Essential Research leadership ratings

Yet more strong leadership ratings for Scott Morrison, although most give greater credit for COVID-19 management to their state and territory leaders.

The fortnightly Essential Research poll includes the pollster’s more-or-less monthly reading of the leadership ratings, which record a four point increase in Scott Morrison’s approval rating to 65% and a two point drop in disapproval to 28%. Anthony Albanese is respectively down two to 40% and steady on 33%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister increases slightly, from 51-25 to 52-24.

Also featured are the pollster’s regular questions on federal and state government handling of COVID-19, with the added twist of a question asking who respondents felt had performed better out of the Prime Minister and their Premier or Chief Minister. This found 52% favouring their state or territory leader compared with 30% for Scott Morrison. The poll nonetheless gives the federal government its strongest result for handling of the pandemic in at least six months, with 69% rating it good (up two on a fortnight ago) and 12% as poor (down two).

The state government results are little changed for the three states with passable sample sizes: the New South Wales government’s good rating is up a point to 72%; Victoria’s is down two to 59% (the state’s lockdown was announced on the third day of the six-day polling period); and Queensland’s is down two to 76%. Western Australia’s is at 88%, the highest reading in at least six months, after the conclusion of that state’s lockdown, which is up eight on the previous poll, conducted shortly before the lockdown began. However, here the sample size is below 200 and the margin of error as high as 10%. The same applies to South Australia’s 79%, down one on last time.

The poll also has questions about Craig Kelly’s recent behaviour, although I wonder about a question wording that says Kelly has been “sharing Covid-19 misinformation”, the consistently negative tone of the propositions being put to the respondents, and the lack of clear response options along the lines of “who’s Craig Kelly?”. The results find 41% agreeing that Morrison has showed poor leadership, without offering clarity on how many disagreed and how many had no opinion, and 56% agreeing Kelly was “more interested in sharing Covid-19 misinformation and building his media profile than representing his constituency”.

The full report features still further questions on COVID-19 and one on a 2050 net zero carbon emissions target. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1109.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,424 comments on “Essential Research leadership ratings”

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  1. GG,

    regional sites, not as critical as capital cities cos that’s where the planes land…

    After more data. Though you can eliminate a favouring ALP seats as a conclusion for sure…

  2. KayJay @ #1623 Sunday, February 21st, 2021 – 8:01 am

    C@tmomma @ #1979 Sunday, February 21st, 2021 – 7:38 am

    Asking for a friend 😉 but will the new deal between google and news publications allow us to access their content from behind their impenetrable paywalls? Thinking about The Canberra Times here.

    There is an addon for both Firefox and Chrome which will enable reading of most papers .

    https://github.com/iamadamdev/bypass-paywalls-chrome

    No. It lost me at ‘unzip this file. I tried to do it but all I ended up with was a page with a sign at the top that said: ‘Extract all’, which I clicked on and it just opened up a series of files which made no sense to me.

    Thanks but no thanks. I love your cotton socks KayJay but I think I’ll wait for google tokens, or whatever they’re going to do, to allow me to access these sites. This is just too complicated for this bear of little brain that masquerades as a C@t. 🙂

  3. Alpha Zero says:
    Sunday, February 21, 2021 at 8:14 am

    Didn’t they win all of Qld?

    —————-

    What about the state Labor held seats in QLD there are more than the federal LNP

  4. Most people use it for its original purpose, which was to stay in touch with friends and family.

    I don’t even use it for that. I use Skype.

    Who really needs facebook when there are better alternatives?

  5. I can’t get over how tight Morrison’s shirt is and how fat his back is! Plus his pants seem to be disappearing beneath the waves. 😀

  6. C@tmomma @ #2007 Sunday, February 21st, 2021 – 8:29 am

    I can’t get over how tight Morrison’s shirt is and how fat his back is! Plus his pants seem to be disappearing beneath the waves. 😀

    Click to Edit – I can't get over how tight Morrison's shirt is and how fat his back is! Plus his pants seem to be disappearing beneath the waves. 😀SaveCancelDelete

    An alternative explanation for rising sea levels.

  7. C@

    Well, me for starters.

    I think you’re misunderstanding the ‘staying in touch’ things. I still ring people for that. facebook allows me to stay in touch with all my friends at once, rather than individually.

    Always amazed at the genuine interest people show – I’ll meet someone I haven’t seen for months and they’ll ask questions which show they’ve been following what I’ve been doing.

    I use messenger a lot and the family (including the young and with its) use the marketplace constantly, as a way of supporting locals.

  8. Apologies for the language.

    Time line of a cover up.
    John Birmingham

    He’ll probably survive it, though. That’s what this prick does. But beyond the singular incident, it’s important to remember that this isn’t just something that happened to Brittany Higgins.

