Happy trails

As the election campaign enters a hiatus, a look at where the leaders have been and why.

As the Easter/Anzac Day suspension of hostilities begins, it may be instructive to look at where the leaders have travelled during the campaign’s preliminary phase. Featured over the fold is a display listing the electorates that have been targeted, as best as I can tell, and a very brief summary of what they were up to while they were there. Certain entries are in italics where it is seems clear that the area was not targeted for its electoral sensitivity, such as Bill Shorten’s visit to Melbourne’s West Gate Tunnel project to get some good vision presenting him as a champion of infrastructure, which happened to place him in the unloseable Labor seat of Gellibrand. There are also a few entries that clearly targeted more than one electorate, in which case the margin for the secondary elected is listed on a second line.

What stands out is that Scott Morrison has hit a number of Labor-held seats, consistent with the optimistic impression the Liberals are presenting about their prospects – an assessment which, on this evidence, does not look to be fully shared by Labor. The only activity of Shorten’s that had Labor territory as its primary target was his visit to the Northern Territory on Thursday. Of equal interest to Shorten’s pattern of travel is the clarity of Labor’s early campaign theme of health policy, in contrast of the grab bag of messages promoted by Scott Morrison.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

720 comments on “Happy trails”

  1. The NT Labor Government had a scientific report in front of them declaring hydraulic fracturing safe.

    Talk of deals with the Federal Coalition is make believe.

  2. Guytaur, the fact that those high priests of the American pop left – sanders and Reich – use the term neoliberalism are two very good reasons to avoid the word in intellectual conversations altogether.

  3. “Firefox

    I came across a few persons of your ilk ”

    I’ve come across plenty of people like you too, mate. You’re nothing more than a right wing troll who will say anything and stoop to any low to try and attack the Greens. You’ll even use First Australians – who are fiercely opposed to fracking in the NT – to do so. You are an absolute disgrace.

  4. jenauthor @ #404 Saturday, April 20th, 2019 – 4:45 pm

    One thing I am seeing with this water buyback issue is that regardless of the outcome of any investigation, it is damaging to the govt during the election campaign.

    The more Morrison tries to shut it down with the usual “nothing to see here” the more the media will pursue it (and it is now in the mainstream and not just twitter etc.)

    Election campaigns magnify issues. And for once, it’s an issue that effects the Libs.

    Couldn’t have happened to a more deserving political party.

    If nothing else, the Streisand effect comes into play.

  5. AE

    You are wrong.
    Just wrong.

    That’s it. I go with the definition that is accepted not try and pretend that definition does not exist.

    This is why you have missed it.
    The Overon Window has already moved.
    Its the reason Labor is campaigning with its old fashioned values.
    Arguing to reduce inequality. Its what the whole campaign is about.
    Opposing the Neo Liberal Trickle Down Economics that just works for the top end of town.

  6. Ben Eltham
    ‏Verified account @beneltham
    2m2 minutes ago

    Why is the Dept of Agriculture putting out political media releases during caretaker mode

  7. Firefox @ #451 Saturday, April 20th, 2019 – 5:18 pm

    “Firefox

    I came across a few persons of your ilk ”

    I’ve come across plenty of people like you too, mate. You’re nothing more than a right wing troll who will say anything and stoop to any low to try and attack the Greens. You’ll even use First Australians – who are fiercely opposed to fracking in the NT – to do so. You are an absolute disgrace.

    Let’s not get too personal , Ff.

    Winning the policy debate is more than fulfilling. 🙂

  8. Is there audio/vision of Barnaby’s boast to the blokes in the pub?
    Maybe a text version. I remember it happening at the time but it would be a perfect background piece for #watergate.

    FWIW, the ACT tram made a big hole down the centre of Northbourne Avenue and many mature trees were lost but the result of the work will be great especially when the new trees mature. Love to see the light rail extend right past The Lodge and down to Tuggeranong.

  9. “Dear Firefly – were I a good burgher of Canberra I’d support a Labor-Greens coalition. The combination of the electoral system and the position of the Overton window in the ACT makes that the logical thing to do.

    Meanwhile, outside our bush capital the political environment is … somewhat different.”

    While I did grow up in Canberra, I haven’t lived there for many years. I live in NSW, so yes I know the political situation is much different here. However, I do live in the seat of Ballina which the Greens just retained with an increased majority. Unfortunately, Labor lost here because they picked a racist leader and gifted the election to the Coalition. But at least I still live in a Greens stronghold.

  10. guytaur @ #454 Saturday, April 20th, 2019 – 5:23 pm

    AE

    You are wrong.
    Just wrong.

