Preselection latest

As the Victorian Liberals get candidates in place for target Labor seats, a new vacancy opens in a marginal of their own.

Recent developments relevant to the looming federal election, mostly involving the Liberals in Victoria:

• House of Representatives Speaker Tony Smith announced this week he would retire from politics at the election, after holding the seat of Casey on Melbourne’s eastern fringe since 2001. Phillip Coorey of the Financial Review reports “leading contenders” for the Liberal preselection are David Lau, a manager with medical supplies company Ebos Group, and Aaron Violi, a manager with a company that provides online ordering services to restaurants. Both have form as political staffers, Lau with Senator Sarah Henderson and Violi with Senator James Patterson. The “controversial comments on Facebook related to abortion” that caused Lau to quit his job with Henderson appear not to have done him any harm with the party membership. Smith retained Casey by a margin of 4.6% in 2019, which has not changed with the redistribution.

• The Victorian Liberals have preselected former Geelong mayor Stephanie Asher for Corangamite, where Labor’s Libby Coker unseated Sarah Henderson in 2019, and lawyer and one-time Survivor contestant Sharn Coombes for Dunkley in Melbourne’s south-east, which Labor gained after a favourable redistribution in 2019. Brodie Cowburn of Bayside News reports other candidates for Dunkley included Chris Crewther, who held the seat for the Liberals from 2016 until his defeat in 2019, and Donna Hope, who as Donna Bauer held the marginal local state seat of Carrum for a term from 2010 to 2014.

• Queensland’s Liberal National party has preselected Colin Boyce, who has held the state seat of Callide since 2017, as its new candidate for the central Queensland seat of Flynn, held for the party on a margin of 8.7% and to be vacated at the election with the retirement of Ken O’Dowd. Matthew Killoran of the Courier-Mail reports Boyce “convincingly” won a local party ballot over Mitchell Brownlie, Ron English and Tracie Newitt.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,299 comments on “Preselection latest”

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  1. More light is shed on Kissinger’s clandestine visit to China, signalling the end of the McMahon government, the election of Whitlam, and evidencing the power imbalance between two of the ANZUS partners. McMahon rued the day when he said that Zhou had “played him [Whitlam] like a trout.” I hope you get to see this one, beguiledagain:

    https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/dutch-crime-reporter-peter-r-de-vries-dies-after-being-shot-reports-20210715-p58a76.html

  2. poroti,

    “yesterday 2GB shat in pants publicity, today a feature in the Daily Tellsmecrap about his mutt”

    Pleaae explain?

  3. The DT article by the dog (“Buddy”) reads like it’s having a dig or two at the PM. It’s not especially clever, but I think it’s actually trying to be satirical.

    The spelling and grammar check out, so I’m prepared to believe it was actually written by a dog rather than by a DT ‘journalist’.

  4. The reality is that Victoria was dealing with the delta strain only a few weeks back and the Feds dissed us then.

    Stop gaslighting us you f wits.


  5. Michael Pascoe reckons that, in a round-a-bout way, our closed borders have revealed a wages home truth. He says they have demonstrated that the way our migration system has been run, particularly our temporary migration system, may well have been one of the factors suppressing wages growth.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2021/07/16/migration-wages-growth-labour/

    poroti
    You may like this article because Pascoe broached many aspects of your discussion yesterday.on temporary visa migration is keeping wages low

  6. SK,

    I wonder whether managers (that are poorly able to adapt?) are subconsciously concerned that they will be shown up for being less essential for ongoing activity, when workers are remote?

  7. How polite. Not sacked or dumped. Relieved of his duties.

    2GB 873
    @2GB873
    Ben is calling on the Health Minister to step down.
    Ben Fordham: ‘Brad Hazzard should be relieved of his duties’ – 2GB
    Ben Fordham is calling on Brad Hazzard to be relieved of his duties as the NSW Health Minister. “I think it’s time for Brad Hazzard to be given a break,” Ben Fordham said. “We need some fresh…
    2gb.com

  8. @AndrewBrownAU tweets

    Covid has taken away not just crowds, but also one of the most celebrated journalistic traditions of the Olympics: stories on record amount of condoms in the Olympic Village are non-existent this year

    ________________

    @noplaceforsheep tweets

    Having abjectly failed at vaccination & quarantine, Morrison
    has now handed the entire shemozzle over to his dog.
    Things should improve from now on


  9. The European Union has announced the world’s most ambitious response to climate change, and the US and China are not far behind, explains Stephen Bartholomeusz.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/europe-is-provoking-the-world-with-its-controversial-plan-to-fight-climate-change-20210715-p589yr.html

    I am channelling’Wayne’ here.
    Australian government will take US, Europe and China to WTO to fight against unlawful discrimination by these countries to impose carbon tax on Australia and win that fight.
    LNP will go on win next election by a landslide. 🙂

  10. NSW press office (aka C9) releases lat4st figures.

    Chris O’Keefe
    (@cokeefe9)
    Hearing new NSW cases are pretty close to 100 today. Premier foreshadowed spike, meetings late yesterday about potential for hardening of restrictions. @9NewsAUS

  11. I don’t know what E.G Theodore is on about. Yesterday I described the federal vaccination efforts as ‘shithouse’ and have been a consistent critic of it for weeks and weeks.


