SA election: call of the board

The finer points of Labor’s South Australian election win, and a closer look at the seats still in doubt.

Tuesday night

The Electoral Commission website is finally publishing two-candidate preferred results, but as ever there remains the South Australian peculiarity that the declaration votes are not being broken down into separate results for pre-polls, postals and absents, so we will have little guidance as to why what’s happening is happening as these results inevitably bounce around over the next week or so. After essentially no progress in the count on Monday, declaration votes started being reported in some seats yesterday.

The ABC rates nine seats as being in varying degrees of doubt, but I’m not inclined to agree with respect to Hammond, where declaration votes can only widen Liberal member Adrian Pederick’s 51.3-48.7 lead over independent Airlie Keen, who seems unlikely to make the final count in any case. That leaves clear results of 26 for Labor, 12 for Liberal and four for independents. Not among the in doubt is one seat I should have mentioned in the previous update: Gibson, where the identification of errors and the allocation of saved informal votes in accordance with registered party tickets on Saturday increased the size of Labor’s lead from 486 to an insurmountable 1055. That leaves:

Dunstan. Early indications are that this is going as I thought it might, with the first batch of declaration votes breaking 924-792 in favour of Steven Marshall, reducing the Labor lead from 143 to 11.

Finniss. Despite 1939 declaration votes breaking 1115-824 in favour of Liberal member David Basham over independent candidate Lou Nicholson on the two-party preferred candidate, it remains clear that he will not close the gap. So the issue remains whether Nicholson will indeed made the final count, or whether it will be a Liberal-Labor contest in which Basham will presumably prevail. The declaration votes so far suggest she won’t make it, as they have reduced her overall primary vote from 23.0% to 21.6% while increasing Labor’s from 23.4% to 23.7%.

Morialta. Liberal member John Gardner seems very unlikely to lose from here, the first batch of declaration votes having increased his margin from 145 to 347.

Unley. Another one that will shortly be off the Liberals’ endangered list if the first declaration votes are any guide: they have broken 680-402 in favour of Liberal member David Pisoni, increasing his lead from 92 to 370.

Waite. Liberal candidate Alexander Hyde needed declaration votes to break perhaps 64-36 in his favour to rein in Catherine Hutchesson’s lead on the two-candidate count – implausible as this seemed, he’s come close on the first batch, which have broken 609-376 his way (so 61.8%). Independent Heather Holmes-Ross nudging her way to the final count on preferences should continue to be rated very unlikely.

Sunday night

The news kept getting worse for the Liberals in today’s counting, thanks to two new two-candidate preference counts in seats where the wrong candidates were picked for the count on the night:

Waite. After conducting a preference count between Liberal candidate Alexander Hyde and independent Heather Holmes-Ross on the night, which made it clear Hyde would lose if Holmes-Ross made the final count, today a new count was conducted between Hyde and Labor candidate Catherine Hutchesson that made it clear he would lose to her too. That seems far the most likely outcome, with primary votes of Labor 27.4%, Liberal 24.5%, 18.9% for Liberal-turned-independent incumbent Sam Duluk and 15.3% for Holmes-Ross. Preferences from the Greens (12.0%) and Animal Justice (1.9%) could theoretically cause either independent to reduce the Liberals to third place and leave Labor and the independent at the final account, but that seems very unlikely. Labor thus looks poised to win the state’s second most affluent seat, which has it has neither won before now, either as Waite or in its previous incarnation as Mitcham going back to 1938.

Flinders. Liberal candidate Sam Telfer has 45.3% of the primary vote here, which in a field of six candidates that includes the Nationals would normally be enough. However, a two-candidate preferred count between Telfer and independent candidate Liz Habermann, which has thus far accounted for 10 out of 27 booths, finds preferences splitting 78-22 in favour of Habermann. According to the ABC, this suggests Habermann is ahead according to a method that matches the 10 booths with their equivalent results from 2018. However, projecting the preference flow so far across the primary votes puts Telfer ahead 51.1-48.9. I would also suggest that postal votes are likely to favour him. Should she fall short, the possibility of Habermann running in Grey at the federal election was canvassed on the ABC’s Insiders this morning.

Dunstan. Labor’s Cressida O’Hanlon trailed here 7191 to 7095 at the close on Saturday, but now leads 7376 to 7233. The ABC site explains: “Greens and Family First votes with insufficient preferences that were saved by SA’s unique ticket voting provision have been added today. Both parties lodged tickets flowing to Labor so that has added around 170 votes to Labor’s total.” That leaves him 0.5% behind, but my judgement yesterday that late counting was likely to improve his position by over 1% isn’t affected by this. It remains uncomfortably close for him, though presumably there is a strong chance of him retiring from politics and O’Hanlon getting a second crack at a by-election if she falls short.

