Essential Research coronavirus latest

Confidence in the federal government and other institutions on the rise, but state governments in New South Wales and Queensland appear to lag behind Victoria, Western Australia and South Australia.

The Guardian reports Essential Research’s latest weekly reading of concern about coronavirus finds satisfaction with the government’s handling of the crisis up two points to 65%, its best result yet out of the five such polls that have been published (no sign yet of the poor rating, which hit a new low of 17% – the full report later today should reveal all).

Last week’s question on state governments’ responses was repeated this week, and with due regard to sample sizes that run no higher than around 320 (and not even in triple figures in the case of South Australia), the good ratings have been 56% last week and 61% for New South Wales; 76% and 70% for Victoria; 52% and 63% for Queensland; 79% and 77% for Western Australia; and 72% and 66% for South Australia. Combining the results gives New South Wales 58.5% and Victoria 73% with error margins of about 3.7%; Queensland 57.5% from 4.6%; Western Australia 78% from 5.5%; and South Australia 69% from 6.9%.

Also included are Essential’s occasion question on trust in various institutions, which suggests that all of the above might be benefiting from a secular effect that has federal parliament up from 35% to 53% and the ABC up from 51% to 58%. The effect is more modest for the Australian Federal Police, up two points to 68%. In other coronavirus-related findings, the poll finds “half of all voters think it’s too soon to even consider easing restrictions“, with a further 14% saying they are prepared to wait until the end of May; that 38% said they would download the virus-tracing app, with 63% saying they had security concerns and 35% being confident the data would not be misused.

UPDATE: Full report here.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,133 comments on “Essential Research coronavirus latest”

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  1. I tuned into the webinar with Jim Chalmers today. Very interesting, the man is clearly well informed and very articulate. Got to put faces and even voices to some of the people whose tweets are often posted here.


  2. guytaur says:
    Wednesday, April 22, 2020 at 7:18 pm

    Returning to the right wing framing of the world is just not going to happen.

    Nothing in politics is certain. The Greens managed to get a Liberal government reelected, something they nor anyone else expected.

  3. On the larger scale, there is a big push for private public partnerships in health as a long term future. People will drop out of PHI and the public hospitals won’t cope and want mechanisms to get them done in private.

    Just one more example of us doubling down on the really bad and not doing the obviously good things post corona. We aren’t in as bad a shape as the USA but I think we are still inevitably going to the really bad place with them.

  4. Rossmore @ #1045 Wednesday, April 22nd, 2020 – 8:37 pm

    Interesting article that looks legit in the NYT on early detection of COVID symptoms with a simple medical device called a pulse oximeter that detects hypoxia. On ebay for $50. Snake oil?

    Would think they by the time hypoxia is evident in your bloodstream you’re well past anything that can be described as “early detection”?

  5. FredNK

    You may not like it that science is back.
    You may not like it that community is back.

    The right has lost. Austerity to punish the poor to justify tax cuts is in the past

    Yes Morrison is trying but his outspending Labor producing debt levels Labor has never approached has destroyed the LNP ideology.

    A shift in the political landscape.

    In Australian terms as big a hit to the right as the oil shock was to the left in the 70’s

  6. AR … did you read the article? Apparently with Covid, people have hypoxia but show none of the usual symptoms until their lungs are on the point of compltete collapse. Aligns with the stories about people declining suddenly in hospital. Sounds like a very useful tool. Linked again: https://nyti.ms/2XV6q9d

  7. Cc
    Still cleaning blood off the floor.

    Today’s person came from overseas and went into quarantine for two weeks. Had some symptoms but didn’t report them and three days later got worse and was tested.

  8. nath:

    I have seen Tim Pallas and Daniel Andrews get around alot lately without ties. I know there is a pandemic but that’s no need to slack off. Sharpen up lads.

    It would be seriously worrying if Mr Pallas started wearing a cravat, though I think Mr Andrews could pull it off!


  9. guytaur says:
    Wednesday, April 22, 2020 at 8:56 pm

    FredNK

    You may not like it that science is back.
    You may not like it that community is back.

    My bet is the extreme left and extreme right will team up and screw it up; again.

