Tuesday night
The Electoral Commission website is finally publishing two-candidate preferred results, but as ever there remains the South Australian peculiarity that the declaration votes are not being broken down into separate results for pre-polls, postals and absents, so we will have little guidance as to why what’s happening is happening as these results inevitably bounce around over the next week or so. After essentially no progress in the count on Monday, declaration votes started being reported in some seats yesterday.
The ABC rates nine seats as being in varying degrees of doubt, but I’m not inclined to agree with respect to Hammond, where declaration votes can only widen Liberal member Adrian Pederick’s 51.3-48.7 lead over independent Airlie Keen, who seems unlikely to make the final count in any case. That leaves clear results of 26 for Labor, 12 for Liberal and four for independents. Not among the in doubt is one seat I should have mentioned in the previous update: Gibson, where the identification of errors and the allocation of saved informal votes in accordance with registered party tickets on Saturday increased the size of Labor’s lead from 486 to an insurmountable 1055. That leaves:
Dunstan. Early indications are that this is going as I thought it might, with the first batch of declaration votes breaking 924-792 in favour of Steven Marshall, reducing the Labor lead from 143 to 11.
Finniss. Despite 1939 declaration votes breaking 1115-824 in favour of Liberal member David Basham over independent candidate Lou Nicholson on the two-party preferred candidate, it remains clear that he will not close the gap. So the issue remains whether Nicholson will indeed made the final count, or whether it will be a Liberal-Labor contest in which Basham will presumably prevail. The declaration votes so far suggest she won’t make it, as they have reduced her overall primary vote from 23.0% to 21.6% while increasing Labor’s from 23.4% to 23.7%.
Morialta. Liberal member John Gardner seems very unlikely to lose from here, the first batch of declaration votes having increased his margin from 145 to 347.
Unley. Another one that will shortly be off the Liberals’ endangered list if the first declaration votes are any guide: they have broken 680-402 in favour of Liberal member David Pisoni, increasing his lead from 92 to 370.
Waite. Liberal candidate Alexander Hyde needed declaration votes to break perhaps 64-36 in his favour to rein in Catherine Hutchesson’s lead on the two-candidate count – implausible as this seemed, he’s come close on the first batch, which have broken 609-376 his way (so 61.8%). Independent Heather Holmes-Ross nudging her way to the final count on preferences should continue to be rated very unlikely.
Sunday night
The news kept getting worse for the Liberals in today’s counting, thanks to two new two-candidate preference counts in seats where the wrong candidates were picked for the count on the night:
Waite. After conducting a preference count between Liberal candidate Alexander Hyde and independent Heather Holmes-Ross on the night, which made it clear Hyde would lose if Holmes-Ross made the final count, today a new count was conducted between Hyde and Labor candidate Catherine Hutchesson that made it clear he would lose to her too. That seems far the most likely outcome, with primary votes of Labor 27.4%, Liberal 24.5%, 18.9% for Liberal-turned-independent incumbent Sam Duluk and 15.3% for Holmes-Ross. Preferences from the Greens (12.0%) and Animal Justice (1.9%) could theoretically cause either independent to reduce the Liberals to third place and leave Labor and the independent at the final account, but that seems very unlikely. Labor thus looks poised to win the state’s second most affluent seat, which has it has neither won before now, either as Waite or in its previous incarnation as Mitcham going back to 1938.
Flinders. Liberal candidate Sam Telfer has 45.3% of the primary vote here, which in a field of six candidates that includes the Nationals would normally be enough. However, a two-candidate preferred count between Telfer and independent candidate Liz Habermann, which has thus far accounted for 10 out of 27 booths, finds preferences splitting 78-22 in favour of Habermann. According to the ABC, this suggests Habermann is ahead according to a method that matches the 10 booths with their equivalent results from 2018. However, projecting the preference flow so far across the primary votes puts Telfer ahead 51.1-48.9. I would also suggest that postal votes are likely to favour him. Should she fall short, the possibility of Habermann running in Grey at the federal election was canvassed on the ABC’s Insiders this morning.
Dunstan. Labor’s Cressida O’Hanlon trailed here 7191 to 7095 at the close on Saturday, but now leads 7376 to 7233. The ABC site explains: “Greens and Family First votes with insufficient preferences that were saved by SA’s unique ticket voting provision have been added today. Both parties lodged tickets flowing to Labor so that has added around 170 votes to Labor’s total.” That leaves him 0.5% behind, but my judgement yesterday that late counting was likely to improve his position by over 1% isn’t affected by this. It remains uncomfortably close for him, though presumably there is a strong chance of him retiring from politics and O’Hanlon getting a second crack at a by-election if she falls short.
