Galaxy: 52-48 to Labor in Queensland

Galaxy records a big boost for Annastacia Palaszczuk’s personal ratings, and a partial return to normality on voting intention as One Nation loses some of its shine.

The first Queensland state poll in two-and-a-half months finds One Nation going off the boil after its spectacular showing in the previous poll, with most of the dividend going to Labor. Conducted by Galaxy for the Courier-Mail, the poll finds Labor up five points to 36% and the Liberal National Party up one to 34%, with One Nation down six to 17% and the Greens down one to 7%. The drop in support for One Nation renders the two-party preferred reading slightly more meaningful than it was last time – it’s at 52-48 in Labor’s favour, compared with 51-49.

The story on leadership ratings is even better for Labor, with Annastacia Palaszczuk up six on approval to 47% and down two on disapproval to 35%, while Tim Nicholls hold steady at an anaemic 27% approval while his disapproval rises six to 45%. The poll also finds Palaszczuk rated as having done a good or very good job in response to Cyclone Debbie by 76%, which is the only information the online version of the Courier-Mail report (paywalled) provides. Field work dates and sample sizes aren’t provided, but past form suggests it was conducted on Wednesday and Thursday from a sample of 800 to 900.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

13 comments on “Galaxy: 52-48 to Labor in Queensland”

  1. Thank goodness there has been time for Queenslanders to come to their senses after the initial rush of blood to the head in response to the Pauline and James show.

  2. The Courier Mail is doing everything it can to derail the current Queensland Government. Everything is a scandal or crisis and even small issues are being ramped up. The head arse kicker is journo Steve Wardell. He is on a mission and the CM is enabling him as much as it can. This will continue right up to the election. This poll is therefore good to see.

    It should be remembered that Anna Bligh received a huge boost after Cyclone Yassi but that did not last. Her government had plenty of real baggage so I think there is a real chance Anna P. may not suffer the same fate. However, the CM will do everything it can to get a LNP government next term.


  3. The Government’s tongue-lashing of Westpac – slavishly echoed as usual by the Murdochcracy – lays bare the fundamental hypocrisy of Australian neoliberalism for all the world to see.
    Having spent decades arguing that people in poverty needed to be further stigmatised, that public services (healthcare, education, infrastructure etc.) needed to be cut to the bone and/or privatised, that Government Is Bad and the Market Is God, what are they doing now?
    After finding out that no private-sector bank will touch an economically non-viable coalmine, they’re lashing out at it for being “anti-Australian” and saying they’ll use public money to back it instead!
    So much for their erstwhile worship of the gilded (solid gold’s way, WAY too expensive!) calf that is Free Market Fundamentalism.


    QUEENSLANDERS would purge at least seven Federal Coalition MPs from office – including senior Cabinet minister Peter Dutton – to deliver Bill Shorten a decisive and devastating election win, a shock new poll reveals.

    For the first time since the 2016 election, the Opposition has lifted its primary vote in Queensland by winning back disaffected voters who turned to Pauline Hanson’s One Nation and the Greens.

    A Galaxy poll taken exclusively for The Courier-Mail on April 26 and 27 – just days after Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull announced a crackdown on overseas workers – reveals the Coalition’s primary vote has failed to shift from 35 per cent, the same level as February, and remains significantly down from 43 per cent after last year’s election.

    Mr Turnbull, who will be in Townsville today for a Battle of the Coral Sea memorial, will be hoping Queenslanders need more time to digest his tough immigration reforms and have not stopped listening to his Government.

    Labor’s primary vote has increased to 33 per cent, the highest it has been since the election, when it won just 31 per cent of the vote. Since the election, Mr Shorten has embedded himself in Queensland when Parliament has risen, spending time in marginal, regional seats.

    One Nation’s primary vote has slipped to 15 per cent, from its February highs of 18 per cent, but its vote is still significantly higher than the 5.5 per cent it received at the last election.

    If an election were held today, 2016 preferences pit the Coalition and Labor neck-and-neck at 50 per cent on a two-party preferred basis.

  5. Paul Williams has tipped Labor to call a snap election for July 15, he suggests Labor will go early rather then wait till October or Novemeber later in the year. That has a huge risk though because Campbell Newman suffered a back lash calling a early election in 2015. He suggests LNP are not travelling well in Brisbane where they are more concerned about holding their Brisbane seats rather gaining Labor’s. He also added Greens have completely fallen of the map and have no chance winning seats in inner city seats in Brisbane.

  6. Campbell went straight at the start of the year and smack bang in the middle of the summer school holidays. There was a backlash but I don’t particularly think it was much of the reason for his stunning defeat at the ballot box.

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