Essential Research: leader ratings and protest laws

Discouragement for Newspoll’s notion of an Anthony Albanese approval surge, plus a mixed bag of findings on the right to protest.

The latest fortnightly Essential Research poll still offers nothing on voting intention, though it’s relative interesting in that it features the pollster’s monthly leadership ratings. Contrary to Newspoll, these record a weakening in Anthony Albanese’s ratings, with approval down three to 37% and disapproval up five to 34%. Scott Morrison also worsens slightly, down two on approval to 45% and up three on disapproval to 41%, and his preferred prime minister read is essentially steady at 44-28 (43-28 last month).

Further questions relate to the right to protest, including the finding that 33% would support laws flagged by Scott Morrison that “could make consumer or environment boycotts illegal”, while 39% were opposed. Fifty-eight per cent agreed the government had “the right to limit citizen protests when it disrupts business”, with 31% for disagree; but that 53% agreed that “protestors should have the right to pressure banks not to invest in companies that are building coal mines”, with 33% disagreeing.

The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1075 respondents chosen from an online panel.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,832 comments on “Essential Research: leader ratings and protest laws”

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  1. Lizzie

    I think the Labor right faction is in panic mode.

    They have just lost an election by forcing the left to compromise on Adani resulting in a mixed message on the environment. They like the LNP are caught out by the statements of the Firies and climate scientists.

    The report on the election was clear. The right has to listen to the progressive base.

    Then Albanese announced the cleanup of the NSW branch. No more default control of the party. Then a new powerful union forms on the left with the ability to challenge the power structure of the right.

    Labor is slowly moving back to its traditional support that existed before Richardson.

    Soon Federal Jobs Guarantees Universal Basic Incomes. Extending coverage of Medicare to dental and buying back monopoly public services will be back on the agenda for debate.

    This scares the neo liberals in the party they can see these power shifts happening. As a result they are squealing loudly as their privilege within the party and the political discussion generally is challenged more and more.

  2. Cat

    I haven’t up til now but…..

    When BB told me to “…but lady, someone needs to tell you to GAGF, royally. I suspect it’s been a while.” it was met with deafening silence by the ‘sisterhood’ who are the first to jump in when sexist and misogynistic abuse, often far less egregious than this, is directed at one of their tribe.

    I wasn’t upset by his comments at all. I used it as a vehicle to highlight the massive hypocrisy and double standards one sees every day here.

    I directly asked you, more than once iirc, and confessions, what you thought about it. Confessions claims she has me blocked so no response there.

    You responded because you used it as a springboard to attack BB with whom you have had a long-standing feud and harbour a deeply entrenched animosity towards him.

    Nevertheless I have given you credit for calling it out. Others who shall not be named, but you know who you are, who refused to call it out, I have less time for.

  3. Can’t Frydenberg do anything right?

    The tax concession would be a drag on the government coffers and the economy.

    “We would be just giving away tax and revenues overseas when we don’t need to,” Dr Brain said.

    “Surely we would be better off mobilising domestic savings [through superannuation funds].”.

    Stephen Anthony, chief economist with Industry Super Australia, described the plan as “disgraceful and illogical”.

    https://thenewdaily.com.au/money/finance-news/2019/11/14/infrastructure-tax-cut/

  4. lizzie @ #200 Friday, November 15th, 2019 – 11:53 am

    Have none of you anything sensible to say?
    In the midst of your snowball throwing, has anyone noticed the connections between Angus Taylor and his grassland clearing and the killing of eagles? A thread of complete disregard and contempt for the environment. These are our masters, folks.

    Think calm! These folk are not our masters but theoretically our sevants. The fact that they appear to be insane seems no barrier to their electoral prospects.

    I continue to think of my Uncle Alan who thought that his Owen gun would sort out some of the despicable bastards.

    Many of the items you post are enough to wring tears from the ancient red earth.

    Fortunately I have the benefit of family members to hear and listen.

    Lunch then SCAN*

    *Senior Citizens Afternoon Nap.

    Peace ☮

  5. a r @ #202 Friday, November 15th, 2019 – 11:57 am

    Greensborough Growler @ #78 Friday, November 15th, 2019 – 8:31 am

    Did you actually look at what he had to say or did you find it too hard to find a spot to park your prejudices?

    The people still defending Pell are the ones with the prejudice. The rest of us are just accepting the determination made by others who actually assessed both the evidence against Pell and the strongest arguments Pell’s defense could raise against them.

    Those people found him guilty. The only basis for ignoring their conclusions and deciding that you personally know better without having access to any of the facts and evidence is hubris, bias, and prejudice.

