The fortnightly Essential Research poll includes the pollster’s monthly leadership ratings, which gives Scott Morrison his weakest results since the onset of COVID-19 – down six on approval to 51% and up four on disapproval to 40%, with his lead as preferred prime minister narrowing slightly from 48-28 to 46-28. Anthony Albanese is up two on approval to 41% and down one on disapproval to 35%. These numbers have been fed into the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, sharpening Morrison’s established downward trend.
Approval of the federal government’s response to COVID-19 has also deteriorated, with a nine point drop in the good rating since last month to 44% and a six point increase in poor to 30%. Among respondents in New South Wales, the good rating for the federal government has slumped from 62% to 44%, and that for the state government is down from 69% to 57%. A range of other questions are featured on matters relating to COVID-19, including findings that 36% would be willing to get the Pfizer vaccine but not AstraZeneca (5% said vice-versa); that 40% believe the vaccine rollout is being down efficiently, down from 43% a month ago (and 68% earlier in the year); and that 64% believe it is being done safely, down from 67%.
The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1099; full results can be viewed here.
Elsewhere, the Age/Herald yesterday published results aggregated from the three monthly Resolve Strategic polls which compared current voting intention with how respondents recalled having voted in 2019, and found women were more likely to have shifted away from the Coalition (down four points to 37%) than men (down one to 41%). On the subject of Resolve Strategic, Macquarie University academic Murray Goot casts a critical eye over its (and to a lesser extent Essential Research’s) attitudinal polling in Inside Story and takes aim at its refusal to join the Australian Polling Council and adhere to its transparency standards.
The reborn Sam Maiden is good value these days.
With respect to the airborne transmission discussion, as previously mentioned, there is an evidence to clinical practice to change in policy lag. For this particular issue, it has been very rapid! See this paper for their thoughts on the length of time for translation of knowledge to practice; 17 years.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3241518/
NB:- I think the paper is simplistic to say that practice changes after policy changes. We often see practice change PRIOR to guidelines, as clinicians read the primary literature and attend conferences, pandemic willing. Also, guidelines don’t always change practice 🙁
Kudos all around for robust debate, as evidence that challenges the scientific status quo needs to be debated, except when debate devolves to personal sniping of course.
Last comment, it is interesting that the quoted article mentions tuberculosis as a “classic” example of airborne transmission. That a relatively recent change in thinking. It is interesting that, despite the delay in shifting our understanding, we are quick to forget that we once thought differently. We should remember Lamarckism 🙂
Middleton delivering finally.
The get-vaccinated ad when you don’t have vaccines.
(I haven’t seen it)
Not many positives for the government on Insiders so far this morning!
Or for Golden Glad.
Itza
Sam Maiden said it’s as interesting as a bowl of cold cornflakes left on the kitchen bench.
The yobbo LN/P and Pauline voters couldn’t care about C 19 apart from is it going to get them a special payment. Qld and WA not in lock down so things are OK election wise for Scummo and Co. Pork barrelling will save the day. And a lot of porkie pies. Albo get to say something once, Murdoch a hundred different ways.
lizzie @ #2907 Sunday, July 11th, 2021 – 9:38 am
She shoots from the hip. I’d love to have a drink with her.
Maiden and Crabbe have been quite devastating this morning.
Maiden (sorry not Middleton) on fire.
‘drinking their own bathwater’ Gold.
Cat
“ How about a Public-Private Partnership with the Industry Super Funds then?”
A renewable power based grid and generation assets would be ideal for industry funds. Long term, highly profitable assets with no risk of becoming stranded. Wen we finally get EVs in numbers they will increase demand without adding to CO2. They could also ensure survival for industries like Alumina in a carbon priced world.
Good point by Crabbe that in deciding to name or not name an accused, women consider the other family, the other women.
The $40 million ad campaign is not about information- it is the Govt transferring money to its media mates – Murdoch, Nine/Fairfax, Stokes etc…to prop up their ailing media compaies and buy their support……and it works time after time.
The whole country and PB needs an independent commission against stupidity, personal innuendo, thin skin and disingenuous bullshit.
