Essential Research: sports rorts, ICAC, Australia Day

The latest from Essential finds majority support for removing Bridget McKenzie, but with a third saying they haven’t been following the issue.

Essential Research has not allowed the long weekend to interrupt the fortnightly schedule of its polling, which continues to be limited to attitudinal questions. Conducted last Tuesday to this Monday from a sample of 1080, the most interesting question from the latest poll relates to Bridget McKenzie, whom 51% felt should have been stood down by the Prime Minister. Only 15% felt he was right not to do so, while a further 34% said they had not been following the issue. The question included an explanation of what the issue involved, which is always best avoided, but the wording was suitably neutral (“it is claimed she allocated $100million to sporting organisations in marginal seats to favour the Coalition”).

The poll also finds overwhelming support for the establishment of a federal ICAC – or to be precise, of “an independent federal corruption body to monitor the behaviour of our politicians and public servants”. Fully 80% of respondents were in favour, including 49% strongly in favour, which is five points higher than when Angus Taylor’s troubles prompted the same question to be asked in December. Also featured are yet more findings on Australia Day, for which Essential accentuates the positive by framing the question around “a separate national day to recognise indigenous Australians”. Fifty per cent were in favour of such a thing, down two on last year, but only 18% of these believed it should be in place of, rather than supplementary to, Australia Day. Forty per cent did not support such a day at all, unchanged on last year.

Note that there are two threads below this one of hopefully ongoing interest: the latest guest post from Adrian Beaumont on Monday’s Democratic caucuses in Iowa, and other international concerns; and my review of looming elections in Queensland, where the Liberal National Party has now chosen its candidate for the looming Currumbin by-election, who has not proved to the liking of retiring member Jann Stuckey.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,092 comments on “Essential Research: sports rorts, ICAC, Australia Day”

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  1. Thanks BK for the Dawn Patrol.

    From the BK Files.

    I highly recommend that you read this amazingly written and compelling piece by Martin McKenzie-Murray, an historically sexually abused person who has been following and writing about the child abuse royal commission and the Harvey Weinstein case.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/i-vainly-believed-i-had-the-fortitude-to-report-on-child-abuse-but-there-was-always-my-own-case-20200130-p53wbj.html

    I did read it and am left saddened but impressed by the author.

    Last night on local TV was a three hour showing of “Mystic River” based on Dennis Lehane’s novel of the same name. I almost wish I hadn’t watched the movie. I was left saddened (but impressed with the movie) in much the same way as Martin McKenzie-Murray’s story.

    Coffee – I must have fresh coffee – before the heat of the day sends me to melancholic meltdown. ☕☕☕

  2. “Bloomberg has already committed to contributing campaign funding from his personal coffers for the democrat candidate, even if its not him.”

    ***

    Heh. Didn’t see this before my previous post.

  3. Morning all

    Parts of the ES ACT emergency site are ‘access denied’.

    Looping past these the fire map fails to show three locations where it has crossed the NSW border, that the fire has now entered Bimberi and Scrubby Peak nature reserves in NSW as well as the Tidbinbilla NR in the ACT. The map does show that the fire has burned pastures and has entered the Tinderry forests.

    The Tharwa containment line was held yesterday despite some spotting across the line.

    Smoke levels in the city are back to being dangerous.

    Well over half of our wet forests have now been destroyed.

  4. KayJay – just a bit northwest of you it was 32 degrees @ 6:00am this morning and now the wind is up at about 20-30 k’s. Hit 44 degrees on my gauge last afternoon, not sure what the official figure was.

  5. Bellwether

    ‘Sorry, I’m highly idealistic with a strong dash of individualism and healthy dislike of the status quo (as I believe we all should be) and I’m not about to change that. I would always support an honest broker..’

    I don’t think anyone of us is saying we’re not any of these things. There’s a difference, however, between “I believe this candidate is the closest to my values” and “I believe that candidate will win.”

    There’s even, alas, a difference between “I believe this candidate is the closest to my values’ and “I believe this candidate will make a good President.”

  6. There’s a difference, however, between “I believe this candidate is the closest to my values” and “I believe that candidate will win.”

    There’s even, alas, a difference between “I believe this candidate is the closest to my values’ and “I believe this candidate will make a good President.”

    And that’s the dilemma.

  7. Morrison would have heard of the blowback on sending Chinese folk into CI detention.

    So he cobbles together a politicized response to China nCoV19 quarantine which directly contradicts the already-garbled vacillations of the CMO.

  8. Terminator @ #1454 Sunday, February 2nd, 2020 – 8:10 am

    KayJay – just a bit northeast of you it was 32 degrees @ 6:00am this morning and now the wind is up at about 20-30 k’s. Hit 44 degrees on my gauge last afternoon, not sure what the official figure was.