  10. FredNK

    Your divisive language is noted.

    Listen to your Prime Ministers.

    Murdoch is the problem. We need a Royal Commission.

    His latest has been publishing Adam Creighton to argue yes it’s ok to kill your grandmother for our profits.

  11. Tasmania has finally posted 4 cases for today – right on expectation.

    That makes it 7 or 12 cases nationally – depending on how you account for them.

  12. From the Guardian blog…

    “Chinese doctors in Wuhan, where the coronavirus first emerged in December, say a growing number of cases in which people recover from the virus, but continue to test positive without showing symptoms, is one of their biggest challenges as the country moves into a new phase of its containment battle.

    Those patients all tested negative for the virus at some point after recovering, but then tested positive again, some up to 70 days later, the doctors said.

    Many have done so over 50-60 days.

    The prospect of people remaining positive for the virus, and therefore potentially infectious, is of international concern, as many countries seek to end lockdowns and resume economic activity as the spread of the virus slows.

    Currently, the globally recommended isolation period after exposure is 14 days.

    So far, there have been no confirmations of newly positive patients infecting others, according to Chinese health officials.

    China has not published precise figures for how many patients fall into this category. But disclosures by Chinese hospitals to Reuters, as well as in other media reports, indicate there are at least dozens of such cases.

  13. It’s partly because lots of the private hospitals in SA have been “privatised”.

    Privatized is definitely bad, but public-private is the next step worse. For example Midland was promised a public hospital, to replace Swan Districts public hospital, but instead they got a public-private hospital, which was like a public hospital except it needed to make money, and it wouldn’t perform essential medical services for people because the ‘private’ bit didn’t like it. So people pay more, can’t get the help they need, and well it is just a failed model so of course we’d be doubling down in it under the ‘leadership’ of #scottyfrommarketing

  14. It’s vitally important grandmothers are kept alive as long as possible. Losing a grandmother in their 70s instead of their 90s for example is a terrible loss. This is 20 years of Christmas puddings’, trifles and sponge cakes. Protect ya neck!

  15. E. G. Theodore @ #1058 Wednesday, April 22nd, 2020 – 9:02 pm

    nath:

    I have seen Tim Pallas and Daniel Andrews get around alot lately without ties. I know there is a pandemic but that’s no need to slack off. Sharpen up lads.

    It would be seriously worrying if Mr Pallas started wearing a cravat, though I think Mr Andrews could pull it off!

    Some people will find the minutest thing to have a whinge about. I guess it’s just in their dna. Hmm, this comment by the pusillanimous nath would have to rank down there with the intense Liberal and Murdoch media focus on Julia Gillard’s jackets. Saving the lives of citizens is just not enough. This guy would have told Albert Einstein to go brush his hair instead of him going to the office to work on the Theory of Relativity.

  16. Confessions @ #1050 Wednesday, April 22nd, 2020 – 8:47 pm

    I tuned into the webinar with Jim Chalmers today. Very interesting, the man is clearly well informed and very articulate. Got to put faces and even voices to some of the people whose tweets are often posted here.

    I RSVPed for it then forgot about it when Turnbull came on the TV doing his virtual NPC. I won’t make that mistake again! Especially for the upcoming Dr Leigh and Dan Pfeiffer webinars.

  17. Fiction
    1. Infinite Jest
    2. Catch 22
    3. Gormenghast trilogy
    4. Cloud Atlas
    5. Perdido St Staion
    6. Love in the Time of Cholera
    7. Windup Bird Chronicle
    8. Dead Souls
    9. The War of the End of the World
    10. The Brothers Karamazov

  18. C@t:

    Unfortunately I couldn’t stay until the end but what was really great about the event was that viewers were able to ask questions of Chalmers throughout the webinar. A great effort at engagement and I hope he does more of this kind of thing.

  19. China has not published precise figures for how many patients fall into this category. But disclosures by Chinese hospitals to Reuters, as well as in other media reports, indicate there are at least dozens of such cases.

    It is odd, Murdoch and the absolute f*ckwits that follow his ‘thought leadership’ have done everything they can to encourage China to help, rather than, well do things that are less than helpful.

