Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

No real change from Newspoll, except perhaps to its release schedule.

The Australian has dropped a new Newspoll a fortnight rather than three weeks after the last, perhaps portending a quickening of the schedule as the federal election approaches. Labor’s two-party lead is unchanged at 53-47, from primary votes of Coalition 37% (steady), Labor 37% (down one), Greens 11% (up one) and One Nation 2% (down one). Scott Morrison is up two on approval to 48% and disapproval to 49%, while Anthony Albanese is steady on 37% and down one to 47%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister edges from 47-35 to 47-34. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1545.

UPDATE: The poll also found 59% approval and 31% disapproval for Australia “building and operating nuclear-powered submarines”, which was put to respondents after an introductory spiel explaining the AUKUS deal. Forty-six per cent felt it would make Australia more secure, compared with 14% less secure and 29% for no difference. Seventy-five per cent rated that China posed a significant threat to Australia’s national security, compared with 15% who did not.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,554 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

Comments Page 3 of 32
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  1. Good grief. I predicted Gladys would be ousted as a result of the Covid mismanagement, but not the Nats leader as well?! 😆

  3. The golden state of NSW , lib/nats government is in chaos during the pandemic

    Liberal and National party leaders both resign within days

    Just imagine the media and federal lib/nats if this was Labor state government , if the leader and deputy leader of Labor both resign

  4. ”
    Scottsays:
    Monday, October 4, 2021 at 8:15 am
    The figure what flattering for the Liberal party is, the polling shows the combined primary vote of 37% for the lib/nats

    The primary vote for the Liberal Party alone would be in low 20’s
    ”

    You are incorrect regarding the PV of Libs being in low 20s because Nats PV is about 4% . So Libs PV is low 30s.

  7. Josh Frydenberg, for his own political purposes, has been just as evil an influence on the welfare of Melburnians as the Herald-Sun.

  8. Victoria records 1,377 new local COVID-19 cases and four deaths

    The new cases were identified from 67,789 test results received yesterday and take the state’s total active cases to 12,711.

    There were 30,985 doses of vaccine administered at state-run sites yesterday.

    More tier 1 exposure sites have been listed in regional Victoria, with new listings in Morwell and Shepparton overnight.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-10-04/victoria-new-local-covid-cases-melbourne-lockdown/100511554

  10. Ven says:
    Monday, October 4, 2021 at 8:48 am


    You are incorrect regarding the PV of Libs being in low 20s because Nats PV is about 4% . So Libs PV is low 30s.
    —————–

    Liberal/national party in QLD , is not Liberal party alone , The Country Liberal Party -seems to be national party vote
    CLP senator – was the temp Leader of the National Party in the senate

  11. Alex Bhathal
    @alexbhathal
    ·
    12h
    Ever wondered why Pentecostalists are the fastest growing Christian sect in Australia? My neighbour asked what this meant, on her census form, filled in for her by her NDIS worker, who is yep, a Pentecostalist Christian.Exploding head #Census2021

  12. ”
    ‘Poor Gladys’ Berejiklian passed the pub test, but the ICAC is another matter, writes former NSW minister Michael Yabsley.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/poor-gladys-berejiklian-passed-the-pub-test-but-the-icac-is-another-matter-20211003-p58wu4.html
    ”

    True. She did pass the ‘Pub Test’ but not the legal test. What does say it to us?
    1. Thank god for Law
    2. LNP are correct in their assessment that a huge chunk of public have goldfish memory when it comes to politics, that public are politically stupid, that they still believe MSM
    3. Politics is not for faint hearted.

  13. That’s 3 by-elections in NSW now. Gladys Berejiklian’s seat of Willoughby, John Barilaro’s seat of Monaro and Andrew Constance’s seat of Bega. The government currently holds a 1 seat majority.

  14. Steve777 @ #34 Monday, October 4th, 2021 – 8:12 am

    Re Max @8:03.

    ”Having said that, the Whitlam, Hawke and Rudd victories were preceded by an almost palpable sense of historical inevitability.”

    Yes, that’s how I recall it. Also changes the other way – 1975, 1996, 2013.

    That’s not a vibe I’m getting at the moment, even if there is a sense that Morrison is a waste of space.

    Nor am I, nor did I detect any such vibe in 2019.

    OMG, I am. And I’m not even precipitating it. It’s happening spontaneously. People just launching into anti Scott Morrison rants, lifelong Liberal voters seriously considering not voting for Morrison (I know they’ll probably justify it again somehow). I’m definitely detecting some there, there.

  15. “The record will show that the Premier has been cooperative with the ICAC investigation and assisting it when requested to do so.

    “As you have noted, ICAC led evidence from witnesses in relation to the connection between Mr Maguire and the Australian Clay Target Association (ACTA). That was not the subject of any questioning of the Premier.”

    The Australian reported today that Deputy Premier John Barilaro had been called to a private examination by ICAC in relation to the grant, and that Mr Ayres had also been called to give evidence.

    There is nooooooooooo suggestion either minister is under investigation by ICAC.
    “ a private examination by ICAC in relation to the grant”

  17. Mr Ayres had also been called to give evidence.

    That would be the Mr Ayres who has stitched up the Deputy Leadership of the NSW Liberal Party? OooooKkkkk.

  18. You will still have rust-on liberal party voters no matter what the Liberal party does

    Same can be said for
    L/NP, National Party , Labor, The greens , minor parties and even there are rusted on voters who will just vote Independent

  22. Why would a leader and deputy leader not only resign their position, but leave parliament all together, if they are innocent of corruption.

