The Brisbane Times reports state voting intention results from Resolve Strategic for Queensland, which are seemingly being published bi-monthly now, combining the Queensland samples from two of the pollster’s monthly national surveys. This series has lately been reporting what might be thought a surprisingly encouraging result for Labor, given the Hinchinbrook by-election result (on which more below): the Liberal National Party is on 33% (steady), Labor 30% (down two), the Greens 11% (up one) and One Nation 9% (steady). David Crisafulli’s “net likeability” is down a point to plus 16, while Steven Miles’ maintains an improving trend in increasing seven points to plus 5. Crisafulli lead as preferred premier narrows sharply from 39-22 to 35-34. The report says the sample was 869, but a note under the accompanying graphic says 803.
The count for the Hinchinbrook by-election has been concluded, with Wayde Chiesa of the Liberal National Party prevailing over Mark Molachino of Katter’s Australian Party by a margin of 3.7%, a swing to the LNP of 16.9% compared with the October 2024 election result. The LNP primary vote was up 13.0% to 41.2%, with the KAP down 16.3% to 30.1% and Labor down 5.7% to 8.4%.
In further Queensland news, Attorney-General Deb Frecklington announced yesterday that the government would introduce electoral law legislation, which would not at this stage encompass the promised return to optional preferential voting. It proposes:
• Winding back the ban on property developer donations introduced by Labor in 2018 so it applies only to local government elections. Such had been the recommendation of the Crime and Corruption Commission in 2017, but the previous government extended the ban to state elections.
• Quadrupling donation caps presently amounting to around $4800 to a party and $7200 to a candidate by having them apply over a financial year rather than a four-year period.
• Extending the disqualification on prisoners voting from those serving terms of three years or more to one year or more. This is interesting in that an attempt by the Howard government to extend the existing three-year disqualification at federal level to all prisoners regardless of their sentence was overturned by the High Court in the case of Roach v Electoral Commissioner (2007).
• Removing the requirement for the Electoral Commission of Queensland to oversee preselection ballots, which in the estimation of the Courier-Mail “applies uniquely to the LNP as Labor directly appoints candidates through its union-based factions”.
Can we please keep this thread relevant to Queensland state politics. The open thread for general discussion is here.
Ahh, OK. I was correct on the gov’t “not bringing in OPV”…at this stage.
Mavis – good you fired off those emails. We’ll see what comes of it next year.
Not surprising that Crisafulli chickened out on that promise about reverting voting to OPV.
Although I can’t absolve Queensland Labor of being completely innocent of changing voting methods when it suited them, like in 1944 when they switched from Contingency Voting (a prototype Optional Preferential vote) to First Past the Post and again in 2017 when they restored Full Preferential Voting.
But circumstances change, I suppose.
Ah yes, letting more money flow into politics from big business (who are bound by fiduciary duty to only donate when they reasonably expect to profit in return) is exactly the cure for the ills of democracy. Good job, Frecklington!
Back to the bad old days of Queensland politics, developers providing money for favours?
And at the same time the Renewables target gone, so they can develop more coal and gas and up go Australian energy prices, just what Albanese government needs.
And clmate change who cares… bushfires, floods, droughts and scorching killer heatwaves oh no their not happening…
Crisafulli is going to be a one and done. You can only fool the people so long. It’s a shame the people of Queensland fell for it in the first place.
So, the One Nation vote is steady on 9% … in Queensland.
Perhaps those dozens of new branches and thousands of new members touted by Freedom stem from a cunning Hansonite plan to infiltrate inner city electorates in Sydney, Canberra and Melbourne. Then again, perhaps not.
Actually why is PHON so ‘low’ in Queensland, given the hype federally and other states?
Could it be the Qld voters know the template? Bunch of nobodies get in, get grumpy at Pauline or whoever (someone not even in their parliamentary chamber) telling them what to do, start drinking their own Kool-Aid that it is their personal popularity…and then the PHON parliamentary representation falls away into a rabble of nobodies arguing.
Qld has seen this many times before.
I even wonder if this is Reform UK – seen similar signs. People with no experience in politics or worse, no experience in any responsible position. People with no staying power for when the pushback starts. People with no loyalty.
I must have imagined those QEC conducted Labor pre-selection ballots I have voted in.
The LNP must have completely stuffed up the PR on the property developer changes – I had assumed it applied to all levels of government based on what I saw reported.
If they’d communicated strongly that it DIDN’T apply to local government they could have blunted the negative impressions generated.
Although I suppose with Bleijie’s love of the call-in powers that might be moot.
Tim Nicholls is a shocker as Health Minister, being very effectively shadowed by Mark Bailey.
Crisafulli shows all the signs of being Campbell Newman Part 2.
Steven Miles is probably a decent bloke, but I doubt he’ll be Labor leader by the time of the next state election – Cameron Dick would seem to be the best out of that bunch, but he’s in the wrong faction. So you’d have your money on Shannon Fentiman instead, because she’s from the left and their factional bosses are all powerful in the QLD ALP