The fortnightly Essential Research poll has all the main players up on the primary vote, with the Coalition up two to 36%, Labor up one to 32% and the Greens recovering the three points they lost last time to return to 13%. Room is made for this by a two-point drop in the undecided component to 4% and a three point drop for One Nation to 5%. The pollster’s 2PP+ measure has Labor and the Coalition tied on 48%, with the balance undecided, after the Coalition led 47% to 46% last time. The monthly leadership ratings record little change for Anthony Albanese, steady on 43% approval and down one on disapproval to 47%, while Peter Dutton is down three on approval to 41% and up one on disapproval to 42%.
An occasional reading of national mood records a slight improvement on April, with 34% thinking the country headed on the right track, up two, compared with 49% for the wrong track, down one. Also featured are a series of questions on artificial intelligence and one on the impact of large technology companies, with 47% thinking them mostly negative for young people compared with 19% for positive, and 68% supporting an increase in the age limit on social media platforms from 13 to 16. Sixty-two per cent supported making hate speech a criminal offence with only 16% opposed, and 50% supported a weekend a month of national service for eighteen year olds consisting of paid full-time military placement, with 25% opposed, reducing to 46% and 26% for unpaid volunteer work. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1160.
The weekly Roy Morgan poll reverses a dip for Labor last week, their primary vote up two-and-a-half points to 31% with the Coalition down a point to 36%, the Greens down one to 14% and One Nation down one-and-a-half points to 4.5%. Labor now leads 52-48 on the respondent-allocated two-party preferred measure, after trailing 51.5-48.5 last time. The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1579.
Also out this week is the Lowy Institute’s annual poll focusing on international issues, which affirms last year’s finding that Japan, the United Kingdom and France are trusted to act responsibly in the world, the United States, India and Indonesia a little less so, and China and Russia not at all. Joe Biden’s net rating turned negative, 46% expressing confidence, down thirteen on a year ago, and 50% lack of confidence, up twelve. Enthusiasm for Volodomyr Zelenskyy was off its earlier high, confidence down twelve to 60% and lack of confidence up seven to 29%, though this notably compares with 7% and 88% for Vladimir Putin, while Xi Zinping was at 12% and 75%. Fifty-six per cent rated the government as doing a good job on foreign policy compared with 41% for poor. The survey was conducted March 4 to 17 from a sample of 2028.
JWS Research’s quarterly-or-so True Issues issue salience report finds little change in the most important issues since February, with cost of living one of five issues nominated by 80% of respondents, well ahead of health on 58% and housing and interest rates on 55%. Nineteen per cent rated that the economy was heading in the right direction, unchanged on February, compared with 40% for the wrong direction, up one. An index score of the Albanese government’s performance records a two-point improvement to 47% after its lowest result to date in February.
Rishi Sunak has apologised for leaving D-Day commemorations in Normandy early to head back to the UK and return to the general election campaign.
The Prime Minister tweeted this morning: “After the conclusion of the British event in Normandy, I returned back to the UK. On reflection, it was a mistake not to stay in France longer – and I apologise.”
Sir Craig Oliver, who served as David Cameron’s director of communications in No 10, said the D-Day row was a “disastrous moment” for Rishi Sunak and the Conservative Party.
Sir Craig said the Prime Minister’s apology this morning showed the Tories are “massively on the backfoot and deeply worried”. He told BBC Breakfast: “It is very obvious from the outside looking in that this is a disastrous moment for the campaign.
via Telegraph UK
P1:”We must learn to live without fossil fuels as far as possible, given that the only alternative for many of us would be not to live at all. And what we must still use we must reduce to an absolute minimum,”
You also mentioned to reduce demand was to reduce the population (depopulate I think you said).
Unfortunately, the population is still increasing and will do so for some time. I have seen estimates that it will peak at 11 billion, which is near half again of the current population is. This means we have to open new coal mines and gas/oil wells.
Not to do so, as you have suggested many times, We cannot deny these extra people the benefits of fossil fuels. The same benefits that we currently enjoy and don’t want to give up (or for that matter, as you suggest, we can’t give up).
@Holdenhillbilly at 6:38pm
Yep, sure checks out with the theory that Sunak is actively trying to lose the election as badly as possible.
I wonder what his plan for next week will be? Something like this?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s_4J4uor3JE
Four charts on economic stress:
https://www.theguardian.com/business/article/2024/jun/07/australia-gdp-growth-figures-march-quarter-charts-cost-of-living
Rewi, the table on growing inequality is particularly concerning…
Holdenhillbilly @ #1101 Friday, June 7th, 2024 – 6:38 pm
Might’ve been smarter to seek asylum there. 😐
”
Rewisays:
Friday, June 7, 2024 at 5:31 pm
Confessions
We are seeing early evidence that our current trajectory will lead to catastrophic climate change, by which is meant things like significant rises in sea level, the end of the North Atlantic current, that sort of thing.