Saturday night

Labor went into the election with 19 seats out of 47, had an easy gain in Florey with the departure of independent Frances Bedford, and have made it to a clear majority with five further gains from the Liberals. I count five potential further gains, including Steven Marshall’s seat of Dunstan, though I only reckon them to be ahead in one, and a sixth if they win Waite from a Liberal-turned-independent, which is very hard to call.

The Liberals won 25 seats in 2018, which had reduced to 22 by the election with three members moving to the cross-bench. Two of these three have been re-elected as independents while the third has been defeated – as just noted, it’s not clear whether by Liberal or Labor. If that seat remains with the Liberals and the other close races go their way, they will finish on 17. However, there is one further seat that may yet fall to an independent. Geoff Brock has proved net neutral for the Liberals in that the party gained his old seat of Frome, but have now lost Stuart to him. This leaves three or maybe four independents, or perhaps even five if it’s an independent who gets up in the complex race for Waite.

The display on the ABC site rates the most likely outcome as Labor on 28 seats, when they in fact lead in only 27. This would be the result of a probability-based determination that rates Labor as most likely to get over the line in one of the several seats where it is slightly behind, without any commitment as to which one.

The ABC’s system has booth-matching switched off, so the swings it shows are simply the pre-election margins as compared with the current raw totals. The analysis that follows, by contrast, compares election day booth results with their equivalent from last time, those being the only votes counted as of yet. All we will get today is rechecking and perhaps the reporting of a few straggler booths that didn’t get their two-candidate preferred results in from last night – counting of pre-polls, postals and absent votes, which by my reckoning should account for a bit less than 40% of the total, will begin on Monday. A further complication is that I have consistently used the post-redistribution margins calculated by the Boundaries Commission, which differ from those Antony Green has calculated for the ABC.

Labor gains:

Adelaide: The election day vote was completed at the end of the night, and showed the 0.8% Liberal margin easily accounted for by a 6.6% swing to Labor.

Davenport: The most impressive of Labor’s gains was its first ever win in Davenport, achieved by Erin Thompson with an 11.8% swing against Liberal member Steve Murray, who went into the election with a margin of 8.4%.

Elder: One of the four easy pickings for Labor with margins of less than 2% — precisely so in this case — swung to Labor by 7.5%, with Labor’s Nadia Clancy gaining the seat from Liberal member Carolyn Power.

King: The Liberals’ hope of toughing it out here on the back of Paula Leuthen’s sophomore surge weren’t realised — against a 0.8% margin, Labor’s Rhiannon Pearce scored a 3.9% swing.

Newland: In the tightest of the Liberal marginals, Labor’s Olivia Savvas did it easily with a swing of 5.0% (one booth is yet to report on the two-candidate preferred count, but this won’t matter much). In her bid to move from Florey, which she held for Labor from 1997 to 2017 and as an independent thereafter, Frances Bedford finished a very distant third with 11.9%.

Down to the wire:

Dunstan: Outgoing Premier Steven Marshall leads after counting of election day votes by 7191 to 7095, a margin of 0.3%. I calculate this as a swing of 6.2%, which given his margin of 8.1% suggests he’s likely to prevail. However, that’s the Boundaries Commission’s estimate of the margin — Antony Green only has it at 7.5%.

Gibson: The election day booths swung 10.7% to Labor, exceeding a Liberal margin of 9.9%, but not by so much that you’d call it.

Morialta: Outgoing Education Minister John Gardner had a 9.9% margin going in according to the Boundaries Commission, but only 9.4% according to Antony Green. On the election day vote he copped a swing of 8.6%.

Unley: This has been a pretty safe Liberal seat since 1993, and while David Pisoni looks like retaining it, he suffered a scare in the form of a 9.8% swing to Labor against a margin of 11.2%.

Waite: This one is very hard to read: the two-candidate preferred count has independent Heather Holmes-Ross leading Liberal candidate Alexander Hyde by 55.3% to 44.7%, but this will only apply if Holmes-Ross makes the final count and she’s actually running fourth. It’s theoretically possible that preferences from the Greens (12.0%) and Animal Justice (1.9%) could help her close the 18.9% to 15.3% gap against Liberal-turned-indepenent member Sam Duluk, and that Duluk’s preferences could then push her ahead of Hyde, although a lot of Duluk’s preferences will presumably go straight to Hyde. In that case, it comes down to a race between Hyde and Labor candidate Catherine Hutchesson that could go either way, with the result depending on the preferences of the nearly 50% of voters who voted for neither, about which we can only speculate.

