Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor

Newspoll’s second poll for the year records no change on the major party primary votes since the Coalition’s disastrous result a fortnight ago, but a decline in Greens support and Anthony Albanese’s personal ratings.

The Australian brings us a new result from Newspoll, suggesting it is moving to a fortnightly schedule now that the election is in view. It is only slightly better for the Coalition than the previous disaster, with Labor’s lead in from 56-44 to 55-45. Both major parties are unchanged on the primary vote, the Coalition at 34% and Labor at 41%, the two-party result reflecting a three-point drop in support for the Greens to 8%. One Nation is steady at 3%, with the lost Greens vote accounted for by a three-point increase in “others” to 14%.

The news for Labor is less good on personal ratings, with Anthony Albanese’s approval down three to 40% and disapproval up three to 46%, after the previous poll respectively had him up four and down two. Scott Morrison is up one on approval to 40% and down two on disapproval to 56%, and his lead as preferred prime minister is out from 43-41 to 43-38. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1526.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,556 comments on “Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor”

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  1. zoomster @ #2398 Thursday, February 17th, 2022 – 7:10 pm

    I’m pretty sure if I accosted randoms on the street, none of them would know a thing about the Bills posters here are angsting about.

    I’m also pretty sure that if Labor had opposed them, I would very soon be hearing that Labor was soft on crime, was encouraging discrimination against religion and allowing dangerous enemy aliens to stay in our country.

    Yep.

    And they certainly will never hear about, nor care about, WWP and his ‘principled’ stand.

  2. “I don’t think the FPLP are listening to you, WWP.”

    Given they lost to Abbott, Turnbull and Morrison, and post Keating have an appalling record of failure, I would most definitely deny it even if they were listening to me.

    I’ll just say if they did listen to the likes of me, they couldn’t do a lot worse than they have done.

  3. Sceptic,
    Is renowned wingnut and US former General Michael Flynn here? That guy is more than a few sandwiches short of a picnic, he’s unsure of what a picnic is anymore!

  5. I’ll see you a Yabba and raise you a Hitch and a Mildred:

    Hitch hit all the notes in that one. Quite a powerful and at times moving performance.
    For a different tone, a slower tempo, and more interesting gaze into the man himself, I recently watched this interview with him. He is similar to a dear old friend of mine, sadly no longer with us. Searing intellect, concise argument and riposte, witty, rational to a fault, and tries really hard to avoid internal contradictions.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NyIJoD3545c

  9. The real reason we buy tanks is so our soldiers can practice with them, in anticipation of being shipped off to some far-off land to drive tanks alongside the US Army.

    That’s why we buy the same tanks the US uses.

  14. The annoying thing about Craig Kelly is doesn’t he have an electorate to look after and Hughes has a crowded field so can’t see too many preferences flowing to Kelly so he wont be in the next parliament.

  16. Is there a bigger advertisement for ProMo’s lack of judgement than Craig Kelly? He personally intervened to save his preselection from a local members revolt, only for Kelly to turn even more feral and switch to Clive Palmer’s outfit in the next parliament!

    Every time Kelly spouts his crazy in those ridiculous yellow ads it’s an indictment of Morrison.

  19. In other news:

    Retiring Liberal MP John Alexander has joined his colleague Bridget Archer to say he will vote against his own party to legislate a federal corruption watchdog before the election.

    The two Liberal MPs now stand alongside crossbench MPs and Labor in pushing for a federal integrity commission to be legislated, which the government has conceded it has run out of time to do.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-02-17/second-liberal-joins-crossbench-to-push-for-corruption-integrity/100840050

    It sure is a shame that parliament is sitting for so few days this year. If only there was something the government could have done about that.

  20. LaurieOakes@LaurieOakes·1mOn Sunday Peter Dutton confessed to “a long-standing friendship” with Labor’s Richard Marles who,he said, “has a particular quality and capacity and intellect that if you’re being objective you wld admire”. Being objective, that hardly sounds like a dupe of the Chinese govt?

  22. ”
    B.S. Fairmansays:
    Thursday, February 17, 2022 at 2:16 pm
    One might think that Ben Robert-Smith might either be a bit of a bully or just happens to have a whole bunch of former SAS colleagues with grudges against him which are completely baseless. I think the evidence is pointing towards the former.
    Does any have any idea of when the trial is going to finish? The legal costs must be approaching the GDP of a small nation by now.
    ”

    Then how the hell did he get Victoria Cross medal for meritorious service to the nation in Afghan war?Isn’t it true The Victoria Cross medal recipients can be counted on one’s fingers?

    He got the award while fighting a foreign war in foreign lands.

