As a new financial year dawns, it’s all happening on Poll Bludger — in addition to this post, there is:
• A new post by Adrian Beaumont on Britain’s Batley and Spen by-election, French regional elections and the New York City mayoral election;
• A post on the new draft state redistribution for Victoria, including my calculations of party vote shares for the new boundaries;
• A post on the federal redistribution for Victoria, which has now been finalised, and which likewise comes with an accounting of party vote shares under the new boundaries, and some analysis of how the changes affects the Greens prospects in Macnamara and Higgins; and
• The regular bi-monthly donation drive.
Further developments:
• The Northern Territory Country Liberal Party has preselected Jacinta Price as its Senate candidate at the expense of incumbent Sam McMahon, who came to the position at the 2019 election. Price is the deputy mayor of Alice Springs Council and head of indigenous research at conservative think thank the Centre for Independent Studies, and ran unsuccessfully for the CLP in Lingiari at the 2019 election. McMahon was in the news last week after her unsteadiness while in the Senate chamber prompted allegations she was drunk, although she insisted she had in fact been suffering symptoms of severe hypertension.
• The mayor of Alice Springs, Damien Ryan, has been preselected by the CLP as its new candidate for Lingiari, which will be vacated with the retirement of Labor veteran Warren Snowdon. Labor’s new candidate is Marion Scrymgour, former Deputy Chief Minister and current chief executive of the Northern Land Council.
• Federal parliament’s Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters has published the report from its inquiry on the future conduct of elections operating during times of emergency situations. After considering the recent experiences of Queensland council elections, the Eden-Monaro by-election and general elections in Tasmania and the Northern Territory, it offers fairly modest recommendations: to give the Electoral Commissioner the power to extend pre-polling periods and allow for no-excuse postal and pre-poll voting (which exists de facto in any case) should the circumstances demand it, and to change the Electoral Act to change the date of an election in an emergency, giving better effect to a power that already exists under the Constitution.
• July 24 has been set as the date for Queensland’s Stretton by-election, which will fill the vacancy created by Labor member Duncan Pegg’s resignation after a terminal cancer diagnosis in May, followed weeks later by his death. The by-election will be contested for Labor by James Martin, a former electorate officer to Pegg, and for the Liberal National Party by Jim Bellos, a police officer and former Queenslander of the Year. Labor’s margin in the seat is 14.8%; I’ll be publishing a guide to the by-election soon-ish.
Recon @ #907 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 6:18 pm
Which Ros Kelly resigned over and left parliament at the next election because of. Point me to a Coalition politician who has done the same thing?
Still dragging out something that happened in 1993. Pathetic. Now show me proof that when Labor were last in government federally either School Halls or Pink Batts went to Labor electorates but not Liberal electorates? You can’t. Julia Gillard and Kevin Rudd made a point of not showing favouritism. To a fault.
But hey, what about 1993!?!
Just pathetic Whataboutism.
nath and LVT in humiliating backflip, descending into whataboutism about decades old ALP governments.
Hypocrisy, thy name is sock puppets
Recon @ #911 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 6:19 pm
You really are a low life, nath. As I have been saying since your presence has blighted the blog again, it’s gone downhill fast since then.
Goodbye. You are the weakest link.
“ Like I said C@t. Labor haven’t been in goverment at the Federal level. But we can all recall the Sport Rorts of 1993?”
Ros Kelly maintained she did the right thing.
There was an independent inquiry that disagreed within her.
She resigned.
Responsibility and consequences.
Notice anything different to Every. Single. Thing. that the current bunch of pirates have done?
also, the original ‘sports rorts’ grants scheme was very modest in comparison to Every. Single. Rorts program that the Libs have perpetuated over the life of two governments since then. Also the degree of ‘bias’ in question was also extremely mild.
Like I said. This is not an apples with apples comparison. Not even close.
Lol C@tmomma and Sprocket
I think nath should apologise for his latest slur – a pattern entrenched – of shrill criticism of female posters.
What’s Minns been up to over the last month ?
How’s that political integrity signature policy of his coming along …?
LVT and nath would call Medicare Labor ‘pork barrelling’, as it advantages greatly lower income earners and those on welfare, over the wealthy.
What about that? You clowns.
Rex, unlike your Victorian Liberal traitors to the pandemic response- Chris Minns and NSW Labor is fully supportive of the essential, though delayed, lockdown imposed by GladysB.
sprocket_ @ #917 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 6:29 pm
He’s a sexist pig. It’s why he got turfed last time. And I said when he came out of the closet and admitted who he was, this time around as Recon, that a leopard never changes its spots and just give him time and he would revert to form. I was right.
