New South Wales election: the morning after

A quick and dirty review to an election result that proved surprisingly similar to the one in 2015.

I lack the energy to offer much in the way of a post-mortem at this late hour, except to say this was a remarkably status quo result. The Coalition dropped around 3% on the statewide primary vote, and Labor and the Greens about 1% apiece, so presumably the Coalition landed somewhere between 53% and 54% on the two-party vote. This is a couple of points better than the polls suggested, making this the first election result in a very long time that surprised on the up side for the Coalition (UPDATE: Thanks to NathanA in comments for jogging my memory about Tasmania last year). To a certain extent, that might be explained in terms of the Newspoll, with its Tuesday to Thursday field work period, only picking up part of a final week shift away from Labor – although it doesn’t explain an exit poll that was in line with the two-party result.

The Coalition went into the election needing to restrict its losses to six to retain its majority, and it is only clear that they have lost three. Two of these losses were to Shooters Fishers and Farmers, who had a rather spectacular night in picking up all three of their target seats, with Barwon and Murray joining their existing seat of Orange (I was suggesting the Nationals were more likely to retain Barwon quite late in my election night commentary, but they actually have a very handy lead there). Labor’s only clear gain is Coogee, which they now look to have in the bag, although by a lower than expected margin. It looks like they will fall short in East Hills and Penrith, but I will keep an eye on those all the same. Independent Mathew Dickerson has come close against the Nationals in Dubbo, but he is slightly behind and independents tend to lose ground in late counting.

The one seat on which I have crunched numbers is Lismore, which is likely but not certain to be lost by the Nationals. The question is whether it will be lost to Labor, who lead the notional two-party candidate, or the Greens, who had an unexpectedly good night despite the drop in their statewide vote, retaining their three existing seats of Balmain, Newtown and Ballina, and being well in the hunt in Lismore to boot. The two-party count has Labor with a lead of 1840, which looks too much for the Nationals to reel in – they should gain about 500 when pre-polls that have thus far been counted only on the primary vote are added, and the 2015 results suggest they will gain a further couple of hundred when absents and postals are added. However, Labor candidate Janelle Saffin holds a lead of just 24.85% to 23.90% over the Greens, and the race to stay ahead at the last exclusion could go either way. If the Greens win, they will certainly get enough preferences from Labor to defeat the Nationals UPDATE: Didn’t have my thinking cap on there – they may very well fail to get enough Labor preferences to do so.

The basic election night count for the Legislative Council accounts for 48.4% of enrolled voters, and only provides specific results for above-the-line votes for seven parties, when an “others” total that lumps together above-the-line votes for all other parties, and below-the-line voters for all and sundry. The only votes identified as informal at this point are those ballot papers that were left entirely blank – less obviously informal votes are presently in the “others” pile. Disregarding that complication, the current numbers show a clear seven quotas for the Coalition, six for Labor, two for the Greens, one apiece for One Nation and Shooters, leaving four to be accounted for.

The Coalition has enough of a surplus to be in the hunt for one of those; Labor probably doesn’t; One Nation look in the hunt for a second seat; the Christian Democrats and Animal Justice are both possibilities. The wild card is that three quotas under “others”, which would maybe a third of a quota’s worth of below-the-line votes for the seven main parties. My very late night feeling is that the Liberal Democrats (i.e. David Leyonhjelm), Australian Conservatives and Keep Sydney Open might all be in contention.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

687 comments on “New South Wales election: the morning after”

  1. Hahaha anyone who watched Brigid Glanville’s blanket ABC coverage of the state election will notice she mentioned Daley’s comment every.single.time she talked about the campaign.

  2. Regarding Daley’s comments regarding Chinese people with PhDs. Were they out of line? Yes. Were they bloody stupid? Yes. Mr Daley could have made his point about overseas buyers pricing local homeseekers out of the market without reference to their nationality, ethnicity or, for that matter, their acedemic qualifications. Does Labor have a mote in its collective eye? Yes.

    But should it have been allowed such prominence? Should we have been running around waving our arms screaming “Racist!!!” at the behest of a publication that uses race baiting in its business model as part of its active,y campaigning in support of a political party that uses race baiting in its business model?

