Anthony Albanese will today conduct Labor’s campaign launch today, a fact that I wouldn’t normally consider worth mentioning, such has been the decline of the ritual’s significance over the last few decades. However, Labor has increased the chances of the event being noticed by holding it in Perth, which will at least give his profile a badly needed boost in that city, where Labor is counting on picking up two or possibly three seats.
Elsewhere:
• The second leaders’ debate of the campaign will be hosted by the Nine Network next Sunday and moderated by Sarah Abo of Nine’s 60 Minutes, with questions posed to the leaders by Chris Uhlmann, David Crowe and Deb Knight, respectively of Nine’s television, print and radio arms.
• Labor’s how-to-vote cards can now be found on the candidate pages on its website. The Greens are second on all Senate tickets except Tasmania, where they are behind the Jacqui Lambie Network, presumably in the hope that the party will deprive a right-wing minor party of a place (or, less likely, third-placed Liberal Eric Abetz) while Labor and the Greens win three seats between them as before. As far as I can tell, Labor has the United Australia Party second last and One Nation last in every lower house seat with the curious exception of Dawson, where the United Australia Party is third behind Katter’s Australian Party and ahead of the Greens, which as far as I can see stands no chance of accomplishing anything other than compromising Labor’s national anti-Palmer message.
• Having spoken with “15 Liberal MPs in and outside the Morrison cabinet who are familiar with the Coalition’s election strategy and internal polling and who have campaigned in these seats”, James Massola and Anthony Galloway of the Age/Herald report the party is “increasingly nervous” that it will lose Kooyong, Goldstein, North Sydney and Wentworth to teal independents. After spending the earlier part of the campaign in marginal seats in both Sydney and Melbourne, Josh Frydenberg will spend the remainder of it defending his own seat of Kooyong.
• Mark Ludlow of the Financial Review quotes Peter Beattie saying Labor has “lowered its expectations” in Queensland, and says Labor is “now working to ensure there is no net loss of seats in the state”. Labor nonetheless remains hopeful in Brisbane and Longman. Similarly, the previously noted Age/Herald report relates that “strategists on both sides now believe it’s possible no seats will change hands in Queensland”, and further offers that the Liberals are targeting Labor-held Blair, though perhaps in hope more than expectation.
• Liberal attacks ads portraying Anthony Albanese as a puppet of Dan Andrews reportedly reflect hopes that hostility towards the Andrews government over COVID lockdowns has damaged Labor enough in outer suburbia to put McEwen, Corangamite and Dunkley in play. Paul Sakkal in the Sunday Age reports that “internal Liberal Party research in seats stretching from Frankston in the east to Geelong in the west shows Andrews’ net favourability rating is between negative 10 and negative 20”. However, the report relates the view of Redbridge Group pollster Kos Samaras that the Liberals are “barking up the wrong tree because his polling suggests state Labor’s vote is, on average, 7% higher than federal Labor’s in seats with geographical overlap”.
• Josh Zimmerman of the Sunday Times reports that “internal polling” credits Labor with a “slight lead” in the key Perth seat of Pearce.
Boinzosays:
Sunday, May 1, 2022 at 1:02 pm
Evan says:
Sunday, May 1, 2022 at 12:00 pm
UpNorth: feeling like crap on May 22 will have been worth it if I get to see Morrison conceding defeat. Grog on boys.
I’m way behind today. But fully endorse this sentiment.
Boinzo: got to get in a few training runs myself for May 21, lagging way behind. Happy to get stuck into the grog with you and Upnorth and Beaglie Boy and other like minded Pollbludger beer drinkers any time.
Evan
Thanks.
Albo’s doing pretty well, not the most charistmatic orator in the world, but solid enough.
Way preferable to the Penetecostal sermon we’ll get from Slowmo
Will any lnp ministers bother turning up?
Bad Liberals……..
“Embattled former South Australian deputy premier Vickie Chapman faces being forced out of the parliament several weeks earlier than expected after a shock decision that will deny her a long goodbye.
Speaker Dan Cregan has written to Ms Chapman revealing his view that she should leave the parliament because her controversial resignation last month did not technically allow her to set her own departure date.
While Ms Chapman resigned last month after the electoral rout, she set a farewell date of May 31, which raised questions about her intentions as the Liberal Party tries to rebuild after the March election loss.
Ms Chapman resigned on the same day that new leader David Speirs was elected, severely blunting the first opportunity for the Liberal Party to start to rebuild in SA.
A former deputy premier, she was a leading member of the South Australian Liberal moderates, a faction that has been at war with party conservatives for decades, and has been in the parliament since 2002.”
https://amp.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/vickie-chapman-faces-earlier-than-expected-exit-from-sa-parliament/news-story/3ba77ce12952bf673722f468242ea9e8
Hopefully Connie shows up to the launch with a bag of tomatoes.
Is that Albo’s son in the audience, never see much of him, (which is perfectly fine).
Evan says:
Sunday, May 1, 2022 at 2:03 pm
Albo’s doing pretty well, not the most charistmatic orator in the world, but solid enough.
