Essential Research: that was the year that was

One last hurrah for 2019 from Essential Research finds an improvement in Anthony Albanese’s ratings, but little change for Scott Morrison.

The fortnightly Essential Research poll is out and, perhaps unsurprisingly for what will surely be its last survey for the year, it does not break its post-election habit of not publishing numbers on voting intention. What it does have is the monthly leadership ratings, which record little change for Scott Morrison (approval steady at 45%, disappoval up two to 43%) and favourable movement for Anthony Albanese (up two on approval to 39%, down six on disapproval to 28%). There is no preferred prime minister rating, but we do get evaluations on how the leaders have performed since the election: 11% say Scott Morrison has exceeded expectations, 41% that he has met them and 47% that he has fallen short of them, with Albanese’s respective ratings being 8%, 48% and 44%.

Also:

• The regular end-of-year question on for whom this has and hasn’t been a good year suggests people leaned positive about their own circumstances, albeit less so than last year; that it was a much better year for the government, which is hard to argue with on a purely political level; that it was a bad yet still much better year for “Australian politics in general”, the improvement presumably relating to the lack of a prime ministerial leadership coup; and that things were unambiguously positive only for large companies and the Australian cricket team.

• After two years of legalised same-sex marriage, 47% say it has had a positive impact, 15% negative and 38% neither.

• There remains negative sentiment towards unions, whom 49% say have too much power compared with 37% who disagreed. Fully 68% thought union officials should be disqualified merely for breaching administrative laws, with only 18% in disagreement, while 51% thought unions should be disqualified for taking unprotected industrial election, with 32% disagreeing. However, 62% agreed the government was “more concerned about the actions of union officials than the CEO’s of banks and other corporations”.

• Thirty-five per cent thought Scott Morrison should have stood Angus Taylor down from cabinet with 17% supporting his position, while 48% conceded they had not been following the issue.

• There was overwhelming support for the establishment of a federal ICAC, at 75% with only 8% opposed.

The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1035 respondents drawn from an online panel.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,940 comments on “Essential Research: that was the year that was”

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  1. Guytaur we need lots more rail tunnels. Metro as well as high speed. Road corridors are 95 percent useless. In a city the size of Sydney if you want rail to compete you need pure unadulterated speed.

  2. I like to think I give as good as I get and that is good enough for me.

    If I got offended by every comment of wrath and derision directed my way on PB, I’d be you.

    These two statements make no sense when put together, GG. Unless they are about you alone. As it seems to me that I’m not allowed to give as good as I get, because that makes me ‘offended’ at what is thrown at me and a big girl’s blouse, so I’m supposed to just cop it, while you have given yourself permission to give as good as you get, back. But not me. Because…that makes me the always offended one.

    Anyway, as both of you seem to condone women on this blog being told to ‘GAGF’, or being called ‘Gosford Godzilla’ or the like (sorry but I don’t let EVERY insult go through to the keeper like you are suggesting I should), then excuse me if I don’t take my advice from you.

    And that’s the last thing I’m going to say because other wise I’ll just end up going round and round the mulberry bush.

  3. CC

    Monorail is cheaper than tunnels. They can be fast. They can be practical.

    I don’t have a prejudice about light or heavy rail styles of monorails.

    Edit: Or trams or trains for that matter. Just I see it cheaper not to have tunnels.

  4. It appears Guytuar’s views on transport infrastructure are as informed as his views on what Labor should be doing to swing voters their way.

    Albo, on his listening tour of Queensland, made it to this Maryborough rail workshop – and declined the accepted wisdom not wear a silly hat..

  5. C@tmomma @ #1702 Saturday, December 14th, 2019 – 2:44 pm

    I like to think I give as good as I get and that is good enough for me.

    If I got offended by every comment of wrath and derision directed my way on PB, I’d be you.

    These two statements make no sense when put together. Unless they are about you alone. As it seems to me that I’m not allowed to give as good as I get, because that makes me ‘offended’ at what is thrown at me and a big girl’s blouse, so I’m supposed to just cop it, while you have given yourself permission to give as good as you get, back. But not me. Because…that makes me the always offended one.

    Anyway, as both of you seem to condone women on this blog being told to ‘GAGF’, or being called ‘Gosford Godzilla’ or the like (sorry but I don’t let EVERY insult go through to the keeper like you are suggesting I should), then excuse me if I don’t take my advice from you.

    And that’s the last thing I’m going to say because other wise I’ll just end up going round and round the mulberry bush.

    It might if you put them in the order they were written and included all the other words as well.