    A bit of perspective is required. There’s a mote in Labor’s eye. There’s a beam, in fact a whole bloody timber yard, in the Coaltion’s.

  3. @mick Quinlivan
    https://www.pollbludger.net/2019/03/24/new-south-wales-election-morning/comment-page-7/#comment-3109576

    “Dirty tricks” that Labor was quite happy to use in 2016 when it fraudulently asserted that the Coalition was going to privatise medicare.

    The stupidity of that scare campaign was that the government was in fact putting to tender the replacement and modernisation of medicare cards to make them more like modern debit cards rather than relics of the 1980s. It was inarguably good policy.

  4. briefly @ #339 Sunday, March 24th, 2019 – 3:27 pm

    Pro-Remain MPs are drawing up plans for a vote on revoking article 50 as an emergency measure to stop Britain crashing out of the EU, after an online petition to cancel Brexit became the most popular ever.

    By Saturday night more than 4.6 million people had signed the petition on the parliament website, which states: “A People’s Vote may not happen – so vote now”.

    Public discussion about halting Brexit was considered politically toxic until just days ago. But that shifted last week as the prospect of crashing out drew closer and the number of petition signatures rose dramatically.

    A cross-party group of parliamentarians is now examining the possibility of cancelling the Brexit process, following concerns that Theresa May could end up backing Tory MPs who favour a no-deal departure if her own withdrawal agreement is rejected again. They are planning to table an amendment to Brexit legislation closer to the day of Britain’s scheduled departure from the EU.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/mar/23/remain-mps-plan-vote-revoke-article-50

    How many bots signed that petition ?

  5. Moderate….. re East hills labor has done better in prepolls. Then 2015 but is it enough? Re Liam’s I just don’t understand why the mess at a federal level did not impact on Kiama. I repeat this victory for the the lib government does the seeds of defeat

  6. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/mar/24/independents-kerryn-phelps-and-zali-steggall-buoyed-by-nsw-election-results

    The strong showing for independents and Greens on Sydney’s north shore in the New South Wales election, and the likely win for Labor in Coogee, have buoyed the two most high-profile independents contesting Sydney seats in the federal election.

    The independent MP for the federal seat of Wentworth, Kerryn Phelps, said the results showed the electorate was interested in strong female candidates and that climate change remained a major vote-changing issue.

  7. ‘The independent MP for the federal seat of Wentworth, Kerryn Phelps, said the results showed the electorate was interested in strong female candidates and that climate change remained a major vote-changing issue.’
    Didnt change the overall NSW result though.Labor were the only ones offering a climate change minister.

  8. mick Quinlivan says:
    Sunday, March 24, 2019 at 3:33 pm

    Dirty tricks… the national pamphlet labor will steal your retirement savings nothing was safe…
    Was this handed out in regional areas. If so? What were reactions

    ——-

    The dirty trick and political fraudulent is that the liberal party and national party are deceiving voters that are different entity , this is despite the liberal party have national party members on the liberal party website

  9. GP
    Your stuff is Canberra Bubble political insider stuff.
    Here is why the Coalition is doomed:
    1. three decades of deliberate destruction of any and all attempts at action on Global Warming combined with the arrival of Global Warming; dead fish, dead cattle, dead farms, dead rivers, dead kelp, dead fruit bats, dead wetlands, dead coral, dead oysters… dead, dead, dead.
    2. Five years of playing every trick in the book to suppress real wage growth combined with declining real wage growth for most Australian workers.
    3. The collapsing housing market care of free money and the utter failure to regulate the credit side of things.
    4. The treatment of women.
    5. The boats are perceived to have been stopped. What’s the problem?
    6. Three decades of racist dog whistling has a diminishing ROI – Where the Bloody Hell is Racism when Scott needs it. (Plus that field is now so bloody crowded!)
    7. Morrison bleeds cred every time he opens his used car salesman’s motor mouth. His lies on Islamophobia, his Geelong fast rail shonk… it never stops…
    8. Declining ROI from that old standby: militaristic jingoism. Hundreds of millions on a museum in France that most ordinary Australians will not visit. Half a billion on the War Memorial. $30 million on a ‘repeat of Cook’s trip around Australia’. Negotiations with the Taliban. Iraq nothing much more than a sour aftertaste in the mouth. Around 15,000 ISIS fighters on the loose. The Ben R-S three year investigation into alleged war crimes. Shonky sub contract. JSFs @ $100 million apiece that can’t shoot their cannon straight.
    9. A remarkable suite of jobs, second chances, white washes and so on and so forth, for the Coalition leaners, lurkers, schemers and chancers:

    Talk about lucky!

    Abbott: Lucky $80,000 (?)Rolex Watch
    Robert: Lucky $80,000 (?) Rolex Watch
    McFarlane: Lucky $80,000 (?)Rolex Watch
    Robert: Unlucky China Business Trip
    Ley: Unlucky Gold Coast Business Trips
    Sinodinos: Lucky Water Holdings Sergeant Schultz
    Joyce: Unlucky Motorbike Prang
    Joyce: Unlucky 4×4 Prang
    Joyce: Lucky Love Shack
    Joyce: Lucky Job for the Other Woman
    Joyce: Lucky Mongrel Country Buy
    Joyce: Lucky Farmer of the Year Cheque
    Joyce: Lucky Wedding Trip to India
    Joyce: Lucky Trip to Smith’s Wedding
    JBishop: Lucky Wedding Trip to India
    Gambaro: Lucky Wedding Trip to India
    Brandis: Lucky Wedding Trip to Smith’s Nuptials
    Hockey: Lucky Helloworld Buy
    Cormann: Lucky Free Family Trip
    Morrison: Unlucky Bus Plane Bus Plane Trip
    BBishop: Lucky Mirabella Wedding Trip
    BBishop: Unlucky Helicopter Trip
    Porter: Lucky Campaign Bus
    Keenan: Lucky Fifth Amendment
    Cash: Lucky Fifth Amendment
    Downer: Unlucky Fake Cheque
    JBishop: Lucky $50,000 Liberal Party Donation
    JBishop: Lucky Polo Trip
    Pyne: Lucky Christmas Trip

    Porter: Lucky Campaign Bus
    Mirabella: Lucky Sub Expert
    Sudmalis: Lucky UN Observer Stint
    Hockey: Lucky Childcare Leaner
    Robb: Lucky Post China FTA China Job
    Billson: Lucky Double Work
    Abbott: Lucky Indigenous Envoy
    Joyce: Lucky Drought Envoy
    Turnbull: Unlucky $1.75 Million Donation
    Abbott: Lucky Daughter’s Scholarship
    Wilson: Lucky Human Rights Commissioner Gig
    Parry: Unlucky S44 Heave Ho
    Porter: Lucky Pal Parry
    Parry: Lucky AAT Gig
    Briggs: Unlucky in Love
    Cash: Lucky in the Property Game
    Ley: Lucky Pilot Fees
    Robert: Unlucky Phone Luck
    Turnbull: Lucky Tax Haven
    Robert: Lucky Dip Share Gifts
    Porter: Lucky No Bells Ringing
    Frydenberg: Lucky No Bells Ringing
    O’Dwyer: Lucky No Bells Ringing
    Hockey: Lucky No Bells Ringing
    Brandis: Lucky London Gig
    Brandis: Lucky Diary No-show
    Robert: Lucky Home Internet
    Robert: Lucky Sunland Dip
    Robert: Lucky Office Resources
    Bushby: Lucky Chicago High Commissioner Gig.
    Hunt: Unlucky Elder Tirade
    Sukkar: Unlucky Sums
    Downer: Lucky Chevening Scholarship
    Dutton: Lucky Paladin Innocent Bystander
    Dutton: Lucky s44 non referral
    Porter: Lucky Baldwin Pal.
    Bob Baldwin: Lucky AAT Gig
    Joseph Francis: Lucky AAT Gig
    William Frost: Lucky AAT Gig
    De-Anne Kelly: Lucky AAT Gig
    Michael Sutherland: Lucky AAT Gig
    Tony Barry: Lucky AAT Gig
    John Griffin: Lucky AAT Gig
    Robert Clark: Lucky Helloworld Sponsorship
    Donna Petrovich: Lucky AAT Gig.
    Patricia Forsythe: Lucky NZ High Commissioner Gig.
    Steve Ciobo: Lucky Indonesia Trip.
    Perrotet: Lucky campaign donation from former law firm that gets government contracts.
    Nigel Hallett Lucky Dip
    Phil Edman Lucky Dip
    Brian Ellis Lucky Dip
    Josh Thomas Extremely Lucky $350,000 GBRMPA Gig.

