of the next Lib leader will presumably have occurred by December 2026. Then it will still be probably 16 months until the earliest probable date for the next election, March 2028.
When will the gotcha warriors in the media calm down or grow up? Never. That was the lesson of the 2022 campaign, with Bandt’s “Google it” remark. The journos laughed at it, then forgot.
When will there be a contest again in Australian federal politics? Unlikely in 2026. If economic conditions worsen, there is a possibility in 2027, but far from certain. As the finance spruikers would put it, the future risks for the Libs look to be on the downside for the foreseeable future.
When will Albo retire? Answer given by Tanya Plibersek – not on the electoral horizon. Many Labor Party members are disappointed in Albo, despite his pragmatic success, because he tends to avoid some big or topical but difficult issues (AUKUS, saturation gambling etc), but he has as much power viv-a-vis the Labor caucus as J.W. Howard had regarding the Liberal one.
While John Clarke and Bryan Dawe waxed lyrical about poor Peter Costello missing out on his turn on the top dog’s bike, nobody in the media seriously talks about any challenges to Albo.
So, despite the large drop in the Labor and Liberal primaries since 2007, it is still largely a two party system, and when one party is in perpetual crisis, the media can’t injure the other one.
Keir Starmer has shown that poor leaders can lose large majorities readily, but the Australian electoral system is not the primitive UK type. It is possible that the Libs have yet to bottom out.
Kennedy Center Christmas Eve jazz concert canceled after Trump name added to building
Chuck Redd, who has toured with Dizzy Gillespie and Ray Brown, said he called off the event he has presided over since 2006 after hearing of the building’s name change.
https://www-nbcnews-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna250894?amp_gsa=1&_js_v=a9&usqp=mq331AQGsAEggAID#amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&aoh=17666671762487&csi=0&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&share=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nbcnews.com%2Fpolitics%2Ftrump-administration%2Fkennedy-center-christmas-eve-jazz-concert-canceled-trump-name-added-rcna250894
“A planned Christmas Eve jazz concert at the Kennedy Center, a holiday tradition dating back more than 20 years, has been canceled. The show’s host, musician Chuck Redd, says that he called off the performance in the wake of the White House announcing last week that President Donald Trump’s name would be added to the facility.
As of last Friday, the building’s facade reads The Donald J. Trump and The John F. Kennedy Memorial Center for the Performing Arts. According to the White House, the president’s handpicked board approved the decision, which scholars have said violates the law. Trump had been suggesting for months he was open to changing the center’s name.
“When I saw the name change on the Kennedy Center website and then hours later on the building, I chose to cancel our concert,” Redd told The Associated Press in an email Wednesday. Redd, a drummer and vibraphone player who has toured with everyone from Dizzy Gillespie to Ray Brown, has been presiding over holiday “Jazz Jams” at the Kennedy Center since 2006, succeeding bassist William “Keter” Betts.
The Kennedy Center did not immediately respond to email seeking comment. The center’s website lists the show as canceled.
@Ven
I heard from a commentator that it’s a 50/50 chance that Trump will try to add his name to the Lincoln Memorial next.
Honestly I hope he does do that, just because of how funny it would be in how the MAGA USA has fallen and they think they would do well with a King after all.
@ Kirsdarke:
Such a pity that G-d is a deadbeat Dad! Seriously: No child support, no custody requests, no visits….
Only a matter of time until he tries to have his face carved into Mount Rushmore.
Matt says Friday, December 26, 2025 at 12:39 am
I’m not sure about the no visits part. Plenty of young virgins have claimed that he visited them.
Asha says Friday, December 26, 2025 at 12:52 am
I think there was talk early in his first term. There’s also a bill before congress (introduced by Rep Anna Paulina Luna from Florida): https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/792
Although some say it can’t be done: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7UMJgbofKGo
The Australian has come out swinging wildly on Boxing Day !
The Daily Telegraph somewhat circumspect!
The other mob seemingly reading the room!
While Pauline is beaming.
The England cricketers are happy with any distractions and despite the support of the “balmy army” can likely expect a barrage despite the outcome of this Melbourne Boxing Day Test.
Perhaps some sections of the media are role playing the “balmy army” with their determination to be significant.
If all the Jews in Australia swing hard to the coalition it won’t have any noticeable affect on the polls. All of the Jews I know (and I know a few) already lean very heavily in the conservative direction anyway. And those are the non-practicing moderates Jews. These individuals have also have told me that Jewish people who are more religiously conservative than them tend to swing even harder in that conservative direction.
The real issue is the media capitalising on the Jewish communities pre-existing dislike of Labor and love of the Coalition and spinning that pre-existing sentiment, into them being an ethnic group who has been recently maligned by Labor and Albanese, which is what the media are already very transparently trying to do. I don’t reckon it’ll work, as long as Labor don’t panic and capitulate to the lobbyists, which is what they always fucking do and what they sadly seem like they might fucking do again.
Listening to Jillian Segal, doing literalluy anything she says or giving her any power at all is truly insane. She is about as biased a bad faith actor as biased bad faith actors could possibly be.
A merry Boxing Day to all. Also: new thread.
Morning bludgers
Who is Susie Eleman?
Does anyone have access to The Australian? Who conducted this polling? “More than 74% of voters in NSW and Queensland support a crackdown on extremist ideology ahead of tightening gun laws.” What was the question asked? How many participants? For what client? It sounds resoundingly dodgy.
Morgan, usually fairly objective, has created a misleading, inane, and silly result by using a loaded and leading, totally amateurish question: ‘Who do you blame for terrorism’ and ‘Why do you say that?’ With predictably misleading results. It’s as silly as asking, “What makes water wet?” As a (not so) young social research student, if I’d included a question like this in a project, I’d have been given an F and my tutor would have written something scathing underneath.