The fortnightly Essential Research poll is out and, perhaps unsurprisingly for what will surely be its last survey for the year, it does not break its post-election habit of not publishing numbers on voting intention. What it does have is the monthly leadership ratings, which record little change for Scott Morrison (approval steady at 45%, disappoval up two to 43%) and favourable movement for Anthony Albanese (up two on approval to 39%, down six on disapproval to 28%). There is no preferred prime minister rating, but we do get evaluations on how the leaders have performed since the election: 11% say Scott Morrison has exceeded expectations, 41% that he has met them and 47% that he has fallen short of them, with Albanese’s respective ratings being 8%, 48% and 44%.
• The regular end-of-year question on for whom this has and hasn’t been a good year suggests people leaned positive about their own circumstances, albeit less so than last year; that it was a much better year for the government, which is hard to argue with on a purely political level; that it was a bad yet still much better year for “Australian politics in general”, the improvement presumably relating to the lack of a prime ministerial leadership coup; and that things were unambiguously positive only for large companies and the Australian cricket team.
• After two years of legalised same-sex marriage, 47% say it has had a positive impact, 15% negative and 38% neither.
• There remains negative sentiment towards unions, whom 49% say have too much power compared with 37% who disagreed. Fully 68% thought union officials should be disqualified merely for breaching administrative laws, with only 18% in disagreement, while 51% thought unions should be disqualified for taking unprotected industrial election, with 32% disagreeing. However, 62% agreed the government was “more concerned about the actions of union officials than the CEO’s of banks and other corporations”.
• Thirty-five per cent thought Scott Morrison should have stood Angus Taylor down from cabinet with 17% supporting his position, while 48% conceded they had not been following the issue.
• There was overwhelming support for the establishment of a federal ICAC, at 75% with only 8% opposed.
The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1035 respondents drawn from an online panel.
1,940 comments on “Essential Research: that was the year that was”
Diogenes @ #1898 Saturday, December 14th, 2019 – 9:39 pm
Corbyn=Sanders=Albo=3-5 more years of heartless conservatism.
I admit I’m opposed to Sanders for no real reason. I’m simply inclined against him because of those who declare they like him and on the basis of the absolutely spurious things they say of both Sanders, his rivals, the voters and the political process.
These voices – the ones that like Sanders as much as they like Corbyn – have never troubled themselves to actually join a political party. They do not set out to seek the support of voters in the company of other campaigners. This is too much like democracy for them. They’d rather delegate this irksome work to others, and then be pleased to reproach them when things go wrong or take the credit for any success. These voices can never lose. They are never participants. They’re know-alls who like to parade from a safe distance.
I don’t care what anyone says.
Corbyn and Sanders are not going to help Albo win the next election.
I’m sure she did.
Post Curtain, Chifley, my Labor heroes in descending order are Whitlam, Keating, and to a far lesser extent, Hawke. The wit of Gough was unsurpassed. For example, “Let me make quite clear that I am for abortion and, in your case Sir, we should make it retrospective.” Keating, on the other hand, is different. He’s proficient at the yarn. Thus when he accompanied the Queen on the Britannia, on the occasion of the 50th anniversary of D-Day, he questioned the maker of the silverware on the banquet table. The Queen was sure that it was this or that. Keating corrected HM, stating, via the hallmark, she got it wrong, which she did. As for Hawke, I’ve always thought that he was a populist ocker. Suff me, we are in need of a Whitlam, a Keating, let down severely by ScoalMo, et al.
“ Corbyn=Sanders=Albo=3-5 more years of heartless conservatism.”
Probably but not definitely.
Elect Trump and get…
I notice Trump is now odds on to win the next election.
There might be power black outs this week.
Saturday, December 14, 2019 at 9:47 pm
The 20th century is well and truly over. We have to make our own way now. The struggle is the same, but more difficult in a way too. I think we lack the will to fight.
Will Lord Corbyn sit next to Lord Kinnock?
I remember on my first visit to Melbourne from Sydney in the mid-50’s, looking for a milk bar and finding they had all been converted into espresso coffee parlors.
Mavis, please learn to spell “Curtin”.
Bushfire Bill says:
Saturday, December 14, 2019 at 10:06 pm
…”Mavis, please learn to spell “Curtin”…
Spell-check often struggles with proper nouns.