Not quite there yet.
”
Apparently 50°C temperatures in May 2024 in Delhi and North India are not enough for you.
You probably know that Delhi is not a desert and 30 million people (i.e. population more than Australia and we are already whinging about immigration but that is another story).
Now, Wherever it rains in the world, it sets records from previous records.
We have devastating famines in places like Sudan and Ethiopia.
Amazon rainforest, which was world’s natural CO2 storage area, is shrinking by each day.
Climate Scientists said that if the temperature is 1.5°C above pre-industrial times for 11 months, then that temperature will be baked into the atmosphere. That already happened since June, 2023 to May, 2024.
“It’s official: For the past 12 months, the Earth was 1.5 degrees Celsius higher than in preindustrial times, scientists said Thursday, crossing a critical barrier into temperatures never experienced by human civilizations.8 Feb 2024”
Lordbain
Poor people wouldn’t be poor if they’d been born into wealth. They should have picked better parents.
Gammon 🙂
Ven
No question things are bad and on a trajectory to get worse.
It was relatively recently that we added the ‘catastrophic’ rating to risk of bushfire.
I’m not suggesting we are not seeing catastrophic *events*.
But that’s different from a catastrophic change in climate.
”
Rewisays:
Friday, June 7, 2024 at 7:02 pm
Ven
No question things are bad and on a trajectory to get worse.
It was relatively recently that we added the ‘catastrophic’ rating to risk of bushfire.
I’m not suggesting we are not seeing catastrophic *events*.
But that’s different from a catastrophic change in climate.
”
Rewi
What I am saying is that The Paris COP Accord of 1.5°C agreed in 2015 is probably already breached
At this rate we could breach 2.0°C by 2030.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-06-05/world-the-hottest-on-record-12-months-in-a-row/103904150
“During the latest month, May, the average near-surface air temperature was 0.65 Celsius above the 1991-2020 baseline average, according to Copernicus’s data, easily overtaking the previous record set in 2020.
When compared to pre-industrial levels (1850-1900), the month was 1.53C above average, breaching the Paris Agreement target of 1.5C for the 11th consecutive month.”
I urge upon PB bloggers to read this article. It has some interesting graphs.
Ads frequently appearing on SBS on Demand extolling the new work to save the reef credit Great Barrier Reef Foundation, Reef Trust and Australian Government.
Yes, I know the shonky Coalition gifted $450 million to the GBRF but I don’t think this is a good look. Thoughts?
Ven
It certainly looks that way, but even then it is unlikely that we will see catastrophic climate change by 2030. We may see it sooner than 2100.
Sussan Ley just did the Merkel-Raute while interviewed on ABC News
@Poliphili at 7:07pm
Relevant Friendlyjordies video about the situation with the Great Barrier Reef
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xSCTuCp8pOA
And information about the GBRF
https://www.friendlyjordies.com/post/great-barrier-reef-foundation
Probably best to look to other charities that want to actually help the reef.
Embattled 9 Chairman denies he shirt fronted 10 journalist, Peter said “it wasn’t anything, only a move I copied from watching State of Origin the other night”
So what are these ‘woke issues’ dividing the USA?
Pew Research has done an in depth study comparing the views of Biden and Trump supporters – the results mostly confirm what we think.
However some of the weightings on gender issues are eye-popping…
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/06/06/cultural-issues-and-the-2024-election/
@Sprocket at 7:24pm
They’re eye-popping indeed. Cripes, how do you even start to fix a divide like that?
Thanks Kirsdarke.
Assume that the Government now knows who is behind this mysterious foundation since it is now bracketed with it.
This, by Ronni Salt, really sums up Albanese.
“The ABC is an organisation practising small-target survival broadcasting, just as surely as Albanese practices small-target survival politics. Keep your head down. Don’t make waves. Say nothing. Stand for nothing.”
https://preview.mailerlite.io/emails/webview/448398/123465765935384220
@Poliphili at 7:30pm
Yeah, that’s where I feel frustrated too. Honestly I want more action to be done, but time and time again, Federal Labor governments have to walk the tightrope to not rock the boat too much because otherwise the Australian electorate will spin on a 10c coin and be like “NOPE! Too far! We’re voting for another decade of the Coalition!” and they’ve assumed learned helplessness from that so they have to keep things going as they were.
But at least people like Jordies digging into their tactics and making them more obvious to the public will hopefully neutralise the screwed up political system we have at the moment.
Leader @ #1102 Friday, June 7th, 2024 – 6:40 pm
I think you are wrong. But by all means post a quote if you can find one.
Your figures are out of date. As is your thinking.
‘Sohar says:
Friday, June 7, 2024 at 7:34 pm
This, by Ronni Salt, really sums up Albanese.