Saturday night
Labor went into the election with 19 seats out of 47, had an easy gain in Florey with the departure of independent Frances Bedford, and have made it to a clear majority with five further gains from the Liberals. I count five potential further gains, including Steven Marshall’s seat of Dunstan, though I only reckon them to be ahead in one, and a sixth if they win Waite from a Liberal-turned-independent, which is very hard to call.
The Liberals won 25 seats in 2018, which had reduced to 22 by the election with three members moving to the cross-bench. Two of these three have been re-elected as independents while the third has been defeated – as just noted, it’s not clear whether by Liberal or Labor. If that seat remains with the Liberals and the other close races go their way, they will finish on 17. However, there is one further seat that may yet fall to an independent. Geoff Brock has proved net neutral for the Liberals in that the party gained his old seat of Frome, but have now lost Stuart to him. This leaves three or maybe four independents, or perhaps even five if it’s an independent who gets up in the complex race for Waite.
The display on the ABC site rates the most likely outcome as Labor on 28 seats, when they in fact lead in only 27. This would be the result of a probability-based determination that rates Labor as most likely to get over the line in one of the several seats where it is slightly behind, without any commitment as to which one.
The ABC’s system has booth-matching switched off, so the swings it shows are simply the pre-election margins as compared with the current raw totals. The analysis that follows, by contrast, compares election day booth results with their equivalent from last time, those being the only votes counted as of yet. All we will get today is rechecking and perhaps the reporting of a few straggler booths that didn’t get their two-candidate preferred results in from last night – counting of pre-polls, postals and absent votes, which by my reckoning should account for a bit less than 40% of the total, will begin on Monday. A further complication is that I have consistently used the post-redistribution margins calculated by the Boundaries Commission, which differ from those Antony Green has calculated for the ABC.
Labor gains:
Adelaide: The election day vote was completed at the end of the night, and showed the 0.8% Liberal margin easily accounted for by a 6.6% swing to Labor.
Davenport: The most impressive of Labor’s gains was its first ever win in Davenport, achieved by Erin Thompson with an 11.8% swing against Liberal member Steve Murray, who went into the election with a margin of 8.4%.
Elder: One of the four easy pickings for Labor with margins of less than 2% — precisely so in this case — swung to Labor by 7.5%, with Labor’s Nadia Clancy gaining the seat from Liberal member Carolyn Power.
King: The Liberals’ hope of toughing it out here on the back of Paula Leuthen’s sophomore surge weren’t realised — against a 0.8% margin, Labor’s Rhiannon Pearce scored a 3.9% swing.
Newland: In the tightest of the Liberal marginals, Labor’s Olivia Savvas did it easily with a swing of 5.0% (one booth is yet to report on the two-candidate preferred count, but this won’t matter much). In her bid to move from Florey, which she held for Labor from 1997 to 2017 and as an independent thereafter, Frances Bedford finished a very distant third with 11.9%.
Down to the wire:
Dunstan: Outgoing Premier Steven Marshall leads after counting of election day votes by 7191 to 7095, a margin of 0.3%. I calculate this as a swing of 6.2%, which given his margin of 8.1% suggests he’s likely to prevail. However, that’s the Boundaries Commission’s estimate of the margin — Antony Green only has it at 7.5%.
Gibson: The election day booths swung 10.7% to Labor, exceeding a Liberal margin of 9.9%, but not by so much that you’d call it.
Morialta: Outgoing Education Minister John Gardner had a 9.9% margin going in according to the Boundaries Commission, but only 9.4% according to Antony Green. On the election day vote he copped a swing of 8.6%.
Unley: This has been a pretty safe Liberal seat since 1993, and while David Pisoni looks like retaining it, he suffered a scare in the form of a 9.8% swing to Labor against a margin of 11.2%.