Perhaps blatant hypocrisy as well!
U.S. COVID update: Daily cases continue to rise despite limited reporting on Saturdays
– New cases: 14,520 ………………………… – New deaths: 109
– In hospital: 18,329 (+115)
– In ICU: 4,577 (+60)
622,819 total deaths now
This is unbelievable!
“THE Russell – Will I die before I get vaccinated?@THE_Russell · 42m
As a metaphor for her hopelessly amateurish and inadequate approach to controlling the NSW #Covid19 outbreak, Chant breaks infection control protocols and wipes her eye with her mask.
Following her example, is it any wonder the virus is spreading all over Sydney?
#auspol #NSWpol”
Well done Ashy Barty!
Sohar @ #2917 Sunday, July 11th, 2021 – 10:10 am
To be fair, she immediately admitted her mistake, emphasised it was a mistake, and asked if anyone had a tissue. She had notes in one hand, her mask in the other, no table or lectern or place to put either, and the eye protective reflex is about as strong as it gets – the whole eye design is protective: recessed under a cliff with big bushes on it, rapidly responding wiper blades with brushes, incredibly sensitive membranes to detect the slightest invasion, and an immediate reflex get rid of anything coming in.
And in the glare of the spotlights and camera rolling
”
“We’re sorry we looked down on you Victoria – see you on the other side of lockdown”, says Peter FitzSimons.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/we-re-sorry-we-looked-down-on-you-victoria-see-you-on-the-other-side-of-lockdown-20210709-p588d8.html
”
Well, some people will like this article more than others.
And in the glare of the spotlights and camera rolling
————
They are bright. But not sure how glarey. Seems a most professional studio model photo shoot lighting setup. Love to know the cost compared to the more dreary ones we r used to.
”
Australia’s absurd moral panic around critical race theory aims to silence demands for justice, complains Jason Wilson
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/jul/10/australias-absurd-moral-panic-around-critical-race-theory-aims-to-silence-demands-for-justice
”
This is relevant atleast in 2 instances on PB debate and in wider community.
1. Criminalisation of travel ban for only one country.
2. Criminalization of lockdown compliance in Sydney wrt to West Sydney against Eastern suburbs.
Ven
I was accused yesterday by some posters of being way over the top in my commentary regarding covid with respect to NSW and Victoria etc.
The reality was the NSW govt, federal govt and the media played the political game with respect to the pandemic and took every opportunity to pummel Victoria to gain political advantage.
This was at the expense of Victorians and their mental health in coping with the challenges of controlling the virus.
NSW now have this challenge of driving down the virus, but they will not have to deal with being treated the same way.
That is no small thing.
Thanks for the Fitz link. He has Banks’ full ‘wallpaper’ quote in his ‘quotes of the week’. Read as a whole it is utterly damning and exposes Morrison for what he is.
Simon Katich @ #2922 Sunday, July 11th, 2021 – 10:29 am
T’was just an expression I was using, rather than meant literally, but yes ….
Simon Katich @ #2922 Sunday, July 11th, 2021 – 10:29 am
They are held outdoors if that helps.
Victoria says:
Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 10:38 am
The reality was the NSW govt, federal govt and the media played the political game with respect to the pandemic and took every opportunity to pummel Victoria to gain political advantage.
This was at the expense of Victorians and their mental health in coping with the challenges of controlling the virus.
__________________
oh please. It was probably at the expense of the mental health of Labor hacks and Dan Andrews worshipers, I’ll give you that.
Fess, I used to think it was the beautiful glow of the Sydney winter sun that was making these pressers seem so different to others. But alas, it is mostly, if not all, artificial.
And yes, it would be a challenge for these civil servants to be put under the spotlight (literally and metaphorically). Spurrier for example has done amazingly well although seems to still be uncomfortable with it.
Spray,
.
😀
Just catching up after a busy day and night yesterday.
I feel like I am playing Russian roulette at the moment!
Every day I check the exposure sites, and discover that I missed some exposure site by hours.
But no recent visits to the Homestead cafe.