C@tmomma @ #2409 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 5:44 pm
To me, he’s saying an election result justifies whatever means have been used to achieve it, even means that are later decided by an umpire to be wrong, and a wrongness that couldn’t be known by the voter at the time they voted.
sprocket_ @ #2470 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 6:33 pm
He wasn’t a week ago. He was asleep in the next hammock along from Gladys.
I want to see Minns as a revolutionary in NSW politics.
I want to see him transform the rotten squalid centuries old corrupt culture of NSW politics.
I want to see him do it with a bit of flair and bravado that might inspire others along the way.
Recon
Many thanks for your post…
ALP held 55 per cent of electorates, with 57 per cent of funding being awarded to projects located in an ALP held electorate; The Coalition parties held 43 per cent of electorates, with 37 per cent of funding being awarded to projects located in an electorate held by the Coalition
Given the report was driven by Andrew Robb ( failed business man ) & this was the best he could do I’m gratified.
Corruption no-one does it better than the LNP.
I think it’s interesting, gnath often alludes to his being the Casanova of the Carringbush, but then gratuitously insults female posters left right and centre. At least with mature women, the latter is unlikely to be a winning strategy for the former.
“flair and bravado”
I’ll drink to that.
“where single rooms can cost up to $1.5 million, plus extra daily payments.”
Welcome to the future of aged care in Australia.
Thank you Mr Howard and your Liberal government for the privitisation of aged care.
Worked out great for the profits of privateers didn’t it?
Anyone care to defend the private aged care industry?
When you put profit into a scenario you look at ways to create a profit.
Cut wages, minimise food expenses and charge the max.
Whilst increasing the CEO’S abd Directors bonuses.
Pox on the lot of them!
Simon Katich @ #2388 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 5:09 pm
Gave me a laugh SK, but I don’t think most people got it.
ItzaDream @ #922 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 6:36 pm
Why don’t they just give up the pretense and mail every voter a $1000 cheque?
“ I want to see Minns as a revolutionary in NSW politics.”
The Ron Burgandy of NSW Politics is the high Priest of the Political Staffer Class. That’s why the journos love him: he reminds them of themselves: hopeless protected species in a sheltered workshop.
That said, I’m sure that Minns will be somewhat more effective at political messaging and jujitsu than his predecessor. After all, that’s his entire life experience.
Another glorious weekend in Sydney. People embracing the restrictions with sensible optimism, a dip in the case numbers, whales aplenty off Bangalley Head and a thrashing of the Eagles. Truly blessed.
Andrew_Earlwood says:
Sunday, July 4, 2021 at 6:53 pm
The Ron Burgandy of NSW Politics is the high Priest of the Political Staffer Class. That’s why the journos love him: he reminds them of themselves: hopeless protected species in a sheltered workshop.
________________
Nice character sketch! Now if I had said that…
Surprise, surprise, another man to join the coalition ranks.
Spray
“People embracing the restrictions with sensible optimism”
Sarcasm, no?
Fan of Gladys Claytons lockdown?
Watch it explode in the next week.
Been There @ #2474 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 7:07 pm
Let’s hope it doesn’t Been There.
So Amanda Stoker’s choice has been selected. Add this to Julia Banks’ descriptions of the activities of Liberal branches in Vic and one wonders if Liberal members are a different breed.
lizzie:
Dutton and Morrison wanted Forrest to win preselection. Obviously Dutton’s influence isn’t worth much these days.
Fess
That’s good. 🙂
Spray
It has been too little, too late.
State wide consequences are coming.
Don’t take any notice of Gladys bravado at the press conferences.
Willing to look like a goose if I’m wrong, and I really hope I am.
Replying to
@ScottMorrisonMP
and
@Raf_Epstein
PM did you give Barnaby the keys to his own jet for his daily commute?
Image
https://twitter.com/SnapBackAU/status/1410854300582957057
Been There @ #2480 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 7:19 pm
I take very little notice of the Premier.
But yeah, a lot of people agree with you (some with a rather unbecoming enthusiasm). I guess time will tell, but I’ve always been a glass-half-full man.
Unvaccinated people do more than merely risk their own health. They’re also a risk to everyone if they become infected with coronavirus, infectious disease specialists say.
That’s because the only source of new coronavirus variants is the body of an infected person.
“Unvaccinated people are potential variant factories,” Dr. William Schaffner, a professor in the Division of Infectious Diseases at Vanderbilt University Medical Center, told CNN Friday.
“The more unvaccinated people there are, the more opportunities for the virus to multiply,” Schaffner said.
“When it does, it mutates, and it could throw off a variant mutation that is even more serious down the road.”