Way preferable to the Penetecostal sermon we’ll get from Slowmo
Yep. He started a bit nervous. But has warmed up nicely I reckon.
“Your bills aren’t casual!”
I don’t get it, how can the speaker decide when Chapman resigns? Sorry not a subscriber.
Boinzo: Albo is hitting his stride now, I just hope enough people are watching this on whatever device this afternoon or lunchtime, depending where you live in Australia!
Twitter is going off, but Twitter of course is pretty pro Labor.
Hear Hear go Albo – the Greens have walked away from Uluru.
“Australia does not have three more years to waste,’ Albanese says
By Broede Carmody
Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese has pledged to implement the Uluru Statement from the Heart in full if a Labor government is elected.
“If you vote for a Labor government on May 21, the work of building that better future will start the very next day,” Albanese said during his speech at Labor’s official campaign launch. ”
My fellow Australians, as we gather here in the great state of Western Australia, on the lands of the Noongar nation, I am proud to promise that our government will work with first nations peoples to implement the Uluru Statement from the Heart in full.
“We will deliver a constitutionally enshrined voice to our parliament. This will be an uplifting moment of healing and unity for our parliament. And
the same spirit as the national apology to the stolen generations as delivered by
prime minister Kevin Rudd.”
https://www.smh.com.au/national/election-2022-live-updates-anthony-albanese-to-launch-labor-s-campaign-in-perth-scott-morrison-pledges-to-crack-down-on-big-tech-20220501-p5ahh8.html?post=p53nnu#p53nnu
Jobs and Skills Australia – winner there. Take that jobs jobs jobs Morrison.
ltep says:
Sunday, May 1, 2022 at 2:08 pm
I don’t get it, how can the speaker decide when Chapman resigns? Sorry not a subscriber.
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She must not have nominated a date in her letter, therefore the Speaker may be bound to use the date on the letter. She can’t have her cake and eat too.
How weird if she sent a formal letter to the Speaker. Normally you would just announce an intention to resign to the media, then actually sent the formal resignation letter on your chosen day.
If it’s just that she has announced but not set a formal day, that’s none of the Speaker’s business and he should butt out.
Any chance SA Labor could pick up Vicki Chapman’s seat in the byelection?
Malinauskas is having a political honeymoon after all.
Just got robopolled but no information on by whom.
Asking voting intention questions and on reflection knew the electorate
Ha ha albo has upped the Medicare contribution by $12.50, $2.50 more than Morrison. Will scomo match it.
The LNP campaign launch is in the last week of the campaign – I wonder why it is so late.
Queenslander’s still don’t get it. I hope there’s enough seats elsewhere to get Labor over the line.
ltep says:
Sunday, May 1, 2022 at 2:14 pm
How weird if she sent a formal letter to the Speaker. Normally you would just announce an intention to resign to the media, then actually sent the formal resignation letter on your chosen day.
If it’s just that she has announced but not set a formal day, that’s none of the Speaker’s business and he should butt out.
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Not really cobber – Speaker doing his job.
“Mr Cregan told Ms Chapman in the letter that he would on Monday seek to call a by-election in the inner eastern seat of Bragg.
He said he had received her resignation letter on April 26 and that in his opinion the Constitution Act was clear.
“The words of (Section 30) leave little room for doubt; a seat becomes vacant as soon as the Speaker receives a resignation letter,” Mr Cregan said.
“As I have observed the letter was received by me on 26 April, 2022. Importantly, (section 30) does not allow for the member to propose a date in the future at which a resignation will take place.”
Mr Cregan has given Ms Chapman the opportunity to provide an alternative course of action.”
https://amp.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/vickie-chapman-faces-earlier-than-expected-exit-from-sa-parliament/news-story/3ba77ce12952bf673722f468242ea9e8
Last week because they want more attention then, plus parties need to start paying for more stuff themselves after the official launch.
I think it’s unlikely the launch will give them much in the way of votes.
Albo is doing fine, he doesn’t present as well as Wong, Clare or McGowan but he seems a genuine and well-meaning person which is a strong contrast to Morrison. I like how they’ve highlighted a collaborative approach with the overall strength of the team and the strong record of the WA state Labor govt to show that voters can expect a competent federal Labor govt. They’ve also made the case that Labor is the only major party to introduce reforms to help the lives of ordinary people, based on their past record in government. Brought the numerous faults of the Morrison govt but haven’t fixated on them. Overall a compelling case to elect a Labor govt – but I’m not one of the people that needs to be convinced – we’ll see how it plays in voterland.
Woke-pc-thug says:
Sunday, May 1, 2022 at 2:16 pm
The LNP campaign launch is in the last week of the campaign – I wonder why it is so late.
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Because the Tories can continue to use taxpayer funds until their launch. Labor will now have to pay costs. But hey SfM and his mob are good at wasting taxpayer $$$$$$ – another angle to spear them with
Evan @ #666 Sunday, May 1st, 2022 – 1:44 pm
I doubt it. Bragg is pretty blue ribbon and a lot of the anger against the previous government has been quelled. Maybe an independent could pick it up if they have a high enough profile and maybe if Chapman wants to make it messy but at this point I think it will be an open and shut Liberal retain.