Notable contests involving independents:

Stuart: I personally didn’t like Geoff Brock’s chances against Deputy Premier Dan van Holst Pellekaan, to which he moved after his home base of Port Pirie was transferred to the electorate from his existing seat of Frome. So it was a very substantial surprise that he romped home with 65.9% of the vote on the two-candidate preferred count at the end of the night, albeit that postal votes will undoubtedly rein that in a fair bit.

Kavel: Liberal-turned-independent Dan Cregan scored a thumping win with a majority on the primary vote.

Narungga: Another Liberal-turned-independent, Fraser Ellis, has comfortably retained his seat ahead of Liberal candidate Tom Michael with 58.9% on ECSA’s two-candidate preferred count, from primary votes of 32.4% for Ellis, 28.1% for Michael and 20.2% for Labor.

Finniss: ECSA conducted a count between Liberal member David Basham and independent candidate Lou Nicholson in which Nicholson polled 5590 of the election day votes (54.7%) and Basham polled 4625 (45.3%). However, this only applies if Nicholson makes the final preference count, which would seem to be touch and go — Basham is on 36.9%, Labor’s Amy Hueppauff is on 23.5% and Nicholson is on 22.9%, so Nicholson has a gap to close on preferences. Otherwise the final count will be Basham versus Hueppauff, in which case Basham should win fairly comfortably.

Florey: Worth noting as a Labor gain, but with independent Frances Bedford vacating the seat for an unsuccessful run in Newland, this was a mere formality.

Frome: Similarly, this predictably returned to the Liberals with Geoff Brock’s move to Stuart,

Finally, a bit over half of the count for the Legislative Council has been conducted, and the most likely result looks like being five seats for Labor, four for the Liberals and one each for the Greens and One Nation, the latter being in line for their first ever seat in the South Australian parliament. Taken together with the ongoing members elected in 2018, this will mean a chamber of nine Labor members, eight Liberals, two Greens, two from SA-Best and one from One Nation.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

387 comments on “SA election: call of the board”

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  1. Asha, can you work out what the NSW minister’s complaint was? Half of the sentences quoted from him make it sound like the problem is that the party is spending too much time combating woke issues, and the other half of the sentences make it sound like the problem is that the party is spending too much time implementing woke issues. It was the recent SA and NSW Liberal governments that made abortion legal in all parts of Australia, and a recent federal Coalition government that made marriage equality the law of the land.

    Is the party moving from the centre-right to the far right (and losing its base, reliable voters), or to the centre (and losing its base, volunteers)? I just can’t tell from that article.

  2. @Snappy Tom

    Interestingly SA is averaging 3000-4000 Covid cases a day and only has 20% of the population of NSW.. so pro-rata SA may be actually having more cases a day?

  3. The fourteen day isolation for close contacts is crippling the state for no gain. I’d also like to point out listening to Spurrier does NOT mean you are following the science. She isn’t an infectious diseases expert and she regularly doesn’t follow the advice given to her but the genuine experts.

  4. Asha
    Woke issues in this case were abortion and euthanasia reform. Hardly “woke”. Just not what the fundies wanted. The right wing of the Libs went nuts.

  5. Diogenes, SA quarantine for close contacts is currently 7 days if you don’t have a positive RAT and/or PCR test, I’m currently into my 5th day of quarantine as a “close contact”, have just returned my 3rd negative RAT test and hopefully will be “out of iso” on Thursday after my final negative test. If you develop symptoms and test positive during isolation the clock starts ticking again.

  6. Redron. And similar for positive test isolation. 7 days after test. PCRl test not much use for end of 7 day – generally shows positive based on shedding covid particles. RAT way to go for end of infection time.

  7. Mike Rann
    @Mike_Rann
    A big contingent of Federal Lib strategists worked on the SA Lib campaign. They wanted the re-election of Libs in SA to halt the momentum towards a change of government nationally. They really let Steven Marshall down. Will Scott Morrison continue to have faith in their advice?

  8. Spence and Redron

    Sorry I should have specified that 14 days is for high risk areas like hospitals etc. All the hospitals are ignoring it and using RATs combined with fairly strict PPE instead.
    The value of cloth masks being worn for the thirtieth time is also very debatable.

