The Sydney Morning Herald reports the bi-monthly Resolve Strategic state voting intention result for New South Wales credits the Coalition with a primary vote of 41%, down two points from two months ago, with Labor up two to 30% and the Greens down one to 11%. This suggests a slight swing against Labor on two-party preferred compared with the 2019 election result, at which the Coalition recorded 52.0%. Gladys Berejiklian records a lead of 48-21 over Chris Minns as preferred premier, narrowing from 55-16 last time. The poll also finds 65% support for easing COVID-19 restrictions in mid-October with 70% vaccination rates, including 34% strong support, with only 17% opposed, including 9% strongly opposed.
As I understand it, the poll combines results from this month and last month’s national surveys, although the accompanying report refers to a “survey of 1606 voters between September 15 and 19” – which would seem to be a confusing reference to the entire national sample of this week’s poll. In any case, both survey periods produced federal numbers that were a lot stronger for the Coalition than rival pollsters. The two survey periods of the previous poll included one from before the COVID-19 outbreak and Labor leadership, and one from after it. The survey periods for this poll were August 17 to 21 and September 15 to 19, i.e. Wednesday to Sunday. Next month will be the turn of the bi-monthly Victorian poll.