Essential Research coronavirus latest

Confidence in the federal government and other institutions on the rise, but state governments in New South Wales and Queensland appear to lag behind Victoria, Western Australia and South Australia.

The Guardian reports Essential Research’s latest weekly reading of concern about coronavirus finds satisfaction with the government’s handling of the crisis up two points to 65%, its best result yet out of the five such polls that have been published (no sign yet of the poor rating, which hit a new low of 17% – the full report later today should reveal all).

Last week’s question on state governments’ responses was repeated this week, and with due regard to sample sizes that run no higher than around 320 (and not even in triple figures in the case of South Australia), the good ratings have been 56% last week and 61% for New South Wales; 76% and 70% for Victoria; 52% and 63% for Queensland; 79% and 77% for Western Australia; and 72% and 66% for South Australia. Combining the results gives New South Wales 58.5% and Victoria 73% with error margins of about 3.7%; Queensland 57.5% from 4.6%; Western Australia 78% from 5.5%; and South Australia 69% from 6.9%.

Also included are Essential’s occasion question on trust in various institutions, which suggests that all of the above might be benefiting from a secular effect that has federal parliament up from 35% to 53% and the ABC up from 51% to 58%. The effect is more modest for the Australian Federal Police, up two points to 68%. In other coronavirus-related findings, the poll finds “half of all voters think it’s too soon to even consider easing restrictions“, with a further 14% saying they are prepared to wait until the end of May; that 38% said they would download the virus-tracing app, with 63% saying they had security concerns and 35% being confident the data would not be misused.

UPDATE: Full report here.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,133 comments on “Essential Research coronavirus latest”

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  1. Looking for some fallout from a former Prime minister’s revelation that the party currently occupying the government benches is chock full of terrorists and liars.

    I wonder if Labor will find any of this useful. Politically.

  2. lizzie,
    Privilege doesn’t always equal money. Sometimes it’s just contacts.

    And what is it in many of the NeoLiberal’s lives that reinforces their mindsets?
    1. A Private School education
    2. Active participation in their religion.
    3. 1+2 going hand in hand in many cases.

    ‘Give me the child and I will show you the man’.

  3. Two words totally absent from last night’s 45 minute special on the Corona crisis; Albanese and Chalmers.

    Well done boys.

  4. The funniest part of four corners was Josh Frydenberg recounting his conversation with Solomon Lew. Good to know that a crying Billionaire is what focussed the govt mind to do jobseeker. Lol!

  5. Virgin Australia has told the stock exchange it is in administration.

    It has appointed Vaughan Strawbridge, John Greig, Sal Algeri and Richard Hughes of Deloitte as voluntary administrators.

    “The decision comes as the group has continued to seek financial assistance from a number of parties, including State and Federal Governments, to help it through the unprecedented crisis, however is yet to secure the required support,” the company told the ASX.

    “Virgin Australia will continue to operate its scheduled international and domestic flights which are helping to transport essential workers, maintain important freight corridors, and return Australians home.

    “The administrators will be supported by the group’s current management team, led by Chief Executive Officer Paul Scurrah, and will work closely with team members, suppliers, and partners throughout the process.”

  6. Possum Comitatus
    @Pollytics
    ·
    29m
    The solution to lead poisoning is clearly more lead
    ***

    Hugh Riminton
    @hughriminton
    · 53m
    The #ScottMorrison government will push “lower taxes and aggressive deregulation” in the October budget says Finance Minister @MathiasCormann. The goal is to “incentivise business to invest more and hire more Australians,” as we come through the #Covid_19australia crisis.

  7. A good case study : to open or not yet ???

    ‘He’s going to commit mass murder’: GOP governor slammed for rolling back public health safeguards early

    Governor Brian P. Kemp‏Verified account @GovKemp

    Due to favorable data & more testing, gyms, fitness centers, bowling alleys, body art studios, barbers, cosmetologists, hair designers, nail care artists, estheticians, their respective schools & massage therapists can reopen Friday, April 24 with Minimum Basic Operations. #gapol

    Dr. Dena Grayson‏Verified account @DrDenaGrayson

    Today, #Georgia had 790 new #coronavirus cases and 52 deaths from #COVID19, yet @GovKemp plans to reopen businesses where *close personal contact* is critical to the business being conducted.