    So, you didn’t watch the video either. That’s OK.

  6. Andrew Earlwood

    I have not imagined Billionaires on US National Television crying over the prospect of having to pay tax.

    I have not imagined Billionaires panicking and joining the US Democrats Presidential race.

    Essential quote of these rich people. “We need someone electable”

    They obviously think Sanders or Warren is going to win the nomination or they would be content not to be in the spotlight

  7. Australia’s most polluting project in Western Australia begins approvals ‘by stealth’

    https://www.theage.com.au/national/australia-s-most-polluting-project-begins-approvals-by-stealth-20191113-p53ads.html

    LNG giant Woodside is gaining approvals for its Burrup Hub project “by stealth” by splitting it into seven individual proposals which obscure total greenhouse gas emissions, according to environmental advocates.

    The Conservation Council of WA labelled it “a case study on how fossil fuel companies are gaming the environmental approvals process to avoid public scrutiny of their impacts”.
    :::
    But the Burrub Hup is being broken down into seven to nine different proposals – depending on how you count them – to be individually considered by three different authorities.

    Some aspects are onshore, some offshore, some in state and some Commonwealth waters.
    :::
    We have a very different view. It cannot be the case that the EPA and Minister has no powers to properly assess the climate impacts of one of the world’s most polluting fossil fuel projects.

    “This is a scandal – Australia’s most polluting project being approved bit by bit without any assessment of the total greenhouse gas emissions.”

  8. Mrs & Mr Wilma Slurrie
    @WilmaSlurrie

    Over 60 medical experts in The Lancet have authored a study on climate change.

    Craig Kelly (shop owner), Andrew Bolt (uni dropout) & Alan Jones (footy coach) claim they are making this up.

    This is Morrison’s Australia.

  9. You seem to revel in being the blunted dull tool of PB. Sharpen up!

    Some tools are better blunt. A sledge hammer for example. Compacter.
    Hugs are another thing you dont want sharp. Are they in short supply in your shed? I got plenty. Take some of mine.

  10. The Australian ($) is reporting Albanese will not attend the Victorian ALP state conference this weekend, avoiding a planned mass walkout by Left unions.

  11. Things must have reached a very low ebb to seriously believe in the integrity of any senior member of the Catholic church. They have such a great past track record. How deluded can an individual get?

  12. Simon Katich @ #221 Friday, November 15th, 2019 – 12:25 pm

    You seem to revel in being the blunted dull tool of PB. Sharpen up!

    Some tools are better blunt. A sledge hammer for example. Compacter.
    Hugs are another thing you dont want sharp. Are they in short supply in your shed? I got plenty. Take some of mine.

    nah,

    I’m building an argument. All I need are my sharpened intellect, rapier wits and a pointy of view.

    I know you don’t keep these in your collection.

    Sorry, but your dulled blunt instruments are of no use whatsoever.

  13. You need to watch the video again GG and then get back when you have.

    Bolt quotes the dissenting Judge as the basis for doubts.

    Bolt then does a ‘Pacman’ reenactment as the basis for his own doubts.

    Bolt does not mention that the dissenting Judge rejected the ‘pacman’ reenact in the appeal judgement along with the other 2 judges.

  14. This will be fascinating how it plays out.

    Personally I think he should be banned for destroying the blood sample.

    If he has doubts about the test he can voice them and then a ruling can be made as to whether it is a valid sample.

    In destroying the sample he is pre-judging that decision with no certainty that that is how they would rule.

    Key points:

    Chinese swimmer Sun Yang will face questions over the destruction of vials of his blood samples in 2018

    The open hearing will take place in Switzerland, and will be the first of its type since 1999

    The 27-year-old has denied any wrongdoing, and sports law experts believe he’s got a good chance of getting off

    https://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2019-11-15/why-sun-yang-case-watershed-moment-for-sport/11699528

  15. All I need are my sharpened intellect, rapier wits and a pointy of view.

    As a wise old fart once said – I dislike braggarts.

  16. You responded because you used it as a springboard to attack BB with whom you have had a long-standing feud and harbour a deeply entrenched animosity towards him.

    And you would be wrong, Pegasus. Though I imagine what you think about the way I thought will always be believed by you more than what I thought at the time, however, can I just say that I apologise profusely for having been at a meeting when the abuse was directed at you originally by Bushfire Bully and so I was unable to immediately spring to your defence and could only do so when I was alerted to it by your complaint that no one defended you. I am truly humbled. 🙄

    Now, you may also impute that the only reason I sprang to YOUR defence was that I spied an opportunity to get one back at BB, because, history. Well, you would be wrong again.