All viruses mutate, and while the coronavirus is not particularly mutation-prone, it does change and evolve.
This story – watch the video – outlines more of the background of the newly selected LNP candidate for Bowman, Henry Pike..
https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/qld-lnp-investigates-candidate-henry-pike/video/5cbbaee320264885d68d27db3e1a1b96
Lars Von Trier @ #2329 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 3:24 pm
Nah, Dean Winter will step up a little earlier than some of us were expecting.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/eat-a-bat-and-die-vile-threats-against-wuhan-lab-conspiracy-buster-20210701-p5861i.html
The man dubbed America’s “most prolific” conspiracy theorist, Texan Alex Jones, named Dr Anderson as “the woman running projects with weaponised COVID” and claimed she “ran all the censorship for Facebook … and silences the president”.
Geelong-born Dr Anderson had no idea she was being targeted until a friend from New York asked: “Why am I seeing your face?”
—————
America is killing the world and should be killing our relationship with America
”
Lizziesays:
Sunday, July 4, 2021 at 7:12 pm
So Amanda Stoker’s choice has been selected. Add this to Julia Banks’ descriptions of the activities of Liberal branches in Vic and one wonders if Liberal members are a different breed.
”
When Barry Cassidy was Insiders host, he said a few times that Liberal party members to be generally to the right of the Liberal party MPs, Senators, MLAs and MLCs ( not exactly in so many words)
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/ignacio-came-home-from-work-to-find-his-house-ransacked-he-wasn-t-the-only-one-20210701-p585zw.html
How wonderful that Australia pays hard working migrants with theft!
mundo says:
Sunday, July 4, 2021 at 8:04 pm
Lars Von Trier @ #2329 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 3:24 pm
Holdenhillbilly says:
Sunday, July 4, 2021 at 3:19 pm
David O’Byrne has resigned as Tasmanian Labor leader over allegations he sexually harassed a junior union employee more than a decade ago.
_________________________
They may need to import a hack from Melbourne. Maybe Littlefinger could go down and have his own kingdom to run?
Nah, Dean Winter will step up a little earlier than some of us were expecting.
_________________________
OMG – this guy is impressive. I just checked his website.
He’s also actually worked in real private sector jobs – and he’s under 40.
How the heck did he get past the UWU Stasi?
Speaking of pork barelling. How bout both sides agree to do something drastic about poverty and education in Northern Tasmania. I had recent visit from a friend from UTAS and the horror stories are vivid.
Ven
Interesting comment. Thank you.
So sQomo and the Potato himself have both been rejected… a fat shaming ‘Christian’ gets to replace the current LNP ornament Andrew Laming.
‘Prime Minister Scott Morrison has made it clear internally he wants a “strong female candidate” to run in the seat, as his government attempts to address the lack of women in its ranks and a series of scandals involving the treatment of women.
The three-times popularly elected mayor of Redlands City Council, Karen Williams, is among the frontrunners for the contest, having had her LNP membership fast-tracked last month to allow her to contest preselection in the Brisbane bayside seat.
Defence Minister Peter Dutton, the most senior federal Queensland Liberal MP, has written a letter of support for 33-year-old Maggie Forrest, the LNP’s honorary legal counsel, who he described as a “person of substance and integrity”. He has also written a reference for Mr Pike.
Ms Forrest has pitched herself to voters as a Christian and promoted the party as not standing for “grievance, special interest, tokenism and wokeism”.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/assistant-minister-for-woman-supporting-only-man-in-five-way-liberal-preselection-contest-20210622-p583cd.html
Corruption, crony capitalism and incompetence are all things that are nothing new in governments.
But this LNP government does it with no shame, no consequences and no accountability for it.
Anyone with any integrity is being sacked, like what Barnaby did to Darren Chester.
And only those who have no integrity gets elevated.
Ms Forrest has pitched herself to voters as a Christian and promoted the party as not standing for “grievance, special interest, tokenism and wokeism”.
Isn’t that what Christians do in their own way?
Game of Thrones references (a la ‘Littlefinger’) are so passe.
The ‘Billy’ xtians the Coalition are infested with
What a surprise. Not. That another ‘Lame gay Churchy Loser’ (thank you, Bridgey Abbott), gets a slot to take their place in the Lame gay Churchy Loser government of Scott Morrison.
Just thought I’d repost this for the shits and giggles..
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-02/germany-recommends-switch-astrazeneca-pfizer-moderna-mrna/100262212
I am finding it very difficult to see the loving, forgiving Jesus in the harsh souls of the conservative Christian Liberals.
Kakuru @ #956 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 9:04 pm
Showing their lack of imagination. But then, Lars doesn’t even know the difference between ‘there’ and ‘their’.