[‘The 20th century is well and truly over. We have to make our own way now. The struggle is the same, but more difficult in a way too. I think we lack the will to fight.’]
True, though I think it’s instructive to go back to a time when the players had a vision – ala Whitlam and Keating. Hawke, with all his faults, knew how to win. I didn’t see this in Shorten, I don’t see it in Albo – he looks like one those faceless men the Tories carried on about in the 60s & 70s:
Regarding Netflix’s “The Family” , a sobering doco on Pentecostal reach into politics, I have just discovered that our GG is also one of them, adding to quite a powerful group
ruling of our government.
Since they are expecting the rapture at any time, can we rely on them to govern for all our futures?
Just in case I sound paranoid, have close family who started with the AOG back in the 70’s. I initially dismissed them as the Amway of religions but have since discovered much more sinister motives.
Ah, John Crace. Many try but few succeed in being as cutting about politics and its characters:
Big A Adrian says:
Saturday, December 14, 2019 at 8:32 pm
Mexicanbeer: “An interesting piece by historian Dan Jones”
Not really. Shallow, crass, neo-liberal partisan rubbish imo.-
It was simple but don’t see where it was partisan because Jones is no fan of Johnson or Brexit.
[‘Mavis, please learn to spell “Curtin”.’]
Being a pedant, I should be taken to task. As old GG suggests, I should consider abstinence.
It’s not a matter of being pedantic, or not. It’s a matter of being a phoney, or not.
If Curtin was your No. 1 Hero, you would know how to spell his name.
Just catching up, but your post is very poignant to this close-to-Green Square dweller.
Us locals are asking for a station on the Metro near Sydney Park (near Green Square). There are now some 50 K people in apartments living in the general area, with no public transport (except buses that are so crowded that no one can get on them).
However, our wonderful Coalition Berejiklian Government refuses to discuss the matter. There is a stop in Waterloo, right near Redfern Station, and the next stop is Sydenham, around 10 km away.
Why would any sensible government refuse to provide metro stops for Green Square and Sydney Park, to move the some 50 K of people who have moved into the general area?
One of the reasons I stopped my subscription to Crikey was their editorial line that the NSW Coalition Government was the best and most competent government in Australia.
People who write for Crikey obviously do not live in NSW.
And aside from public transport implementation fuck-ups, I have to live with the growing homeless population around me. I really help as much as I can, but with the Berejiklian government shutting down homelessness services in the inner city, and particularly shutting down domestic violence services all throughout NSW, I cannot make much of a difference.
A whole-of-society, governmental approach is needed. It would not even. be that expensive.
Anyway, sorry for the rant. Crikey keep begging me to again become a subscriber. I have tried explaining to them why I cannot support their polemic against the Victorian state Labor Government , while they are so supportive of the very cruel state Coalition NSW government, when it comes to the homeless, domestic violence victims, or anyone who just needs a helping hand.
Bloody well said!! Do you ever drive the 343 route? It is how I go from Waterloo to Kingsford.
Aqualung never actually described the route he was trying to take. Nor where he thought a metro station should be. So its hard for me to respond to that.
Generally I catch the 302 / 303, but I can definitely catch the 304, with a small walk. I will be the shabby middle-aged woman using the cotton conference bag to take my computer and other goods and chattels between Waterloo and Kensington.
Please stop carrying on. I spelled Curtin’s name wrong – leave it at that. Unless, that is, you want to up the ante, which you did earlier with your over-the-top attack on Cat. You seem to delight in being provocative. I won’t further indulge your predilection.
D&M would you care to speculate on where Aqualung wants to get from and to?
Thanks so much for this post. I am a great fan of J.K. Galbraith. He never compromised his Keynesian principles (seen as the slippery slope to Communism back in the day, and now by the Friedmanites).
He helped build the European social democracies that Marx and Engels could only dream about.
The welfare state is dying because it has become more about looking after those running the system instead of helping the people in need of support. This was highlighted by the first productivity commission into the NDIS which was very critical of the disability sector and how its focus was on itself more than the disabled.
My top Australian political heroes: Ben Chiefly, John Curtain, Goff Witlam.
Mavis @ #1925 Saturday, December 14th, 2019 – 10:55 pm
He has his bete noirs. And he has given himself licence to abuse them, as and when he feels like it. Male or female. I think he’s just plain rude and a bully.
