Donation drive

This site likes to be sparing with its pleas for contributions, with posts like this one normally appearing at the end of every second month. A federal election, however, is a moment of sunshine in which hay must be made, so this mid-campaign entry is here to supplement the one that would fall due on election eve in any case. To make the case that I’ve been earning my keep, I need only point to the fact that I have thus far met my performance indicator of one fresh federal election post each day since the campaign began a fortnight ago, as well as promptly updating the BludgerTrack poll aggregate as new results come to hand.

Naturally there will be no let-up over the next three weeks, culminating in the live results feature that will run on election night and beyond — some sense of which can be gleaned from the corresponding effort for the Western Australian election. This encompasses a three-candidate prediction model that will come into its own in seats where support for Labor, Liberal and Greens and/or independent candidates is finely balanced, of which there are now more than ever. Another new feature added late in the game during the WA count is a live results map that will start out white and then colour in as seats report, in lighter or darker shades to indicate who’s ahead and which seats have been called. I hope to develop further features for this in time for May 3.

If any of that sounds worthy of a contribution, these can be made through the “become a supporter” buttons that appear at the top of the site and at the bottom of each post.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.