  10. Well I doubt I would have been serious about saying ‘Howard believes in the Australian people’ seeing I was doing vodka shots in celebration when he lost his seat. It could have been the other nath. I went back and what I said was ‘Howard believes in the Australina’ people. Which you must have corrected. Perhaps I was picking up on a misstatement from Howard. IDK

  11. So Berejiklian isn’t in a same sex relationship?

    Damn. I was enjoying that she didn’t only succeed as a woman in a party that is anti-woman, but succeeded as a woman in a same sex relationship in a party where this is still severely frowned upon by many.

  12. The Coalition hates Medicare with a passion. The IPA have repeatedly directed them to privatize Medicare.

    The Coalition’s default setting is to white-ant Medicare, attrit Medicare, sell what it can of Medicare, sell hospitals, force doctors into corporate structures, sell the IT, etc, etc, etc.

    The scare campaign worked because it was real. The Coalition had a Medicare Privatization Unit all set up in the public service.

    They have been whinging and moaning about being caught out as lying hypocrites.

    The Coalition will go to the next election AGAIN pretending that they will safeguard Medicare. It is in their DNA to destroy it: always has been; is now, and always will be.

  13. Most people in the Coalition would love to see Abbott and Joyce rolled.
    Imagination being in Opposition with those two out-of-control jokers on the prowl!
    Sorry, sorry. They are NOT jokers. They are lolly leaners as envoys for Drought and Indigenous Peoples, not that Indigenous Peoples and Drought are the same concept. At all.

  14. ‘The IPA does not “direct” the Coalition to do anything.’
    Bwhahahaha.

    ‘The Coalition have been in power for 17 of the last 23 years, if Medicare was going to be privatised it would have happened by now. It has always been a transparent lie.’
    The Coalition’s gut instinct is to privatize Medicare. That is why they set up a Medicare Privatization Unit.
    BUT the Coalition has to pretend that it does not want to privatize Medicare.
    So what the Coalition is doing is privatizing as much of the system as can. It is wrecking Medicare a piece at a time. The name will survive but most of it will eventually be privatized.
    When it comes to Medicare, the Coalition is transparent.

  15. Does anyone really believe Daley was racist? Of course not it came from the libs dirty tricks draw? Rumor is they were going to release it in the last week? And guess what it swayed votes and slowed Labor’s momentum….. the libs must have sighed…. It worked thank heavens.. but just like the 2015 dirty tricks in east hills things like this only work once

  16. Geriatric Person

    “The IPA does not “direct” the Coalition to do anything.”

    BAAA HAAA HAAA!!!

    Only because they don’t control the senate – and when they did we got work choices and they got turfed.

    abbott proudly tried to deliver their list and the senate stopped him

    they weaken medicare and make it harder to claim payments whenever they can

  17. Lizzie @ 2.03pm

    Yes, gay people are now more likely to reveal their circumstances now than in previous times. That is THEIR choice

    But that is altogether a different matter than having their sexuality announced / discussed on a blog site. Whether the Premer is gay or not is not well known. It is by no means common knowledge.

    Ask yourself this question. Why would someone announce this about another person when it is of absolutely no relevance. What is to be gained? It is malicious. Anxiety about announcements like that are part of the reason gay people often choose not to come out.

    I suspect it is “Look at me! Look at me! I am an insider on the NSW political scene and I know secret info”. But that’s just my reading of it.