    That’s it. I go with the definition that is accepted not try and pretend that definition does not exist.

    This is why you have missed it.
    The Overon Window has already moved.
    Its the reason Labor is campaigning with its old fashioned values.
    Arguing to reduce inequality. Its what the whole campaign is about.
    Opposing the Neo Liberal Trickle Down Economics that just works for the top end of town.

    Except the neo-lib shadow treasurer is still holding out on the starving and destitute newstart battlers.

  11. Watergate
    News 24 waits till Barnaby, Scott & Taylor have some sort of explanation before they decide to cover the story… pathetic as usual

  12. Richard Di Natale
    ‏@RichardDiNatale
    3h3 hours ago

    So Scott Morrison says Bill Shorten has ‘struck a deal with Greens’. Wish someone had told me!

  13. “Winning the policy debate is more than fulfilling. ”

    True 🙂

    I think I’ve made my point anyway. Time to stop feeding the troll, as they say.

  14. Firefox
    The use in the Greens vid is highly likely to be offensive.
    The image of a drilling rig on top of Uluru is a lie.
    The image of a drilling rig at the Sunset viewing site is a lie.
    Two certain truths and a truth worth testing.
    Calling me names won’t change that.
    What might change those statements is testing them with the traditional owners.
    Not much of an ask, really.

  15. Z
    There was some footage involving Moncton and others in which the broad outlines for funding for destroying action on Global Warming were laid out.

  16. Wonder if Insiders will cover #watergate. Patricia Karvelas is on the couch, and she’s an excellent commentator that usually covers all the issues of the week.

  17. There is a suggestion in the Roni Salt thread that, at the time of the buyback, the two farms owed the Cayman parent coy $80 million. That, presumably, was their accumulated losses. That raises the suspicion of course that the amount of the buyback was not determined by the value of the water sold but the amount needed to clear the debts of the farms. We shall see!

  18. ‘Confessions says:
    Saturday, April 20, 2019 at 5:20 pm

    Boerwar:

    I’m sure I read somewhere that was the reason for his travels. Perhaps it was fake news.’

    I believe the explanation was charity work.

  19. “So Scott Morrison says Bill Shorten has ‘struck a deal with Greens’. Wish someone had told me!”

    Hehe good on RDN for exposing Morrison’s spin. Apparently Labor has met with the Senate crossbench, including the Greens, to discuss what they may be able to do in the future. There’s absolutely nothing wrong with that. In fact, if it’s true, it’s good. That doesn’t mean they’ve done any deals though. The Liberals are just in full on election bs mode and will throw anything they can out there and hope it sticks.

  20. ab11
    There was talk of an interest bill that had to be paid off as well, with the net result was no profit and no taxes.
    All that work for nothing!

  21. g
    It wasn’t a white elephant for everyone. Developers who were in the know have made massive profits along the corridor.
    And there was even a politician who owned a property within easy walking distance of the rail.
    Nice little earner.
    What IS happening is that some of the older people around us are being forced out of their houses because they can no longer afford the rates.

  22. Josh Butler
    ‏Verified account @JoshButler
    2m2 minutes ago

    Tony Burke statement on #watergate – says Joyce and Morrison still have questions to answer

    “There has never been a purchase like this…This purchase stands out as an appalling value for money transaction from the perspective of the Australian taxpayer”

  23. Rex Douglas @ #457 Saturday, April 20th, 2019 – 5:24 pm

    Firefox @ #451 Saturday, April 20th, 2019 – 5:18 pm

    “Firefox

    I came across a few persons of your ilk ”

    I’ve come across plenty of people like you too, mate. You’re nothing more than a right wing troll who will say anything and stoop to any low to try and attack the Greens. You’ll even use First Australians – who are fiercely opposed to fracking in the NT – to do so. You are an absolute disgrace.

    Let’s not get too personal , Ff.

    Winning the policy debate is more than fulfilling. 🙂

    How would you know Rex? You have never had that experience.

  24. “Except the neo-lib shadow treasurer is still holding out on the starving and destitute newstart battlers”… Bowen is NOT Neoliberal, he is obviously a Keynesian. The ALP have promised a review of Newstart in Government:
    “”The current rate of Newstart is too low and is a barrier to people finding work and participating in society,” the updated document states, building on Labor’s commitment to hold a “root and branch” review into the adequacy of Newstart and other benefits.”
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-declares-newstart-too-low-in-draft-policy-platform-20181030-p50cve.html

    If you are asleep when the ALP is making announcements blame yourself, not the ALP.