“The ABC is an organisation practising small-target survival broadcasting, just as surely as Albanese practices small-target survival politics. Keep your head down. Don’t make waves. Say nothing. Stand for nothing.”
https://preview.mailerlite.io/emails/webview/448398/123465765935384220‘
————————-
Complete and utter facile drivel from the usual suspects.
From the Guardian
‘Yemen’s Houthi rebels detain at least 9 UN staffers and others in sudden crackdown, officials say
At least nine Yemeni employees of UN agencies have been detained by Yemen’s Houthi rebels under unclear circumstances, authorities said on Friday, reports the Associated Press (AP). The news agency adds that others working for aid groups are also likely to have been taken.
The detentions come as the Houthis, who seized Yemen’s capital nearly a decade ago and have been fighting a Saudi-led coalition since shortly after, have been targeting shipping throughout the Red Sea corridor over the Israel-Hamas war in the Gaza Strip.
The AP reports that the Houthis have cracked down at dissent in Yemen, including recently sentencing 44 people to death.
…’
—————————
I assume that the usual suspects will shortly be storming the barricades.
In further reporting there is speculation that the Houthis are running out of money.
I suppose that firing missiles and killing innocent seamen does cost a bit to do. There was already huge famine in Houthiland. Somehow or other there is a global silence on this.
Needs better sound. But he is saying what I have been saying. The apartheid in South Africa was tolerated and then it wasn’t. Why America’s Middle East Policy is on the Brink of Revolution | Peter Zeihan.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MY0_qMVqh2g
Rewi
The protests have become violent.
We can discuss whether the protesters outside Labor MPs’ offices playing loud music to disrupt the people going into those offices and asking for help for help is non-violent.
But throwing bricks through the windows of Labor MPs’ offices is violent.
My daughter did Peace Studies unit at uni, and one of the takeaways was that non-violent protest takes longer to get “seen”, but it attracts far more adherents given time.
The Politics of Non-Violent Action by Gene Sharpe, published in the late 1970s, still gives a great handbook about how to effect change:
https://commonslibrary.org/198-methods-of-nonviolent-action/
Douglas and Milko
I get it, but that’s not what Adam Bandt has said the Greens support.
Bandt says the Greens support non-violent protest. By necessary implication that means they do not support violent protest.
I would also suggest that there is no meaningful difference between a blockade of an office and a picket line at the site of an industrial dispute.
Jumping onto Rewis comment; the definition of peaceful/non-violent and violent protest is always debated. A key example of this was MLK protests and marches, and how they were viewed at the time versus now; today we see MLK as some sort of icon for peaceful protest, but at the time MLK dealt with the exact same claims about causing violence as the BLM movement, or the Palestine support protests.
There’d be more collaborators on here than peaceful resisters. Boer for one has openly mused in the past on the logic of being a collaborator.
rhwombat
Lovely to hear from you 🙂
A bit of Pink Floyd for you, with Spanish subtitles.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7iITFrcNLcA
Rewi says:
Friday, June 7, 2024 at 8:12 pm
Douglas and Milko
I get it, but that’s not what Adam Bandt has said the Greens support.
Bandt says the Greens support non-violent protest. By necessary implication that means they do not support violent protest.
Adam Bandt was given the opportunity in parliament; instead he went into his rant against Labor full of lies. Attempt to extract himself later really amounts to a hill of beans. He really is a fool destroying the Greens brand.
Lordbain says:
Friday, June 7, 2024 at 8:16 pm
Jumping onto Rewis comment; the definition of peaceful/non-violent and violent protest is always debated. A key example of this was MLK protests and marches, and how they were viewed at the time versus now; today we see MLK as some sort of icon for peaceful protest, but at the time MLK dealt with the exact same claims about causing violence as the BLM movement, or the Palestine support protests.
______________________________________________
True. Except MLK was genuinely peaceful – not a rabble thinking that their cause was so great that everyone could be screwed over in favour of their chosen cause. And MLK and BLM sought to deal with issues that were immediate and direct for them in the places where they lived. Not in some bloody place on the other side of the world. Could hatred of Jewish people be the reason why so many people are so concerned with something that otherwise is almost unconnected with Australia?
TPOF, if you think the MLK marches were less “violent” then some property damage, then oh boy do you have some reading to do… add it to the list
Would love to have seen your opinion during the apartheid protests against SA back in the day…
Rewi
…
Preventing people from going to work, whether at an office or industrial plant, isn’t violence?
Mavis, from last night
I am catching up really late, but thanks so much for this link – it is really beautiful 🙂
Gifts like this are priceless.
And now , I will go into whimsy mode. There have been some times in my life where someone has given me a gift, usually handmade, and they have said “I made this for you / thought of you when I bought it etc.
And it is something that has really touched my heart.
