Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition

Scott Morrison records another personal best approval rating, as Newspoll maintains its stable-to-a-fault record on voting intention.

The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has the Coalition’s lead at 51-49, unchanged on three weeks ago. On the primary vote, the Coalition is steady at 42%, Labor up a point to 35%, the Greens down one to 11% and One Nation down one to 3%. Scott Morrison records another personal best on leader ratings, his approval up two to 68% and disapproval down two to 27%, while Anthony Albanese is now at 42% on both approval and disapproval, which are respectively up by one and two. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 58-26, out from 56-26. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1521.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

810 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition”

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  1. School refuses to suspend teacher after telling classroom they are dole bludgers and criminals:
    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-06-29/singleton-high-school-teacher-apologises-for-racist-comments/12402078

    Mary Franks said when her 14-year-old daughter confronted the teacher, she was told she was “too white” to be recognised as Indigenous.

    “They’d had a PowerPoint presentation on diversity in the school that morning and her teacher decided to elaborate on diversity and pretty much decided to bash Aboriginals,” Ms Franks claimed.

  2. guytaur: “They are erasing history as you claim it. Removing the confederate flag from their state flag.”

    How’s that vandalism? The confederate flag should never have been there in the first place.

    “If you are in any doubt about Mississippi I suggest you watch Mississippi Burning.”

    Great movie, although basically a work of fiction.

    I first watched it with a group of people who are significantly to the left of me politically, and I found it quite interesting to see them really getting off on Gene Hackman’s brutal handling of the KKK types: “These people are crawling out of the sewer Mr Ward. Maybe the gutter’s where we oughta be!”

    Nothing much like the sort of namby pamby “social outreach” policing that the “defund the police” mob are calling for, was it?

  3. Morrison said if enough people download the app we will be able to safely reopen our businesses.

    Quite obviously not enough DID download the App, due in no small part to the irrational reluctance of many to support it because they convinced themselves it was going to make them somehow less free.

    What came first? The chicken or the egg?

    It’s a shame that downloads peaked at arount 6 million. If there had been more, maybe we might have seen it used more effectively.

    I think it’s dishonest of its critics to say it didn’t have enough downloads, when a significant proportion of those were the very ones refusing to download it. Chicken, meet egg.

    But, as I suggested above, the App’s day may yet come. A scenario where we get a rush of new cases might make the base of 6 million installed apps more effective, and may make those so far unwilling to try it more amenable to doing so (not here in The Poll Bludger Liberation Front, of course, but out in the normal world).

    The more cases there are (at the moment the number is truly tiny, per capita), the more likely the App is to find an undiscovered contact to chew on.

  4. Kakuru
    “In today’s cancel culture, it doesn’t seem to matter much how fervently some people renounce and repudiate their past sins. ”

    I can’t speak for all Democrats or BLM activists; I can only present my own stance on the issue. Personally, I’m not one for tearing down statues – unless they represent individuals who committed outright atrocities (as many leading Confederates did).

    So I’d be opposed to removing statues of George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, or James Cook. But avowed white supremacists and colonial mass murderers like Cecil Rhodes and Leopold II of Belgium are a different matter.

  5. The tracing app does not work on iPhones unless it is working ie green circle going round and round. Its operation chews up battery. Android phones don’t detect iPhones.

    Now that the phone manufacturers are egtting involved they might develop a workable app. The British tracing app was developed by a company associated with Dominic Cummings

  6. Dee Madigan
    @deemadigan
    ·
    12m
    While most airlines are struggling to stay afloat, Rex has received so much in govt funding (almost $81 million in grants) they are expanding.

    This stinks to the heavens.

  7. Buce: “I thought that the four authors who resigned from JK Rowling’s literary agency was the funniest thing – probably saved the business money.”

    If you were JK Rowling’s literary agent, why would you need any other clients at all?

  8. Now that the phone manufacturers are egtting involved they might develop a workable app. The British tracing app was developed by a company associated with Dominic Cummings

    That won’t convince the PBLF diehards that Ernst Stavro ScoMo isn’t coming to spy on their shopping habits.

  9. Bucephalus @ #424 Monday, June 29th, 2020 – 2:08 pm

    If Moselmane isn’t the subject of the ASIO investigation why has he been thrown out of the ALP and why do they want to suspend him from Parliament?

    He hasn’t been ‘thrown out of the ALP’. He has simply been suspended pending the outcome of the investigation. Through an abundance of caution I would argue.

  10. guytaur: “Baba
    Posting again just for you
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/police-departments-face-one-two-punch-defund-protests-coronavirus-n1232182

    And…? Are you supporting this nonsense?

