Cabinet and counter-cabinet

As the dust settles (for the most part) on the election count, both sides get their line-ups in order.

There is a post below from Adrian Beaumont on the unfolding drama in British politics and another one here relating the last scraps of counting for House of Representatives seats. As for this post:

• Both sides now have their front benches in place, the announcement of the Albanese government’s front bench last Monday resulting in promotion to cabinet rank for Murray Watt and and Clare O’Neil, respective beneficiaries of Left and Right vacancies caused by the electoral defeats of Terri Butler and Kristina Keneally. Anne Aly of the Left and Anika Wells and Kristy McBain of the Right have been promoted to the outer ministry, filling vacancies created by the promotion of Watt and O’Neil and the relegation of Shayne Neumann to the back bench as his Left faction sought to achieve gender balance.

• Peter Dutton’s shadow ministry was unveiled yesterday. The Nationals’ relative electoral success resulted in them gaining a sixth position in cabinet, their new entrants being Susan McDonald in resources and northern Australia, Perin Davey in water and Kevin Hogan in trade and tourism. Seven Liberals won promotion to shadow cabinet: Jane Hume in finance and public service, Andrew Hastie in defence, Julian Leeser in attorney-general and indigenous Australians, Jonathan Duniam in environment, fisheries and forestry, Ted O’Brien in climate change and energy, Michael Sukkar in social services and NDIS and Sarah Henderson in communications. Angus Taylor was rewarded for his record of integrity with Treasury and Alan Tudge is definitely in education now. Stuart Robert (Liberal) and Andrew Gee (Nationals) have been demoted to the outer shadow ministry, Alex Hawke, Linda Reynolds and Melissa Price (Liberal) and Keith Pitt (Nationals) are relegated to the back bench, and Marise Payne is now shadow cabinet secretary after apparently having “asked not to be considered for a prominent role”. Others formerly present and now absent: Scott Morrison, Josh Frydenberg, Ken Wyatt and Greg Hunt.

The Australian reports Scott Morrison is “expected to weigh up his future in the coming months, but is understood to be in no immediate rush to quit politics”.

UPDATE: A discussion of various matters relating to the election between me and Ben Raue of The Tally Room:

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

867 comments on “Cabinet and counter-cabinet”

  1. The interesting thing will be the October budget – how much of it will be held hostage by the Libs/Greens in the Senate?

    Or will Labor bottle it on budget repair? Importantly the last successful tax reform under Labor was 37 years ago under PJK.

  2. Budget repair is a load of crap.
    If their is too much spending in parts of the economy then by all means withdraw that spending but not at the expense of peoples well being.

  3. Governing is about making choices.

    For sure Nicko Labor can ignore budget repair but there will be consequences.

    Basically the market is saying no more free money.

    Labor can fund its agenda but it needs to raise taxes. Dividend imputation, super would be good areas to kick off from as well as the Phase 3 tax cuts.

    Why not introduce a carbon tax , cut some of the tax deduction rorts and do Phase 3 as well as aged care, NDIS etc

  4. Dreyfus says there are “levers available” to the government in the handling of the Collaery case. Of course there are either under the common law or the Judiciary Act. Given under the Intelligence Services Act 2001, the consent of the Attorney (at the time Porter) was required to lay the five charges, the new Attorney can simply withdraw consent, in consequence of which the CDPP would present to the ACT Supreme Court a nolle prosequi, which should be done with alacrity. After all, Dreyfus, while the Shadow Attorney, was outspoken in criticism that the charges were laid in the first place.

  5. Circulation of Chinese finished goods and Russian oil kept the Inflation around the world low for a long time ( more than 30 years).
    I actually read somewhere where a right-wing commentator/ politician saying that China has underwritten Western countries prosperity especially US one with cheap goods when Western countries focussed on Services. Other than Germany, who manufactured advanced goods, not many Western countries manufactured anything cheap.
    Since we have less of Chinese goods and Russian oil ( which experts euphemistically call supply chain issues), the Inflation has shot up all around the world.

  6. “David Pocock
    @pocockdavid
    ·
    22m
    Appreciated the opportunity to talk about the priorities for the ACT with new Minister for Regional Development, Local Government and Territories, @KristyMcBain.”
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FUuLQPKaQAAAj1t.jpg

    I think I can predict how much negotiation Labor is going to be doing with the Liberals in the Senate 🙂

    I read David Pocock’s policy statements during the campaign and felt confident Labor could work with him on many topics. It wasn’t just climate change and anti-corruption that struck me. Pocock has policies on affordable housing and child care that are very compatible with Labor’s ethos.