    In the absence of MASSIVE testing and contact tracing, this is incredibly foolish.

  8. lizzie @ #58 Tuesday, April 21st, 2020 – 9:07 am

    Possum Comitatus
    @Pollytics
    ·
    29m
    The solution to lead poisoning is clearly more lead
    ***

    Hugh Riminton
    @hughriminton
    · 53m
    The #ScottMorrison government will push “lower taxes and aggressive deregulation” in the October budget says Finance Minister @MathiasCormann. The goal is to “incentivise business to invest more and hire more Australians,” as we come through the #Covid_19australia crisis.

    The only things it will incentivise is ripping off workers and tax evasion and minimisation and sending the ill-gotten gains to the Caymans.

  9. Today, #Georgia had 790 new #coronavirus cases and 52 deaths from #COVID19, yet @GovKemp plans to reopen businesses where *close personal contact* is critical to the business being conducted.
    In the absence of MASSIVE testing and contact tracing, this is incredibly foolish.
    _______
    It will certainly form the basis of a very dangerous social experiment!

  10. Morning all. Happy birthday BK! The dawn patrol is these days quite litteraly better than the official news summaries.

    As for the news itself, the Coalition seems to be genuine and successful in its efforts to stop a virus that targets the demographic that votes for it. But as for preserving jobs and quality of life, as Virgin workers are discovering, “Flogging will resume until morale is restored”.

    Looks like four weeks governing for the good of the people is about Scomo’s limit. As Virgin proves, the ideological battles have begun again. At least this time Labor can’t be accused of starting them.

  11. For all our sakes, I hope Koukoulas is right.

    Stephen Koukoulas
    @TheKouk
    ·
    4m
    I have registered: Great to hear one of the economic minds in the Parliament who will probably be dealing with the economic and govt debt fall out in the years ahead

    ***

    Per Capita
    @percapita
    · 6m
    Join @DawsonEJ and Shadow Treasurer @JEChalmers tomorrow for lunch and a chat about rebuilding post-COVID.

    What does “snap back” mean? Are the days of zero debt gone forever? And how could economics that puts wellbeing first change the game forever?
    https://australiaathome.com.au/upcoming-conversations/jim-chalmers

  12. I have read several accounts of “recovery” from coronavirus which say that the after effects are unpleasant and long lasting. The stats, merely given as positive or negative, don’t really show the health effects in the community.

  13. Victoria @ 8.56
    Knowing Solomon was reduce to tears as a result of his workers losing their part-time, casual, no super, underemployed status, lowly paid, jobs for women, as portrayed by treasurer Joshie last night was the pinnacle moment from this whole grab fest of self indulging parody that is the war against………………..
    Depends on your situation to finish the last bit.

  14. Certainly, “snap-back” is a brain-snap. Virgin will not be snapping back, to name one obvious example. Given what Qantas will then be doing to domestic airfares, neither will regional tourism either.

    I seriously wonder if Frydenberg actually understands what he is doing to the economy?

    On a sad note, I can hardly overstate how disappointed I am in some of my rural fellow South Australians over this story.
    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-04-21/backpackers-slammed-with-go-home-notes-amid-coronavirus-pandemic/12166012

    Have a good day all.

  15. “determine whether we really are coronavirus free.”

    Two weeks won’t be enough to say that we’re virus free, if that’s the criteria.

    I wish my maths were good enough to calculate the probability of there being X cases given that 0 were detected Y days ago.

    Now we’re getting close to being able to remove some restrictions, I’m predicting quite a bit of angst amongst people.

    The phrase “common sense” is going to get a work out from both sides.

  16. Victoria @ #51 Tuesday, April 21st, 2020 – 8:56 am

    The funniest part of four corners was Josh Frydenberg recounting his conversation with Solomon Lew. Good to know that a crying Billionaire is what focussed the govt mind to do jobseeker. Lol!

    And here I was thinking it was that unrelenting pressure from media report after media report of Labor’s (the Opposition) calls for a wage subsidy scheme with Chalmers and Albo out there like two dogs with a bone each.
    Mundo can dream.

  17. A tax cut would incentivise business to increase executive pay and bonuses, do share buybacks and increase dividends.

    Only profitable companies pay company tax. The tax rate should have minimal influence on the decision to hire an employee. In simple terms, if it costs X to hire a new employee and the new employee generates Y in revenue, the impact on profits is Y – X. If Y > X it makes sense to hire the employee, if not it doesn’t. The rate of tax on Y – X is immaterial. OK, it’s a bit more complicated than that but think that my point is valid.

    It’s not even ideology. Those who own and run companies don’t want to pay tax. It’s as simple as that.

  18. Peter FitzSimons
    @Peter_Fitz
    ·
    11m
    You will recall the story of Justice Marcus Einfeld, sent to prison for lying about a red-light camera. The idea was the penalty for a Judge breaking the law was higher than anyone else.
    Similarly, PMO has higher duty than all to obey law?
    Discuss.

  19. “As Virgin proves, the ideological battles have begun again. At least this time Labor can’t be accused of starting them.”

    Well yes. The people on the LNP side though genuinely believe that less regulation and lower taxes is the way to go. I think they’re wrong, but I don’t think most of them are proposing that because they think that in the long run it’ll harm people.

    To agree with Mundo, it’s the job of the ALP, the Greens, and the broader progressive movement to challenge them and win this argument. You can’t blame neoliberal conservatives for pursuing a neoliberal conservatives agenda. You have to remember, they really do genuinely believe in it.

  20. Goll

    My OH and I couldn’t stop laughing. What a joke. Seriously…….
    The best contributions on the program were from Sally McManus and Vic and NSW premiers.

  21. Blobbit

    You have to remember, they really do genuinely believe in it.

    Yes, but as an article of faith, not based on factual analysis.

  22. “determine whether we really are coronavirus free.”

    Blobbit I can’t quite figure out who you’re quoting there..

  23. You see, Mundo, Labor simply don’t have the number at present. Please stop moaning.

    Labor and the Greens will push to disallow a regulation by the industrial relations minister, Christian Porter, slashing the consultation period for changes to deals setting workers’ pay and conditions.

    The regulation, announced on Thursday, allows employers to provide just 24 hours’ notice, down from a week, to seek wide-ranging changes including cuts to pay, penalty rates, leave entitlements and changes to ordinary hours of work.

    The change was welcomed by business groups as a means to improve flexibility with workers’ agreement at a time of economic crisis, but the Australian Council of Trade Unions warned it will lead to reductions in pay and undermine job security.

    On Monday, the Labor shadow cabinet decided to move to disallow the regulation in the Senate, which is likely to return in May according to comments by Scott Morrison on Thursday.

    However, even with Greens support Labor will need four votes from the remaining crossbench bloc of two Centre Alliance senators, two from One Nation and Jacqui Lambie.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/apr/20/labor-and-greens-to-oppose-coalitions-dangerous-workplace-regulation-changes?CMP=share_btn_tw

  24. WTI oil is currently at $-3.00. That is up 92% off its low overnight. Some traders who bought at the bottom made a lot of money in a few hours.

  25. Making money because a price moved from -$40 to -$3? Yep, should definitely be illegal.

    Or if not then fuck it. Where do I go to put in an order to buy all the oil on the world when the price hits $0? Can sell it all again at $0.01 and make undefined amounts of profit.

  26. AR you are too late. You could have bought the oil last night and the sellers would have paid you $30 to take it away. This mornIng you could have paid $3 to someone to take it away from you. $27 profit per barrel without lifting a finger.

    You could retire on the profits.

  27. lizzie @ #74 Tuesday, April 21st, 2020 – 9:30 am

    Blobbit

    You have to remember, they really do genuinely believe in it.

