The opinion poll schedule for the week is likely to consist of the fortnightly Essential Research, which is not due to include the monthly leadership numbers and should thus be of limited interest (unless it includes their occasional dump of fortnightly voting intention results), and presumably a Roy Morgan voting intention poll on Wednesday.
For the time being, there is the following:
• The Australian reports that Labor MP Joel Fitzgibbon will bow out at the election, creating a vacancy in his seat of Hunter, where his margin was slashed from 12.5% to 3.0% at last year’s election with One Nation polling 21.6%. There is no indication as to who might succeed him as Labor candidate, except that “NSW Right figures (are) concerned Hunter could be lost to the faction and go to someone from the left-aligned CFMEU or the Australian Manufacturing Workers Union”.
• There would seem to be no suggestion that the vacancy in Hunter might change the calculus behind Kristina Keneally’s controversial move to Fowler, which was criticised over the weekend by her federal Labor colleague Anne Aly, along with many others inside and outside the party. However, Michelle Grattan in The Conversation notes that the arrangement does not of itself deprive the local party membership of a preselection ballot, since a clause in the state party rules specific to Fowler enshrines the seat as the gift of the Right as a legacy of past branch-stacking controversies.
• The West Australian reports on two further preselection challenges to sitting Liberals in Western Australia, on top of that facing Ian Goodenough in Moore from Vince Connelly after the abolition of his seat of Stirling. In Swan, where Steve Irons would appear to have his work cut out for him in defending a 3.2% margin, the challenger is Kristy McSweeney, a Sky News commentator, former adviser to Tony Abbott and daughter of former state MP Robyn McSweeney. McSweeney earlier contested preselection for the once safe but now Labor-held seat of Bateman ahead of the state election in March. In the much safer seat of Durack, Melissa Price will be challenged by Busselton councillor Jo Barrett-Lennard. For what it’s worth, The Age columnist Jon Faine today tells us to “watch out to see if former attorney-general Christian Porter opts for a spot on the Federal Court on the cusp of the election, rather than face probable defeat in his outer-suburban Perth electorate” – namely Pearce, where redistribution has cut the margin from 7.5% to 5.2%.
• As those who followed the post below will be aware, Labor recorded a strong result in the Northern Territory’s Daly by-election, with their candidate Dheran Young leading the count over Kris Civitarese of the Country Liberal Party by 1905 (55.8%) to 1506 (44.2%) with only a handful of votes left outstanding. This amounts to a 7.0% swing compared with the election last August, at which the CLP won the seat by 1.2%. It is the first time a government party has ever won a seat from the opposition at a by-election in the territory, and first time anywhere in Australia since the Benalla by-election in Victoria in May 2000.
It’s just a Christian Porter sort of day.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E_KP2tYXMAUjEbm?format=png&name=small
https://www.abc.net.au/classic/read-and-watch/music-reads/classically-curious-du-pre-elgar-cello-concerto/10824390
https://youtu.be/-hCdyPT4RO4
Evan should just eat some worms imho.
So we have had days of Green bashing on PB and their popularity has gone up. One poll MOE and all that. I am sure it’s coincidence.
William Bowe @ #1150 Tuesday, September 14th, 2021 – 6:03 pm
Just statistical noise. No need to panic, people. Albo has it all under control.
FMD.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/sep/14/australian-research-council-reverses-new-funding-rule-after-widespread-criticism
Evan sounds like Nath. Very much.
ItzaDream
You may be interested in this. It was a livestream from Bonn on 10 September. I must admit I’ve never before seen the chorus located as it is in this performance!
https://youtu.be/2DdYtiFmK0w
double post
Jaeger
A memorable recording indeed. And with the bonus of the superb Janet Baker and Sea Pictures. I have had this recording since it was released, both on vinyl and then CD. It has a permanent place on my iPod. 🙂
TPOF,
Nah, Evan’s been around the mulberry bush before,
Hated Gillard when she became PM.
Developed a very minor media profile at the time. Works on the premise of you get more publicity if you constantly bag your own alleged side.
Is peeved that no one in Labor takes him seriously.
Just another nobody craving attention.
@USEmbassyinOZ tweets
‘For the Biden administration’s climate change approach, equitability, inclusiveness are really important elements… These climate impacts do hit the most vulnerable the hardest. It’s up to us advanced economies to be doing the hard work to try and avert these worst impacts.’