    It happens everywhere, all the fucking time, not just at Parliament House and not just because men like her attacker feel themselves entitled to take what they want. It happens because men like Scott Morrison do not care to face that reckoning with the natural outcome of male privilege.

    That outcome? The endpoint? Another name for it is rape culture.

    And that culture is why millions of men are wilfully fucking blind to what’s happening until somebody like Jenny tells them otherwise.

  9. Greensborough Growler @ #1642 Sunday, February 21st, 2021 – 8:27 am

    Everyone on PB will be hopig for a Grebe victory here!

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/aspiring-liberal-candidates-for-abbott-s-former-seat-fight-over-climate-credentials-20210219-p5747q.html?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1613848879

    Click to Edit – Everyone on PB will be hopig for a Grebe victory here!

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/aspiring-liberal-candidates-for-abbott-s-former-seat-fight-over-climate-credentials-20210219-p5747q.html?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1613848879SaveCancelDelete

    I’m pumping for Alex Dore.

    Wasn’t he the President of the Sydney Uni Young Liberals who had Alan Jones as a guest speaker at a fundraising dinner where Jones made his infamous comments about Julia Gillard? I’m sure Zali Stegall remembers. 🙂

  10. Tanya P. steely and focused on Sky’s Agenda this morning.
    Quite impressive.
    Plibersek; ‘there are people on the other side of politics I like and respect, he’s (Morrison) not one of them.
    Nice.

  11. zoomster,
    Sorry but I find that a lot of the ‘interest’ that people show on facebook is very superficial, along the lines of…this person has put a post up, so as I don’t want to be seen by others who know me and know them not to be commenting on the post I’ll say something superficial in order to get over that hump. Yeah nah. Not for me.

    I’m included in various closed Messenger groups which I didn’t ask to join but was invited, so I follow them and make the odd comment and I use marketplace a lot but I just find all the…copy this dialogue and post it to show me you are a true facebook friend, and birthday wishes from people who have been prompted by facebook to say something but who you haven’t communicated with in a substantial way for ever, just the height of insubstantiality.

    I know who my friends and family are. They ring me, go out to lunch or have a coffee with me or Skype with me if they are too far away to do the other. That’s good enough for me.

    Which is not to say that other people can choose to do what they want to as well. 🙂

  12. A quick summary of yesterday’s discussion, for those who missed it. Actually, it could be almost any day here:

    Me: Coal is bad.

    PB Hive Mind: Yes, yes, yes – coal is bad!

    Me: So we should shut down coal-fired power stations as soon as possible.

    PB Hive Mind: Oh no, we don’t need to do bother doing that. Coal-fired power stations produce baseload power, and we don’t need baseload power any more. So coal-fired power stations will close down soon anyway. It’s simple economics.

    Me: Ummm. That’s not actually how you define baseload power. Baseload power is …

    PB Hive Mind: Sure it is! Baseload power is what baseload power stations generate. Are you an idiot or something?

    Me: *sigh* Ok, so let’s get back to closing down those coal-fired baseline power stations. To do that, we will need a mix of renewables (mostly wind), a lot of hydro, and some gas (at least in the short term).

    PB Hive Mind: No, no – gas is bad!

    Me: But your own analysis shows we are going to need some, so if we build that now, we can close down coal-fired power stations as soon as possible, and in doing so, also minimize our greenhouse gas emissions. Which is the actual point, remember?

    PB Hive Mind: No, no – gas is bad! And fracking too!

    Me: Who mentioned fracking? But anyway, Labor policy is to support both gas-fired power generation and fracking.

    PB Hive Mind: (looking confused) No, no – gas is bad! Isn’t it? And fracking? I’m sure I read that somewhere.

    Me: *sigh* And you do realize that if we don’t use at least some gas, it means we will continue to burn coal until we can build enough renewables to power the grid using them alone? Which could take decades, given that we will need to build more renewables than we had thought, and also that our grid was never designed to run only on distributed renewables? So we will end up emitting more greenhouse gases overall?

    PB Hive Mind: (mumbling to itself) You know, maybe coal isn’t really so bad – think of the miners. And their families. And their votes!

    Me: Wait a minute – I thought you agreed coal was bad?

    PB Hive Mind: What are you, a Green? Hate! Hate!

  13. “Rudy Terwilliger
    @wolftickler2000”

    From another universe….

    This guy is absolutely crazy. Regardless of how good his comments may seem to others.

  14. I bet not one person in the Morrison government, nor their assistant cadres, loses their job over the Brittany Higgins alleged rape.

  15. Sorry, who is Rudy Terwilliger and who or what is @wolftickler2000. Also, why do we need to be aware of them and pay attention to them?