  9. @ Greensborough Growler

    The whole term of the Govt had a very Federal and impersonal feel. Suspect a very close relationship between the PMO and PO every step of the way….lots of strategic co-funding and diary coordination (ie PM’s visit to Boothby a few days after borders opened). But after being in the wilderness so long, I guess mentoring and guidance about how to govern again was always going to be welcome.

    By the time the election proper came around it was way too late to change direction and there was too much baggage anyway.

    Maybe the Feds hope the electorate has taken its fury out on the State election and calms down by May?

    Other curious thing was the focus on space, still, at the pointy end of the campaign. Seemed odd to waste precious media attention talking about sending people to other planets when we were struggling to deal with basic life-on-earth stuff, like getting an ambulance on time. Total disconnect.

  10. Diogenes. Thanks for the info. What sort of numbers of people working in hospitals have had Covid. What level of workers are off work in isolation over last few weeks. How is the system coping?

  11. Asha @ #250 Tuesday, March 22nd, 2022 – 12:07 am

    NSW Transport Minister David Elliott reveals the real reason the SA Libs lost on Saturday:

    This is just like when Labor (or another main centre-left party) loses an election somewhere and someone claims it was because they weren’t socialist enough.

    Voters don’t care about that nonsense. They elect politicians to do a job. The Liberals were elected in 2018 because Labor had been in power for 16 years and the state economic situation was dire and the health system was a mess. Marshall being a moderate was a plus not because of his position on certain issues but because he projected an ethos of pragmatism and willingness to just do the job – not muck about with politics and debating ideology. The promise of the Liberals was they would get to work on fixing the state’s woes and be competent managers. After four years, they came up dry on that fact and failed to communicate any of their successes.

    In 2006, The Rann Government was comfortably re-elected with the campaign slogan “Rann gets results” yes, there was some negative campaigning against the opposition but the main keynote was that it was an active government working hard. Marshall and his team ran on how awful Peter Malinauskas and Labor are for wanting the opportunity to come back and fix the problems the Liberals were ignoring. Abortion, euthanasia and all other issues like that weren’t an issue (outside of niche groups.) While it’s too early to speculate about 2026, I will say that, if Malinauskas and Labor want to be re-elected in four years time, they will get to work and put serious effort into fixing the problems they’ve highlighted as well as general economic improvement and then, when the time comes, communicate it – rather than talk about how bad the other side is or comment on the increasingly boring bogeyman that is ‘wokeness.’

  12. Presser re Covid:

    SA premier Peter Malinauskas says he is working to urgently increase hospital capacity ahead of a predicted increase to Covid-19 cases.

    Premier Peter Malinauskas has revealed that Covid cases could reach up to 8000 a day in April, as he outlines new plans on how his government will tackle the pandemic.

    My government does have an ambition to get closer to national consistency in that regard. I think that is good for the people of our state. I think that is good for our economy and I think that is also good for our nation as a whole – national consistency should be something that we all gravitate towards as we move through new phases of Covid-19.

  13. South Australia’s new Premier says health officials reimposed, but did not announce, a ban on some elective surgery in public hospitals on the eve of the election.

    He said the Crown Solicitor would be instructed to develop legislative options to manage COVID-19 beyond the current emergency declaration, which Malinauskas said would not be extended beyond June 30.

  14. The 14 day isolation for close contacts also currently applies to anyone who cant quarantine away from a positive case – effectively consigning any parent to a 14 day quarantine. Perversely, if you also get sick, then it drops to 7 days! The added unintended consequence is that younger children will exit quarantine after 7 days but still cant go to school (or anywhere) because the parents still cant leave the house.
    (When our daughter recently got a positive diagnosis we actively encouraged her to cough on us so that we could shorten our quarantine to 7 days but it didn’t work)

  15. Spence
    It’s pretty bad. All hospitals are really struggling. About 10% of workers would be off under the 14 day rule at any time (this includes having to take leave for your kid who is out) and that’s not viable long term.
    As you saw above, we are expecting an increase in cases and cuts to elective surgery.

  16. SA premier Peter Malinauskas says he is working to urgently increase hospital capacity ahead of a predicted increase to Covid-19 cases.

    It is everywhere man. The silver lining is the number of triple vaxed (and possibly vaxed + infected) numbers in the populace are high enough to keep hospital admissions down to some extent while cases rise.

    Where is the PR to get triple vaxed beyond the 70% current intake? Or are boosters no longer of importance?