‘President Biden has recommitted the U.S. to multilateral approaches on #climate, not just by rejoining the Paris agreement, but by leading within organizations like G7… Day in and day out, our policy makers are asking ‘what do we do now to avert the worst effects (of climate)’
by thinking strategically and making interventions early, have been able to cushion the impact on communities’
“For the United States, Texas is now the largest producer of renewable energy, contributing 21% of energy in Texas. If that is not a demonstration that communities are learning how to shift, I don’t know what is. And that makes me so optimistic.”
– Acting DCM Doug Sonnek
That’s all from tonight’s panel on #Climate Security! Thanks to the @ClimateCouncil for hosting us this evening! And if you missed tonight’s panel or would like to watch it again, find the discussion in full over at the Climate Council’s YouTube ➡️ bit.ly/3C9tAK2
guytaur @ #1162 Tuesday, September 14th, 2021 – 6:19 pm
Just another shot across our bows. Ignore it. They’re not serious.
@GiovanniTorre tweets
It is wild how in Italy “far left” means someone who believes workers’ organisations should not only control the means of production but be society’s peak policy-making bodies, while in Australia “far left” means someone who thinks Bill Leak’s racist cartoons were racist.
Good “Evans”
Not
Bushfire Bill @ #1139 Tuesday, September 14th, 2021 – 5:45 pm
They opened the Sydney Olympics with it in that Arena, piping (sic) the organ in from the Town Hall, trying to get the delay right. c. Edo de Waart. He was Dutch, and liked the ladies. The old yarn was about bumper stickers in Amsterdam that said “Honk if you haven’t been married to Ed0”.
UH oh
Double post. That pic was for Sceptic – yes, she be the one.
To be honest, I’ve never listened to Sea Pictures before – but I’ll give it a go.
Evan @ #1146 Tuesday, September 14th, 2021 – 6:01 pm
You’re not very original, are you?
A quick report from the vaccine front. I’ve joined the ranks of the double jabbed (AZ). Nae problem a all.
For those who are still unsure about getting a shot, of whatever variety. Just do it. You’ll be protecting yourself and the one’s you love.
Back to lurking every now and then.
Okay, I’m sure it’s lovely – but it’s not for me.
William Bowe @ #1148 Tuesday, September 14th, 2021 – 6:03 pm
Looks like Labor are on a path to a win then. 🙂
Bert
Thanks for your post.
Could be the most valuable one today.
Nice one, Bert; welcome to the club.
Jaeger @ #1152 Tuesday, September 14th, 2021 – 6:08 pm
Thanks. An extension — She was married to Daniel Barenboim, the wonderful Barnenboim. He was a principal conductor in the Mahler Cycle I missed. Last time here (Sydney) he spoke to the audience about first peoples. He founded the East-West Divan Orchestra, to “promote coexistence and intercultural dialogue” in The Levant.
Ballantyne says:
Tuesday, September 14, 2021 at 6:14 pm
Jaeger
A memorable recording indeed. And with the bonus of the superb Janet Baker and Sea Pictures. I have had this recording since it was released, both on vinyl and then CD. It has a permanent place on my iPod.
__________________________________
One of my absolute favourite recordings too.
Cat
Nothing is going to please me more than seeing an increase in both Labor and Green votes.
How can it be acceptable for a Cabinet Minister to trouser hundreds of thousands of dollars from an unknown source?
“Just statistical noise. No need to panic, people. Albo has it all under control.”
***
Oh dear. He’d be absolutely livid with the NSW Labor Right I reckon. With Gladys and co totally losing the plot recently Labor should not be going backwards like that.
Ballantyne @ #1158 Tuesday, September 14th, 2021 – 6:11 pm
Thanks – I’ll have a look after dinner! Something to look forward to. It’s a fabulous work – as he a Jew by birth and a convert to Christianity (with lots to talk about in there) looks at ‘resurrection’ (Spoiler – as musically thrilling as it is, I think I prefer Elgar’s take on things – Dream of Gerontius – much guided by the text, to good effect.
@cokeefe9 tweets
Breaking: Sydney LGA’s ruled out for Service NSW vaccine passport trial, which would have opened pubs and restaurants to test technology in selected parts of the city on October 4 (two weeks early). Instead it will likely be tested in Regional NSW. @9NewsSyd
Jaeger @ #1168 Tuesday, September 14th, 2021 – 6:29 pm
I missed the original post but while heartedly agree – Janet Baker is definitive. (Also on vinyl).