Waite: This one is very hard to read: the two-candidate preferred count has independent Heather Holmes-Ross leading Liberal candidate Alexander Hyde by 55.3% to 44.7%, but this will only apply if Holmes-Ross makes the final count and she’s actually running fourth. It’s theoretically possible that preferences from the Greens (12.0%) and Animal Justice (1.9%) could help her close the 18.9% to 15.3% gap against Liberal-turned-indepenent member Sam Duluk, and that Duluk’s preferences could then push her ahead of Hyde, although a lot of Duluk’s preferences will presumably go straight to Hyde. In that case, it comes down to a race between Hyde and Labor candidate Catherine Hutchesson that could go either way, with the result depending on the preferences of the nearly 50% of voters who voted for neither, about which we can only speculate.
Notable contests involving independents:
Stuart: I personally didn’t like Geoff Brock’s chances against Deputy Premier Dan van Holst Pellekaan, to which he moved after his home base of Port Pirie was transferred to the electorate from his existing seat of Frome. So it was a very substantial surprise that he romped home with 65.9% of the vote on the two-candidate preferred count at the end of the night, albeit that postal votes will undoubtedly rein that in a fair bit.
Kavel: Liberal-turned-independent Dan Cregan scored a thumping win with a majority on the primary vote.
Narungga: Another Liberal-turned-independent, Fraser Ellis, has comfortably retained his seat ahead of Liberal candidate Tom Michael with 58.9% on ECSA’s two-candidate preferred count, from primary votes of 32.4% for Ellis, 28.1% for Michael and 20.2% for Labor.
Finniss: ECSA conducted a count between Liberal member David Basham and independent candidate Lou Nicholson in which Nicholson polled 5590 of the election day votes (54.7%) and Basham polled 4625 (45.3%). However, this only applies if Nicholson makes the final preference count, which would seem to be touch and go — Basham is on 36.9%, Labor’s Amy Hueppauff is on 23.5% and Nicholson is on 22.9%, so Nicholson has a gap to close on preferences. Otherwise the final count will be Basham versus Hueppauff, in which case Basham should win fairly comfortably.
Florey: Worth noting as a Labor gain, but with independent Frances Bedford vacating the seat for an unsuccessful run in Newland, this was a mere formality.
Frome: Similarly, this predictably returned to the Liberals with Geoff Brock’s move to Stuart,
Finally, a bit over half of the count for the Legislative Council has been conducted, and the most likely result looks like being five seats for Labor, four for the Liberals and one each for the Greens and One Nation, the latter being in line for their first ever seat in the South Australian parliament. Taken together with the ongoing members elected in 2018, this will mean a chamber of nine Labor members, eight Liberals, two Greens, two from SA-Best and one from One Nation.
Also on the likely variances in declaration votes, there’s this from Antony on the 2020 Queensland election. Labor did much, much better than normal on postals and pre-polls, the 2PP was still markedly lower than for ordinary votes. If that’s repeated then Marshall will be without doubt reelected in Dunstan.
https://antonygreen.com.au/2020-queensland-election-results-by-vote-type/
There aren’t really any other good post COVID examples I think. The WA result was too absurd to be a useful benchmark. NT results are *always* too absurd to be useful and Tas and the ACT are working with different systems.
3z, just wondering how the W.A. result was “too absurd” when we had a similar/not quite result here in S.A just days ago?! Bit of momentum out there.
Marshall now about 200 votes up, although it’s hard to know what that means. Still about 8000 (?) votes to count by my reckoning.
Political giant-slayer Geoff Brock is poised to make a shock cabinet comeback when Premier Peter Malinauskas’s ministry is sworn in this morning.
The Labor caucus yesterday elected 14 of the party’s MPs to hold frontbench roles, with federal defector Nick Champion entering state parliament as a minister – as InDaily exclusively revealed yesterday.
He is the major Labor change from the former shadow ministry, replacing Lee Odenwalder who will take the role of government whip.
Left-winger and former union boss Joe Szakacs also enters the ministry, after serving as a shadow minister in Opposition.
He’ll take the cabinet spot of the Right’s Emily Bourke, who will be an assistant minister, alongside fledgling MP Rhiannon Pearce, who enters parliament having snared the north-eastern suburbs marginal of King from the Liberals.
But a shock development appears on the cards – with independent Geoff Brock, who defeated Deputy Premier Dan van Holst Pellekaan in his Stuart stronghold, strongly tipped to return to the ministry, having served in the former Weatherill Government.
Brock’s support allowed then-Premier Jay Weatherill to return to power as a minority government in 2014.
His prospective return to the ministry would give the new Malinauskas administration significant regional heft, and shore up parliamentary support – although the numbers in the House suggests it will not be needed.