    Defunding the police is the stupidest idea I’ve heard of since Wind Turbine Syndrome: arguably even stupider.

    Reducing the level of policing in the parts of US cities where African-Americans live will simply lead to even more dominance over those districts by the alpha male gang leaders. Children won’t go to school, old people will be terrified of venturing outside, and every street corner will be dominated by drug dealers.

    I can’t see how it has anything going for it whatsoever.

  11. lizzie,

    There are a whole heap of hardly used aircraft available on the 2nd hand market. If a carrier can expand, they could grow bigly!

    Who owns Rex?

  12. 75 new cases in Victoria today have been mainly identified in the suburbs where the testing blitz is concentrated. As it takes a week for virus to develop/mature the results of last week’s crackdown will be apparent by Friday.

    ScoMo’s partisan chivving is not appreciated, especially as Victoria wanted to eradicate the virus but national cabinet agreed to suppression.

    The quarantined people who develop Covid get moved to the Stamford Hotel where guards shared cigarette lighter with infected persons. They then car pooled and went to family functions in line with the easing of restrictions and shared the virus along with the love.

    No point criticising the guards who were working with inadequate PPE, as well as sharing a smoke, because everyone is learning on the job just how infectious this is.

    What would ScoMo have done?

    The disease entered Victoria with the Aspen skiiers who refused to be tested and refused to quarantine. In the UK you don’t have to quarantine if you pay a $1200 fine.

    At the moment community infection is spreading amongst low paid front line workers who car pool, use public transport

  13. Oops, I was quoting meher baba, not myself:

    meher baba
    “In today’s cancel culture, it doesn’t seem to matter much how fervently some people renounce and repudiate their past sins. ”

    I can’t speak for all Democrats or BLM activists; I can only present my own stance on the issue. Personally, I’m not one for tearing down statues – unless they represent individuals who committed outright atrocities (as many leading Confederates did).

    So I’d be opposed to removing statues of George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, or James Cook. But avowed white supremacists and colonial mass murderers like Cecil Rhodes and Leopold II of Belgium are a different matter.

  14. Bushfire Bill:

    So maybe it didn’t so much fail due solely to bad design, but also due to a form of sabotage.

    Further, the failure is limited to not detecting hitherto undetected cases. It DID pick up cases, or indicate tracing paths to them (which, yes, had already been detected by other means) – indicating that an app based on proximity CAN work in a technical sense and, with the goodwill of the public, maybe in an absolute sense.

    This is incorrect.

    As has been stated from the start, the App failed because the technology does not work in the way the the App’s developers (for unknown reasons) thought that it did. This purely technical failure led to the operational failure.

    The developers of iOS and Android told them it would not work, and it turns out (as one would expect) that they were right (the NHSX team did make a valiant effort to push the envelope, and several of their tricks are quite clever, but to no avail)

    I don;t know what you call it, but would call a design that cannot work, “a bad design”.

    We are now where we have always been – phone to phone tracing requires both API and OS modifications to be done by Apple and Google. They will do that and that will deliver an App that will work.

    So the idea was not necessarily completely flawed. Perhaps it was more, or as much, the antagonistic mindsets of its doubters.

    The concept is fine. It was not suggested that it was flawed at the conceptual level, let alone that it was “completely flawed”. This issues were always:
    – that it would not work the way the design assumed it did, and consequently it didn’t work
    – that various governments all over the world, who knew or should have known that it would not work, continued to pursue it nevertheless

    It should have been a clue that the Singapore government—not noted for its anti-authoritarianism—was amongst the first to abandon the approach. That’s because they’re not fuckwits.

  15. Bucephalus….In France……well, maybe, but local elections only, low turnout and Macron’s party is kind of cobbled together with no real base. Not sure these elections signify much one way or the other. Suffice to say that nothing – still – is certain anywhere in politics at the moment….

  16. Honestly, I think Rex are there by, and for, the benefit of The Nationals. I tried to book a couple of seats this month for a flight from Sydney to Yamba. No way could I get seats for love or money. They were all booked out. I was told to come back at the end of the month/beginning of next month, which I’m assuming means 1 minute after midnight on the 30th of June, to try and get tickets for 2 months from now!

  17. In the Cat universe you demean anyone who doesn’t agree with you.

    Baba

    You have obviously learnt nothing from the Black Lives Matter protests.

  18. boerwarsays: Monday, June 29, 2020 at 2:39 pm

    There will be no snap back – partly for reasons other than the Virus.

    There is a disruption. There will be a disruption. What will the disruption look like?

