3:34pm The seventh Coalition candidate defeated Animal Justice after distribution of preferences by 10,628 votes or 0.05 of a quota, only down slightly from the 0.07 primary vote lead on quotas. The margin is too big for a recount to overturn.
12pm The Coalition has won the final upper house seat. That means the left only achieved an 11-10 win at this election, and that the overall upper house is tied 21-21.
11:38am You can watch the live stream of the results on YouTube. So far six candidates have been elected. It was expected to take an hour. It’s the 21st and final seat that is in doubt between the Coalition and Animal Justice.
Guest post by Adrian Beaumont, who joins us from time to time to provide commentary on elections internationally. Adrian is a paid election analyst for The Conversation. His work for The Conversation can be found here, and his own website is here.
The button to electronically distribute preferences in the NSW upper house will be pressed at 11am AEST today. In late counting, the gap between the Coalition’s seventh candidate and Animal Justice closed to just 0.07 quotas. Animal Justice is now a good chance to overcome that lead on preferences. More details in this article for The Conversation yesterday.
The final results for the lower house are Labor 45 of the 93 seats, Coalition 36, Greens three and independents nine, so Labor is two seats short of the 47 needed for a majority. More details and a review of the polling are in last Thursday’s article for The Conversation.
So what happened after the button?is pressed at 11.00 am
The computer is working hard….. I wonder if it is gold plated?
Smoke is coming from the computer but it is not clear if it is white or black smoke.
Is Pope selected for Black or white smoke?
Maybe a certain media organization is getting ready to say the machines are rigged? (If the result isn’t what they wanted)
Ven
I think black smoke meant no pope and ballots burned.
White smoke meant pope – greenery burnt??
They put straw in with the ballots if the pope is elected. Hence it turns white.
This done because it is the last time the stove will be used and to ensure that all material in the stove is burnt.
So White signifies Pope selection and Black signifies nothing is selected.
I’ve updated with a link to the live stream. It’s taking a while.
Almost there! Count 279
All over. Lib/Nationals get up.
No luck for AJP.
Looks like NSW Labor will be dealing with their former Federal Leader one way or another.
The smoke colour is now produced by chemical canisters placed with the burned ballot papers. This came in after the smoke changed from white to black during the disputed 1958 conclave
The cause of many conspiracy theories ever since
It seems almost all close calls in this election went against NSW Labor.
No majority in Assembly and no majority in Council.
2 seats short in LA and 7 seats in LC. And no left majority in Council either.
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Lars Von Triersays:
Wednesday, April 19, 2023 at 12:04 pm
Looks like NSW Labor will be dealing with their former Federal Leader one way or another.
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Not true. If Labor can deal with SFF then they will have majority in LC if Greens, Legalise Cannibas, Animal Justice can agree to Labor legislation.
Minns said in public that he will not deal with Latham.
Minns said in public that he will not deal with Latham.
Love cools, friendship falls off, brothers divide; in cities, mutinies; in countries, discord; in palaces, treason; and the bond cracked ‘twixt son and father.
It makes sense that things got quicker as after each count there are fewer and fewer votes to process. And then the first eliminations go super fast as there is next to no votes to reassign and it slowed down a little as it got to the final few as there were more votes then to reallocate.
so its not to bad with animal justice they got a seat the last time on little votes ashame about borsak and ldp being elected unfortunately ffor laz labor got8 upper house mps including theso called unwinable spot of sarah kain the liberals have 7
sadly buckingham is back
Aaron who’s going to be the Labor handler for Latham/ Milhailuk in the Upper House? Maybe your friend Buttigieg?
I suspect Labor MP’s wont be able to go to the toilet without a call for production of documents in the Upper House. Delicious!
Interesting how close the Labor primary vote totals are in the lower and upper houses:
Assembly – 1,738,801 (37%)
Council – 1,690,445 (36.61%)
Isn’t there usually a bigger discrepancy as people vote differently in the upper house?
this is most likely whiy adam searle is out of parliament his atempt to bring in increased power to call foor documentswonder if he realized this may be used against labor when they form government
No deals with the Labor rats necessary.. how do you deal with the insane?
Docantk, it’s likely some natural Labor voters in the lower house voted for teal type indies, so that’s why Labor’s lower and upper house votes are similar.