Yesterday my mother insisted in being taken to do her shopping – she does not trust me not to forget things. She of course cannot believe that she may have forgotten to put them on the list. We went to East Village in Zetland, which pops up a bit in the exposure sites, but she was insistent. I also suggested that two of us going around together was pushing the rules, but she insisted she needed me to push the trolley.
The place was more crowded than I have ever seen it. I got the impression that people were doing a big shop, and are then planning on staying in their units / houses.
No police or security in sight.
”
C@tmommasays:
Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 8:29 am
lizzie @ #648 Sunday, July 11th, 2021 – 8:27 am
Sarah Martin
@msmarto
·
19m
$41m for a vaccination ad that looks like it was made from clip art.
Beyond disappointed.
You’ve got to wonder where the majority of the $41 Million went then?
”
“Where the hell are you?” “Arm yourself up”. 🙂
poroti @ #2858 Sunday, July 11th, 2021 – 6:50 am
Yep, in science this is critical.
Your definitions need to be clear and precise to have a meaning in that context.
Not knowing and understanding them can lead you down many rabbit holes that never existed.
GG
Shorter. Morrison is an imposter of a leader.
SK:
I love the forthrightness of Jeannette Young.
Good Morning
Recon
No. There was true antivaxxer tropes being run.
The whole open up from the LNP opposition to the Murdoch press.
Using natural anxiety about putting dinner on the table to run a fear campaign.
Same as used in the UK. Daniel Andrews thankfully for Australia took a very different approach to Boris Johnson. Daniel Andrews was staring down the barrel of that type of thinking.
UK Cartoons – super slim today:
Isn’t there a good cafe up near the Paddington gates – not far away? Get your innercity soy turmeric lattes from there.
Or bring a tangier and brew one up on a big Moka pot with a thermos of hot milk for everyone.
I vote Spray to be mother.
The image comparison is uncanny, minus the part about being understanding:
I’d argue that the fringe anti-vaxer movement, Peta Credlin, Alan Jones and Tim Smith had almost zero impact on the minds of most Victorians. That was certainly the case with me and everyone I know.
Recon
Exactly. Daniel Andrews stared them down. In the UK it was a different story.
It’s not hard to compare the pair.
Memo to self:
Do not let the last article you read for the night before going to bed be that one from Domain that tells you in granular detail about the ‘poisonous’ nature of dust around the home because you will spend all of the next morning scouring the house for dust to eliminate from every nook and cranny.
The house looks nice but. 😀
”
lizziesays:
Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 8:39 am
I thought I heard this morning that infections are spreading beyond the south west of Sydney. Today’s presser may be interesting. The ABC is annoying because it so often serves up yesterday’s ‘news’. I want mine fresh from the oven, please.
”
Some of the food that is not ‘fresh from oven’
1. Frozen food , an invention of West, comes to mind which is used by many.
2. Left overs preserved properly can be eaten
3. Many people may not have time to cook ‘fresh from the oven’. Hence the explosion of take away food
You can interpret ‘News’ for ‘food’.
That’s true, but it helped galvanise the majority of Victorians, along with Andrews’ strength and leadership in standing up for 100+ days and not running from questions and attacks.
I hope NSW people can find someone to galvanise them as a community to fight this virus and defeat it.
Daniel Andrews didn’t stare them down. The Victorian people ignored them. In fact for me they were a bit of light humor and also in some cases a sad lesson in how low the Victorian Liberals have fallen. Once the home of Moderate Liberalism and a restraint on reactionaries in centre-right politics, they are a shadow of their former incarnation.
I love the way The Financial Review has pretty well single-handedly kept the watch industry in business in this country. 🙂
77 cases – 32 cases in isolation throughout their infectious period = 45 with the potential to transmit.
Contact tracers are losing.
So 77 cases and unfortunately one death.
NSW Premier is expecting triple digits tomorrow.
Not what NSW would have expected.
And do you notice how Dan Andrews hasn’t been in the media rubbing it in to NSW?
GB foreshadowing over 100 tomorrow. Based on Sunday testing. The post-8pm numbers must be dire.