  25. Sceptic

    Visiting US General going the hard sell on more unless hardware…
    ———-
    It’s interesting that Canada which is a fellow member of NATO with the US, has German Leopard 2 tanks not the Yank tanks.

  26. Snappy Tom @ #2373 Thursday, February 17th, 2022 – 6:31 pm

    Yabba at 5.47pm

    Given my previous posts, I do wonder why you think that I might have any desire to ‘consult’ a bible, let alone try to find one approved by some person on a psephological blog. I amused by your statements about ‘Ancient Greek’ as though that somehow defines a ‘language’, and that the subtle nuances in meaning of various words are somehow ‘known’. How, exactly? Languages that were nominally Greek were used in multiple countries, and used multiple written forms, and changed continuously over hundreds of years. Since you have apparently actually studied the nature of the biblical sources, you will know that the new testament ones are written in at least five different ‘dialects’, and that the so-called ‘Paul’ letters are written in three, and include words that did not appear anywhere else until well after he was supposed to have died.

    I believe that study of the bible is the very definition of an utterly pointless activity. It has no identifiable authors, no historical backing worth a twopenny damn, and has been ‘interpreted’, to use your word, by ‘the faithful’, as fully justifying the torture, slaughter and persecution of hundreds of thousands who either rejected its abject nonsense, or just had a different ‘interpretation’ of its ‘true’ meaning. It has also delayed and interfered with scientific progress, and been used as justification for racial vilification, social degradation and slavery, all depending on ‘sincere interpretation’ of a spurious book.

    Also profoundly ironic, is the fact that this ‘god’ delusion, invented by the Hebrews some 3,500 years ago, is the identical one that has been claimed by christians as justification for killing or expelling muslims and jews, by muslims for killing and persecuting christians and jews, and by jews as justification for killing and persecuting muslims. The very same, identical, immutable god fairy, has bifurcated twice to justify killing its own various ‘faithful’, in its name!

    And you think I should consult this tome. Bizarre.

  28. Firefox says:
    Thursday, February 17, 2022 at 3:44 pm

    For those of you who are actually interested in what’s happening in our Parliament.

    The claim posted here is simply a lie. Another lie from the Deputy Reactionaries about Labor.

  30. This isn’t something I anything close to being an expert on, but I’m reasonably sure humans came up with the idea of “Gods” a hell of a lot longer than 3500 years ago.

    I remember reading in the (brilliant) “Sapians”, by Yuval Noah Harari, a theory that the development of religious beliefs represented a stage of the evolution of our brains during hunter-gatherer times: the ability to imagine and to craft stories. (I’m probably completely mangling what the author actually said, it’s been years since I read it. By the way, everybody, read that book, it’s amazing!)

  31. Rex Douglas_says:
    Thursday, February 17, 2022 at 7:57 pm
    Asha @ #2435 Thursday, February 17th, 2022 – 7:52 pm

    GG:

    “I don’t know if Richard Marles’ career can survive the scandalous revelation that Peter Dutton likes him
    ——
    Spuds and turnips… meh”

    Likes? As in “I like to eat xxxx”?

    In potatoeyes dreams.

  32. “I believe that study of the bible is the very definition of an utterly pointless activity. ”

    I think even if it is approached as 100% complete fiction that is just completely incorrect.

  36. By Michael Koziol
    Updated February 17, 2022 — 8.12pm first published at 6.32pm

    Morrison gives 14-day ultimatum to NSW Liberals or face federal takeover.

    Does that mean h’es planning a visit to the GG in 2 weeks?
    If so what would be the resultant election date? Idle curiosity.

  38. The Reactionaries are going to try to depict Labor in general and Albo in particular as being soft on China, soft on borders, soft on security and soft on the Greens. The Greens, needless to say, will sing in harmony with the Liberals.

    This is plain as day. The single best thing Labor can do is to not oblige their foes.

    The Reactionaries are going to run on fear….on hate…on the phobias. Labor should do whatever they can to avoid indulging them.

  39. Mavis:

    Thursday, February 17, 2022 at 3:46 pm
    ——————
    [‘Good post, IMO. I always had a gut feeling that it was a kamekazi operation. That said, I don’t know the facts on the ground and I don’t understand the legal rules.’]

    Thanks. While others may see it differently, the way I interpret it is that
    had Roberts-Smith awaited a possible criminal trial, and unless he were to give evidence at it, which would be highly doubtful, he could’ve remained mute – that is, not subjected to cross-examination.

    In a civil suit, though, he was thus compelled to explain how his reputation had been damaged. And while I’m not alleging he lied under oath, he’s given the Office of the Special Prosecutor a leg up, a prima facie case.

