YouGov Galaxy: 54-46 to Labor in Western Australia

Nearly eighteen months after its election, the McGowan government records a strong result in its first published poll.

The first Western Australian state poll since Labor’s election win in March 2017 comes from YouGov Galaxy, courtesy of the Sunday Times, and it credits Labor with a 54-46 lead on two-party preferred, compared with 55.5-44.5 at the election. The primary votes are Labor 40% (compared with 42.2% at the election), Liberal 32% (31.2%), Nationals 6% (5.4%), Greens 11% (8.9%), One Nation 5% (4.9%). Presumably there were other questions featured in the poll, but that’s all we have for now. The sample for the poll was 800; I presume it was conducted on Wednesday and Thursday.

UPDATE: This turns out to have been part of the same poll from a week ago which found federal voting intention in Western Australia at 51-49 in favour of the Coalition. As such, the field work dates were August 2 and 3, which were the Thursday and Friday of last week.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

7 comments on “YouGov Galaxy: 54-46 to Labor in Western Australia”

  1. It is surprising to me that this is the first poll since the election held last year.

    The results are encouraging.

  2. Oh Dear……this has got to be bad news for the Govt. This got polled about the same time the PM was here for some Lib conference?? They really need to keep him under a rock.

  3. Turnbull’s time in Perth almost went unnoticed by many. Not disliked, not liked, but came to cheer the Libs up with ‘We have fixed the GST’ and money still on the table for the Freo roadworks. Even Spagnolo trying to put his best spin on in the Sunday Times with, kind of, “both leaders have something to worry about” line for Shorten and Turnbull, is the best he could manage.
    At the moment the Libs are looking at two terms out of office, but, as we know, nothing is set in concrete when it comes to long-lived governments. The lesson from Queensland still is very obvious in this regard.
    I don’t think the GST ‘fix’ has resonated that much the the punters. I think the impact on voting intentions is over-blown as far as a lift for the Libs is concerned. Despite all the ‘green shoots’ of a recovery line from the likes of the West, the economy for most in WA (well in Perth anyway) is still very much go-slow.

  4. 51% in favour of the Coalition federally in WA…. and 54% in favour of the ALP at the state level?

    Interesting, dramatic contrast…..

  5. imacca: “They really need to keep him under a rock.”….

    But, but he is the bestest and mostest preferredest PM…. isn’t he?…. Or perhaps not really?

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