    You should put a proposal in to bitumen that track around your mulberry bush. It gets a lot of traffic.

  6. And eschewing the inner city urgers, Albo made it to the one newspaper town Townsville. These promos run in places like this are what low information sometimes notice..

  7. Guytaur..

    The idea rhat tunnels are ruinously expensive is as outdated as the idea that solar panels are expensive. World has changed.

  8. And in some disappointment for the Albo knockers, rather than the expected prostration at Adani’ s mine, the true industries of Queensland were paid a visit. Here he is at the Bundaberg Distilliery..

  9. CC

    I am not arguing for Monorails.

    I was just agreeing the one we had would have been better with the route today’s tram is on.

    That was all.

    Edit: My point is the obvious one. It’s cheaper not to have to build a tunnel.

  10. Andrew Earlwood..

    The suburbs on the western rim of Botany Bay are not badly done by in terms of public transport access and speed. Not when you compare to the Sutherland Shire.

    Another fact is that the entire strip along the west of Botany Bay (for about a km inland)is geologically speaking mush. Sand, silt, sea shells. It makes for a very expensive metro. A ligjt rail may be more appropriate.

    Remember there are vast swathes of Sydney much worse off. Not to mention Wollongong and the Central Coast.

  11. guytaur says:
    Saturday, December 14, 2019 at 9:24 am

    @georgeeaton tweeted

    A truly stunning age divide: 57% of 18-24-year-olds voted Labour, only 18% of over-65s did.
    =========================================
    Those numbers are not that surprising and would be pretty standard across the last thirty years so it doesn’t say that much about the future.

  12. @AlboMP
    ·
    5h
    The Liberals have taken the next step in their campaign for nuclear.

    They want us to lift our bipartisan ban on nuclear energy.

    They want to ruin places like Hervey Bay, Fraser Island and other coastal communities forever.

    No chance. We’ll oppose them every step of the way.

  13. Mexican

    Nah. It could be a return to normal politics and the 80’s to now are the outlier.

    We have to watch out for the extremes. We want democracy not dictatorship

  14. Firefox says:
    Saturday, December 14, 2019 at 11:08 am

    The reaction of Laborites like Frednk when confronted with the reality that the Greens vote is going up…
    ————————————-
    I don’t think May 19 was that good a election for the Greens, the only seat where their support clearly went up was in Kooyong from 18% to 21% but much of that was candidate related but there were seats like McNamara which saw the Greens barely shift the dial even with improved boundaries.

  15. lizzie @ #1721 Saturday, December 14th, 2019 – 3:07 pm

    @AlboMP
    ·
    5h
    The Liberals have taken the next step in their campaign for nuclear.

    They want us to lift our bipartisan ban on nuclear energy.

    They want to ruin places like Hervey Bay, Fraser Island and other coastal communities forever.

    No chance. We’ll oppose them every step of the way.

    If only they were as definitive about coal … which is far more dangerous, and which has killed, and will kill, many more people 🙁

  16. guytaur says:
    Saturday, December 14, 2019 at 10:43 am

    @tinstargames tweets

    The conservative owned media in AU told us Shorten was inept and bumbling and possibly a secret rapist. The conservative owned media in the UK told us Corbyn was inept and bumbling and a secret racist. So when I see “corbyn was bad” from leftists I am skeptical as hell
    —————————————————
    The problem with tweets like that is it ignores that Labour lost seats it had held for decades and Murdoch has been an owner of British papers since the 1980s yet it is only now he has influenced people in Redcar and other similar seats to switch to the Conservatives.

  17. The original route for the monorail was far more extensive than a loop around Darling Harbour with a quick whip up to Pitt St.

    It was originally headed to the Quay, for one thing, which would have linked transport infrastructure as well as the City’s two main recreation areas. It could have been so much more than the novelty ride it turned out to be.

    The reason it ended up being so limited was because it emasculated by a bunch of ABC-employed wankers in concert with the Sydney Architectural Push, DemolishTheCahillExpresswayNow! fantasists, all in league with anti-TNT Nazis, who together (or separately) who wouldn’t know a piece of useful transport infrastructure if it ran over them on the wrong side of a level crossing.

    Exhibit #1: their slogan, “MoNOrail”… get it?

  18. “Blobbit. Try walking through the core of Bangkok. The elevated rail line is a monstrosity”

    Haven’t done that, but there’s plenty in Tokyo.

  19. Cud Chewer

    Guytaur..

    The idea rhat tunnels are ruinously expensive is as outdated as the idea that solar panels are expensive. World has changed.