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2020/04/07/new-data-shows-us-companies-are-definitely-leaving-china/#746b5c8540fe

    *************************************************************

    Thanks for this link Boerwar ……. and describing how America is adjusting

    I have been enjoying the SBS program – America In Color – in particular the 1940’s episode on how American industry adjusted to wartime manufacture and the spectacular amount of material that they produced

    A quick look on Google :

    Factories were converted to the production of military items such as tanks, rifles, ammunition, airplanes and ships. People on the “Home Front” were encouraged to conserve energy, to plant “Victory Gardens” and to buy war bonds.

    American industry provided almost two-thirds of all the Allied military equipment produced during the war: 297,000 aircraft, 193,000 artillery pieces, 86,000 tanks and two million army trucks.

    At its peak, the U.S. Navy was operating 6,768 ships on V-J Day in August 1945, including 28 aircraft carriers, 23 battleships, 71 escort carriers, 72 cruisers, over 232 submarines, 377 destroyers, and thousands of amphibious, supply and auxiliary ships.

  19. Bushfire Bill:

    Bloody hell 75 new cases in Victoria. They bloody better get that number headed south quickly.

    And this is WITH a lockdown regimen in place.

    Kinda scotches the idea that the virus could “bubble along” without causing an epidemic in Spain for a full year after originating in Barcelona WITHOUT a lockdown, doesn’t it?

    Petitio Principii, combined with some vacuously true statements.

  20. Kakuru: “So I’d be opposed to removing statues of George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, or James Cook. But avowed white supremacists and colonial mass murderers like Cecil Rhodes and Leopold II of Belgium are a different matter.”

    I’m with Macron: don’t tear anything down, put up interpretative signs.

    What we are seeing in the US right now is that the whole thing seems to have developed a head of steam and is quickly becoming quite indiscriminate. It’s just the cancel culture of Twitter applied to statues: it’s a form of bullying based on the utterly ludicrous idea that, in the ideal world, people from minority groups will never once be reminded of the oppression of their forebears, for fear that such reminders will “trigger” PTSD.

    It all seems a bit self-obsessed and attention-seeking to me. Some reports suggest that up to 80 per cent of the crowds pulling down statues are young, middle class whites.

  21. The directors of REX are

    Mr Kim Hai Lim Executive Director,Executive Chairman (Since 2006)

    Mr Lim started his career as a Defence Engineer specialising in underwater warfare. After ten years he left to start his own business. Currently, he has a portfolio of investment and business interests in sectors and countries. He is also the Chairman of a biomedical company in Singapore, Lynk Biotechnologies Pte Ltd. Mr Lim obtained his Masters in Electronics Engineering from the prestigious ‘Grande Ecoles’ engineering colleges in France where he was awarded a French Government scholarship. He later returned to France to complete a Masters of Public Administration at the elite Ecole Nationale d’Administration in Paris on a Singapore Government scholarship.
    Directorship positions and appointments
    16/11/2006 Appointed as Executive Director,Executive Chairman REX Regional Express Holdings Limited

    Hon John Sharp Non-Executive Deputy Chairman,Non-Executive Director (Since 2005)

    The Hon John Sharp AM is an aviator, having been a licensed pilot of both fixedwing and rotary-wing aircraft. Mr Sharp is a former Chairman of the Aviation Safety Foundation of Australia. In 2001, he became a director of Airbus Group, Australia Pacific, a position he retired from in June 2015. He has retired as Chairman of the Parsons Brinkerhoff Advisory Board, an engineering and design company operating throughout Australia and the region. He is Chairman of Pel-Air Aviation Pty Ltd and is also a director of Power and Data Corporation Pty Limited and a director of Lurssen Australia and a director of the Australian Maritime Shipbuilding Export Group. He is also currently a director of the Tudor House Foundation. Mr Sharp was appointed a director of the Flight Safety Foundation following his receipt of the Foundation’s Presidential Citation for Aviation Safety, the first Australian to receive this award. He has been a director of the French, Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry, and CoChair of the Cancer Council of NSW Southern Highlands Branch. He is currently a director of the Climate Change Authority. Mr Sharp’s experience in aviation, regional air services and as the former Federal Minister for Transport and Regional Development in the Federal Government, adds to the expertise and standing of the Board.

    from wikipedia
    John Randall Sharp AM, Australian politician, is a former National Party member of the Australian House of Representatives representing the Divisions of Gilmore, 1984 to 1993 and Hume, 1993 to 1998 in New South Wales
    . . . . .
    Sharp resigned from the ministry on 24 September 1997 after becoming involved in the parliamentary travel allowances affair.[1] The “Travel Rorts Affair”
    . . . . .