  7. Dr Fumbles Mcstupid @ #761 Wednesday, June 8th, 2022 – 6:11 pm

    Greg Rudd says:
    Wednesday, June 8, 2022 at 5:44 pm

    Snappy Tom @ #724 Wednesday, June 8th, 2022 – 5:03 pm

    Socrates re rail electrification…

    Woodhead was a bit of a tragedy, electrification at 1200v DC started pre war, by the time it was opened c1955 it was already well outdated when energised as the new standard was 25kv AC. Was closed due to the cost of conversion and the demise of Trans pennine traffic – mainly coal and now, 30 years on, a new HS2 is needed across the same places.

    The whole Blue Mountains electrification was based upon Woodhead The overhead is similar, the NSW 46 class were an evolution of the EM1/2 and then they were the U sets which were the fastest trains along with the DEB sets in Australia in their day. Technically it was a huge success and if timetabling was done right the regenerative breaking system helped reduced grid demand for electricity (It was said to me by an old operations type was that if you were to run your down hill freights in the evening peak you have saved the cost of running about 40% of the afternoon passenger peak in the evening climbing the mountains). As to the 46’s they were possibly one of the best 1500v DC locomotives ever constructed with superior continuous and over load factors compared to later more fancied designs from France and Japan. Definitely superior to the Victorian L’s and the later 86’s.


  8. Lars Von Triersays:
    Wednesday, June 8, 2022 at 8:15 pm
    Governing is about making choices.

    For sure Nicko Labor can ignore budget repair but there will be consequences.

    Basically the market is saying no more free money.

    Labor can fund its agenda but it needs to raise taxes. Dividend imputation, super would be good areas to kick off from as well as the Phase 3 tax cuts.

    Why not introduce a carbon tax , cut some of the tax deduction rorts and do Phase 3 as well as aged care, NDIS etc


    Basically the market is saying no more free money.”

    Interesting isn’t it that markets are now saying no more free money when they dined on it for a very long time. I wonder why. Infact the so-called markets stored away trillions of Dollars starting from GFC
    Can a PB financial expert explain that?

  9. There are lots of ways we could repair the Budget

    – Phase out negative gearing
    – Wind back support for “private” schools. Do what the Coalition did to Tertiary education.
    – Phase out the vandalism done to our national superannuation scheme perpetrated by Howard and Costello
    – Phase out the Capital Gains tax discount
    – Stop sending free money to wealthy / comfortably off “self funded” retirees (including me)
    – Stop the corrupt grants allocations a.k.a “pork barrelling”
    – Stop the waste in defence acquisition programs. How much will stiffing the French end up costing? Four billion? Five?
    – Crack down on tax avoision. Maybe don’t award any Government contracts to companies using tax havens.
    – Get rid of ideological boondoggles like the Indue Card, Job network, mutual obligation. Instead address the underlying causes of unemployment, which will come roaring back soon if we don’t do something
    – Stop detaining asylum seekers at a cost more than sending them on a luxury World Cruise
    – Make the extractive industries pay a fair price to the owners (i.e. the Australian people) of the resources that they dig up and export. Ahd make them pay tax.
    – And of course, ditch the Stage 3 tax cuts.

    Etc etc

    There’s no doubt a lot more.

    Ain’t going to happen of course.

  10. “Lars Von Trier says:
    Wednesday, June 8, 2022 at 8:02 pm
    The interesting thing will be the October budget – how much of it will be held hostage by the Libs/Greens in the Senate?

    Or will Labor bottle it on budget repair? Importantly the last successful tax reform under Labor was 37 years ago under PJK.”

    Whatever the first Albo ALB budget will be, it will be a massive improvement on the incompetent crap that the Liberals have delivered since 2014 (remember Abbott’s “Budget from Hell” that started the saga), and the useless and wasteful budgets of the Howard-Costello era before that, that skyrocketed private debt.

  11. No Lars ,the ABC abolished the separate stand alone news on each station @ 7.45 am which ran for 15 minutes. They now have five or six minute bulletin at 8am, like at every other hour, so that is now there instead of the longer one at 7.45am which is not still there.
    It is good to be accurate that there is something to be critical of.

  12. Great to see that Chalmers ruled out nuclear power on the radio today. Said it is uneconomical in Australia. Can we now stop discussing Barnaby’s latest industry spruiking talking points?

  13. “Steve777says:
    Wednesday, June 8, 2022 at 8:38 pm
    There are lots of ways we could repair the Budget
    …..Ain’t going to happen of course.”

    Many of those things can happen, if the majority of Australians are on board. Between 2007 and 2013, Australians were offered a Social Democratic way forward, but a majority rejected it in 2013. Now they will be also offered a new Social Democratic way forward, let’s see if 9 years of Coalition disasters, incompetence, dishonesty, lies, stealing will finally open up the mind of a majority of voters and make them support ever stronger policies to fix this country in a Social Democratic way.

    Against all odds (and Murdoch)…. I am very optimistic.