    I actually thought that, after the way he had also been abusing Confessions then excusing his abusive behaviour with all the usual justifications, written in his oh so eloquent and seemingly convincing way, that as he had thus turned his attention to you and abused you in an even more guttural way, that even though it was you who I had not seen eye to eye with on many occasions, I just had to speak up and defend you. Someone had to, and up until that point I hadn’t seen anyone do it. It was wrong to speak to you that way, someone BB doesn’t know from Adam on the internet, and a woman to boot (one has to wonder how he thinks there’s nothing wrong with that). And I did it for no other reason than that. Not, because ‘sexism’ but because I simply thought it was too crude a way to speak to a female.

    So, and I will say this in the same spirit of fair play, I don’t appreciate your construction of my motives for speaking up on your behalf and I would appreciate it if you would withdraw the insinuation Pegasus.

  17. There has been a mountain of material written about the trials and I have read a fair bit. I hadn’t seen the Bolt stuff before and found it an interesting angle. So, I was keen to share it with my fair and balanced compadres on PB. I’m not aware of the tape being rejected at the Appeal or the reasons for that. So, I’m loathe to comment about that aspect without further clarification.

    I haven’t really had much to say about the court case thus far as I’m waiting for all the legal avenues to be exhausted. I actually believe in due process and pray that the HC makes the right decision.

  18. A gauge as to whether Pell will succeed on appeal can be gleaned by his failure to apply for bail pending an appeal to the Victoria Court of Appeal. To be granted bail his counsel would’ve had to convince a judge that there would be a strong chance of success with his appeal. Unlike some (eg, Bolt) I would not second guess a decision of the High Court, save to repeat that unless there has been a manifest and significant error(s) at trial, courts are very reticent to overturn a jury verdict, especially in historical sexual assault cases. And the fact that the trial judge did not allow fresh evidence to be led in summing up does not constitute an error.

    Although a bail application in the High Court is unusual, there’s nothing to preclude it. His personal circumstances are such that he’d be a suitable candidate. He’s old and in failing health. For his personal safety (even in protection there’s a pecking order and peodophiles are at the bottom of the pile), he’s kept in solitary, only leaving his cell for one hour daily. Save for his current convictions, he doesn’t have a rap sheet. He wouldn’t be a flight risk. He wouldn’t attempt to interfere with the witness. Prima facie the only thing against him is that he was found guilty by a jury and by a majority, his convictions were upheld by the Court of Appeal.

    As a matter of course, a court hearing a bail application can consider any relevant material, including the redacted part (Case Study 28) of the RC into child sexual abuse as it pertains to the failure of church authorities to respond to abuse allegations in Ballarat, which could explain why Pell didn’t proceed with a bail application immediately following the decision of the Court Appeal – but I’m only surmising.

  19. Gosh, she’s good!

    Yes so good she didn’t mention the classy act of Joyce claiming that the people who died were probably Greens voters. Real thorough commentary there.

  20. Our politicians came roaring out of the blocks at the beginning of the week and did not cover themselves in glory spatting over the bushfires and climate change, says @frankelly08
    It was pretty undignified at the time lives were being lost.

    https://twitter.com/BreakfastNews/status/1195088034787540992

    I like these responses in the feed…..

    We had 2 leading figures in the National Party, including the Deputy PM, making outrageous comments, and one very minor Greens Senator. But frame this as ‘politicians’ generally by all means @frankelly08.

    I don’t even have to listen to know Fran will be doing the “both sides” dance to cover up the fundamental failures of this awful government.

    Even the local ABC Radio presenter was talking up Penny Wongs response as the sensible middle ground.

  21. jeff @ #237 Friday, November 15th, 2019 – 1:22 pm

    Gosh, she’s good!

    Yes so good she didn’t mention the classy act of Joyce claiming that the people who died were probably Greens voters. Real thorough commentary there.

    I reckon the guts of her story was the bad behaviour of a number of politicians from the Greens and Nationals. There was enough there to demonstrate the veracity of her argument. I also particularly liked the finish showing Albo and Morrison showing true sober leadership at a time of crisis.

    So, yeah I reckon it was a solid piece of commentary TV.

  22. Cat

    I don’t appreciate your construction of my motives for speaking up on your behalf and I would appreciate it if you would withdraw the insinuation Pegasus.

    There’s lots I don’t appreciate about the countless insinuations, egregious characterisations and slurs you hurl my way. I have never asked for an apology from you despite your spite because your attacks are a reflection of you, not me.