    Yes, but as an article of faith, not based on factual analysis.

    I don’t believe that educated (possibly idiots) can be so stupid. Only a brain wired in reverse could believe that keeping already impoverished people in poverty and enriching the already well off is good government and must be maintained at all costs.

    Mr. Trump on the other hand loves people with no education – because he understands that educated people (mostly) are on to him and the ignorant (mostly) support him. The LNP understand this also but hide behind bullshit ideology.

    Smoko. ☕

  28. Happy Birthday BK! What with fires and your hectic pace in, well, just about everything. it’s amazing you haven’t died of exhaustion yet! Keep it up young fella!

  29. The oil price crash will have severe, possibly catastrophic, consequences for several mid-east countries that failed to diversify their economies and came to rely completely on a narrow range of primary products.

    Thank the gods we come from a smart country that would never fall into that obvious trap.

  30. Confessions @ #25 Tuesday, April 21st, 2020 – 7:51 am

    I never read the comments on our local paper’s Facebook page, but this one really took the cake! Seeing as we have zero active cases here and no new cases in WA, this woman wants playgrounds to reopen. When challenged by others she says:

    keep your kids trapped inside the confines of your home but every other child deserves to be able to go and play. Playgrounds are safe – a virus cannot withstand UV and rain etc…

    😮

    ‘fess, there’s some qualified truth in what she says about UV.

    There’s different types of UV light, from the sun, and they’re wavelength variable:

    UV-a (long wavelength),
    UV-b, and
    UV-c (short wavelength – around 220 nano metres).

    The longer the wavelength, the lower the energy, but the greater the penetration; like sound waves. At ground level, we get lots of UV-a and some UV-b, penetrating into the skin and skin cells, deforming the DNA, and causing skin cancers plus cataracts, photo-ageing etc. However, the higher energy shorter length UV-c gets effectively stopped at the ozone layer. If it did get here, it can’t penetrate deeply enough to do damage.

    But, UV-c generated on earth has been show to be lethal to viruses – it doesn’t have to penetrate far to knock out a virus. Studies have well shown it will to almost completely eliminate aerosolised virus. This raises the promise of using generated UV-c in high aerosolised risk areas – treatment rooms, transport hubs, any places of close congregation – without the damaging to body effects of UV-a and UV-b.

    This is a terrific straight forward explanation, a 15 minute MedCram video which starts by talking about the current trials (mainly at University of Chicago) on Remdesivir, itself really interesting.

    Jump to 5.00 to just get the UV antiviral explainer.

    https://youtu.be/2U4DAQ3kjRs

  31. Good Morning

    Munro gets under people’s skin because you know he is right.

    Not since the depression have we seen economic circumstances like this.
    At the same time we have a virus and an oil market disrupting everything.

    Just on its own the last oil crisis saw the end of democracy in Iran and the downfall of Carter and Whitlam. This time its the LNP in the driving seat. They think they and their colleagues around the world are going to set the agenda.

    They are sorely mistaken. Its precisely the time that Labor needs to follow the example of Sally McManus and speak out.

  32. @jothornely
    ·
    2m
    The Turnbull memoir has started a lot of conversations that feel like trying to determine which breed of cockroach has the ugliest feet.

  33. Email a couple of minutes ago

    We are pleased to announce the re-opening of our home delivery service. This means that both our Click&Collect & home delivery services are available to all customers from tomorrow.

    You can place an order by simply using your existing Coles Online login details and choose between Home Delivery, Click&Collect Service Desk and Click&Collect Concierge.

    Vulnerable customers accessing the Coles Online Priority Service (COPS) remain our priority to ensure the elderly and those who cannot easily visit our stores have access to everyday grocery essentials.

    Best wishes

    The Coles team

  34. Pretty good presser from Albo, got in a sweet little dig at Morrison over his coveting Turnbull’s job. Nice.
    Some passion in evidence.
    Still a few delivery issues.
    7/10

  35. @JamColley tweets

    people say pick on someone your own size but then when we find a baby that’s our size they’re still not happy

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