But Government figures were coy about the prospect of Brock joining the ministry last night, with one telling InDaily: “All will be revealed tomorrow.”
Hon Dr Susan Close, BA (Hons), PhD, MP Deputy Premier
Minister for Industry, Innovation and Science Minister for Defence and Space Industries
Minister for Climate, Environment and Water
Hon Stephen Mullighan, BA, MP Treasurer Member of Executive Council
Hon Tom Koutsantonis, MP @TKoutsantonisMP
Minister for Infrastructure and Transport
Minister for Energy and Mining
Leader of Government Business in the House of Assembly
Hon Zoe Bettison, BA, MBA, MP @ZoeBettisonMP
Minister for Tourism
Minister for Multicultural Affairs
Hon Chris Picton, LLB/LP, BA, MP @PictonChris
Minister for Health and Wellbeing
Hon Clare Scriven, MLC @ClareScriven
Minister for Primary Industries and Regional Development
Minister for Forest Industries
Hon Blair Boyer, BA, LLB, MP @BBoyerMP
Minister for Education, Training and Skills
Hon Geoff Brock, MP
Minister for Regional Roads
Minister for Local Government
Minister for Veterans Affairs
Hon Joe Szakacs, MP @joe_szakacs
Minister for Police, Emergency Services and Correctional Services
Hon Nick Champion, MP @NickChampionMP
Minister for Trade and Investment
Minister for Housing and Urban Development
Minister for Planning
Hon Emily Bourke, MLC @emsbourke
Assistant Minister to the Premier
Ms Rhiannon Pearce, MP
Assistant Minister to the Deputy Premier
Hon Andrea Michaels, LLB, BCom, GDLP, MP @michaels_andrea
Minister for Small and Family Business
Minister for Consumer and Business Affairs
Minister for Arts
Hon Nat Cook, BNsg, MP @NatCookMP
Minister for Human Services
Member of Executive Council
Thank you for sharing that list, Holden Hillbilly. I was trying to find a straight-up list, rather than news articles offering commentary and just focusing on the “interesting” appointments.
I hope it wasn’t my musings here the other day that prompted Mr X’s decision to run for the Senate! (Pure coincidence, I confess…) I would say he’s a shoe in to win a spot – the question will be at whose expense? Most likely Labor, I think – we could see 2 Labor, 2 Libs, a Green and an X. If X takes a lot of Greens votes, and Labor polls strongly in a change election, there’s a chance the Greens could miss out, but unlikely I think.
On the late counting front, the Libs will win Finniss. Even if Nicholson finishes ahead of Labor (unlikely), she will soon fall behind on 2CP, with the declaration votes counted so far running at nearly 60/40 in favour of the Libs.
No counting released so far today in Dunstan and Waite. I expect Marshall to hold on to Dunstan and Labor are strong favourites in Waite, but things will become clearer later today. You would expect big batches of votes to be counted today with Sunday’s deadline looming.
If I’m reading correctly Malinauskas & Cregan are vying for most popular vote overall with over 75% counted.
That’s gotta hurt, especially if it ends up being Cregan.
Can someone explain what the hell is taking so long with the count?
These are not big electorates. Some seats have had a handful of votes counted since election day.
@ Patrick Bateman
They are being very particular with the close seats to crosscheck declaration votes before counting. It is also a multi-stage process to open and seperate the two forms.
Little green ones are super quick to sort and count with machinery but big white upper house forms are labour intensive and a nightmare in general.
ABC now calling Waite a Labor win. 79.1% counted.
Total now 27!!
From Mr Green’s blog
“5:30pm – around 2,000 pre-poll votes counted this afternoon in Waite with Labor’s two-party preferred vote 51.4%. Labor is now on 53.3% in the preference count. There are only around 3,000 votes to count so the Liberal Party can’t turn around Labor’s lead.”
Looks like Marshall’s held on in Dunstan.
Yes, I think we now know what the final outcome will be, with the Libs also certain to hold on to Finniss, with Basham now a couple of hundreds of votes ahead of Nicholson and continuing to do well with declaration votes. Indeed it is very unlikely Nicholson will make the 2CP cut, and Basham will easily win against Labor.
So that will make it 27 Labor, 16 Liberal, and 4 independent.
It will be interesting to see how long Marshall will hang around as the Member for Dunstan. If there is a by-election anytime soon, O’Hanlon would be strongly favoured to win it back for Labor, having come so close to winning against a sitting Premier.