  14. ‘Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Wednesday, June 8, 2022 at 7:10 pm

    Boerwar @ #736 Wednesday, June 8th, 2022 – 3:35 pm


    China is aggressively and with military force grabbing other peoples’ islands.

    Pure bullshit.

    The status of those islands were under dispute.

    No one had recognised ownership.’
    —————————-
    China grabbed them using either direct military force (sinking at least one Vietnamese boat, for example) or threats of military force.

    China has no legal basis for harrassing anyone.

    Naturally the China siders never, ever mention the thuggery or the threats or the illegality of China’s militaristic behaviours. They simply leap to China’s defence as if China were legally entitled to use force to (a) grab disputed territories and then use force to (b) harrass third parties.

  15. Interesting trend: ALP ministers engaged in serious talks with Teal Independents….

    Strengthening the Teals can only debilitate the Liberal party first…. then the Nationals and, ultimately, the Qld LNP….

  16. ‘Ooh, yeah, you’re amazing!’ The wonder of Kate Bush – and 10 tracks to delight new listeners

    Thanks to Netflix’s Stranger Things, the 1985 classic Running Up That Hill is in the charts again, and a new generation are discovering the singer’s unique appeal

    https://www.theguardian.com/music/2022/jun/07/ooh-yeah-youre-amazing-the-wonder-of-kate-bush-and-10-tracks-to-delight-new-listeners

    Kate Bush earns first ever US Top 10 hit with Running Up That Hill

    Song reaches No 8 in the US 37 years after it was first released, thanks to inclusion in new season of Stranger Things

    https://www.theguardian.com/music/2022/jun/07/kate-bush-earns-first-us-top-10-hit-running-up-that-hill-stranger-things

  17. Boerwar, as I mentioned Chalmers (ALP Treasurer) ruled it out today as uneconomical, so its not going to happen. Bandt doesn’t need to talk about it as it is not happening.
    Then there is Barnaby, why do we need to take on the clown’s talking points? He is less popular that Scotty.

  18. “sprocket_says:
    Wednesday, June 8, 2022 at 9:13 pm
    Looks like Rupert has dropped BoJo”….

    He is just adopting the “Australian Tactic”: Drop the leader in order to save the Regime….

    In this case, however, there is a question mark whether an alternative leader is available. In Australia, for instance, Rupert couldn’t find a replacement for Scomo, and after the Coalition was trashed, he couldn’t get anyone apart from Dutton, who is going to lead to another disastrous loss for the Coalition in 2025.

    Maybe Rupert has exhausted his capacity to perform “miracles”?

  19. Alpo says:
    Wednesday, June 8, 2022 at 9:18 pm

    He is just adopting the “Australian Tactic”: Drop the leader in order to save the Regime…
    ______
    Alpo. I have some amazing investment opportunities for you. Huge returns guaranteed! Call me.

  20. Boerwar @ #822 Wednesday, June 8th, 2022 – 7:09 pm

    ‘Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Wednesday, June 8, 2022 at 7:10 pm

    Boerwar @ #736 Wednesday, June 8th, 2022 – 3:35 pm


    China is aggressively and with military force grabbing other peoples’ islands.

    Pure bullshit.

    The status of those islands were under dispute.

    No one had recognised ownership.’
    —————————-
    China grabbed them using either direct military force (sinking at least one Vietnamese boat, for example) or threats of military force.

    China has no legal basis for harrassing anyone.

    Naturally the China siders never, ever mention the thuggery or the threats or the illegality of China’s militaristic behaviours. They simply leap to China’s defence as if China were legally entitled to use force to (a) grab disputed territories and then use force to (b) harrass third parties.

    Borewar,

    Can you provide any evidence that those islands and reefs in the South China Sea belonged to another country when China seized possession of them?

    Their were claims for them by various countries, but ownership was disputed.

  21. I noticed a couple of things on Election vote count in the last 1 week
    1. ALP PV went down by 0.2 % from 32.8 to 32.6%
    2. LNP PV went down by 0.5% from 36.2 to 35.7%
    3. Greens PV went up by 0.5 % from 11.7% to 12.2%
    4. PHON PV went up by 0.1% from 4.9 to 5%
    4. UAP PV remained steady at 4.1%
    5. ALP 2PP crept up from 51.7 to 51.7%


  22. a rsays:
    Wednesday, June 8, 2022 at 9:38 pm
    Ven @ #833 Wednesday, June 8th, 2022 – 9:30 pm

    5. ALP 2PP crept up from 51.7 to 51.7%

    Amazing!

    Typo. It should read
    5. ALP 2PP crept up from 51.7 to 51.9%. 🙂

  23. Ven at 8:26 pm

    Circulation of Chinese finished goods and Russian oil kept the Inflation around the world low for a long time ( more than 30 years).