  18. SEAN PARNELL
    HEALTH EDITOR
    10:43AM MARCH 22, 2018
    The Turnbull government is actively considering the next stage of its program to replace deteriorating Medicare and aged care payment systems, the issue that fuelled Labor’s “Mediscare” campaign at the last election.

    The long-running program was prompted by warnings from bureaucrats that the existing systems were “old, overly complicated, expensive to operate and change and … in need of redevelopment”.

    However, the secrecy that surrounded the work last term, combined with a freeze on Medicare rebates and the dumped GP co-payment, prompted Labor’s claim that the Coalition wanted to privatise Medicare.

  19. The Coalition has silently applauded while its patrons have stolen billions in Super, in wage theft, in conditions theft and in unpaid overtime.
    The Coalition voted repeatedly for penalty rate cuts. It did absolutely nothing about the growing scandal of foreign rural labour explanation by labour hire companies and farmers. The service industry, including restaurants, is a byword for wage theft. The Coalition has never, ever argued for an increase in the minimum wage.
    While the Coalition loves boss leaners and crony capitalists, it hates the poor: enter Robocop, surely the biggest single item of inhuman bastardization ever put in place by an Australian Government.
    THE COALITION LOVES ALL THIS GUTTING OF WAGES AND THE POOR BECAUSE IT WANTS PROFIT TO TAKE THE LOT AND WAGES TO TAKE NOTHING.

  20. Re Medicare, from the IPA’s wish list:

    “20. Means-test Medicare”

    This isn’t Coalition policy but it is what their big backers and bankrollers want. It would privatise medical insurance for most of the population, reducing our Medicare to something like its US namesake. Remember that the Fraser Government dismantled the original Medibank in stages between 1976 and 1981. Remember also Coalition parties vehemently opposed the establishment of Medicare.

    Make no mistake, the Coalition want to dismantle Medicare and will do so as soon as the political environment allows it.

  21. C@t 2.23pm

    How the fuck would you know how old I am. You must be so young to have gotten the memo.

    But your malice shows an inability to respect others. Nothing new.

  22. ‘mick Quinlivan says:
    Sunday, March 24, 2019 at 3:59 pm

    Does anyone really believe Daley was racist?’

    What Daley said was racist.
    How that was used by the Government during an election campaign is a separate issue.

  23. What does amuse me is the way that the Coalition and its hacks continue to express chagrin and emotion about their core wish to destroy Medicare.
    But they are not very good at faking sincerity on this matter.
    It is a bit like Morrison suddenly pretending to love muslims and Hunt pretending that Morrison has a soft, caring, human heart.

  24. According to one of my friends on Facebook, this website was created by her daughter who works at University of Melbourne.

    This webpage offers comprehensive, interactive plots, factsheets and data download options for atmospheric surface concentrations of 43 greenhouse gases and 3 equivalent gas time series from 2000 years ago to the year 2500.

    The compilation of observational data merges multiple data sources whilst maintaining latitudinal and seasonal information. Clearly, without the multi-decadal efforts by the flask and insitu measurements by the NOAA and the AGAGE networks, this compilation would not have been possible. Those measurement networks are the backbone of our knowledge on recent greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere – in conjunction with centuries of ice core and firn data.

    http://greenhousegases.science.unimelb.edu.au/#!/view

  25. ‘Steve777 says:
    Sunday, March 24, 2019 at 4:06 pm

    Re Medicare, from the IPA’s wish list:

    “20. Means-test Medicare”’

    Something like: only former Liberals and Nationals with appointments to the AAT, GBRMPA, Envoys and Ambassadors will be eligible.

  26. Kerryn Phelps paraphrased by Steve Davis:
    “‘The independent MP for the federal seat of Wentworth, Kerryn Phelps, said the results showed the electorate was interested in strong female candidates and that climate change remained a major vote-changing issue.”

    I haven’t looked at the result closely enough to comment on the electorate’s interest in strong female candidates. But no one who regards Global Warming as a major problem requiring urgent action would vote for the Coalition. The election result demonstrates that the issue had no impact at state level, except possibly in particular seats.