    Aarrgghh ❗ Consulting the weather App (program) on my phone —

    Newcastle – Waratah West

    Current temperature 32℃ ….. like 35℃
    Projected temperature 42℃ dammit ❗ Winds WNW 26 KPH
    but then “hello there” chance of rain 40%
    Tonight – thunderstorms – chance of rain 80% – we’ve heard that one before. ☔

  9. Bellweather,
    Good for you! Strange as it may seem, I’m an idealist too. However, I’m also a realist.

    It’s for that reason I want the Democrat candidate that is best able to knit together a winning Electoral College vote to win the nomination.

    That person, imho, is most definitely not Bernie Sanders. The attack ads just write themselves. He comes from the East Coast. He’s a Socialist (and the way the Republicans spit that out just repulses me, but they do and they will). He’ll Tax you to Death (they’ll borrow that one from Australia).

    I’m not so confident Biden can win either, mind you. The economy and unemployment levels are so good (strange what a President can do when he removes the constraints, which should be there for the sake of the environment, on business).

    However, at least Biden has a fighting chance of beating Trump. And, at the end of the day that’s all that really counts.

  10. Sanders is easily the best placed candidate to take on Trump. In fact, I think picking anyone other than Bernie is basically gifting Trump a second term. None of the other candidates are looking capable of doing it at this point in time. Make no mistake, Sanders has a clear and credible path to the presidency. It’s a long path with many potential road blocks, who knows if he can jump over those hurdles and make it to the end, but the path is there.

  11. Washington Posts conservative Max Boot :

    The GOP doesn’t deserve to survive this debacle

    I was recently asked if I would ever rejoin the Republican Party after having registered as an independent the day after President Trump’s election in 2016. The answer is an emphatic no. Trump will leave office some day (I hope!), but he will leave behind a quasi-authoritarian party that is as corrupt as he is. The failure to call witnesses in Trump’s impeachment trial revealed the GOP’s moral failure.

    Senators who shirk their constitutional duties are cowards who disgrace their oaths of office and betray the Constitution. Our troops risk their lives for this country; these senators won’t even risk some unpleasantness.

    I want nothing to do with a party led by the deluded and the dishonest. I fervently hope our democracy survives this debacle. I fervently hope the Republican Party does not.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/02/01/gop-doesnt-deserve-survive-this-debacle/

  12. Given the Democrats have form in stuffing up elections, it is highly likely that Bernie will be the nominee. Of course the Dems will lose big if this happens, and the country will have another 4 years of the most corrupt criminal president.

    There’s a reason Team Trump constantly talks up Bernie and his candidacy while going to great lengths to get dirt on and smear Biden: they desperately want Bernie as their opponent, not Biden.

  13. “He’s a Socialist (and the way the Republicans spit that out just repulses me, but they do and they will).”

    ***

    C@t, it wasn’t long ago that you were on here foaming at the mouth about “shouty socialists”, that is until I pointed out to you that the Labor Left faction call themselves the Socialist Left.

  14. C@tmomma @ #1460 Sunday, February 2nd, 2020 – 8:28 am

    Bellweather,
    Good for you! Strange as it may seem, I’m an idealist too. However, I’m also a realist.

    It’s for that reason I want the Democrat candidate that is best able to knit together a winning Electoral College vote to win the nomination.

    That person, imho, is most definitely not Bernie Sanders. The attack ads just write themselves. He comes from the East Coast. He’s a Socialist (and the way the Republicans spit that out just repulses me, but they do and they will). He’ll Tax you to Death (they’ll borrow that one from Australia).

    I’m not so confident Biden can win either, mind you. The economy and unemployment levels are so good (strange what a President can do when he removes the constraints, which should be there for the sake of the environment, on business).

    However, at least Biden has a fighting chance of beating Trump. And, at the end of the day that’s all that really counts.

    But that’s not all that counts. For example, what is the point of having a Democrat President unprepared to take on the big issues like climate change, healthcare and wealth inequality? May as well stick with Trump, at least he’s fucking hilarious. Maybe you need to start accepting the fact that the polling is indicating that Sanders is giving the nomination a red hot go, after all if he does get up what are you going to say then? Democrats have shot themselves in the foot and got it all wrong? Perhaps even call his base ‘deplorables’? Anything along those lines would be disrespectful of the American public and their right to choose.

  15. Don’t hold your breath waiting for the truth on Bridget McKenzie’s sports rort

    Parts of freedom of information laws are frustrating and illogical and keep the public in the dark

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/feb/01/dont-hold-your-breath-waiting-for-the-truth-on-bridget-mckenzies-sports-rort

    One of the side benefits of a ministerial reshuffle is that embarrassing documents generated in the minister’s former office get filed away in the national archives, beyond the reach of prying eyes.
    :::
    We could also ask the prime minister for documents because he remained prime minister after the election. But we cannot access emails or documents from McKenzie’s office when she was sports minister because she is now minister for agriculture, not sport.