  17. The dramatic swing against the Marshall Government on Saturday has already seen three former cabinet ministers lose their seats and left a slew of other blue-ribbon electorates in danger of falling to Labor or a local independent.

    As the Electoral Commission begins its second day of counting pre-poll and postal votes, it appears likely that former Primary Industries Minister David Basham will join ousted Deputy Premier Dan Van Holst Pellekaan, Transport Minister Corey Wingard and Child Protection Minister Rachel Sanderson in losing a seat.

    The former Premier’s seat of Dunstan is still too close to call while Liberal frontbenchers John Gardner and David Pisoni are yet to get over the line in notionally safe suburban seats.

    But all three are likely to stay in parliament once pre-poll and postal votes are counted.

    https://indaily.com.au/news/2022/03/22/postal-votes-set-to-rescue-marshall-and-besieged-libs/

  18. Diogs,

    What’s your view on the Health Department cancelling elective surgery but not announcing it to the public?

  19. Diog 4 hours is ridiculous with a variant that can infect you in minutes. Follow the science.

    The science doesnt tell you how to manage a pandemic. It tells you, with some uncertainty, the effects certain decisions or lack of decisions will have. A leader will insist on fearless and honest expert advice but make decisions based on risk minimisation and broader consequences and constraints.

    It may seem a good idea considering the loonies that often get into high positions of some political parties, but we really dont want a technocracy.

  20. NSW Minister David Elliott also said the Libs lost in SA because they were too woke.

    So did Greg Brown of the Australian on ABC Adelaide Radio this morning. Spreading faster than Covid.

  21. Guy must have tested positive on a RAT to go for the PCR. I hope he is alright. Covid’s been a bugger for me this last week. Happily, I’m out of iso tomorrow.

    Only two more weeks till the plaster comes off the leg!

  22. In the cold light of day, I think Labor’s only realistic prospect of picking up an extra seat is Waite. It’s hard to see O’Hanlon picking up Dunstan, but you never know.

  23. GG

    Of course, what else could it be! When too far right is never enough.

    Reminds me of former Greens Senator Lee Rhiannon complaining the Greens were not radical enough when she was finally forced out of the Senate.

  24. There is movement at the station. Declaration votes dropping and favouring the Liberals. Green has a twitter post.

  25. Pi @ #277 Tuesday, March 22nd, 2022 – 2:24 pm

    Why is no-one talking about the fact that Croydon only got a 2.6% swing to Peter Malinauskas in the SA election, when the overall swing for the state was far larger?

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/sa/2022/guide/croy

    There should be an advertiser piece on this. Surely this means that the voters aren’t happy with the ALP leader.

    Damn right. Only 2.6% swing? That should be just the advantage you get from being up against someone with a goatie. 76% 2PP suggests he isnt well liked in his electorate at all. The Advertiser is such a lefty rag!

  26. Simon Katich_says:
    Tuesday, March 22, 2022 at 2:28 pm
    “NSW Minister David Elliott also said the Libs lost in SA because they were too woke.

    So did Greg Brown of the Australian on ABC Adelaide Radio this morning. Spreading faster than Covid.”

    So what the Libs and Murdochracy learnt is that Marshall should have swung to the right?
    Maybe he should have invited Dutton to campaign with him. Yep that would work. Not.

  27. “Peter Malinauskas hemorrhaging voter support after taking ALP leadership! Questions are being asked about who is going to challenge him. And when!”

    Where do I pick up my paycheque?

    ProTip: Don’t have your google search selection set to images when looking up the spelling of “hemorrhaging”.

  28. I’m not so sure about Marshall -are the recent additions postals or prepolls? If they are postals, he isn’t gaining at a particularly rapid rate (prepolls may tell a different story). Its obviously going to be very close.

  29. I’m quite happy for the Libs to take the lesson as being they are “too woke”. That should help ensure they don’t do anything smart before the federal election like adopting policy positions that ordinary Australians actually like.

    By the way, does “too woke” mean that abortion and prostitution should be crimes again? Is that Liberal Party policy now?

    Of course we will never know because the media doesn’t ask such questions of these people.

  30. Pi @ #280 Tuesday, March 22nd, 2022 – 2:43 pm

    “Peter Malinauskas hemorrhaging voter support after taking ALP leadership! Questions are being asked about who is going to challenge him. And when!”

    Where do I pick up my paycheque?

    ProTip: Don’t have your google search selection set to images when looking up the spelling of “hemorrhaging”.