  27. nath

    Peter Kemp got this right on the night.
    .
    .
    “Shorter Turnbull: I can’t wait to destabilise Costello and take over.”

  28. Well, having read all of today’s posts now I can say that I stand with Rex and Generc Person in condemning C@t for her malice towards the Premier. And now we find that her evidence and story was totally false, based on C@t’s ignorance that a woman on the stage whose density she did not know, was the Premier’s partner and so now the Premier has “come out”.

    And her only other evidence is that “someone told her they thought Glady’s was gay.

    Then Confessions, the first to recognise C@t’s original post (“that’s interesting. I didn’t know that” now is disappointed it was not true.

    This whole discussion is an utter disgrace. What is most disgraceful is that PBers except we three stayed silent. Are you all so loyal to C@g, or scared of her, to the extent you remain silent when a malicious know-it-all who actually knew nothing brazenly breaches another’s privacy here, about a matter that has hurt so many people over the years.

    It is a disgrace.

  29. steve davis @ #379 Sunday, March 24th, 2019 – 4:05 pm

    SEAN PARNELL
    HEALTH EDITOR
    10:43AM MARCH 22, 2018
    The Turnbull government is actively considering the next stage of its program to replace deteriorating Medicare and aged care payment systems, the issue that fuelled Labor’s “Mediscare” campaign at the last election.

    The long-running program was prompted by warnings from bureaucrats that the existing systems were “old, overly complicated, expensive to operate and change and … in need of redevelopment”.

    However, the secrecy that surrounded the work last term, combined with a freeze on Medicare rebates and the dumped GP co-payment, prompted Labor’s claim that the Coalition wanted to privatise Medicare.

    The point raised about Medicare was specifically about replacing the processing systems. So a bid for $ really. That could include outsourcing of the processing, but not Medicare itself.
    However there is no doubt the Libs will dismantle Medicare if they think they can get away with it.

  30. Boerwar @ #363 Sunday, March 24th, 2019 – 3:46 pm

    GP
    Your stuff is Canberra Bubble political insider stuff.
    Here is why the Coalition is doomed:
    1. three decades of deliberate destruction of any and all attempts at action on Global Warming combined with the arrival of Global Warming; dead fish, dead cattle, dead farms, dead rivers, dead kelp, dead fruit bats, dead wetlands, dead coral, dead oysters… dead, dead, dead.
    2. Five years of playing every trick in the book to suppress real wage growth combined with declining real wage growth for most Australian workers.
    3. The collapsing housing market care of free money and the utter failure to regulate the credit side of things.
    4. The treatment of women.
    5. The boats are perceived to have been stopped. What’s the problem?
    6. Three decades of racist dog whistling has a diminishing ROI – Where the Bloody Hell is Racism when Scott needs it. (Plus that field is now so bloody crowded!)
    7. Morrison bleeds cred every time he opens his used car salesman’s motor mouth. His lies on Islamophobia, his Geelong fast rail shonk… it never stops…
    8. Declining ROI from that old standby: militaristic jingoism. Hundreds of millions on a museum in France that most ordinary Australians will not visit. Half a billion on the War Memorial. $30 million on a ‘repeat of Cook’s trip around Australia’. Negotiations with the Taliban. Iraq nothing much more than a sour aftertaste in the mouth. Around 15,000 ISIS fighters on the loose. The Ben R-S three year investigation into alleged war crimes. Shonky sub contract. JSFs @ $100 million apiece that can’t shoot their cannon straight.
    9. A remarkable suite of jobs, second chances, white washes and so on and so forth, for the Coalition leaners, lurkers, schemers and chancers:

    Talk about lucky!