    And if she is relegated to the backbench before question time on Wednesday, Labor won’t be able to ask her any questions either.
    :::
    A spokesman for the archives said that when a minister leaves office after a change of government or resignation, ministerial records, ie records made or received in connection with the minister’s ministerial responsibilities, must be provided.
    :::
    Instead they usually send them to departments for safe keeping and review before they are deposited in the archives. Once delivered the Archives Act says they are generally not accessible for 20 years, and possibly longer if they raise security concerns.
    :::
    FOI clearly fails to provide the answers, which is why we need a federal integrity body with wide powers that can ask for documents, interview witnesses and make a call about whether an incident raises issues of ministerial conduct or something more serious.

  16. Firefox @ #1469 Sunday, February 2nd, 2020 – 8:39 am

    “He’s a Socialist (and the way the Republicans spit that out just repulses me, but they do and they will).”

    ***

    C@t, it wasn’t long ago that you were on here foaming at the mouth about “shouty socialists”, that is until I pointed out to you that the Labor Left faction call themselves the Socialist Left.

    “Foaming at the mouth” 🙂 Someone tell C@t Sanders is a democratic socialist, a very different beast to a socialist. I know that’s a bit confusing, similar to liberals vs Liberals (LNP). I, like you, wholeheartedly support Sanders to win the nomination, he’s the only possible tonic to a sick America.

  17. Now that he’s about to be acquitted the truth comes out.

    Hours after the Senate voted against seeking new evidence in the impeachment case against President Trump, the administration acknowledged in a midnight court filing Friday the existence of two dozen emails that reveal the president’s thinking about withholding military aid to Ukraine.

    The Department of Justice filed a response to a lawsuit seeking access to unredacted copies of those communications. Heather Walsh, a lawyer for the Office of Management and Budget, wrote to the court that 24 of those emails were protected under “presidential privilege.”

    “Specifically, the documents in this category are emails that reflect communications by either the President, the Vice President, or the President’s immediate advisors regarding Presidential decision-making about the scope, duration, and purpose of the hold on military assistance to Ukraine,” Walsh wrote.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/justice-dept-acknowledges-24-emails-reveal-trumps-thinking-on-ukraine/2020/02/01/7deea84c-450e-11ea-b503-2b077c436617_story.html?itid=hp_hp-top-table-high_impeachment202-1p%3Ahomepage%2Fstory-ans

  18. Having posted many times on this issue as a “no-brainer” that ought to be implemented…..

    Victoria will get cash-for-cans, container deposit scheme

    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/victoria-will-get-cash-for-cans-container-deposit-scheme-20200201-p53wun.html

    A cash-for-cans and bottles scheme to combat Victoria’s recycling and waste crisis will be introduced by the state government.

    Victoria had been the only state or territory in Australia without a container deposit scheme or a plan to introduce one, but government insiders have confirmed an announcement is imminent.

    The Greens party and other organisations have campaigned and lobbied for years in advocating for a CDS.

    Until now powerful vested interests and industry lobby groups have been successful in pressuring successive Victorian state governments to resist introducing such a scheme for years.

    I am surprised Andrews hasn’t left an announcement closer to the next state election. But then a recycling crisis intervened and he had to take action.

  19. Okay, split hairs about Socialist vs Democratic Socialist, if you will. Trump won’t:

    Over the past year, Trump’s campaign has come up with different events and gimmicks aimed at branding the full Democratic field as socialist. “Socialism destroys Ohio Jobs. Vote Trump!” read a banner flying above the Democratic debate site in Ohio last October.

    The attacks serve a dual purpose for Trump: rallying his GOP base and inflaming internal tensions in the Democratic Party, said Republican strategist Doug Heye.

    “It very smartly drives a very blunt wedge into the Democratic debate in the days leading up to the kickoff for really the whole campaign,” he said.

    Trump has never specifically defined what he is referring to when he talks about socialism, regularly using the term broadly to discuss Democrats’ positions on energy, health care, taxes, immigration and more.

    “This election is a choice between American freedom and Democratic socialism, and in some cases, in my opinion, it’s worse than socialism,” Trump said in one of 10 mentions of socialism during his speech in Des Moines on Thursday. “Socialism’s a kind word by comparison. The Democrats will lose because America will never be a socialist country.”

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/bernie-sanders-sparks-a-debate-over-socialism–and-trump-is-happy-to-engage/2020/01/31/24c8cd66-4440-11ea-b5fc-eefa848cde99_story.html

    So, hooray for Bernie! He’s a Democratic Socialist. Trump is more than happy to oblige his characterisation.