    I saw a very good way to put it from some US commentator a while back. They described the ‘export’ of their production capacity to China as the US exporting their inflation. He noted also it also helped US business maintain a lock on US wages and to continue taking a larger slices of the economic ‘pie’.

  24. Boerwar at 9:10 pm

    So that fools like Joyce and Bandt can stop talking about it.

    Why ? According to you Bandt is listened to by sfa. Meanwhile Barnyard would be considered a bit of a clown by most of the rest.


  25. porotisays:
    Wednesday, June 8, 2022 at 9:54 pm
    Ven at 8:26 pm

    Circulation of Chinese finished goods and Russian oil kept the Inflation around the world low for a long time ( more than 30 years).

    I saw a very good way to put it from some US commentator a while back. They described the ‘export’ of their production capacity to China as the US exporting their inflation. He noted also it also helped US business maintain a lock on US wages and to continue taking a larger slices of the economic ‘pie’.

    And in the process wages increased only in ‘Financial services ‘ and went backwards in Manufacturing and other services which resulted in the voters dependent Manufacturing and other services deserting social democrats like Democrats, British Labour, ALP and going to demagogues like Trump, Farrago, Hanson, Orbin and LePen and current set of Republicans and Tories.
    That Liberals believe that they can win traditional ALP seats says it all.
    In USA, Democrats are struggling to hold states like Pensylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin and already lost Ohio.

  26. Well a top Game of Football Bludgers. The good guys win and the Blues go down again.

    I remember the first week of the campaign when Albo made the “Gaffe”. A couple here panicked at the first whiff of Grapeshot.

    I used Queensland and the State of Origin analogy. We always come from behind and never give up.

    Albo might be a bit disappointed by tonight’s result but – Go Queenslander!

  27. Late Riser:

    Wednesday, June 8, 2022 at 10:07 pm

    Mavis @ #819 Wednesday, June 8th, 2022 – 8:56 pm

    I can certainly identify with the increased difficulty of rising from a chair and I wouldn’t be without a radio:

    https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2022/jun/08/im-nearly-60-heres-what-ive-learned-about-growing-old-tim-dowling

    Late Riser says:

    [‘#13, and sometimes wilfully. ‘]

    Haha. When I wilfully forget to wear my hearing aids, I just say, “Please stop mumbling.” My eyesight’s pretty good, though, following bilateral cataract surgery 10 years ago, which allows me to lipread – sort of.

  28. Get that pork on your fork.

    A taxpayer-funded grant announced by Liberal candidate Madeleine Ogilvie during the 2021 Tasmanian state election campaign funnelled $150,000 into the rowing club her daughter is a member of.

    Ms Ogilvie, now a minister in Tasmania’s Liberal government, announced on April 26 last year that the Sandy Bay Rowing Club would receive the funding for a floating pontoon if the Liberals won re-election.

    Key points:
    The government has confirmed Madeleine Ogilvie’s daughter is a member of the rowing club which was granted $150,000
    The money came from a fund which was at the centre of accusations the Liberals engaged in electoral bribery
    The Greens say there is a “very obvious” conflict of interest

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-06-08/tas-liberal-madeleine-ogilvie-150k-sandy-bay-rowing-club-grant/101135798

  29. I’m all in favour of any medium that gets Kids These Days(TM) interested in good music.

    Stranger Things? Nice one (possibly a bit scary.)

    The Crown? Sweet.

    DJ Albo? Nailed it!

  30. Cost of nuclear is beyond the resources of Australia. If Barnaby and Bandt can get China, US, France and Japan to chuck in 20% each, maybe a joint project? Till then, no way.

    Labor is entitled to implement its election commitments. Hopefully meet the interest on the debt L/NP has left. The areas that have received the money that in hindsight were not appropriate should receive no assistance over the next 3 years. Whether that is private education, company taxes, fossil fuel miners etc, so be it.

    I always thought ‘top end of town’ should refer to income above $500,000 and retirees with earnings above say $200,000 pa. I reckon most Aussies would think no assistance and benefits would be fair enough. Franking credits etc. How much does the Federal Treasurer make each year? If that is less than $500k, that salary level could be the line.

  31. Upnorth @ #844 Wednesday, June 8th, 2022 – 10:19 pm

    Well a top Game of Football Bludgers. The good guys win and the Blues go down again.

    I remember the first week of the campaign when Albo made the “Gaffe”. A couple here panicked at the first whiff of Grapeshot.

    I used Queensland and the State of Origin analogy. We always come from behind and never give up.

    Albo might be a bit disappointed by tonight’s result but – Go Queenslander!

    We’ll be back! There’s two more games to go. 🙂

  32. Mavis, the youngster left one out, or maybe he hasn’t realised it. I’ll look at someone and age them into the future, imagining what they might learn and how that will change them as they travel there. And in a pleasant way that sends me into the past. Sometimes I meet them there.

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