    Can Joh showed they can be pretty ‘ruinously expensive’ for the citizens of Brisvegas………..and to his career 🙂

  20. “ Guytaur monorails are slow, low capacity, ugly and useless.”

    Cud – see my previous post. For about 5 years the monorail played a vital role in my daily commuting. It was not useless. It just filled a niche.

    There are also newer forms of monorails, some of which in Germany are both (very) high speed and high capacity. Of course, those ones are a far cry from the one we had in Sydney and the two I recall travelling on up at the Gold Coast years ago.

    Cud – as for Botany and the viability of sending a metro there I take your point. Servicing Botany via a new metro Is not essential. However, Ive been told that there are useful options for an extension that far to also set up a Marshalling and maintenance yard for the rolling stock in that area. Also potentially feasible to connect to then airport perhaps. I digress – the main game for such a. People mover would be to move folk along that southern corridor as far as LaPa into and from the CBD.

  21. One thing is suggest from the recent Labo(U)r losses – no one wants a detailed set of election policies.

    Go in light, fuzzy and positive.

  22. C@T
    Looking at the old Sydney tram network it was impressive in how much of Sydney it covered and it could easily have kept growing with Sydney but alias politicians don’t think ahead and easily succumb to lobbying.

  23. An existing corridor changed to an elevated line certainly frees up a lot of land for parks. I don’t think you will see much opposition in Melbourne going forward.

  24. @jonkudelka
    ·
    8m
    Any serious person must know that the very near future either doesn’t have coal in it or there isn’t going to be much future anyway. Stop pissing about.

  25. “ Guytaur building a monorail on the current light rail route is ludicrous. They just don’t have the capacity.”

    Don’t get me wrong Cud – I am on yours side regarding tunnels (especially given the stability of our sandstone basin) and metro trains. 100%

    However, as an alternative, an elevated high capacity monorail like the one in Tokyo may also be feasible. Probably a good option for swamps like Melbourne and Brisbane. MAGLEV technology on an elevated monorail line might even be a viable alternative to your proposed high speed rail network …

    It all comes down to the Benjamins and I reckon that underground metros for urban commuter transport probably provides the best bang for buck … at least for Sydney.

  26. These two statements make no sense when put together. Unless they are about you alone. As it seems to me that I’m not allowed to give as good as I get, because that makes me ‘offended’ at what is thrown at me and a big girl’s blouse, so I’m supposed to just cop it, while you have given yourself permission to give as good as you get, back. But not me. Because…that makes me the always offended one.

    Anyway, as both of you seem to condone women on this blog being told to ‘GAGF’, or being called ‘Gosford Godzilla’ or the like (sorry but I don’t let EVERY insult go through to the keeper like you are suggesting I should), then excuse me if I don’t take my advice from you.

    For someone who continually tells us she refuses to get wound up at criticism aimed in her direction, C@tmomma sure gets wound up about it.

    That’s about half a dozen posts from her now after she (i.e. not me, not GG) got the ball rolling by accusing me of wearing hob-nail boots because I thought Labor was full of crooks (which it clearly is – see today’s Silverwater Jail bulletin in the SMH) and was confusing in its policy grief.

    She tried to ring-in GG to her outrage-a-thon but, being a grown-up and able to speak on his own behalf, he didn’t want to play, even reminding her of some of her own bullying tactics. That was good enough for more quotes, quotes of quotes, and quotes of quotes of quotes ending in the incomprehensibly nested logic expressed in the 2 paragraphs of confected outrage blockquoted above.

    In the meantime her interlocutors get called for all the vicious, sexist, ageist, racist labels possible, with aspersions cast on the state of their (from memory) penises, prostates, nationality, sanity, age, gender, intelligence, religion, education and sexual preference. All of this uttered with the astonishing unselfconsciousness of the emotionally tone deaf.

    All she has to do is mind her own business and not heckle others who don’t invite heckling, and they will leave her alone. But if she does start a brawl, she should expect a response.

  27. It might if you put them in the order they were written and included all the other words as well.

    Honestly, GG, I knew they were the wrong way around but it made just as little sense from you whichever way I put them. I just couldn’t be bothered putting them in the right order, so I didn’t.

    And are you honestly saying, with your comment to pave the area around the mulberry bush, that you are enamoured of going round and round that much? Because I sure am not.

    Have fun chasing your tail then.

  28. DP
    I gathered that but people seem to be quick with the “its the media” instead of well its really a Brexit related result. There are times when the media does unduly influence the result with 2013 coming to mind and in 2007 we saw the media spinning hard for Howard.

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