The Sunday Mail today carries a poll of state voting intention in Queensland, which records Labor with a tenuous 51-49 lead on two-party preferred that depends heavily on a rather speculative projection of the flow of preferences. This is down from 52-48 at the last such poll three months ago. On the primary vote, Labor is down a point to 35%, the Liberal National Party is up two to 36% and One Nation is down two to 15%, with no result provided for the Greens (UPDATE: Steady on 7%). On personal ratings, Annastacia Palaszczuk has more than lost a spike she enjoyed in the previous poll, presumably as a result of Cyclone Debbie – her approval over three polls has progressed from 41% to 47% to 39%, while her disapproval has gone from 37% to 35% to 44%. Tim Nicholls is steady on 27% approval and down four on disapproval to 41%, and his deficit on preferred premier has narrowed from 48-28 to 42-30. The poll was conducted Wednesday and Thursday from a sample of 900.
Both major parties continue to perform poorly on the primary vote in Queensland state politics, leaving a looming election dependent on the mystery factor of minor party preferences.