The Financial Review today brings us a Queensland state poll from Freshwater Strategy, which tracks with recent YouGov polling from the state in crediting the Liberal National Party opposition with a 52-48 lead over Labor (though not with Resolve Strategic, whose April result was stronger for Labor). The primary votes are LNP 40%, compared with 35.9% at the 2020 election; Labor 34%, compared with 39.6%; and the Greens 11%, compared with 9.5%. A preferred premier question finds little separating the two leaders, with David Crisafulli on 45% and Annastacia Palaszczuk on 44%.
Questions on best party to handle various issues find Labor favoured on welfare and education, but seemingly losing its mantle on the traditional Labor strength of health, after widely publicised issues in regional hospitals. The worst result for Labor is crime and social order, which has likewise been a source of bad press for the government. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1065.
Annastasia Palaszczuk has put the boot into the credibility of the recent poll. Frankly she has a point about the impartialty.
“Ms Palaszczuk moved to discredit the Freshwater Strategy poll – which was commissioned by the Australian Financial Review – saying she wouldn’t listen to data put together by a group made up of “LNP operatives”.
Freshwater Strategy was set up by a breakaway group of executives who previously worked at Crosby Textor, the polling company of choice of the Coalition.”
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/qld-politics/qld-labor-would-lose-if-election-held-today-damning-new-poll-finds/news-story/6ca0c424b27b570d4a5b3a278b65b9c9%3famp
jim says:
Saturday, July 8, 2023 at 7:21 pm
..Jerry Mander?? is that the electoral boundary scam introduced by Labor way back before Joh’s time? …regardless, Queensland sorely needs an Upper House, something else that was abolished on the sly, ‘swamped’ is the word, by the Labor Party of Qld way back in the early 20’s..
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98.6 says :
Yes, I’ve heard that story before.
Apparently it kept Labor in office for 40 odd years but I’m not sure on all the ancient history except to say I experienced Joh’s gerrymander from about 1975 on-wards until the Fitzgerald Inquiry sacked Jerry and of course the rest is modern history, almost all in Labor’s favour.
As for re-establishing an upper house, one would have to ask why do we need more politicians when surveys tell us that we are considered over governed by world standards.
Look at the problems associated with the Senate in trying to pass $10 billion to help the homeless, with not only the Coalition voting against it but the Greens as well, not to mention the constitutional crisis it caused in 1975.
The Brisbane City Council has four times as many people to look after than Tasmania but they don’t have an Upper House.
Both Labor and the LNP benefit from not having another tier of government trying to cause trouble for a government that until recently only had 3 year terms.
If people don’t like their government they can vote them out next election.
I haven’t heard the LNP saying they will re-introduce an Upper House if elected, so I presume they are happy with the present arrangement.
Paul Keating summed it up well by describing the Senate as “Unrepresentative Swill”.
I bet if you ask any state premier if they would rather not have an upper house, I know what the answer will be.
Miles to be Acting Qld Premier as Palaszczuk heads overseas
Steven Miles will spend the next week as Acting Queensland Premier as Annastacia Palaszczuk heads to Japan, South Korea and Singapore for meetings with offshore investors about critical minerals.
The onslaught of EVs on the market, all need critical minerals for their batteries, that are abundant in Queensland.
While coal mining companies are threatening to not invest in future mining ventures in QLD due to the increased coal royalties imposed by the state government, PAP is off overseas to offer our minerals to others who know QLD is one of only a few countries with vast amounts of these minerals.
PAP also knows that the current miners will still be here in QLD as there are hundreds of billions of dollars to be dug out of the ground during this new age of ‘batteries’.
With coal royalties helping to deliver most of the $12 billion surplus in last months budget, Palaszczuk is hungry to get more $s for the 5 million people in the state.
98.6 : I’m an AP fan. I’m nearing retirement now but as a Qld public servant ( very low level) who went through the Newman regime it’s a frightening prospect for many to think that the same people who so vociferously cheered on candoe during his chaotic and vengeful time in power are all still there Ros Bates, Jarrod Bleijie, Tim Nichols ,Tim Mander , JP Langbroek and candoes loyal sidekick himself Crisafulli. Have they learnt anything? I doubt it. If they get in they will attack they the public service like a pack of Pitbulls and try and sell off everything not nailed down to their mates in the private arena. I watched these sharks circle the executive building back in candoes day. Usually two guys in expensive suits and a well turned out lady dragging a roller port ready to P*ss in any LNP pocket to get a hold of public assets and moolah at bargain basement prices . These types and the coal industry still smarting at having to give us a portion of their windfall profits for what are our resources (and as always the LNP mates at the courier/ murdochracy) will talk up the LNP and do anything to get them elected. I think when push comes to shove Qlders are smart enough realise all of this. The one and only thing I’ll say about Joh was that he understood the importance of keeping the public service happy the libs will never learn that Qlders appreciate the services they receive and their ownership of government assets.
Princeplanet at 11.22am :
The one and only thing I’ll say about Joh was that he understood the importance of keeping the public service happy the libs will never learn that Qlders appreciate the services they receive and their ownership of government assets.