So, thanks again for the beautiful music 🙂
Bandt says the Greens support non-violent protest. By necessary implication that means they do not support violent protest.
_____________________________________________
By necessary implication they are silent on violent protest. On the other hand, dog whistling to haters of Jewish people is not denied either.
TPOF, you need to explain to these guys they need to stop being self hating Jews then… https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/01/progressive-australian-jews-opposing-antisemitism-israel-gaza-war
Centrists such as Confessions, Douglas and Milko, Boerwar, Catmomma, and yabba find it problematic that there are people with the courage to stand against genocide, human rights atrocities, and corruption. Centrists understand taking action to accumulate or hold onto resources for yourself. They understand taking action to maintain extreme inequality for all time. But outside of that they really don’t understand political action at all. The idea of opposing powerful interests is anathema to them. So is the notion that your political interests can extend beyond your self-interest. It is ineffably sad.
‘Nicholas says:
Friday, June 7, 2024 at 8:41 pm
What is it exactly about a political leader offering support to non-violent protest that you find ‘problematic’?
Centrists such as Confessions, Douglas and Milko, Boerwar, Catmomma, and yabba find it problematic that there are people with the courage to stand against genocide, human rights atrocities, and corruption. Centrists understand taking action to accumulate or hold onto resources for yourself. They understand taking action to maintain extreme inequality for all time. But outside of that they really don’t understand political action at all. The idea of opposing powerful interests is anathema to them. So is the notion that your political interests can extend beyond your self-interest. It is ineffably sad.’
———————–
Nasty twaddle.
Let me know how you go when you demonstrate against Hamas, Heshbollah, Iran and the Houthis.
Off to sleep -up early to look after grandkids, which I am delighted to do. Love them to death!
But, it turns out that your PhD in Astrophysics does not mean that you are excused from grandmotherly duties, but apparently the grandfather has important new family duties (read new sprogs) that mean , so sorry, he cannot help.
I am actually delighted to look after my lovely grandchildren, and will have a great time indoctrinating them by taking them to the Powerhouse or Maritime Museum tomorrow.
But just occasionaly, I wonder about why all the responsibly for child care is (obviously) left to the mother /grandmother?
The real victims of the Greens’ peaceful protests are ordinary employees trying to get to work or employees actually at work.
There is nothing like a bit of mob yelling, shouting, paint throwing and brick throwing to put some ethical spine into Bandt’s Bandidos.
Douglas and Milko says:
Friday, June 7, 2024 at 8:47 pm
Off to sleep -up early to look after grandkids, which I am delighted to do. Love them to death!
But, it turns out that your PhD in Astrophysics does not mean that you are excused from grandmotherly duties, but apparently the grandfather has important new family duties (read new sprogs) that mean , so sorry, he cannot help.
I am actually delighted to look after my lovely grandchildren, and will have a great time indoctrinating them by taking them to the Powerhouse or Maritime Museum tomorrow.
But just occasionaly, I wonder about why all the responsibly for child care is (obviously) left to the mother /grandmother’
——————
I am a man. I do a minimum of 18 hours of child care a week.
Textbook definition for Nicholas.
And classic response from BW – instead of engaging with D and M on the point they raised (society still pressuring the care of children on the female family members) BW feels the need to exclaim not me… not all men 😉
The chair of Tesla has raised the prospect of Elon Musk stepping back from the electric carmaker if shareholders do not back the chief executive’s $56bn (£44bn) pay package, saying there are “other places” the entrepreneur could spend his time.
Good, the cars would improve & remove his odium.. more sales.. a win win scenario .
Any chance Robyn Denholm is more interested in preserving his CEO’s ship?
@D&M
Well, at the very least in my family, my grandparents pretty much split up their care of me and my sister evenly when we were young children when they were on childcare duties. My grandma was happy to teach us simple card games like patience, go fish and snap, and my grandpa was happy to participate with us playing with the toys of our dad and our uncles that they left behind when they grew up.
Boerwar says:
Friday, June 7, 2024 at 8:49 pm
Big apoloies. My lovely (male) OH does the same.
I was thinking more of some of the shit I have got over the last few days about not being “woke” enough.
Absolutely. Today it is axiomatic that Martin Luther King was a heroic exponent of non-violent political action – and he was – but in his lifetime he was deeply controversial. A lot of people thought that the sit-ins that were a major tactic of the civil rights movement in the 1960s were a form of violence. The whole point of a sit-in is to make it physically difficult for a government or a land or building owner to control a space. Non-violent action doesn’t imply that you just sit in a corner and never cause inconvenience to people with power.
Lordbain
So you did not notice that Nicholas slagged me off for being an evil centrist?
Please do not attack Boerwar .
Lordbain @ #1134 Friday, June 7th, 2024 – 8:32 pm
Violence and willful destruction is not something you can split hairs about.
Kirsdarke
Thanks! Lovely story.