Lockdown miscellany

Top end preselection news, a date set for a Queensland state by-election, and the latest on federal and state redistributions.

As a new financial year dawns, it’s all happening on Poll Bludger — in addition to this post, there is:

• A new post by Adrian Beaumont on Britain’s Batley and Spen by-election, French regional elections and the New York City mayoral election;

• A post on the new draft state redistribution for Victoria, including my calculations of party vote shares for the new boundaries;

• A post on the federal redistribution for Victoria, which has now been finalised, and which likewise comes with an accounting of party vote shares under the new boundaries, and some analysis of how the changes affects the Greens prospects in Macnamara and Higgins; and

• The regular bi-monthly donation drive.

Further developments:

• The Northern Territory Country Liberal Party has preselected Jacinta Price as its Senate candidate at the expense of incumbent Sam McMahon, who came to the position at the 2019 election. Price is the deputy mayor of Alice Springs Council and head of indigenous research at conservative think thank the Centre for Independent Studies, and ran unsuccessfully for the CLP in Lingiari at the 2019 election. McMahon was in the news last week after her unsteadiness while in the Senate chamber prompted allegations she was drunk, although she insisted she had in fact been suffering symptoms of severe hypertension.

• The mayor of Alice Springs, Damien Ryan, has been preselected by the CLP as its new candidate for Lingiari, which will be vacated with the retirement of Labor veteran Warren Snowdon. Labor’s new candidate is Marion Scrymgour, former Deputy Chief Minister and current chief executive of the Northern Land Council.

• Federal parliament’s Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters has published the report from its inquiry on the future conduct of elections operating during times of emergency situations. After considering the recent experiences of Queensland council elections, the Eden-Monaro by-election and general elections in Tasmania and the Northern Territory, it offers fairly modest recommendations: to give the Electoral Commissioner the power to extend pre-polling periods and allow for no-excuse postal and pre-poll voting (which exists de facto in any case) should the circumstances demand it, and to change the Electoral Act to change the date of an election in an emergency, giving better effect to a power that already exists under the Constitution.

• July 24 has been set as the date for Queensland’s Stretton by-election, which will fill the vacancy created by Labor member Duncan Pegg’s resignation after a terminal cancer diagnosis in May, followed weeks later by his death. The by-election will be contested for Labor by James Martin, a former electorate officer to Pegg, and for the Liberal National Party by Jim Bellos, a police officer and former Queenslander of the Year. Labor’s margin in the seat is 14.8%; I’ll be publishing a guide to the by-election soon-ish.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,534 comments on “Lockdown miscellany”

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  1. davidwh @ #2352 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 3:35 pm

    Aged care workers were supposed to be in Category 1A. Not sure why there would still be in-vaccinated people.

    I’m not sure why Morrison hasn’t sacked Colbeck yet.

    Why would anyone vote for Morrison & Barnaby to continue as PM/DPM …?

    Labor, despite their faults, are surely the safer pair of hands ..?

  2. Mavis

    No pal of Mao’s, I believe.

    About ‘know your enemy’, yep. Especially when he promises to ‘bash heads’.

    Does it point out that over the past two centuries the many tens of millions of Chinese who killed each other? Other than that the biggest single bloodletting was Japan v China. The West has essentially been far less deadly. But it is definitely getting the bad press in China and on Bludger.

  3. Lars, Littlefinger to Tasmania is genius. Plus he wont look too out of place, they all dress shabby down there. He can imagine it as a bigger Elba and plotting his return to the mainland.

  4. Barney in Tanjung Bunga:

    Sunday, July 4, 2021 at 3:19 pm

    I don’t want to labour the point but there were many other great players competing at the time of the “Golden” era of Australian tennis.

    The main point I’d make is that under Hopman’s guidance, Aussie players were extremely fit. So much so, I can’t recall a time when they retired hurt, though there would’ve been a few. That’s different to today’s players. Hopman had his players climb sandhills strapped with weights on their backs, and other difficult feats, which made all the difference. And quite often there were two
    Australian players competing in Grand Slam finals.

  5. Paul Bongiorno
    @PaulBongiorno
    · 17m
    It is truly shameless. We are degenerating into a corrupt oligarchy aided and abetted by a huge whack of the mainstream media. twitter.com/johnrhewson/st…


  6. lizziesays:
    Sunday, July 4, 2021 at 2:40 pm
    BK

    Simon Birmingham has dismissed criticism of the Coalition’s discredited commuter car park fund, declaring that “the Australian people had their chance and voted the government back in”.