  16. https://www.pollbludger.net/2021/02/17/essential-research-leadership-ratings-4/comment-page-41/#comment-3560110

    … not so concerned [with] what he looks like, seems like playing the person rather than the ball.
    He’s definitely got some authoritarian streak, even foundations.
    Generally presume that is because of a lack of confidence, poor self image … though enough rat cunning or fortuitous or timing to be PM, though brazen and inept.
    More how he goes about lack of services delivery, ignoring competency and little to no policy, beyond seeming signed up to a philosophy to the right of Reaganism/ Thatcherism, like extreme disaster capitalism (Shock Doctrine).
    Neither progressive on social matters, let alone conservative with taxpayer dollars, just regressive.
    (IR, cutting green and red tape, corporate welfare etc come to mind, basic Lib off with the fairies …)
    He seems to be a net negative though as many a Dawn Patrol cartoon has pointed out strengths seem to be in announceables and jingles, delivery not so much.

  17. C@tmomma, put simply, a zip file is a compressed archive which contains a number of other files inside it. You need to unzip/decompress the zip to extract all the files inside it and use them. Follow these instructions from Microsoft to get that done: https://support.microsoft.com/en-us/windows/zip-and-unzip-files-f6dde0a7-0fec-8294-e1d3-703ed85e7ebc#:~:text=Right%2Dclick%20the%20file%20you,%3E%20Compressed%20(zipped)%20folder.&text=Open%20File%20Explorer%20and%20find,and%20then%20follow%20the%20instructions.

    Once you have unzipped it, just follow the instructions on the Github page to install the extension (scroll down): https://github.com/iamadamdev/bypass-paywalls-chrome

    It’s really pretty simple, so it should only take you a couple of minutes to get it going. Don’t be put off by technical jargon, just follow those two guides and you’ll be right. Good luck! 🙂

  18. Michael Pascoe
    @MichaelPascoe01
    ·
    2m
    Another PR stunt going gangbusters – just the announcement of today’s photo op treated as major news. #insiders

  19. Greens to put inequality at centre of election campaign after billionaires make out ‘like bandits’
    Adam Bandt is set to outline the party’s strategy for the next federal poll, which he predicts will be later this year
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/feb/21/greens-to-put-inequality-at-centre-of-election-campaign-after-billionaires-make-out-like-bandits

    In Sunday’s speech to the party faithful, the Greens leader will seek to draw a counterpoint with Labor, which has begun to frame its election offering around the message “we are on your side”.

    Bandt will say progressives need to be more ambitious than that.

    “We won’t be a small target this election. We will fight to get the Morrison government out, but with a plan that tackles the long-term issues facing us,” he will say. “People don’t just want someone who’s on their side, they want someone who will fight for their future.”

  20. Have to agree with you C@t, it is not only about them losing jobs it is about:

    – Accountability
    -Transparency
    -Trust
    -Need to not only reacting to an ‘incident’ appropriately but acknowledging that there are systemic issues that need to be addressed ie power in-balance.
    -Dare I say the clear victim blaming that has occurred
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/feb/20/brittany-higgins-shocking-story-must-be-a-turning-point-women-in-politics-have-had-enough
    .
    There is also a pattern of cover up that occurs not only with this but other scenarios – Sportrorts, AWU raids etc etc

  21. ‘Quoll says:
    Sunday, February 21, 2021 at 9:35 am

    Greens to put inequality at centre of election campaign…’

    Excellent news. Might we anticipate a Billionaires Convoy?

  22. Rudy, AKA Wolfy, is just someone you do not want to engage with. Another ex military type with a massive chip on his shoulder and a Messiah complex. Very litigious and best ignored even if he is on Twitter and not here.

  23. Morning all and thanks BK. This story about the various Liberal pre-selection candidates trying to talk up their environmental “credentials” is laughable. Matt Kean aside the LNP is still a collection of fossil fuel lobbyists. Its like Nazi party candidates in 1930s Germany trying to talk up their understanding of Israel.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/aspiring-liberal-candidates-for-abbott-s-former-seat-fight-over-climate-credentials-20210219-p5747q.html?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1613848879

    Anyone who doubts if the LNP is still focused on buring as much coal, oil and gas as possible before the opportunity is lost should look at the Future Fuels Strategy released by Angus Taylor. Its not even a clever collection of half-truths.

  24. ‘Socrates says:
    Sunday, February 21, 2021 at 9:43 am

    Morning all and thanks BK. This story about the various Liberal pre-selection candidates trying to talk up their environmental “credentials” is laughable. Matt Kean aside the LNP is still a collection of fossil fuel lobbyists. Its like Nazi party candidates in 1930s Germany trying to talk up their understanding of Israel.’

    This would have shown more foresight than is generally ascribed to Nazi Party candidates in the 1930s.

  25. In an already bad week where some young Lib staffer revealed she’d been raped one or two nights before the election was announced, more amazingly bad luck for PM Scott Morrison that he gets vaccinated on Day #1, before everybody else in the country.