  20. There’s a difference, however, between “I believe this candidate is the closest to my values” and “I believe that candidate will win.”
    _______________________
    so you support careerists with no ideals apart from their own advancement like Bill Shorten and Hilary Clinton? That worked well.

  21. Public servants should declare all their interests: Labor MP

    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/public-servants-should-declare-all-their-interests-labor-mp-20200131-p53wlw.html

    Senior public servants, including the head of key agencies such as the Reserve Bank, would be forced to declare financial and community interests, from their mortgages to membership of exclusive clubs, under a plan from a Labor MP.

    Patrick Gorman said that, with the public continuing to lose confidence in the entire political system, an increase in transparency for the bureaucracy would go some way towards alleviating community concerns.

    Mr Gorman, the federal member for Perth, wants the head of departments and agencies to make a declaration of interests as is required of federal politicians.

  22. C@tmomma @ #1481 Sunday, February 2nd, 2020 – 8:53 am

    Okay, split hairs about Socialist vs Democratic Socialist, if you will. Trump won’t:

    Over the past year, Trump’s campaign has come up with different events and gimmicks aimed at branding the full Democratic field as socialist. “Socialism destroys Ohio Jobs. Vote Trump!” read a banner flying above the Democratic debate site in Ohio last October.

    The attacks serve a dual purpose for Trump: rallying his GOP base and inflaming internal tensions in the Democratic Party, said Republican strategist Doug Heye.

    “It very smartly drives a very blunt wedge into the Democratic debate in the days leading up to the kickoff for really the whole campaign,” he said.

    Trump has never specifically defined what he is referring to when he talks about socialism, regularly using the term broadly to discuss Democrats’ positions on energy, health care, taxes, immigration and more.

    “This election is a choice between American freedom and Democratic socialism, and in some cases, in my opinion, it’s worse than socialism,” Trump said in one of 10 mentions of socialism during his speech in Des Moines on Thursday. “Socialism’s a kind word by comparison. The Democrats will lose because America will never be a socialist country.”

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/bernie-sanders-sparks-a-debate-over-socialism–and-trump-is-happy-to-engage/2020/01/31/24c8cd66-4440-11ea-b5fc-eefa848cde99_story.html

    So, hooray for Bernie! He’s a Democratic Socialist. Trump is more than happy to oblige his characterisation.

    I suggest you broaden your media consumption, you’re only getting one side of the story that supports your POV.

  23. nath @ #1484 Sunday, February 2nd, 2020 – 8:54 am

    There’s a difference, however, between “I believe this candidate is the closest to my values” and “I believe that candidate will win.”
    _______________________
    so you support careerists with no ideals apart from their own advancement like Bill Shorten and Hilary Clinton? That worked well.

    Apparently.

  24. McClennel on Sky just saying that the leaked email which aimed to compromise Scotty from Marketing could only have come from one place. We are led to believe: McKenzie.

  25. Bridget McKenzie, if she leaked the incriminating email, is fighting back against the leaking that is coming from the Barnaby Joyce camp, in the form of David Littleproud and Matt Canavan.

  26. Peg

    The Greens New Deal CO2 Emissions Strike Pledge could include an item on not using cans. With modern storage, transport and distribution methods in Australia, cans are a CO2 luxury that the climate crisis cannot afford.

  27. So, Bellweather, what other sources do you suggest? Jacobin magazine maybe? 🙄

    Common Dreams? Alternet?

    Do ‘enlighten’ me.

  28. Tracking 2,000 Years Of Earth’s Climate Change In One Simple Chart

    https://10daily.com.au/news/world/a200131amkuf/tracking-2000-years-of-earths-climate-change-in-one-simple-chart-20200131

    The Nature paper concludes, “We find that the warmest period of the past two millennia occurred during the twentieth century for more than 98 percent of the globe. This provides strong evidence that anthropogenic [man-made] global warming is not only unparalleled in terms of absolute temperatures, but also unprecedented in spatial consistency within the context of the past 2,000 years.”

    To help raise awareness about our changing climate, with the hope that concerned citizens will get involved, Hawkins and Climate Central have made Warming Stripes images available online for every country in the world.

  29. Bernie should have another crack at being a mayor in Vermont. He can hang around in craft breweries with all the students and regale them with tales of how he coulda been a contender.

  30. C@tmomma @ #1494 Sunday, February 2nd, 2020 – 9:00 am

    So, Bellweather, what other sources do you suggest? Jacobin magazine maybe? 🙄

    Common Dreams? Alternet?

    Do ‘enlighten’ me.

    Breitbart, MSNBC, CNN, PBS, Planet America, Seth Meyers, Stephen Colbert, The Young Turks, even Joe Rogan for that matter, at least he has his finger on the pulse. And no matter if they are right or left outlets always question, always maintain a degree of skepticism and ask what the motives are behind their opinions.

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