Nicholas @ #1929 Saturday, December 14th, 2019 – 11:34 pm
You forgot Pall Kipling. 😉
“ Please stop carrying on. I spelled Curtin’s name wrong”
Actually if we are really getting worried, the adverb should be “incorrectly” in this case….even “wrongly” will not do, heaven forfend “wrong”.
Happy to do this tomorrow – tired and will go to sleep tonight. Also, please take what I have written below in a light-hearted senses – I have had a difficult day.
The 301 / 302 / 303 / 304 are my major bus routes for getting to work, and so I will bore you senseless with routes, stops, and the number of people to be expected at each stop.
The 343 and 348 are also special subjects of mine, because if you do not get the stop and time right, you cannot get on the bus (full).
Did I also mention that I am a female scientist (and mother), and that my son has some sort of non-specific autism. It was only about 10 years after his diagnosis that I discovered that in the 1950s and 1960s some genius noticed that the male progeny of female scientists (small number statistics), were very likely to be autistic. This was thought to be because the scientific mothers were “cold”
So, yeah, my detailed knowledge of the local bus timetables will allow me answer your questions in great detail tomorrow.
D&M ok I will have to make some assumptions.
Firstly, the 304 route follows Bourke and Crown. These are congested roads. The congestion comes from ordinary passenger vehicles many of which are seeking a route into the CBD or through it. Giving buses more priority will help, but there are a lot of slow intersections. Ultimately the problem is unfettered access to the CBD.
Now the “bulk of the units” that Aqualung is referring to is (best guess) those centred around Lachlan and Bourke. Ok, so what is the ideal public transport network for this area? So lets just start by assuming that there is no bus. From Lachlan/Bourke its a 12 minute walk to Green Square station and a 15 minute walk to the metro station at Waterloo. Ok, not perfect, but this isn’t particularly onerous or even exceptional. There’s lots of addresses in Sydney where you need to walk this far just to get on a bus. Let alone get to a station that’s itself a few minutes from the CBD.
Note that Lachlan/Bourke is also 16 minutes walk from a potential metro station at Zetland and it is 16 minutes walk from the light rail stop at Ward Park. This is absolute luxury compared to where I come from.
Now, is there a cause for a light rail line in the area? Absolutely. And there are far less costly ways to do some form of light rail than what was attempted in the CBD. I’d like to see Bourke Street taken over complete by light rail and pedestrians. And I’m sure that’s going to be controversial. Yes the Council has its own idea of a route, but some of that may need changing thanks to the new metro stations (plural).
Its also worth considering whether, in addition to a metro station at Zetland (southern end of Delfries) whether there is cause for another station in the northern end of Waterloo (Coles). I’m only speculating here. Anyhow a couple of other points.
Firstly Green Square station was a bit of an afterthought and built to a budget. Its capable of accepting more passengers. Firstly it needs an upgrade (more escalators). Secondly you need to provide relief to the airport line and there are two ways to do this. One is to extend Metro West to the airport – that’s going to take a lot of passengers out of trains before they reach Green Square. The second and major one is to run high speed rail to Campbelltown. Give people a 20 minute trip from Campbelltown to the CBD and that will also take a large load off trains going through Green Square.
Secondly, a lot of bus routes take endless tortuous paths to the CBD and mostly ignore the rail network. We need a lot more localised bus routes that act as frequent feeders to the train network. There’s a bit of that going on in the 304 for example, but there’s lots of worse examples.
In the end though, if you’re within 10-15 minutes walk of a train station (as will be nearly all of the area west of the M1 and east of the rail line) then you’re doing pretty well.
D&M I don’t find myself in the Waterloo area on a regular basis although I do have colleagues that work near Green Square. As someone who is a compulsory public transport user (I don’t have the eyesight to drive) the first thing I pick up on when walking around the area (I have been to Coles Waterloo a couple of times) is how much nicer the area would be with high quality direct pedestrian links to the stations. As you can tell, I’m not a fan of buses. They are a necessary evil but I would say that the mark of a good bus network design is short routes.
I can catch the O-Bahn to the Adelaide CBD.
Nicholas @ #1929 Saturday, December 14th, 2019 – 11:34 pm
My top Australian political heroes:
John Hunt (was a Coward)
Joe Bejockey Peterson
Matteus Rose Corman
Sir Robert Mingus