Nothing to relate over the past week in the way of federal polling, but past time nonetheless for a new post. We do have, courtesy of the Macquarie University Housing and Urban Research Centre, a deep dive into attitudes towards housing policy from before the May election, drawn from the Australian Cooperative Election Survey conducted by Accent Research. It finds only 16% were satisfied with the Albanese government’s housing policies, with 34% dissatisfied and 32% neither, although the high level of consistency of these results by age group, housing tenure and property investment status suggests the dissatisfaction takes on a variety of forms. On the causes of the problem, the report offers the perhaps unsurprising finding that “older and right-leaning voters” blame immigration, while “younger and progressive voters identify high interest rates, high prices and low wages”.
DemosAU does have a state poll for Queensland, which comes too soon after last week’s Resolve Strategic and RedBridge Group polls to get its own post (on a semi-related point: still no date for the Hinchinbrook by-election). In contrast to those two, it finds David Crisafulli’s Liberal National Party government well on top, despite a surge to One Nation at the expense of both major parties. The LNP has a two-party lead of 54-46, essentially the same as the 54.2-45.8 election result last year, from primary votes of LNP 37% (down by 4.5%), Labor 29% (down by 3.6%), Greens 12% (up by 2.1%) and One Nation 14% (up by 6.0%). Crisafulli leads Steven Miles 44-23 on preferred premier. Further questions find the government highly rated for handling of the Olympics but rather a lot less so for housing and cost-of-living, which also register as the two most salient issues facing the state. Extensive demographic breakdowns are available in the full report. The poll was conducted October 13 to 20 from a sample of 1006.
UPDATE (Essential Research): Had I held back a few hours I would have had a new poll from Essential Research to lead with: it has Labor up a point to 36% and the Coalition down one to 26%, and the ongoing One Nation surge pushing them well clear of the Greens, respectively up two to 15% and down two to 9%, with a steady 6% undecided. Labor holds a 50-44 lead on the 2PP+ measure, in from 51-44. Anthony Albanese is up a point on approval to 45% and down two on disapproval to 44%, while Sussan Ley is steady on 32% and up two to 43%.
A question on who should lead the Liberal Party produces indecisive results, with 42% professing themselves unsure and 12% favouring “somebody else” over six designated options: 13% for Sussan Ley, 10% for Andrew Hastie, 10% for Jacinta Namatjira Price, 7% for Angus Taylor, 4% for Allegra Spender and 3% for Tim Wilson. Forty-eight per cent felt the party should adopt more progressive positions, 24% more conservative.
Albanese’s meeting with Donald Trump was rated good for Australia’s long-term interests by 37%, bad by 18% and indifferent by 26%. Support for net zero by 2050 is at 44% with 27% opposed, and a monthly national mood reading improves a bit after a sharp downturn last time, with right direction up a point to 35% and wrong track down four to 46%. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1041.
24%
New thread coming up !
Yeah, 24% Coalition Primary Vote, Ley’s pretty much gone.
All these Murdoch freaks ranting about how the Coalition needs to be more like Trump and Farage, well, Labor’s vote seems to be holding up at least.
Tens of thousands of ultra-Orthodox Jews protest military draft in Jerusalem
The draft exemption given to the ultra-Orthodox has caused deep divisions in Israeli society, emerging as the most serious threat to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government.
https://www-nbcnews-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna241055?amp_gsa=1&_js_v=a9&usqp=mq331AQGsAEggAID#amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&aoh=17620695351143&csi=0&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&share=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nbcnews.com%2Fworld%2Fmiddle-east%2Ftens-thousands-ultra-orthodox-jews-protest-military-draft-jerusalem-rcna241055
“Tens of thousands of ultra-Orthodox men covered the entrance to Jerusalem in a sea of black Thursday to protest plans to draft them into the military, singing, clapping and holding signs saying they would rather go to jail.
The current draft exemption given to the ultra-Orthodox has caused deep divisions in Israeli society, emerging as the most serious threat to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government.
The embattled leader relies on ultra-Orthodox parties to keep his government limping along, but their attempts to pass a law to permanently exempt ultra-Orthodox Israelis from military service could sink his government and spark early elections.
Israel shut down the major highway at the entrance to Jerusalem and deployed more than 2,000 officers, as tens of thousands of ultra-Orthodox, known as haredim, thronged the streets. One teenager died at the largely peaceful protest after falling from a building under construction next to the protest, police said.
The protest largely crippled the city, with roads closed and public transportation halted by the massive crowds.
Roughly 1.3 million ultra-Orthodox Jews make up about 13% of Israel’s population and oppose enlistment because they believe studying full time in religious seminaries is their most important duty.”
nadia88says:
Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 8:13 pm
Gosh 24%.
It’s the end of her.
Thanks Upnorth
中华人民共和国
No problem Nads. Yeah looks like Deadwoman Walking.
Can’t see how the Coalition stays together, the electorate supports net zero and Liberal voters are comfortable supporting Teals, Greens and Labor. Ley has allowed the right far too much freedom and has to start taking risks to stamp her leadership, it’s far better to go down swinging.
Bludgertrack will be interesting.
Anyone got The Greens and Teals/Indies percentages?
Ley’s Libs need to turn teal.
New thread.
Landlord,
Better to die on your feet than live on your knees.
Re the Liberals’ current position: it’s worth bearing in mind that on each occasion that the Liberals have moved from opposition to government federally, it was on the back of problems which the ALP government they replaced had generated internally. In 1949 it was Chifley’s attempt to nationalise the banks; in 1975, the general administrative chaos of the Whitlam government; in 1996, Keating’s personal unpopularity; and in 2013, the Rudd-Gillard-Rudd nonsense.
Mr Albanese appears to have learned from that history, and seems to be scrupulously avoiding comparable mistakes. He might, of course, come up with some new ones of his own, but as of now it doesn’t look as if the coalition can rely on the ALP government offering them a free ride back into government.
The Coalition will be split assunder as right wing voters scatter all over the place.
How low can the Coalition go?
The soul-searching of Liberal MPs and supporters will transform into a state of abject fear after the Coalition crashed to a primary vote of 24 per cent in the latest Newspoll.
Those who believed it couldn’t get worse than the 31.8 per cent primary vote achieved by Peter Dutton at the May 3 election have been proven delusional.
The Australian has tracked the bleeding of conservative votes since the first post-election Newspoll in July, which showed the Liberals and Nationals plunging to a primary vote of 29 per cent. That was the lowest level of support since Newspoll first counted primary votes in November 1985.
Damaged by the loss of talented parliamentarians and infighting over net-zero emissions by 2050, climate change and migration, the Coalition’s fortunes continue to sour. Core support fell again to 27 per cent in September.
Many Liberals believed that was likely rock bottom. Surely, they said, there was no chance the Coalition would continue its slide. They were wrong.
A Newspoll of 1265 voters conducted between Monday and Thursday last week shows the Coalition’s primary vote has fallen from 28 to 24 per cent in the past month.
The biggest winner in the Coalition’s downfall is Pauline Hanson’s One Nation.
Since winning 6.4 per cent at the election, Newspoll shows One Nation’s primary vote rising to a record 15 per cent, which exceeds the previous high of 13 per cent in June 1998.”
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/soulsearching-turns-to-abject-fear-for-sussan-ley-and-the-coalition/news-story/353872cfaebea930dd61ae615280819f?amp
“The Labor leader holds a commanding 54 to 27 per cent lead over Ms Ley as to who voters believe is the better Prime Minister. ”
They should stop calling Liberal MP’s.
OK, I had to type it into Google Translate.
Polish: “I always wonder what drives women to such a state”.
Quite probably generated or modified by AI.
nadia88:
Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 8:13 pm
[‘Gosh 24%.
It’s the end of her.
Thanks Upnorth’]
The problem is: who would replace her? I think Hastie has done his dash after opposing paid paternity leave following a stillbirth. Then there’s Taylor, who probably thinks it’s a poisoned chalice at this point in the electoral cycle, coupled with his less-than-stellar performance as Shadow Treasurer. The only other viable alternative is Tehan, who seems okay but has a charisma deficit. To add to their woes, the Coalition is in danger of collapsing after the Country Party voted against net zero by 2050.
SL @ #1728 Sunday, November 2nd, 2025 – 4:28 pm
The Orica chlorine plant at Botany is part of the same arrangement. It’s called ‘load shedding’.
Albanese systematically hanging those opposite on positive things they had previously said about… net zero. I am not sure how the Senate is going but QT in the House is a political slaughterhouse.
A very unlikely ectotherm, IMO.