  20. Itza

    Interesting stuff re nitric oxide production in the nasal cavity, and the associated relaxation in the lungs. It’s one of the benefits of mouth taping at night – sounds weird but I investigated it when my partner, who is asthmatic, was undergoing chemo last year.

  21. As far as Sci-fi goes I’ve always thought the books of Julian May were wonderful.

    My first / second year reading in Law / Science was largely either Julian May or Tolstoy.

  22. WeWantPaul says:
    Wednesday, April 22, 2020 at 9:33 pm

    As far as Sci-fi goes I’ve always thought the books of Julian May were wonderful.

    My first / second year reading in Law / Science was largely either Julian May or Tolstoy.
    ____________________
    Like Aiken Drum I’ve adopted the Digitus Impudicus as my heraldic device.

  23. nath

    Sci-fi wise the one that stands out for me is Neuromancer. Loved it when it came out but it is the number of visions it had for the future of computers and us that in little or large ways have come to pass or may well do in the future that keeps it in mind.

  24. Phillip K. Dick ftw!
    And I left out ‘Stranger In A Strange Land’ by Robert Heinlein from my list.

    And a special mention for one of my late husband’s favourite books:
    ‘Gravity’s Rainbow’ by Thomas Pynchon

  25. Boerwar @ #1008 Wednesday, April 22nd, 2020 – 7:08 pm

    ‘Quoll says:
    Wednesday, April 22, 2020 at 6:32 pm

    Evidence free opinions from PB’s own Lord Monckton of zoonotic disease are never ending.

    Still waiting for the link to their own lit review published in a peer reviewed journal, just the simplest way to put everyone out of their misery.’

    You made, and repeated several times, the original claim: that habitat destruction and climate change are causing new pandemics. A link to a single paper demonstrating causality between these two mechanisms and actual (as opposed to hypothetical or speculative) new zoonotic diseases would be a reasonable starting point. If you can’t provide such a paper then you may apologize for (a) getting it wrong and (b) trying to demonstrate your scientific standing by resorting to repeated personal insults.

    For goodness sake, do your own research. It’s not difficult 🙁

  26. University of Queensland. “Changing climate may affect animal-to-human disease transfer.” ScienceDaily. ScienceDaily, 1 May 2019.

    https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2019/05/190501114619.htm

    Abstract: Climate change could affect occurrences of diseases like bird-flu and Ebola, with environmental factors playing a larger role than previously understood in animal-to-human disease transfer. Researchers have been looking at how different environments provide opportunities for animal-to-human diseases — known as zoonotic diseases — to interact with and infect new host species, including humans.
    ——————-

    “Dr Konstans Wells, from Swansea University, led the team’s review of a growing number of research studies, demonstrating that this ‘host shifting’, where a pathogen moves between animal species, is linked to the environment.

    “Now that we know that environmental conditions are key, the question is: how can we develop models to predict disease moving between species in times of global environmental change?” he said.

    “As a recent study that we published in Ecology Letters found, climate change may constrain or facilitate the spread of diseases like avian malaria, and this is just one example.

    “We need to find out more information about how climate alters animal-to-human shifts, and this might help us build a new modelling framework, which could help us forecast disease spread.”

  27. a r @ #1089 Wednesday, April 22nd, 2020 – 9:48 pm

    C@tmomma @ #1088 Wednesday, April 22nd, 2020 – 9:46 pm

    Phillip K. Dick ftw!
    And I left out ‘Stranger In A Strange Land’ by Robert Heinlein from my list.

    I enjoyed that one, aside from the blatant homophobia.

    And Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep; way better than Blade Runner.

    Homophobia is never good at any time but even I can remember the zeitgeist wrt homosexuality that pervaded society at that time and some people just weren’t able to see through the fog.

  28. Big props to William Gibson for pioneering the science fiction sub genre of cyberpunk.

    Also to William Burroughs.

    Open your mind and let the pictures out 🙂

  29. nath says:
    Wednesday, April 22, 2020 at 9:21 pm

    I doubt Big Ears Cry Baby Jim Chalmers had anything interesting to say.
    __________________
    What a vile contributor.

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