    The media have to date been actually supportive of them. No pressure whatsoever

    What gives?

  23. 1377 cases may not be easy listening for Victorians, but to see what is happening across the dial with the FOXes in NSW with all these GOLDen resignations that should have happened EONs ago. I’m sure the MSM will try to Smooth things out…

  24. How long will Perrottet last as leader of NSW Liberal Party ,if indeed NSW ICAC has the lib/nats in fear of being the next to be investigated

  25. Victoriasays:
    Monday, October 4, 2021 at 9:01 am
    The mantra of NSW being gold standard continues in fine form today.
    ________________
    Nothing wrong with a bit of renewal.

  26. ICAC must have been breathing down Pork Barilaro’s neck as well.

    I bet friendlyjordies gave ICAC all the documents he had in his possession about the Italian Club manouverings of Barilaro as well.

  28. Victoria says:
    Monday, October 4, 2021 at 9:07 am
    Why would a leader and deputy leader not only resign their position, but leave parliament all together, if they are innocent of corruption.

    The media have to date been actually supportive of them. No pressure whatsoever

    What gives?

    —————

    There is no media authority to stop the media’s corruption of being propaganda political arms of political parties such as Lib/nats

  29. Alpha zero

    We have been warned from more than a month ago to prepare for cases in the thousands per day.
    I’ve already stated that I thought they were exaggerating.
    Having said that, modelling was showing that we could have expected 4000 cases per day by now.
    Hence not looking so bad against this comparison.

  30. Taylormade

    Surely you jest.

    Each and every day our media here in Victoria regurgitates how wonderful the NSW state liberal govt is and how magnificently they are running the state in light of pandemic.
    They continually ask vic state govt counterparts questions that start off with

    Why arent we doing what NSW is doing. Blah blah blah……..

    And meanwhile, both Premier and deputy have resigned and are leaving parliament altogether in the midst of covid wave and lockdown.

    You seriously cannot be this stupid

  31. Morning all. Intriguing events in NSW. Barliaro’s resignation as a minimum requires more explanation.

    I have sarcastically said here in the past that moderates are extinct in the NSW Liberals and the only factions are far right fundamentalist catholics and far right fundamentalist pentecostalists. That does literally seem to be the situation.

    People asked question of whether Abbott could govern without imposing his catholic prejudices on the rest of the population. They are even more entitled to ask the same questions of Perrottet.

  34. Joyce comparing ICAC to the Spanish Inquisition.

    Right. Time to roll out the strappado and the rack and not forgetting every Coalition MPs favourite: the application of hot coals!

  35. Scott government is in chaos during the pandemic

    If Labor had been in power that would have been the headline.

    Is the media going to set out to canonise John Barilaro in addition to Gladys?

  37. The deputy premier, John Barilaro, has quit New South Wales politics, saying the state needed a “new beginning”.…. Free.. free of corruption

  38. ”
    C@tmommasays:
    Monday, October 4, 2021 at 9:02 am
    Mr Ayres had also been called to give evidence.

    That would be the Mr Ayres who has stitched up the Deputy Leadership of the NSW Liberal Party? OooooKkkkk.
    ”

    And husband of our Foreign Minister Ms. Marise Payne.

  39. Steve777 says:
    Monday, October 4, 2021 at 9:20 am

    If Labor had been in power that would have been the headline.

    Is the media going to set out to canonise John Barilaro in addition to Gladys?
    ——————-

    The media will likely blame Daniel Andrews for not being the next to go

  42. “Nothing wrong with a bit of renewal.”

    ROFL

    Perrottet strikes me as possessing the arrogance and lacking the cleverness to find himself in a high profile position just as ICAC’s view turns to him.

  44. Words from the guru:

    Antony Green
    @AntonyGreenABC
    ·
    2m
    Before there is talk about the NSW government being defeated while seats are vacant, there is past precedent that Premiers will be granted a prorogation of parliament if looming by-elections cause a temporary change in numbers that could defeat the government. #nswpol #auspol

  45. ‘Chinese authorities had become alarmed at the level of demand for power as the northern part of the country headed into winter. There was not enough coal to keep the Chinese economy humming. The coal that was coming in was so expensive that the power stations were operating at a loss to keep the lights on. They had to prioritise homes over businesses and infrastructure, explains Eryk Bagshaw who does not paint a pretty picture.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/asia/a-desperate-china-is-turning-its-lights-off-but-could-there-be-a-long-term-gain-20210928-p58vcr.html‘
    ___________________________________
    I blame the West.

  46. Shoe on different foot when Libs get caught by ICAC. Absolute double standards. Shame on the MSM. Their golden girl is obviously above the ICAC in their opinion.The same ICAC that the Libs set up. There is a lot more to this story to come. If they had done nothing wrong,why are they resigning? I think they are up to their neck and it will all come out eventually.

  47. ”
    Taylormadesays:
    Monday, October 4, 2021 at 9:10 am
    Victoriasays:
    Monday, October 4, 2021 at 9:01 am
    The mantra of NSW being gold standard continues in fine form today.
    ________________
    Nothing wrong with a bit of renewal.
    ”

    Wow Taylormaid
    You have a way with your words. No wonder LNP is able to bullshit its way out of trouble most of time.

  49. The interesting thing to me is that every new generation of allegedly corrupt politicians has always gone to school on what tripped up the last generation of corrupt politicians and thinks they can outsmart their way to success this time.

    Until they don’t.

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