Labor will be well satisfied with the final result, which I suspect well exceeds their expectations of a week ago. They won the key marginals, and Waite, Davenport and Gibson are real bonus wins, each with a swing greater than 10%.
Those wins also augur well for Labor’s prospects in Boothby in a few weeks’ time, with Sturt now a realistic target as well.
Great job Team SA Labor!
Focus will now switch to the Legislative Council, with Labor and the Greens both slipping backwards with the counting of decaration votes.
It is clear the Liberals and Labor will both win 4 and the Greens will win 1.
It’s impossible to call the last 2 seats, which will turn on both the preference exhaustion rates, and whether preferences that do flow from the leftish parties (Greens, Animal Justice and Cannabis) end up with Labor ahead of Family First, Lib Dems and One Nation.
For what its worth, I will pick Labor and One Nation to end up with the last 2 seats, but it is not much than an educated guess!
Marshall will probably wait until after the Federal election before he resigns (if he does).
Dunstan is in the Federal electorate of Sturt, and I’ll be guessing that the Libs will be focussing on holding Sturt, rather than Boothby.
Sturt has been very marginal in the past – especially 2007 – and it doesn’t have Christopher Pyne anymore.
I think they will lose both.
EDIT – IMHO Finnis is still in play.
Interestingly Labor now have 14 women and 13 men in the lower house. Don’t think that has happened before.
Maxxy says:
Thursday, March 24, 2022 at 9:19 pm
“Interestingly Labor now have 14 women and 13 men in the lower house. Don’t think that has happened before.”
Whilst the Libs have 12 men and 3 women, and if the Libs win Finniss it just adds 1 male.
Hmm.
And the ALP have 5-6 men (depending on the results) and 3 women in the Legislative Council. Which means their party room will be 18-19 men and 17 women.
The House of Assembly, in total, will be 30* men – 17* women, whereas the total Legislative Council will be at least 10 men and at least 10 women with two yet to be determined (although, if PHON do get up, then there will be 11 women out of 22; the other would most likely be a man.) The total parliament will be at least 40 men and 27 women (probably 41-28)
*based on the assumption that the Liberals hold their lead in Finniss.
Still looking clear for Labor and PHON to take last 2 LC seats after 70% count with probably 20% still to count.
Only a few of the official HTV cards will be helpful given the current votes. Liberal surplus will exhaust, Nationals go to Family First but then exhaust, Real Change Pallaras and Animal Justice go to Cannabis but no further, Family First exhaust.
Greens (via AJP) and Cannabis get to Labor as do small Truth etc.
Family Party and LDP go to PHON.
But voters will do better than the parties and exhaust rate will be lower than if people just follow HTV.
Despite no allocated preferences Labor will do relatively well from SA Best, Real Change, AJP and Family First (given Libs will be eliminated at that stage). As well as Cannabis (which will not get close to overtaking Labor) and Greens surplus.
PHON will collect a share of all the small party eliminations and do quite well from Family Party and not so well from LDP (lots of their votes will spray around or exhaust early as they are way inflated by drawing first spot) .
Looks like result will be Labor 5 and PHON both getting somewhere around .7 to .8 quotas and getting last 2 spots.
Wondered about Dunstan too. You wouldn’t want to crack it back open too soon.
Daniel Gannon would be a natural choice for Liberal pre-selection (he’s been ever so patient) but reckon electorates might be especially touchy about outsiders for a while, if that doesn’t all align.
Also, if anyone can explain how the success of the ALP is somehow the fault of hard right conservatives not getting enough say in the LP, I’d be most grateful. This whole ‘securing base’ reflection suggests large numbers of disaffected voters have turned their attention elsewhere. Like, where else?
Or does it relate to the four independents taking LP votes? They seem more interested in closing the city-country cash divide than anything else.
Genuine question. Thank you in advance!
Tiersman at 11.10pm
I think the Right wing line about ‘Marshall lost because he was woke’ (for goodness’ sake!) has nothing to do with analysing an election loss. The base largely doesn’t matter – compulsory voting means voters can’t simply stay home. The Libs may complain about getting volunteers to staff polling places, but there are strong suggestions they hire quite a few people anyway.
It is about keeping the Liberal party to the Right – an internal kulcha war.
I wish they really did think as they speak about this – so deluded they’d struggle to win again anywhere.
@ Snappy Tom
Thanks for that. Don’t they realise electorates form Govt and a whole heap of pesky randoms with their own minds decide who represents their electorate?