As I said upnorth; how weird that she sent the letter of resignation. If she did then I agree, date of receipt should be taken to be date of resignation.
ltep says:
Sunday, May 1, 2022 at 2:19 pm
As I said upnorth; how weird that she sent the letter of resignation. If she did then I agree, date of receipt should be taken to be date of resignation.
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Yes digger mad as a cut snake.
Pick up the seat of Bragg? Not a snowballs chance, ……the luvvies in their Bentleys would rather do a days real work than vote Labor
MJ
“Albo is doing fine, he doesn’t present as well as Wong, Clare or McGowan but he seems a genuine and well-meaning person which is a strong contrast to Morrison. ”
Agreed. Albo has never pretended to be a smooth talker. The fact he is not, but sincere, underlines perfectly the fact that Morrison is an insincere smooth-talker.
That being said, I think this is one of Albo’s best speeches. He is sounding more confident.
Upnorth @ #677 Sunday, May 1st, 2022 – 2:21 pm
That’s angry mad. ‘Two bob’ watch mad that dum dum. Or as a ‘hatter’, brain dead mad.
Re-heating the “I don’t think I know” line always gets a good guffaw.
… And a great segue to Albo committing to a National Anti-Corruption Commission.
“You’ve earned a better future” is a great line, coopting the voter and giving them worth.
A workmanlike performance from Albo – played to his strengths, that’s all he needed to do.
The bed wetters can relax, he done good, played strong.
ItzaDream says:
Sunday, May 1, 2022 at 2:27 pm
Upnorth @ #677 Sunday, May 1st, 2022 – 2:21 pm
ltep says:
Sunday, May 1, 2022 at 2:19 pm
As I said upnorth; how weird that she sent the letter of resignation. If she did then I agree, date of receipt should be taken to be date of resignation.
===================
Yes digger mad as a cut snake.
That’s angry mad. ‘Two bob’ watch mad that dum dum. Or as a ‘hatter’, brain dead mad.
=====================
No cobber she is as “Mad as a Cut Snake” because the God Bother’er won the leadership and she spat the dummy. But agree she is probably mad as a two bob watch.
nath @ #488 Sunday, May 1st, 2022 – 12:31 pm
Typical Liberal
https://www.sbs.com.au/ondemand/video/2022508099770/google-it-mate-greens-leader-adam-bandt-criticises-fact-checking-question-at-national-press-club?/?cx_cid=od:search:sem:convert:alwayson::prog&gclid=Cj0KCQjwvLOTBhCJARIsACVldV3J_Lyhk-8cBduXc-6hZSmtEHZOoMjTUjaTgCAN_wvhHVrEiEDvtwYaAmnrEALw_wcB&gclsrc=aw.ds
Given he gave his speech off the back of the plague, Albanese did a sterling job. Labor by 10.
right on cue … FF with Perfect being the enemy of awesome. yawn.
Probyn just seems odd today, maybe had a big night on the turps.
Pro yn and Jennet seem a bit deflated that Albo actually went very well.
Albo was great. A very coherent pitch.
Good pitch, everything is costed and nothing will scare the horses.
They also bettered the pbs improvement.
I can’t believe the term “bed wetter” made a shameless comeback on this place, despite the amount of egg that landed on the faces of those who threw it around liberally in 2019.
Given our resoutces of Iron Ore and sunlight, there’s a lot of potential upside to Australian iron and steel production with green technology. Hydrogen is a reducing agent just like Carbon, except the oxygen from the reduced oxide comes out as water not CO2. A lab process was patented in the 50s
In fact whoever gets the patent on a working industrial process for hydrogen reduction of iron ore will be sitting on a trillion bucks. Siemens or someone will beat the modern CSIRO to it most likely- despite whatever lessons that could be taken from BHP’s abandoned gas based hot briquetted iron plant in the 90s in the (?)Pilbara- , but we still will have a comparative advantage because of our access to ore and renewable energy
Along with the replacement for portland cement, it’s the sort of transformative reseach the CSIRO should be returned to doing
ABC commentators (Probyn and ?) generally complimentary – Albo’s speech was “energetic”.
Pointing out that Albo’s promises exceed the governments’ in areas like PBS reforms.
If only the lnp didn’t defund the CSIRO.
If Labor win the election but only in minority or with a very small majority which is probably the best they can hope for with what’s being seen in most crystal balls, the Coalition and PHON will probably have a blocking majority in the Senate.
Legislatively impotent, they would have to go to a double dissolution within 1-2 years. But with rising interest rates and falling property prices and negative growth in real wages it’s impossible for them to win.
PM Dutton within 18 months regardless of who wins this month.
Can I have some of what you are having – an empty chair is more popular than voldemort.
Boinzo says:
Sunday, May 1, 2022 at 2:34 pm
right on cue … FF with Perfect being the enemy of awesome. yawn.
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The Greens impotency shines through.