The bi-monthly Victorian state voting intention poll for Resolve Strategic, published today in The Age, records a three point lift in the primary vote for Daniel Andrews’ Labor government to 40%, with the Coalition down one to 35% and the Greens up one to 10%. This suggests a two-party swing against Labor of about 2% compared with its landslide win in 2018, and of about 2% in its favour since the previous poll. Andrews records a lead of 50-24 over Liberal leader Michael O’Brien on the preferred premier measure, unchanged in size from his 49-23 lead in the previous poll.
As always with Resolve Strategic’s New South Wales and Victorian state polls, this combines results from the last two regular monthly polls, in this case amounting to a sample of 1106 Victorian voters. The state breakdowns from the pollster’s federal results suggest it combines a particularly bad sample for Labor with a particularly good one, from this month and last month respectively.