    Trans: If you were fooled by our lies and false promises, that’s entirely your own fault.

    There is saying
    If you fool me once shame on you
    If you fool me twice shame on me

    And I add
    If you fool me thrice then I am a fool.

  7. Kidd ends the press conference by encouraging residents in aged care homes to get vaccinated.

    Was there any point to him saying this?

  8. Rex,

    Given what the Coalition has not done over the past two years what has been achieved.

    What could they, the Coalition, possibly campaign on? I’m struggling to come up with positives. The normal, better economic managers, has been blown to smithereens!

    The adage “Governments lose elections not Oppositions win them” is apt.

  9. Steve777 @ #2272 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 2:05 pm

    ”Ms Berejiklian said it was imperative that people did not leave home but if they did they needed to wear a mask unless exercising.”

    If that’s what is required why hasn’t it been promulgated? Masks are not mandatory out of door except on public transport including bus stops and railway stations. Likewise, there are no restrictions on people going to the beach. If we are not supposed to go to the beach, why aren’t the beaches closed?

    And why did two men who were at a beach within the permitted travel zone fined $1000?

  10. Hip pocket nerve.

    1. Increase in house prices
    2. Increase in share prices.
    3. Rort monies

    Most Australian voters are better off than they were before Covid.

  11. BK @ #2300 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 2:35 pm

    Simon Birmingham has dismissed criticism of the Coalition’s discredited commuter car park fund, declaring that “the Australian people had their chance and voted the government back in”.
    _____________
    That has to be one of the most disgusting things ever said by a senior politician.

    Disgusting does as disgusting is.

  12. Three (or is it four?) aged care residents infected with Covid BROUGHT IN BY UNVCCINATED AGED CARE WORKERS.
    Enough said!

  13. Kirky @ #2373 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 4:15 pm

    Rex,

    Given what the Coalition has not done over the past two years.

    What could they, the Coalition, possibly campaign on? I’m struggling to come up with positives. The normal better economic managers has been blown to smithereens!

    The adage Governments lose elections not Oppositions win them is apt.

    I’m not sure even Murdoch, Stokes and Costello combined can save this genuinely rotten to the core Govt.

  14. I think Paul Bongiorno really should have more to say about China. Spends all his time criticising the Australian government. What, he thinks he can change anything with his tweeting? Got his priorities all wrong.

    Also, Mavis, you’re spending too much time being mean to Australian tennis players. When was the last time you said something mean about Chinese tennis?

    And Rex is having a good ol go at beards in Tasmania. I believe that is in Australia. Enough about Australia, what about those awful beards in China, eh Rex?

    Oh and there goes Recon again, bashing an Australian politician when he has all those Chinese politicians he could be bashing.

    I see citizen and poroti are taking an unkind whack at Ukraine’s treatment of it’s female soldiers. Why aren’t they taking the same whack at China?

    Oh, and before you all criticise China, better make sure you get boerwar’s stamp of approval of it, because you wouldn’t want to criticise them the wrong way and have it go unrecognised as proper criticism.

    Sheesh. Bashing Australian politicians, sportspersons, institutions, allies … this lot must really hate Australia. Not a word against China. Must be China lovers and Xi apologists.

  15. Mavis @ #2319 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 3:02 pm

    Barney in Tanjung Bunga:

    Sunday, July 4, 2021 at 2:32 pm

    [‘If they’re not happy, maybe they should look at their vetting process.’]

    Perhaps yes. The powers that be think when one is given a hand up in life, there’s an expectation on the giftees to perform to the best of their ability. Phillipousous, Kyrgrios & Tomic are three who haven’t, opting in lieu for the high life. I recall Harry Hopman’s coaching techniques, which although appear over the top today, produced a string of champions – eg, Sedgman, Hoad, Laver, Rosewall, Fraser, Emerson, Newcombe & Roche.

    One thing that people tend to gloss over in looking at sports is that there are many, many more countries supplying top level athletes now. Particularly in tennis which used to be limited to a few mostly anglo countries.
    Swimming is another where the Europeans were not so common until the 1970s-1980s.
    Of course athletics has always had a better spread because the need for equipment and facilities is much less.

  16. Oh, and I see more whacks at the Australian government, and now the media.

    More hating on democracy and the free press. Knew you guys didn’t like Democratic Liberal ideals.