    If I have been mistaken about your motive this time, I apologise.

    End of discussion.

  23. Labor giving the appearance of taking the high moral ground while at the same time running the unity ticket with the Coalition “now is not the time to be talking about climate change” when all the experts beg to disagree.

    Labor was given a free kick by JSJ and would be rubbing their hands with glee that all those dastardly Greens are being vilified by a single comment by a passionate young and naive Greens parliamentarian.

  24. Jacqui Lambie has quite the way with words….cutting through

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/we-roll-over-like-a-dog-jacqui-lambie-slams-approval-of-bellamy-s-sale-20191115-p53az0.html

    Tasmanian Senator Jacqui Lambie has slammed the Morrison government for approving a $1.5 billion Chinese bid for infant formula maker Bellamy’s Organic in a political storm over foreign investment.

    Senator Lambie called for more disclosure about the deal and warned against a “Communist Chinese takeover” of too many companies that should stay in Australian hands.
    :::
    While Senator Lambie and other Senate crossbenchers cannot block the deal on their own, they are trying to set up a Senate inquiry into Chinese influence ranging from political interference to business deals.
    :::
    “Every time they open a cheque book we roll over like a dog.

  25. a passionate young and naive Greens parliamentarian.

    One possibility would be to grow up before deciding to run for the Senate.

  26. Pegasus @ #244 Friday, November 15th, 2019 – 1:39 pm

    Labor giving the appearance of taking the high moral ground while at the same time running the unity ticket with the Coalition “now is not the time to be talking about climate change when all the experts beg to disagree.

    Labor was given a free kick by JSJ and would be rubbing their hands with glee that all those dastardly Greens are being vilified by a single comment by a passionate young and naive Greens parliamentarian.

    It just reinforces perceptions that the Greens are a bunch of immature ratbags. They did it all to themselves. Live with the reality, champ.

  27. You’ve been cooking again.

    I dont cook elderberry. I dunk the flowers in water with ice and some mint.
    I have been cooking asparagus and spinach risotto. Oodles of butter, mascarpone cheese and parmesan. And wine. Only I didnt have wine this time – so it was beer.
    I know. But it was the best substitute on hand.

  28. @BelindaJones68
    ·
    47m
    ABC is reporting that Clive Palmer wants to reopen his QLD nickel operations, you know, the one that went broke & the Coalition Govt bailed-out with over $77 mill? Workers didn’t get paid?

    Any politician stupid enough to support Palmer would commit political suicide

    Nup. Palmer is being supported by Coal Canavan.

  29. Simon Katich @ #251 Friday, November 15th, 2019 – 1:53 pm

    You’ve been cooking again.

    I dont cook elderberry. I dunk the flowers in water with ice and some mint.
    I have been cooking asparagus and spinach risotto. Oodles of butter, mascarpone cheese and parmesan. And wine. Only I didnt have wine this time – so it was beer.
    I know. But it was the best substitute on hand.

    What are the side effects of elderberry?
    Common side effects of Elderberry include:
    Nausea/vomiting (consumption of raw berries)
    Weakness.
    Dizziness.
    Numbness.
    Stupor.
    Elderberry: Side Effects, Dosages, Treatment, Interactions, Warnings
    https://www.rxlist.com › drugs-condition

  30. A group of Torres Strait Islanders have accused the Morrison government of breaching their human rights over its failure to cut emissions and build defences such as sea walls.

    After lodging an official complaint with the UN Human Rights Committee in May, they asked Mr Morrison to see for himself the effects of climate change on their low-lying homes.

    But Mr Morrison has declined, as has Emissions Reduction Minister Angus Taylor to make the journey to Australia’s north.

    Complainant Yessie Mosby said they were disappointed Mr Morrison would not visit.

    “Just like those battling bushfires on the mainland, our islands are on Australia’s climate frontline.”

    https://www.sbs.com.au/news/scott-morrison-shuns-torres-strait-islanders-worried-about-climate-change?cid=news:socialshare:twitter

  31. Nothing like a bit of anti-commie hysteria.

    No different to the “anti-commie hysteria” emanating from the political duopoly over many years when characterising the Greens. A small example….When Lee Rhiannon was in parliament, the same meme was given a regular trot.

  32. The European Investment Bank to phase out lending for all fossil fuel projects, including mainstream gas-fired power plants, the first time any major multilateral lender has curbed lending to natural gas projects because of climate change concerns https://t.co/DBPMBzIpma— Elouise Fowler (@ElouiseFowler) November 15, 2019

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