  12. DisplayNamesays:
    Friday, July 16, 2021 at 8:12 am
    they said if you’re an independent thinker they expect you to think “Labor-Coalition, bad-bad”

    The people who said are Green supporters. Aren’t they? 🙂

  13. Cud Chewer at 9:32 am
    It was not 2GB but just as shite a station and hosts. The story……………….
    .
    .
    Australia’s two biggest cities are back in lockdown and the government’s vaccine rollout is a clusterfuck, so it’s interesting that Prime Minister Scott Morrison has chosen now, of all times, to deny allegations that he shat himself in the carpark of Engadine Macca’s after the Cronulla Sharks lost the Super League Grand Final in 1997.
    https://www.pedestrian.tv/news/scott-morrison-engadine-maccas-kyle-jackie-o/

  14. Rex,

    It is interesting how the quarantine issue has been subsumed by the immediate issue of COVID-19 in the community.

  15. How is it that if foxes are supposed to be so smart, the one that appears regularly in the front garden has never found the rabbit burrow located under a log, and concealed by ferns, not far from the carport?

  16. What’s the point of ATAGI making AZ available to over 18yo’s but the AMA and GP’s essentially blackballing AZ ..?
    Absolutely disgraceful conduct.

  17. In the spirit of an apparently satirical piece on the canine denizen of Kirribilli, we could dial it up.

    Let’s remake “Let the Blood Run Free”.

    Let the Virus Run Free – it will be a ratings triumph!

  18. @anchorlines tweets

    something i’ve been thinking about is the flexibility and dignity remote work allows people with mental illness

    as someone who suffers from depression, anxiety, and insomnia, some days the idea of going into an office (or, frankly, leaving my home at all) is just … completely overwhelming. but i can function well enough to do my work at home on my own terms

    while i’ve been fortunate to have understanding and supportive colleagues, i don’t always want to explain why i can’t come into the office. remote work removes some of that burden, and trusts employees to determine their own bandwidth in a more holistic sense

    With social media / digital media becoming an increasingly pink collar job, it baffles me why hiring managers have long kept it as an “office-only” job because no matter what you’re likely still responding to emergencies or monitoring it after hours and on weekends – from home.

  19. Griff @ #121 Friday, July 16th, 2021 – 10:02 am

    Rex,

    It is interesting how the quarantine issue has been subsumed by the immediate issue of COVID-19 in the community.

    Morrison and Hunt are primarily responsible for all this social and economic carnage.

    It’s then down to Premiers/Chief Ministers to clean up their mess. Some are doing it better than others.

    Bottom line, the Fed Govt is an absolute disgrace and MUST GO at the next election.

  20. @ChrisReason7 tweets

    #BREAKING CONFIRMED Australian Olympic team has had its first positive – tennis player Alex de Minaur, not yet in Tokyo, but has pulled out 7Olympic #tokyo2020  #olympics

  21. yabba says:
    Friday, July 16, 2021 at 9:01 am
    We have a prime minister who has room in his conscious ‘understanding’ of the world in which he lives, for the absolute conviction that the universe came into being around 7,000 years ago, and that at some time quite soon he and his fellow ‘saved’ believers will fly up into the sky to ‘heaven’, while us rational, non-delusional humans will be submitted to eternal torture. (Think about that. He actually believes that ridiculous garbage.) His mind is cluttered with this delusional nonsense, which pours forth as such exudations as ‘speaking in tongues’ and garbled, gallimaufric press conference announcements.

    He does not have the mental furniture needed to analyse facts, assess alternatives, perceive patterns, draw conclusions or conceive strategies, all of which are needed to formulate plans and initiate action. He is a drivelling, pathetic failure, and a fuckwit, in the real meaning of the word. He is utterly incapable of thinking straight, and we are suffering because of it. He will not get any better, because his wit is permanently fucked.

    Correct

  22. What crapola is this. Sheesh

    Media
    Likes
    Chris O’Keefe’s Tweets
    Chris O’Keefe
    @cokeefe9
    ·
    19m
    This is the key approach, Most effective restrictions with the least harm to society. Let the science dictate the response, if a “hard” lockdown won’t make any difference at this point, why burden Sydney with it?
    Quote Tweet
    Lani
    @theriverfed
    · 27m
    We’re obviously not looking at exponential increases still so suppression is happening. Is it enough? Unlikely, but let’s not talk ‘hard’ – let’s talk most effective with least harm twitter.com/cokeefe9/statu…

  23. Rex Douglas says:
    Friday, July 16, 2021 at 10:09 am
    Griff @ #121 Friday, July 16th, 2021 – 10:02 am

    Rex,

    It is interesting how the quarantine issue has been subsumed by the immediate issue of COVID-19 in the community.
    Morrison and Hunt are primarily responsible for all this social and economic carnage.