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98.6 says :
How co-incidental that you should say that because a now retired Labor friend of mine who was a union rep within the state government said something similar to me only a few weeks ago.
As you say, perhaps the one and only good thing you could say about Joh.
Well, there’s your lack of upper house showing. In any sane method of making one (whether a divisional one like Vic or WA, or the whole state like NSW or SA), there’d be someone with the balance of power.
In the 2012-15 govt, Newman’s govt would’ve had to deal with the Katter Boys in the upper house. It wouldn’t’ve been everything a Labor partisan would want (apart from the extinction of every non-Labor party, what ever is?), but Katter would’ve shaved off the more voter-repellent bits of their agenda, probably helping them to stay in govt longer than that single term. Minor parties on your general side come in handy like that sometimes.
Princeplanet: ‘In the Brisbane council … last election The ALP and greens got 48% of the vote yet have 6 seats compared to the LNP with 45% and 19 seats in other words a winner takes it all system.’
Through the 1960s Brisbane’s Lord Mayor was elected by popular vote, separately from voting for individual local aldermen. Labor’s Clem Jones was hugely popular and never at risk of losing.
In the early 1970s, in a cunning stunt to thwart King Clem, Joh Bjelke-Petersen and Liberal leader Gordon Chalk changed the City of Brisbane act to have the Lord Mayor elected from, and by, the 21 aldermen.
At the subsequent election Labor’s campaign line was: “If you want Clem as Lord Mayor, you have to vote Labor”.
Labor swept 20 of the 21 council wards.
The Courier-Mail (not so batshit crazy back then) ran a Stewart McCrae cartoon of Clem, in his mayoral robes, bending back the barrels of a double-barrelled shotgun held by Joh and Chalk, with the latter’s faces blasted black.
Princeplanet: ‘the libs will never learn that Qlders appreciate the services they receive and their ownership of government assets.’
The first major misstep of the glossy Goss government — on advice from the smart young things in suits in Treasury — was to close 30% of Queensland Rail’s lines.
Low-traffic branch lines, to be sure: but important nevertheless to regional and rural communities for services and employment.
The outcry across the state forced Goss to send his knockabout everyman deputy Tom Burns on a community consultation tour.
The Burns review triaged the list of line closures: some were to be kept open, some closed anyway, and some retained on a ‘use it or lose it’ basis.
The Goss image was dented.
Yes Oliver, Goss was a strange cat. I was happy he was there after the travesty of the Joh era. Joh let Queensland atrophy we were becoming like the North Korea of Aus. Goss put a lot of noses out of joint ( still talked about negatively in the PS) and copped a kick in the pants after only 6 years. Beattie as the first really popular ALP premier post Joh.
Bird of Paradox: an upper house might have helped during the candoe era but he would have still have been able to sack 20000. In the height of this anti PS program the Katter boys came down to a union get together and we had a chat to them. Now I’m ALP through and through but these two gave us a lot of succour in those harsh times. I thank them for that and for supporting APs minority government from 2015 to 2017.
As expected, after all the shouting and headlines in the Curious Snail ( and coverage on the commercial channels) THAT poll has slipped away into ignominy…just another Curious beatup.
AP was right to rubbish it.
Having said that…Labor need to work hard over the next 12 months- settled performances , lots of good news policies and constant reminders that the LNP leopard doesn’t change its spots. Just look at the Federal NP- mostly Qlders . Anyone older than 30 has memories of the last LNP State government – especially Public Servants.
If you want to win on healthcare, bring back patient rights. It’s alarming how much they’ve evaporated in the last decade or so, particularly in the area of data sharing and ehealth.
Diane, the sudden exit of Queensland Health’s hardline former CEO may help to bolster health workers’ — and, by extension, their patients’ — rights.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-06-29/qld-analysis-who-is-in-contention-to-replace-shaun-drummond/102536920
Gettysburg1863says:
Monday, July 10, 2023 at 5:00 pm
As expected, after all the shouting and headlines in the Curious Snail ( and coverage on the commercial channels) THAT poll has slipped away into ignominy…just another Curious beatup.
AP was right to rubbish it.
Having said that…Labor need to work hard over the next 12 months- settled performances , lots of good news policies and constant reminders that the LNP leopard doesn’t change its spots. Just look at the Federal NP- mostly Qlders . Anyone older than 30 has memories of the last LNP State government – especially Public Servants.
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98.6 says :
I agree with all of that.
I think the last time the LNP had a poll with them in front was about 4 years ago with that jealous b***h
Deb Frecklington as LOTO and look at how that turned out.
You’re also correct in saying that Labor needs to work harder and smarter over the next 12 months and use some of that $12 billion mining royalty surplus to shore up the leaking holes in health, housing and youth crime.
Finally, I’ve always said the same thing about the memories of the 243,163 state public servants and their partners and family. You would expect 99% of them to vote for Annastacia, especially when a lot of them were given their jobs under her watch.
As for David Crissafulli LOTO, he has a long way to go until, if ever, he is to be feared or seen as a threat to Annastacia.