    Don’t forget his deputy is a woman. So we have to begin tarring her as a Machiavellian power-hungry schemer ASAP, so we can push the “Thatwoman is plotting against her leader” narrative when the time comes.

  31. ‘Patrick Bateman says:
    Tuesday, March 22, 2022 at 3:39 pm

    I’m quite happy for the Libs to take the lesson as being they are “too woke”. That should help ensure they don’t do anything smart before the federal election like adopting policy positions that ordinary Australians actually like.

    By the way, does “too woke” mean that abortion and prostitution should be crimes again? Is that Liberal Party policy now?

    Of course we will never know because the media doesn’t ask such questions of these people’
    ———————————————————–
    Unless I have it wrong, there were specific references to Marshall’s stance on climate.

  32. If the best Labor do is 27 seats out of 47, surely that’s far more than most people predicted?
    Looking on from NSW and not knowing much about South Australia, the new Premier looks a class act to me, definite star quality and intelligence and a very classy victory speech on Saturday night too.
    In a superficial way, it helps too that he’s handsome and looks good in a pair of swimming trunks.
    Assuming the new government fixes up health and ambulance waiting times in the next 4 years, they could be in for a few terms.

  33. Party discipline is clearly becoming an increasing problem across the board. The Fed libs have shed MPs. The Fed Nats have had people who were virtually sitting on the cross bench.
    The Indies are totally without discipline, of course. They can do and say what they want and they do and say what they want. Magic thinking is no bar to them.
    One Nation has had its share of ship jumpings.
    The NSW state Libs have to sack someone for something.
    Thorpe runs Bandt. Jordan Steele-John freelances on the Greens defence policies. Rhiannon had to be managed out.
    It bodes well for Albanese that he has managed to develop complex and sensitive policies over a period of years in Opposition without Labor MPs bailing on him.

  34. I swear, it’s like the ABC deliberately tries to make their election results pages as hard to find as possible. As soon as they stop featuring it on the front page, you generally find yourself clicking through something like four or five links before you can get to it.

  35. ‘Evan Parsons says:
    Tuesday, March 22, 2022 at 5:22 pm

    If the best Labor do is 27 seats out of 47, surely that’s far more than most people predicted?
    Looking on from NSW and not knowing much about South Australia, the new Premier looks a class act to me, definite star quality and intelligence and a very classy victory speech on Saturday night too.
    In a superficial way, it helps too that he’s handsome and looks good in a pair of swimming trunks.
    Assuming the new government fixes up health and ambulance waiting times in the next 4 years, they could be in for a few terms.’
    ==========================
    It seems to me that the real issue for South Australia is this: is it possible to imagine significant economic growth for a state that is at the wrong end of the MDB for irrigation and in which the Goyder Line is heading South? Manufacturing? Services industries? A significant problem is an ageing population which is becoming less productive and which needs more government interventions.

  36. It’s always the way in elections, postal votes favour the Liberals, pre poll and absentee votes are kinder to Labor.
    In the case of Dunstan, if what now is being counted are postal votes, that’s helping Marshall make up the gap, but if pre polls and absentees trend towards the Labor candidate, that will make the final result extremely close.
    I presume by now only Dunstan and Waite are in doubt? Unley’s trended back towards the Libs.
    ABC now giving Flinders to the Libs too.

  37. GG

    “What’s your view on the Health Department cancelling elective surgery but not announcing it to the public?”

    Disgraceful. It was a clearly partisan political decision by an incompetent CEO who shoulld be sacked by the end of the week. Frankly Spurrier must be close to getting sacked for allowing the lie that we are over the peak to be repeated when she was sitting on modelling showing 7-10k a day.

    Flinders Medical Centre has been having outbreaks of Covid on their wards which has stretched them beyond breaking point. All due to poor planning and bureaucrats out of their depth who talk the talk but can’t walk the talk.

  38. Another Antony Green blog update on Waite
    “5:30pm – scrutineer reports from Waite that Duluk preference leakage to Holmes-Ross (Independent – Mitcham Mayor) has dried up on today’s counting making it much harder for her to pass Labor and reach second place. That makes it much easier for Labor to win Waite.”

  39. Made it public and hoped McGowan would resign. Mali has talked about sacking CEOs so McGowan must know what’s coming.
    Nick Reade would be checking the classifieds as well.

  40. Diogs,

    Thanks.

    I’m presuming it’s not Mark MacGowan of WA fame.

    So, you’re up for a clean out.

    Any chance of a Diogs regime?

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