    It’s then down to Premiers/Chief Ministers to clean up their mess. Some are doing it better than others.

    Bottom line, the Fed Govt is an absolute disgrace and MUST GO at the next election.

    Yada yada yada. The flyweights of the political cosmos, the Greens, will campaign against Labor in the hope of propping up the Reactionaries. Rely upon it.


  24. Greensborough Growlersays:
    Friday, July 16, 2021 at 8:59 am
    BK,

    I can feel for the person and the alleged demands by the NSW Treasurer to forgo some her salary because of the lockdown recommendation is a disgrace if true.

    However, as pointed out, Chant was always happy to provide the advice the NSW Government wanted to hear and so, she has to be accountable for that. The lacksadaisical approach to lockdown has clearly allowed the virus to spread rampantly and I don’t see any signs that NSW is any further down the road of re-opening than at the start of this outbreak.

    It’ll be interesting to see if the Victorian lockdown works and is lifted next Tuesday as planned and NSW continues to wallow because of poor decision making by their political Leaders.

    The lifting of Melbourne lockdown depends on how AAMI Park and MCC cases go i.e. whether they peter out or nevoie superspreaders?

  25. I don’t believe Morrison has been asked yet alone answered questions as to his belief in Creationism/Evolution or on his understanding of the age of the Earth. He could be a Young Earth Creationist or an Old Earth Creationist. I think the public needed to have these questions put to him at some stage and it is an indictment on Australian political journalists that none of them have ever bothered to ask.

  26. I do wish that David Speers would stop making mealy-mouthed excuses for Morrison and Gladys, as if their attitudes have changed in any way over the past months.

  27. Cud Chewer

    The Liberal front bench is a furniture store, after liquidation…

    Craig Kelly was a furniture salesman with a store which ended up ‘liquidated’ when the family business collapse. So a start.

  28. @schwartzbCNBC tweets

    Scoop: Rupert Murdoch-funded Fox Corp PAC contributed to Democrat Joe Manchin’s campaign as he’s under pressure to oppose key elements of President Joe Biden’s agenda.


  29. yabbasays:
    Friday, July 16, 2021 at 9:01 am
    He does not have the mental furniture needed to analyse facts, assess alternatives, perceive patterns, draw conclusions or conceive strategies, all of which are needed to formulate plans and initiate action

    Then how can you explain him joining in one of the elite ‘Selective’ GPS government High schools?

    Were entrance exams not conducted in since early eighties to study in Selective schools?

  30. Part of the reason why Morrison has been so successful at climbing his way upwards has been that his intellect and danger is constantly underestimated. He uses daggers, not crampons. Morrison carefully and deliberately cultivates the everyman motif to further his ends.

    Turnbull, for example, made the same assumption.

  31. Dutton’s contribution – the winner gets a million injections?

    ‘Great idea’: Dutton backs vaccine lottery
    Defence Minister Peter Dutton has backed the idea of a Covid vaccination lottery, which Australia’s largest gambling company is willing to host.

    (Murdoch’s DT)

  32. The ‘Ms Represented ‘ series on ABC iview highlights the character of various politicians and Bronwyn Bishop can’t hide her spitefulness.
    Have just watched Episode 3 which includes dealing with childcare and the struggle re the abortion pill. Lovely to see the young Susan Ryan and how eventually the sisterhood won out over party lines.
    Well worth watching and as HI said, we forget how sexist we were.

  33. The NSW Treasurer wanted the CHO’s pay docked for underperforming.

    Imagine if that rule could be applied to politicians.

    Many would be working for nothing.


  34. C@tmommasays:
    Friday, July 16, 2021 at 9:07 am
    On a lighter nore, my son showed me this guy on Tik Tok who does a post there every day predicting what NSW’s infection numbers will be the following day, before anyone knows, based upon some mathematical algorithm he has figured out and you’d be amazed how accurate he has been!

    What are the numbers today?

  35. Rex Douglas @ #125 Friday, July 16th, 2021 – 10:04 am

    What’s the point of ATAGI making AZ available to over 18yo’s but the AMA and GP’s essentially blackballing AZ ..?
    Absolutely disgraceful conduct.

    More disgraceful that we don’t have enough Pfizer and that doesn’t appear to be changing anytime soon.

    The AZ stuff should be a non-issue, is only an issue because of the larger failure to secure adequate Pfizer supplies. Heap the blame and scorn where it’s most deserved; on the Feds and the PM for screwing up the vaccine allocation.

    guytaur @ #142 Friday, July 16th, 2021 – 10:23 am

    It’s not been reported yet. My guess would be the UK Wimbledon interactions.

    Yeah, that whole thing was ridiculous. Covid breaking out all over the place again (42,000 new cases added yesterday!), but “okay everyone, come crowd around and watch the tennis”. They’ve given up.

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