    And, as if that wasn’t a rotten enough outcome for the poor bloke, he’s forced to use the jab that’s 95% effective against all strains of the disease, while the rest of us lucky sods get the 60% efficient one that doesn’t work with the African strain.

  26. Socrates @ #2036 Sunday, February 21st, 2021 – 9:43 am

    Anyone who doubts if the LNP is still focused on buring as much coal, oil and gas as possible before the opportunity is lost should look at the Future Fuels Strategy released by Angus Taylor. Its not even a clever collection of half-truths.

    I’ll have to look it up. Has Labor announced support for it yet? As they have done for every previous Liberal thought bubble on climate and energy policy?

  27. zoomster @ #1752 Sunday, February 21st, 2021 – 8:15 am

    facebook is a tool. Most people use it for its original purpose, which was to stay in touch with friends and family.

    Facebook’s original purpose was to allow Zuckerberg and his mates to exchange ‘ratings’ on female students’ physical attributes, using ‘points’ and ‘in’ words relating to particular aspects of the female body.

  28. Yabba

    True. That was the original purpose of an internet page Zuckerberg set up. That wasn’t facebook.

    But it’s not what I use it for, or any of those I know.

    Lots of things start out one way but end up serving another purpose.

  29. Facebook is yet another example of market failure.

    Facebook does what monopolists do. The particulars at any one time are neither here nor there.

    The best long-term way to address Facebook is to break up the monopoly.

  30. Thanks BK for today’s wrap. The Waterford article is very good, and he’s described Morrison perfectly.

    Scotty embodies the increasing trend of leaders (political and otherwise) to deflect and buck pass rather than accept responsibility. Howard started this culture, but he was more adept at hiding that he was excuse-making. Morrison just flat out can’t camouflage his buck passing, and the problem for him is that each time his appearance of running away and excuse making just looks more and more obvious.

  31. If I didn’t have to use Facebook for work I’d close my account.

    But I agree with Zoomster: there are loads of people out there, esp older people who use Fb to keep tabs on family.

  32. On the WA State polling, even if there is a narrowing, it will be interesting to see what the incumbent Liberal MPs and staffers do now. A lot are headed for likely unemployment. There will be a lot fewer places for all the apparatchiks to hide.

    Last time a party went down that badly a lot of the hangers on in NSW State Labor fled into Federal politics just in time to poison the Rudd government in the late 2000s. Will we see another flood of WA State Liberal operators be given jobs in Canberra by Morrison? Look out Canberra Public Service – you might be about to get stuck with a lot of failed political staffers as your new bosses.

    The poll figures also explain why Federal MPs like Matthias Corman have moved on and are hoping to get a job in the OECD. Has he seen internal polling for his own seat?

  33. “ But I agree with Zoomster: there are loads of people out there, esp older people who use Fb to keep tabs on family.”

    That is the main use for it in my family, especially for my Dad, who is not very computer literate. Facebook is easy to use.

    Have a good day all.

  34. Socrates @ #2046 Sunday, February 21st, 2021 – 10:00 am

    On the WA State polling, even if there is a narrowing, it will be interesting to see what the incumbent Liberal MPs and staffers do now. A lot are headed for likely unemployment. There will be a lot fewer places for all the apparatchiks to hide.

    Last time a party went down that badly a lot of the hangers on in NSW State Labor fled into Federal politics just in time to poison the Rudd government in the late 2000s. Will we see another flood of WA State Liberal operators be given jobs in Canberra by Morrison? Look out Canberra Public Service – you might be about to get stuck with a lot of failed political staffers as your new bosses.

    The poll figures also explain why Federal MPs like Matthias Corman have moved on and are hoping to get a job in the OECD. Has he seen internal polling for his own seat?

    Socrates @ #2046 Sunday, February 21st, 2021 – 10:00 am

    On the WA State polling, even if there is a narrowing, it will be interesting to see what the incumbent Liberal MPs and staffers do now. A lot are headed for likely unemployment. There will be a lot fewer places for all the apparatchiks to hide.

    Last time a party went down that badly a lot of the hangers on in NSW State Labor fled into Federal politics just in time to poison the Rudd government in the late 2000s. Will we see another flood of WA State Liberal operators be given jobs in Canberra by Morrison? Look out Canberra Public Service – you might be about to get stuck with a lot of failed political staffers as your new bosses.

    The poll figures also explain why Federal MPs like Matthias Corman have moved on and are hoping to get a job in the OECD. Has he seen internal polling for his own seat?

    Corman was a Senator?

    Or are you talking about internal pols for the OECD job?

  35. Socrates:

    I think the WA state polling is strictly reflecting the popularity of McGowan, his handling of COVID and the state’s economy, and that it’s a first term govt. I don’t think there are federal implications to be read into it.

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