  17. @Suzanne14085245
    · 26m

    Breaking news this afternoon: 1,200 yes 1,200 employees at a Services NSW Office in Botany have come into isolation as a worker worked 3 days while he/she was sick…very clever

  18. Sorry. Couldn’t help myself. Thought I should start counting things up and discovered boerwar was right. All that negativity about stuff in Australia and not a peep about China.

    😛

    I’ll stop now.

  19. davidwh
    I know you’re taking a backhanded swipe at Australian pollies. Don’t think you can fool me.

    Shame on you.

  20. DisplayNamesays: Sunday, July 4, 2021 at 4:30 pm

    Sorry. Couldn’t help myself. Thought I should start counting things up and discovered boerwar was right. All that negativity about stuff in Australia and not a peep about China.

    ***********************************

    I am an Australian citizen – and I believe that I have the democratic opportunity within the legal limits of ‘free speech’ to criticize aspects of Australia and all within/related to it …….

    I am not Chinese or a Chinese citizen – so I don’t feel I have the SAME rights to criticize China as it stands despite whatever misgivings I have about whatever is happening there……………..

    After living in China for some time – I found the average Chinese people are totally unconnected to the perceived deals of their government leaders

  21. poroti
    Tell your “friend” that screaming it out aloud across the northern seas of Australia each time he presses the post comment button will be sufficient. Just gotta get the right angle between the islands of Indonesia and the Phillipines.

  22. Mind you we do seem to spend an inordinate amount of time here critising and defending Xi and China when we have more than sufficient issues in Australia to focus on.

  23. bc

    Regarding the natrium reactor. Neat bit of technology well explained. But I had to laugh when this professor blindly dismissed energy storage when applied to renewables even though he’s been extolling the virtues of molten salt energy storage for nuclear.

  24. Mavis @ #2264 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 1:45 pm

    As for Kyrgios retiring after the 2nd set due to an abdominal injury, the bottom line is that he’s not match fit. He served a couple of underarm serves and also stuffed around with a stupid shot between his legs.

    He won at least one of those underarm serves. And the other guy did a between-the-legs shot too. The other guy did it first, if I recall correctly.

    It’s entertaining and tactical and (occasionally) effective. Nothing to due with lack of fitness. And way more fun than watching Barty win.

    Recon @ #2283 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 2:14 pm

    I suppose it’s easier to claim injury than lose because you are not good enough.

    You clearly didn’t watch the first set.

  25. Cud Chewer says Sunday, July 4, 2021 at 5:01 pm

    Regarding the natrium reactor. Neat bit of technology well explained. But I had to laugh when this professor blindly dismissed energy storage when applied to renewables even though he’s been extolling the virtues of molten salt energy storage for nuclear.

    Yes, I did notice that.

  26. “Three (or is it four?) aged care residents infected with Covid BROUGHT IN BY UNVCCINATED AGED CARE WORKERS.
    Enough said!”

    BK,

    Did you notice how those age care residents got infected despite being vaccinated?

    We need herd immunuity. A ‘protective’ vaccine is not enough.

  27. One thing that people tend to gloss over in looking at sports is that there are many, many more countries supplying top level athletes now. Particularly in tennis
    ———————
    Yep. Worth noting that Kyrgios has beaten more top 10 players than Rafter did. Admittedly he would likely have played against more due to Rafter having consistently higher seedlings. Yet you could argue it was a bit easier back then to maintain a higher ranking.

    As for paying back Australia…. Kyrgios has won a Hopman Cup.

  28. lizzie @ #2372 Sunday, July 4th, 2021 – 4:29 pm

    @Suzanne14085245
    · 26m

    Breaking news this afternoon: 1,200 yes 1,200 employees at a Services NSW Office in Botany have come into isolation as a worker worked 3 days while he/she was sick…very clever

    What were 1,200 of them doing at work? Surely there were staff who could work from home?

  29. 1200 people working in a services NSW office – seriously?
    I think we are talking about the customers there in the 3 day period. This site was first notified about a few days ago

  30. Service NSW do a good job but I don’t think they have that many employees at one office.

    I pointed out this person last night. The employee was there three days which means the 1200 people are those who attended the office.

  31. For those from other states.
    Service NSW offices are the old motor registries; they would be lucky to have a few hundred employees

  32. Scotty’s happy. He’s back home in Sydney, he’s worked out a plan to open up Australia, his dog is still speaking to him, and he’s made a curry. What more could a grateful nation ask of him?

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