    I’m sure dear Artie (Moses) and dear Bruce (McClintock) are far more interested in protecting the reputation of a war hero than they are with their fees, though Stokes has more money than you can pock stick at, not that I’m impugning their respective motivation, senior counsel above such scurrilous motives. And if after the verdict, they say, “Sorry, we can’t work miracles”, they can draw on the amount of carpet Morrison’s worn out, praying for us.

  42. https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/albanese-discloses-conversation-with-spy-chief-to-hit-back-on-coalition-over-china-attacks-20220217-p59xda.html#comments

    Anthony Albanese has sought to correct the record on his previous statements on China’s trade strikes against Australia and his attendance at the opening of the Chau Chak Wing Museum, as the federal government doubles down its attacks on the Labor leader over national security.

    The head of Australia’s counter-espionage agency ASIO, Mike Burgess, this week raised concern about the politicisation of national security, saying it was “not helpful”.

  43. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/feb/17/public-servants-accused-in-senate-estimates-of-misleading-parliament-over-17m-contract-for-welfare-research

    Senior public servants have been accused of misleading parliament over a $1.7m contract awarded to a consultancy firm for welfare policy research the government refuses to release.

    The secretary of the Department of Social Services, Ray Griggs, speaking to parliament, confirmed on Thursday he was investigating whether the handling of the contract awarded to Boston Consulting Group breached commonwealth procurement rules.

    The admission follows an ongoing freedom of information battle between the department and Guardian Australia over the research, with the questions over the contract first raised in parliament by the Labor frontbencher Katy Gallagher 15 months ago.

  45. Yabba, you quoted 2 Timothy 3:16.

    I responded to express concerns – well-founded, in my opinion – about the translation you were using.

    I haven’t the slightest interest in persuading anyone to be or not be interested in religion.

    I am interested in offering viewpoints that some might found interesting or confounding about religion.

    What’s the point on a psephological site? Religion and politics have never be separate. I am tired of religious RWNJs dominating the airwaves.

    If someone on this site quotes stuff that is based on RWNJ approaches to religion, I am likely to respond.

  47. Snappy Tom says:
    Thursday, February 17, 2022 at 6:31 pm

    Inspired, respired, aspired? Whatever noun is involved, the premise is that an agent of some kind was involved. There is not the slightest bit of evidence for the existence of any such agent within any domain which is susceptible to sensing, measuring and recording….within any domain where matter and time are present.

    The “god” idea has been long-used to embrace everything that’s in want of explanation. As knowledge has expanded, the god idea has been less useful. It’s an idea that’s been getting smaller and smaller. The concept of evil gods – of demons – has become so small it’s more or less dropped from use entirely. Demons were once invoked to explain all manner of things, from bad weather to illnesses and accidents.

    There are very few things left that appear to be beyond explanation. So the concept of an immanent, omniscient, omnipotent, eternal supernatural force is now a very odd indeed.

    This is such an unusual idea that it really calls for an explanation. Why would such an entity exist? How could it exist? Where would it exist? Under what conditions could it exist? What would be the characteristics of an entity that existed beyond nature…beyond the cosmos?

    Since it’s clear there is no god within nature, the only ‘place’ that remains where such an entity could exist is in a domain that lies beyond nature…outside our experience, outside our capacities to observe and measure. In this case, what is the point of a god at all? What would be the difference between the existence and the non-existence of a being that was never present in the cosmos that we can observe?

  49. This will not end well…

    Updated February 17, 2022 — 8.12pmfirst published at 6.32pm

    Prime Minister Scott Morrison has taken the first move to dissolving the Liberal Party’s troubled NSW division, with the party’s federal executive voting to give state officials 10 days to “rectify” their issues and endorse sitting MPs or face a federal takeover.

    It is the first step toward placing the division in administration and allowing Mr Morrison and the federal party to install preferred candidates in key seats ahead of the election, expected in May. But the move will be fiercely resisted by some in the NSW division, especially from the Right faction.

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/nsw-liberals-again-refuse-to-endorse-sitting-federal-mps-20220217-p59xgq.html

  50. Rossmcg:

    Thursday, February 17, 2022 at 8:34 pm

    [‘It shows the Stokes family has demanded Mr Roberts-Smith pay the private company, ACE, a 15 per cent share of any funds he wins in his defamation battles. He must also follow the advice of Seven’s legal team if he loses his defamation battle and it believes an appeal is warranted.’]

    Corporations are indeed strange beasts. The ‘veil’ that is the company, in effect, protects them. Incorporation is arguably the best way to trade. However, directors can be sued under certain circumstances. Morrison Corp. should be sent to the slammer for lying like a pig in shite.

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