    So, you need to refresh your knowledge of both Neoliberalism and of the ALP announcements…. Off you go.

  25. Zoidlord @ #477 Saturday, April 20th, 2019 – 5:36 pm

    Josh Butler
    ‏Verified account @JoshButler
    2m2 minutes ago

    Tony Burke statement on #watergate – says Joyce and Morrison still have questions to answer

    “There has never been a purchase like this…This purchase stands out as an appalling value for money transaction from the perspective of the Australian taxpayer”

    But not quite as appalling as the purchase of bunch of submarines that will do a few exercises every now and then…

  26. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/apr/20/us-companys-attempt-to-sue-australian-government-collapses

    “A US energy company’s controversial and unprecedented attempt to sue the Australian government has collapsed, leaving taxpayers with a $44,000 bill.”

    “The action was made possible by deeply controversial provisions contained in many trade deals – known as investor-state dispute settlement, or ISDS – that allow foreign corporations to sue a government for actions or policies that hurt them commercially.”

    “The bill is small but Patrick says it is further evidence that ISDS provisions leave Australia vulnerable.”

  27. Will Turnbull sniff a opportunity to become a hero of climate change action and declare it to be above partisan politics and support the labor policy as a way forward for future generations ?

    He could then, rightly or not, lay claim as the champion of SSM and action on climate change.

    What a legacy !

  28. From the above link to the ABC:

    ‘The deal was signed off by then-agriculture minister Barnaby Joyce, even though it had previously been rejected twice.’

    Oh oh. The why oh why list is growing like Topsy.

  29. “You should hear BW wax lyrical about what a white elephant the ACT light rail is. Typical Green excess”

    Wish they had it back when I was living there! Would have been very handy. The Green/Labor gov is really forward thinking and progressive. If only all the other Labor branches were as reasonable and worked as well with the Greens as ACT Labor does.

  30. EGW @ #480 Saturday, April 20th, 2019 – 5:37 pm

    Rex Douglas @ #457 Saturday, April 20th, 2019 – 5:24 pm

    Firefox @ #451 Saturday, April 20th, 2019 – 5:18 pm

    “Firefox

    I came across a few persons of your ilk ”

    I’ve come across plenty of people like you too, mate. You’re nothing more than a right wing troll who will say anything and stoop to any low to try and attack the Greens. You’ll even use First Australians – who are fiercely opposed to fracking in the NT – to do so. You are an absolute disgrace.

    Let’s not get too personal , Ff.

    Winning the policy debate is more than fulfilling. 🙂

    How would you know Rex? You have never had that experience.

    Have we met before… ?

  31. Brad Chilcott
    ‏ @bradchilcott
    5h5 hours ago

    Australians deserve a living wage. Something is wrong when a full-time job isn’t enough to make ends meet or you don’t have enough job security to feel confident about future income. #ChangeTheRules
    :large

  32. ‘The deal was signed off by then-agriculture minister Barnaby Joyce, even though it had previously been rejected twice.’

    Penny Wong and the Qld govt have questions to answer!

  33. Alpo @ #481 Saturday, April 20th, 2019 – 5:38 pm

    “Except the neo-lib shadow treasurer is still holding out on the starving and destitute newstart battlers”… Bowen is NOT Neoliberal, he is obviously a Keynesian. The ALP have promised a review of Newstart in Government:
    “”The current rate of Newstart is too low and is a barrier to people finding work and participating in society,” the updated document states, building on Labor’s commitment to hold a “root and branch” review into the adequacy of Newstart and other benefits.”
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-declares-newstart-too-low-in-draft-policy-platform-20181030-p50cve.html

    If you are asleep when the ALP is making announcements blame yourself, not the ALP.

    So, you need to refresh your knowledge of both Neoliberalism and of the ALP announcements…. Off you go.

    Give me a nudge when they actually increase newstart….

  34. “Like many I suspect, I’ve been waiting, a little too long now, for Firefox and Boerwar to tire of their circular argument.”

    Yep, it’s just going round in circles. Point taken. I’m off to watch the NRL anyway so I will take my leave and end it.

  35. bw

    I am not going to go over it again. I made my point so am moving on.

    Mostly because you decided to change your bluey score to 2pp.

    A fair thing to do in my opinion. 🙂

  36. N….all the matters listed in your post above resonate with me. They resonate too with the working people and the students that I meet campaigning. We need a pro-worker approach to work in general – to the market and to everything related to working life.

    We need a Labor government to commit itself to these objectives. We need a strong, successful and results-oriented Labor government. Voters willing, we will soon have one.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *