Another fortnight (or so), another 53-47 to Labor result from Newspoll. This time out the primary votes are Coalition 36% (up one), Labor 37% (up one), Greens 9% (down one) and One Nation 9% (down two). Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings are slightly improved, with approval up two to 34% and disapproval down two to 54%, and his lead as preferred prime minister out from 41-33 to 43-32, while Bill Shorten is unchanged at 33% approval and 53% disapproval.
UPDATE: Paywalled Australian report here. Kevin Bonham: “Same 2PP five #Newspolls in a row, a new all-time record. #auspol”.
I like last week also, and I think I’m going to like this week.
This just in from AP, drip, drip, drip….
BREAKING: Jared Kushner releases statement detailing 4 contacts with Russians during campaign, transition; denies collusion.
And a nice bit of photoshopping here captures the Trumpocracy
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DFe0Z_5VYAEwtY4?format=jpg&name=large
“but out in the real world people are hurting. And it is the Coalition that is intent on hurting them”.
I agree, Boerwar, in that wages are low and that harms the economy. People paid adequately and well, spend a little, save a little, and the economy goes round. If paid poorly, it’s tight and restricts everything.
Fixing that looks very hard, to be fair to both sides of politics.
In that scenario though cutting penalties and harsh measures on welfare recipients is unkind. There’s a time and place for measures like that.
Question – checked with her tax agent, never happened before. But the amount is exact – and he confirmed it for her. As she is a Sole Trader they compare the business and personal tax records. Totally sucks.
Prettyone, it sounds like you get it. Vote ALP.
Boer
As I said earlier, I know the Victorian and NSW water allocation systems work differently, which is why NSW does cotton and rice and we don’t. Both cotton and rice are (generally) part of the general allocation, which has lower security.
(Most of what I know comes from speaking directly to water experts, so I often can’t find appropriate links. However, that Australian rice uses less water is something I’ve sort of known before..)
Walter,
Well if you ever need money, borrow it from the business. If they tell you off you can say “well you did it”.
PO
The Coalition has just ‘solved’ the poverty problem.
Tudge has just defined the poor out of existence. They have never had it so good. And it is all their fault because the poor have dysfunctional families. The sheer bastardry of this is unforgiveable, incidentally. $257 is your base weekly pay for the dole. Sydney rents for a bedsit starts at around $350 a week. Spot the destitution trap.
And, just in case the destitute are mistaken about being unhappy with their endless lot, Porter is sooling Robocop onto them.
Morrison has just explained to them that confidence ‘around the kitchen table’ is excellent.
Morrison was lying, of course. What has happened is that business and consumer confidence graphs have gone their separate ways.
The Big End of Town is happy.
The poor are suffering and are not happy.
The Coalition is not only actively taking steps to make the poor poorer, it is taking steps to make sure there are more poor as well.
One other thing. The Coalition is bragging like buggery about all the jobs they are generating.
After four years they have 750,000 unemployed and 1,250,000 underemployed and who knows how many given up altogether.
Shorten is right to take the lead on all raising the banner against all this bastardry and failure by the Bosses’ handmaidens in the Coalition.
BW,
And Shorten is correct in targetting rorts like neg gearing and trusts, which are fiddles that distort the system.
Q
Amen, brother.
Question
Yeah Like that idea
I count five. I might have thought this was subconscious recognition of the obvious category error that is Joe Hildebrand, if you hadn’t gone on to declare him the worst of the lot. Here he is on the subject of Yassmin Abdel-Magied:
Walter, hopefully an accountant is out there that can answer you properly. I’m not sure how they expect you to reconcile cross payments?
… but it is sooo much harder to forgive a sin when there was none to start with.
Z
I trust you are watching Four Corners right now…?
William, you clearly are a closer follower of Mr Hildebrand than I am, so I defer to your superior knowledge.
On another matter, Jared Kushner’s statement from the dock has him denying all
http://edition.cnn.com/2017/07/24/politics/jared-kushner-statement-russia-2016-election/index.html
Sprocket, I wasn’t aware that he’d said that specifically until a few minutes ago. I just knew from experience that a few seconds of Googling would turn up an opinion from him on the Yassmin Abdel Magied matter that would never, ever have been expressed by Kenny, Panahi, Dean or Devine.
boerwar @ #657 Monday, July 24, 2017 at 8:21 pm
If that bit were true, then why is Gina Rinehart a billionaire?
Confessions
Just read your post as I was cooking dinner.
There is huge potential for soil sequestration of carbon, but, as has already been noted here, it is perverse to give farmers credit for this unless he have a total ecosystem nanagement plan in place. Yoy can’t deliver this while
still clearing scrub in Qld. It needs a lot more research and a proper framework.
Looking at Four Corners…
…Where the hell is Joyce who is the responsible Minister?
Posting from mobile. Typos.
Googling Yasmin and Joe Hildebrand shows the length and breadth of the syndication of the Murdoch opinionsitas.
From the news.com.au to the Ballina Advocate, the Gympie Times and I’m sure plenty more in the stable repeating Joe’s ‘devil’s advocacy’. Sadly, I don’t want to read the comments on each one, as one can only imagine the welling up support for Joe’s defence.
Creating the news, pouring fuel on the fire, setting outrage meters pinging nationwide…
I did wonder about Joe Hildebrand being lumped in with those others. I don’t see much of him but he was a colleague of mine very early on, and I would never have guessed he would evolve into a hard-right type. He was a very smart, restless and somewhat attention-seeking type with utter disdain for authority.
The stuff on Four Corners is fairly horrendous.
Bottom line should be that if irrigators demonstrate a pattern of subverting the system, (aka stealing millions of dollars from the public) their allocations should be withdrawn entirely.
Instead they are being actively protected by the politicians.
Wooooooow! Gavin Hanlon!
Alias
I think he is still the person you remember but has gone “a hard-right type” to be “click bait” and that as Willie Sutton explained about why he robbed banks “I rob banks because that’s where the money is,”. He will know all the “outrage buttons” to push.
I’m in a spirit of bipartisanism. I strongly dislike both politicians on QANDA tonight and wont be watching.
My ears pricked up during the 4 corners report when I heard the name Corrigan of the waterfront dispute fame.
Apparently one of the big players involved. hmmmm interesting.
And yes Corrigan is a prick. !!!!
Thinking about the disagreement with the UN on who said what, where our government agreed to take certain refugees , and others would go to the US.
For a government that paid $50 million to the Cambodian government for effectively nothing, can you imagine how long they would have considered a deal with the USA on the proviso that some refugees with family ties settle here.
What they didn’t want was did the details of the deal to be revealed.
Trog:
Thank you for your response. I myself am highly suspicious of carbon sequestration as it is always mentioned outside of market mechanisms to reduce our GHGEs.
Just saw the Industry Super ad about putting in the banks in charge of ‘your super’ (the foxes in charge of the henhouse).
So if you’ve got a Google App Engine app that hasn’t been updated in 5+ years and you need to get it to build/deploy using the current GAE toolset…does anyone know what the shortest path is to doing that?
I’d be interested to see a discussion here about the very real possibility of an election later next year.
cud chewer @ #682 Tuesday, July 25, 2017 at 12:24 am
Well it’s the earliest they can have one and stay together with the half Senate elections.
I think April/May 2019 is the latest they can hold out to, otherwise they will have to a half Senate election.
So that’s your most probable window.
greensborough growler @ #591 Monday, July 24, 2017 at 6:51 pm
Being held to account for decades of illegal behaviour is not having “hate and bigotry” directed against you.
Being called out for discriminating against minority groups is not having “hate and bigotry” directed against you.
Being called out for advocating for the continued oppression of women and minority groups is not having “hate and bigotry” directed against you.
Being held to account for gross ethical failures over centuries when you’ve presented yourself as a bastion of moral and ethical values is not having “hate and bigotry” directed against you.