Getting serious burn-down-the-village vibes.
Tiersman at 12.18am
This is why the Teals are so dangerous for the Liberals. The party has lurched to the Right, and that is now threatening their hold on some ‘blue ribbon’ seats.
I say, let them run to the Right, lose the election, and lose Wentworth, Goldstein etc – and let them continue to believe they need to keep Right!
What is the actual 2PP between Labor and Libs?
Ven @ #376 Friday, March 25th, 2022 – 2:57 pm
Obviously, we will have to wait until all the votes are counted and it is finalised but I believe it’s looking around the 54-46 to Labor mark.
What a grear Result from SA Labor, to gain seats Like Waite, Davenport and the redistributed Gibson is a little hard to Comprehend. Having areas Like Springfield, Mitcham, Torrens Park, Somerton Park, Brighton & Hove represented by a Labor MP is not Something I’d ever expected to see. If Boothby ends up in a three way tussle I expect it will fall to Labor like Waite (which was a 4 way battle).
Is that the first time in oz where women represent a greater proportion of parliamentarians than male counterparts in a state legislature? I can’t remember it happening before?
Checking data from ECSA about 4pm.
Assembly about 88% counted. About 3% to go. Total vote c 91%.
Legislative Council 86% counted. About 4 % to go.
Turnout seems highest in Port Adelaide and Schubert (Barossa) at about 96%. Heysen, Newland and Unley 95 and King 94. On the low side Giles will be around 70 – shockingly low if correct. Whyalla, West Pt Augusta and APY lands??. But also McKillop (SE) c 81 and Gibson 82 way below expected.
The gap between votes on day and Declaration votes is averaging about 2.5% drop for Labor in the 40 seats where there is Labor Liberal 2PP. 7 seats with Independent v Liberal count.
3 seats had positive gain for Labor on Declaration votes Frome 0.5, Schubert 0.4 and Torrens 0.1. Biggest falls were in Badcoe 5.7 drop Gibson 5.3. McKillop 4.9.
Cregan in Kavel is getting close to 90% of preferences from ALP, PHON, Greens and AJP.
Today is the “decision day” for lower house seats. Unsure when the Legislative council (upper house) closes off voting – I had assumed it was the same.
Could be interesting. Labor #5?, PHON #1 (hope not)?
https://antonygreen.com.au/2022-sa-legislative-council-result/
The eleven elected members are likely to be –
Labor (5) – Kyam Maher (Re-elected), Tung Ngo (Re-elected), Reggie Martin (New member), Ian Hunter (Re-elected), Russell Wortley (Likely re-elected)
Liberal (4) – Michelle Lensink (Re-elected), Dennis Hood (Re-elected), Nicola Centofanti (Re-elected), Laura Curran (New member)
Greens (1) – Robert Sims (Re-elected)
One Nation (1) – Sarah Game (Likely new member)
Re pork barreling in the so-called Budget…
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/still-looking-for-a-car-park-2019-election-promises-stalled-20220215-p59wk8.html
Of the 47 car porks promised 3 years ago, 6 have been delivered, 6 are under construction and several (including 4 in poor Joshy’s electorate) have been canned.
Perhaps Labor can say ‘take whatever the Coalition promises and divide it by 4. If we’re lucky, that’s how much they’ll actually deliver.’
Whoops! Wrong thread…
An interesting post on the SA election upper house results, informed by an opinion by Antony Green.
““If the election finishes as set out in the previous paragraph, the new Legislative Council will be 9 Labor, 8 Liberal, 2 Greens, 2 SA Best and a One Nation member,” Green wrote.”
https://indaily.com.au/news/2022/03/28/what-we-know-today-monday-march-28/?scrollTo=onenation&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=InDaily%20Express%20%2028%20March%202022&utm_content=InDaily%20Express%20%2028%20March%202022+CID_95ad4cc16eaa98e128be3f8e6b2b92e5&utm_source=EDM&utm_term=READ%20MORE#onenation
Its a shame One Nation looks likely to get a seat (its first) but overall the Libs are down 1 so Labor + Greens can pass legislation with any one more vote…
Final count 89% turnout. Down a bit in part covid related no doubt. We could do a lot better getting people on the roll, improving turnout and reducing informal. At least 20% of adults not part of democratic decision making.
In order for ALP+Greens (11) to pass legislation they would need an Independent chair. 22 seats. You need half to pass.