On the treatment meted out to Julia. The CPG are like hounds after a fox. They follow the leader.
For those that didn’t get the Bill Leak comment tweet above. Which is probably most of you.
@TheIPA tweets
Leigh Sales was a close friend of the late Australian cartoonist Bill Leak. In Die Laughing: The Biography of Bill Leak by @FredPawle, she opens up about their deep friendship and her views on his trial over free speech. Order your copy dielaughing.org.au
Evan
Your use of the term “lefties” pretty much rules you out of any contention as an informed, constructive contributor.
ItzaDream
Ah yes, I take your point re Elgar’s Gerontius. Another much loved recording in my collection is the version with Janet Baker, Richard Lewis and Kim Borg, Barbirolli with the Hallé Orchestra.
That would explain a lot about Leigh Sales..
Indigenous woman and former police officer Dorinda Cox confirmed as WA’s newest and first indigenous woman senator. With what seems like an rare combination of experience, Dorinda seems not too backwards in coming forwards from the small amount I’ve seen of her. Will be good to see her in the house for many I’m sure.
Dorinda Cox becomes WA Green’s first female Aboriginal Senator
https://nit.com.au/dorinda-cox-becomes-wa-greens-first-female-aboriginal-senator/
Yamatji-Noongar woman Dorinda Cox made history on Tuesday becoming Western Australia’s first female Aboriginal Senator for the Greens.
Cox was confirmed by a joint sitting of WA Parliament to fill the vacancy of Senator Siewert following her resignation last week.
On Tuesday morning, Cox, accompanied by her family and supporters, walked from Kaarta Gar-up (Kings Park) along Fraser Avenue to WA Parliament.
A smoking ceremony took place at the steps of Parliament House, along with the handing of a Bookah cloak from Elders.
I wonder if Woolworth’s and Coles have considered giving a discount or other rewards to the vaccinated? Would be a good idea I think.
guytaur @ #1175 Tuesday, September 14th, 2021 – 6:38 pm
It was an attempt at humour, guytaur. That is, if Labor’s vote has gone down, that must mean we are going to win the election!
Cud Chewer @ #1189 Tuesday, September 14th, 2021 – 6:56 pm
Qantas were giving 1,000 frequent flier points and Virgin offered trips to various destinations as prizes to those who are double vaccinated.
Cat
Yes. It wasn’t an attack. I got your humour. I thought some positive vibes from me would help. 🙂
guytaur @ #1190 Tuesday, September 14th, 2021 – 7:02 pm
They always help, guytaur. 🙂
It’s a rocky road between now and when Antony Green calls the election result. I just have to live in hope that the electorate don’t fall for another Coalition snowjob. They are evil. As today’s Christian Porter deviousness portrays, yet again.
Ballantyne
The airlines should be carrying only fully vaccinated people from some date onwards.
However, “essential” stores like Woolworths will have to deal with the “vaccine hesitant”.. so providing rewards will be more relevant there.
C@t
The maths and physics of covid are why I’m giving the Libs far worse odds than the bookies.
> That’s Albo subtly telling the NSW Labor Right to go get stuffed and stop screwing up his election
> campaign. If there’s anyone else apart from Tu Le who would be getting mighty pissed off at this
> whole sorry state of affairs, it would be him.
Try undecided voters in seats like Lindsay,Banks,Reid who now have a reason to keep their vote with the coalition. The Daily Telegraph Ch 9/7 and 2GB will lock them in.
Maybe with the genuinely hard core anti-vaxxers we could deny them access to any kind of store and just get the army to deliver food rations to them? Watcha think? 🙂
Another reason I miss Sydney.. Green Lion’s lasagne.. its absolutely scrumptious! (well at least when its fresh at their restaurant)
Shall I try getting the packaged version delivered?
https://www.vegangrocerystore.com.au/products/greehnlionlasagne350gcold?_pos=2&_sid=1d4f2d7de&_ss=r
Cud Chewer @ #1193 Tuesday, September 14th, 2021 – 7:11 pm
The miasma of complacency when you haven’t been infected and the aura of invincibility that will surround the double vaccinated may help them though.
Greg Rudd,
Got any evidence to support your assertion.
There are plenty of examples of Labor politicians thriving despite the media pile on against them.