Giving women and minority groups the same rights that white men have always had is not having “hate and bigotry” directed against you.
walter e plinge @ #638 Monday, July 24, 2017 at 7:58 pm
I’m a CPA and I would generally say not, but it depends on the circumstances. Is your wife’s business a separate legal entity or does she run it as a sole trader/partnership?
walter e plinge @ #653 Monday, July 24, 2017 at 8:13 pm
Yep, that’d do it. Your wife’s business is not a separate legal entity, therefore there is no difference in tax law between your wife’s personal affairs and her business affairs.
barney in go dau @ #683 Tuesday, July 25, 2017 at 12:40 am
They are stupid and reckless enough to manufacture a double dissolution trigger and then pull it:
1. Brian Trumble’s entire history is one of crash or crash through; or
2. Abbot’s entire political career has been one of the wreckers, give him the job or he’ll trash the joint.
Grimace
But they should not have taken it as it was not due
Thanks for your answer
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jul/24/labour-at-loggerheads-over-staying-in-customs-union-post-brexit
Brexit is eating away at Labour too.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/jul/24/alexis-tsipras-the-worst-is-clearly-behind-us
Attempting to set the record straight, Tsipras says that while the Syriza government’s original strategy was one of collision politics – “in line with our mandate” – quitting the single currency, and by extension the EU, was never in question, even in the white heat of crisis when Athens was days away from default.
“Leave Europe and go where … to another galaxy?” he quips. “Greece is an integral part of Europe. Without it, what would Europe look like? It would lose an important part of its history and its heritage.” Besides, Grexit would have amounted to acceptance of the “punishment plan” concocted by Schäuble that foresaw Athens taking “time out” of the bloc.
I went to a concert by kd lang tonite. Beautiful. She is a very great artist. Just unforgettable.
Re the possibility of an early election approx. 10 weeks ago one N.Savva on insiders suggest that we would be going to an election by sept.next year.
Hi all, back in Qatar for the day/night before I head off to the Emerald Isle for the next week for fun and frivolity with friends (will include copious amounts of pork and whisky – you can keep the Guinness stuff).
Still all calm on the local front, interesting conversation with a Qatar Petroleum exec on board the flight back this morning, taken with the inherent bias that may be there but tempered by my own opinion that the fracas has all been of the UAE’s making, he was saying that the issue underlying this is UAE dislikes the price they pay for the gas which comes from Qatar (80% of their supply) and this was hoped to cause such economic instability that Qatar would lower the price (already cheaper than anywhere else in the world).
Qatar however, have royally put up the middle digit…
An update re N.Savva an early april 1st to the 7th article in the Oz.
she suggest when the election might be held.
Briefly
Tuesday, July 25, 2017 at 2:03 am
I went to a concert by kd lang tonite. Beautiful. She is a very great artist. Just unforgettable.
************************************************************************
Very, very jealous of you…..
Well her Ladyship and HRH have arrived the estate on the Sunshine Coast, tired but happy.
It appears the paid Pretorian Guards have not informed us of what appears an attempt to raid the said estate by ne’re-do-wells. There shall be words.
First survey shows nothing stolen.
Over the next few days the Gold Coast estate will require survey. Please give way to any sedan chairs seen perambulating the Bruce Highway…
“Monica Lynagh
Monday, July 24, 2017 at 7:37 pm
fwiw, I rarely comment on Pollbludger these days, as it’s become just awful in terms of people insulting other posters.
I find it hard to credit that with Labor on 53.4 on Bludgertrack and the
appalling performance of the Coalition, e.g., today Morrison saying inequality is getting better despite all evidence to the contrary, that some folk here just want to pick fights with each other.”
Hear!! Hear!!
I don’t comment very often and these continual battles between the same protagonists, whatever it’s about is truly mind numbingly boring . Everyone that comments on here makes valid points, sometimes, so peoples can we all play nicely together?
Why would a government 3% away from winning go to an early election? Doing the right thing has not been a Liberal party strong point. Losing Government brings to an end to their ability to raid the treasury. Not going to happen.
“Whatever it’s about is truly mind numbingly boring .”
And sometimes is gets very difficult to scroll over it all.
New thread.