    Abbott: Lucky $80,000 (?)Rolex Watch
    Robert: Lucky $80,000 (?) Rolex Watch
    McFarlane: Lucky $80,000 (?)Rolex Watch
    Robert: Unlucky China Business Trip
    Ley: Unlucky Gold Coast Business Trips
    Sinodinos: Lucky Water Holdings Sergeant Schultz
    Joyce: Unlucky Motorbike Prang
    Joyce: Unlucky 4×4 Prang
    Joyce: Lucky Love Shack
    Joyce: Lucky Job for the Other Woman
    Joyce: Lucky Mongrel Country Buy
    Joyce: Lucky Farmer of the Year Cheque
    Joyce: Lucky Wedding Trip to India
    Joyce: Lucky Trip to Smith’s Wedding
    JBishop: Lucky Wedding Trip to India
    Gambaro: Lucky Wedding Trip to India
    Brandis: Lucky Wedding Trip to Smith’s Nuptials
    Hockey: Lucky Helloworld Buy
    Cormann: Lucky Free Family Trip
    Morrison: Unlucky Bus Plane Bus Plane Trip
    BBishop: Lucky Mirabella Wedding Trip
    BBishop: Unlucky Helicopter Trip
    Porter: Lucky Campaign Bus
    Keenan: Lucky Fifth Amendment
    Cash: Lucky Fifth Amendment
    Downer: Unlucky Fake Cheque
    JBishop: Lucky $50,000 Liberal Party Donation
    JBishop: Lucky Polo Trip
    Pyne: Lucky Christmas Trip

    Porter: Lucky Campaign Bus
    Mirabella: Lucky Sub Expert
    Sudmalis: Lucky UN Observer Stint
    Hockey: Lucky Childcare Leaner
    Robb: Lucky Post China FTA China Job
    Billson: Lucky Double Work
    Abbott: Lucky Indigenous Envoy
    Joyce: Lucky Drought Envoy
    Turnbull: Unlucky $1.75 Million Donation
    Abbott: Lucky Daughter’s Scholarship
    Wilson: Lucky Human Rights Commissioner Gig
    Parry: Unlucky S44 Heave Ho
    Porter: Lucky Pal Parry
    Parry: Lucky AAT Gig
    Briggs: Unlucky in Love
    Cash: Lucky in the Property Game
    Ley: Lucky Pilot Fees
    Robert: Unlucky Phone Luck
    Turnbull: Lucky Tax Haven
    Robert: Lucky Dip Share Gifts
    Porter: Lucky No Bells Ringing
    Frydenberg: Lucky No Bells Ringing
    O’Dwyer: Lucky No Bells Ringing
    Hockey: Lucky No Bells Ringing
    Brandis: Lucky London Gig
    Brandis: Lucky Diary No-show
    Robert: Lucky Home Internet
    Robert: Lucky Sunland Dip
    Robert: Lucky Office Resources
    Bushby: Lucky Chicago High Commissioner Gig.
    Hunt: Unlucky Elder Tirade
    Sukkar: Unlucky Sums
    Downer: Lucky Chevening Scholarship
    Dutton: Lucky Paladin Innocent Bystander
    Dutton: Lucky s44 non referral
    Porter: Lucky Baldwin Pal.
    Bob Baldwin: Lucky AAT Gig
    Joseph Francis: Lucky AAT Gig
    William Frost: Lucky AAT Gig
    De-Anne Kelly: Lucky AAT Gig
    Michael Sutherland: Lucky AAT Gig
    Tony Barry: Lucky AAT Gig
    John Griffin: Lucky AAT Gig
    Robert Clark: Lucky Helloworld Sponsorship
    Donna Petrovich: Lucky AAT Gig.
    Patricia Forsythe: Lucky NZ High Commissioner Gig.
    Steve Ciobo: Lucky Indonesia Trip.
    Perrotet: Lucky campaign donation from former law firm that gets government contracts.
    Nigel Hallett Lucky Dip
    Phil Edman Lucky Dip
    Brian Ellis Lucky Dip
    Josh Thomas Extremely Lucky $350,000 GBRMPA Gig.

    You forgot NZ massacre => kills dog-whistle election 🙁 😀

  31. ‘byron

    The point raised about Medicare was specifically about replacing the processing systems. So a bid for $ really. That could include outsourcing of the processing, but not Medicare itself.’

    As noted above, they will sell Medicare brick by brick by brick until only the name is left.
    Effin hypocrites.

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