    After retiring from politics, Sharp worked for the Linfox Group (1999 to 2001). He also founded a transport consultancy company, Thenford Consulting. In 2000 he helped establish European Aeronautic Defence and Space, (EADS) in Australia. This company later became known as the Airbus Group. . . . .
    In 2005 Sharp became deputy chairman of Regional Express Airlines.[3] Later he became Chairman of Pel Air

  22. C@tmomma @ #407 Monday, June 29th, 2020 – 11:49 am

    Zerlo @ #401 Monday, June 29th, 2020 – 1:47 pm

    C@tmomma,

    The truth is we don’t know where exactly, it came from, as a global economy of food and transport, it can come from anywhere.

    In my view, pointing fingers for political points isn’t the issue or should be an issue.

    It just shows lack of leadership in the health and crises.

    I’m NOT ‘pointing fingers’ for any political purpose. I’m a scientist and I go where the evidence overwhelmingly leads me. Trying to muddy the waters is what has gotten a lot of the world to dismiss or question the science, in many important areas besides this one.

    Jumping to conclusions is not good science.

  23. Is ex- National’s politician Sharp a beneficiary of borrowed money that will have to be paid back by future taxpayers?

    #AllaboveboardMorrison.

  24. Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #489 Monday, June 29th, 2020 – 1:03 pm

    C@tmomma @ #407 Monday, June 29th, 2020 – 11:49 am

    Zerlo @ #401 Monday, June 29th, 2020 – 1:47 pm

    C@tmomma,

    I’m NOT ‘pointing fingers’ for any political purpose. I’m a scientist and I go where the evidence overwhelmingly leads me. Trying to muddy the waters is what has gotten a lot of the world to dismiss or question the science, in many important areas besides this one.

    Jumping to conclusions is not good science.

    No it is simply the first step of science, evaluate the facts, jump to the best conclusion, test conclusion. Refine. Repeat.

  25. I don’t find this at all surprising.

    The Washington Post
    @washingtonpost
    ·
    12m
    Perspective | The data is in: Fox News may have kept millions from taking the coronavirus threat seriously

    The studies “paint a picture of a media ecosystem that amplifies misinformation, entertains conspiracy theories and discourages audiences from taking concrete steps to protect themselves and others,” wrote my colleague Christopher Ingraham in an analysis last week.

    Here’s the reality, now backed by numbers:

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/media/the-data-is-in-fox-news-may-have-kept-millions-from-taking-the-coronavirus-threat-seriously/2020/06/26/60d88aa2-b7c3-11ea-a8da-693df3d7674a_story.html?utm_campaign=wp_main&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter

  26. meher baba @ #487 Monday, June 29th, 2020 – 1:00 pm

    Kakuru: “So I’d be opposed to removing statues of George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, or James Cook. But avowed white supremacists and colonial mass murderers like Cecil Rhodes and Leopold II of Belgium are a different matter.”

    I’m with Macron: don’t tear anything down, put up interpretative signs.

    What we are seeing in the US right now is that the whole thing seems to have developed a head of steam and is quickly becoming quite indiscriminate. It’s just the cancel culture of Twitter applied to statues: it’s a form of bullying based on the utterly ludicrous idea that, in the ideal world, people from minority groups will never once be reminded of the oppression of their forebears, for fear that such reminders will “trigger” PTSD.

    It all seems a bit self-obsessed and attention-seeking to me. Some reports suggest that up to 80 per cent of the crowds pulling down statues are young, middle class whites.

    The cancel culture of twitter seems pretty mild and ineffective compared to you know real cancel culture, colonization, slavery, white supremacy, police shooting PoC in the back, in their beds, etc etc.

    You get executed by police in your bed of a morning, you are VERY cancelled.

    You lose your job for being a racist f*ckwit, you get a new one, usually quite quickly, you know from other racist f*ckwits.

    When you are scared of twitter cancel culture but quite happy with the status quo you are part of the problem.

  27. meher baba
    “I’m with Macron: don’t tear anything down, put up interpretative signs. ”

    You can do both. You can relocate (such as to a museum) AND put up an explanatory sign (in the museum). This should apply to the worst offenders (Leopold II of Belgium comes to mind).

    For Captain James Cook, an explanatory sign is sufficient, to provide context. No need to tear him down and lock him away.

  28. The SA Libs backflip on the bus changes suggests to me things must be starting to look a bit grim for them. Politically it was monumentally stupid (getting rid of 1000+ bus stops in a city the size of Adelaide), on top of supposedly privatising the trains and trams (all of which are broken election promises).
    Hard nosed IPA stuff doesn’t play that well here…and you would need to be a particular brand of shameless bastard to pull it off successfully…..

  29. Pretty outrageous posts by some here re Rex Airlines. I would have thought you need some basis in fact to throw around suggestions of the kind posted today.

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