Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

The latest Newspoll doesn’t quite replicate the Coalition’s relatively encouraging result a fortnight ago.

NOTE: Apologies for the ongoing situation with the formatting in comments. This is not intentional and the former state of affairs will be restored, hopefully soon.

The latest Newspoll result from The Australian moves a point back to Labor after an outlier result a fortnight ago, leaving its two-party preferred lead at 53-47. Both major parties are on 36% of the primary vote, with the Coalition down a point and Labor up one, and both One Nation and the Greens are on 10%, with the former steady and the latter up one. Still waiting on approval ratings, but Malcolm Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister has narrowed from 43-29 to 41-32. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1708.

UPDATE: Malcolm Turnbull is steady on approval at 30% and up two on disapproval to 59%; Bill Shorten is up three on approval to 32% and down three on disapproval to 54%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

493 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

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  1. A proper inquiry into the whole legal profession scam would be an even better idea, but only if non-lawyers conducted it.

  2. 4 Corners certainly did Pauline Hanson no favours – all out of the mouths of her former supporters. The former treasurer will probably be getting a few please explain queries and sounds like he has the answers.

    Plus news that Hanson has been dealing with the LNP over the State election. And misled her supporters in WA about preference deal with the Liberals. And revealed that Micaelia Cash and Mattias Cormann were picking up Hanson and Ashby for a secret meeting in Perth. And Hanson didn’t tell the truth about Cullerton.

    Looking forward to the “we tell the truth” PHON getting a bit more necessary publicity.

  3. Sky News Australia
    8 mins ·
    Former Prime Minister Tony Abbott says the government needs to give the public something to hope for and give the Coalition something to fight for. MORE http://bit.ly/2nM6SCH

    Abbott doing his best Rudd impersonation. Love that the govt are a divided rabble.

  4. Back in the day, Labor ran a wage subsidy scheme to support trainee workers, including young people, the long term unemployed, workers with disabilities and indigenous job seekers.

    There were other programs aimed at easing the transition from school to work.

    These were all very useful. They were abolished by the Howard government in his first budget.

    This spending represents an investment in the skills of workers, adding to their incomes and to their choices and mobility. It is something Labor should support.

    We should spend more on the workforce…not less.

  5. Pushing the refresh button now hides all comments. You need to get back out and get back in again, or ‘go to’ the URL. No disrespect to our host, who is not responsible for this debacle, but the system appears to have been programmed by donkeys.

    I might just repeat a comment I made the other day. The IT Department that implemented the these changes to PB should back out the changes so that PB operates as it did before (any decent system should provide this capability), test them properly, have the changes and tests signed off by someone who understands how the system is supposed to work and only then put them into production.

  6. I like the new format. There’s been a huge reduction in pointless posting/counter-posting. The most achingly tedious posters have largely left the site. What a relief that is.

    There’s still plenty of news and poll-related material.

    I hope they don’t return to the prior format.

  7. Steve777,

    Would that not presume that the changes have been documented in detail?

    (Isn’t presumption the mother and father of all stuff-ups?)

  8. Not necessarily.
    You should have a copy of the programs, scripts etc before the changes were made and simply roll back to them.
    Provided the underlying data format has not been changed, which I think is the case, it should be OK.
    But there are others here with better knowledge than me and I would defer to them.

  9. @ Shellbell our entire legal system favours people with deep pockets, not just the family court. For an average person or organisation, a run in with our legal system is catastrophically expensive.

  10. Absolutely!
    And the fools behind the bench are allowing it to happen. They allow all the time wasting tactics of the lawyers appearing in the court.

  11. Quite a decent Q&A. Josh Frydenberg came over all touchy-feely. Even Paul Kelly revealed his softer side.The Bangladeshi Nobel laireate was brilliant,Anne Aly fantastic as usual. Foronce TonyJones’ questions were on topic and guided the discussion well.

    And as for the ex-PM of Denmark? Va-va-vooooom!

  12. Just watching 4C. As htis seems to have been filmed around the W.A. election, explains why ABC excluded from PHON after party. 🙂

  13. And i like the neat way that Ashby has arranged to make his money out of one nation regardless of their electoral results. Exclusive lock on their printing huh paid up by the candidates who will get, at best, 75% of their costs refunded ??

  14. The problem starts well before you actually end up in court. I can’t comment on the family court as I’ve never been unfortunate enough to end up there, in the civil courts you’ll often spend hundreds of thousands (each party) before you see the other side of the front door of even the District Court, never mind the Supreme Court where the spend can pass a million each before you’ve seen the other side of the front door.

  15. The allegation that One Nation is doing a deal with the LNP in Queensland via Tim Nicholls office should cause the shit to hit the fan. The Liberal section will probably feel it’s OK for them but I can’t see the old Nats, state and Federal, feeling the same since One Nation are competing for “their” constituents.

    Barnaby will go nuts and pressure should go on Mal to rule out such a deal. Popcorn futures just hit the roof.

  16. So Malcolm of Wentworth….did you know what your W.A. Senators were up to with the PHON preference deal and did they do so with your approval?? 🙂

  17. Wow. Just dropped by for a look but ugh…
    Guess I’ll leave it for a week or so.
    Shame as PB can be such a mine of info.
    My sympathies William.
    Hope it can be fixed soon.

  18. Trump Accidentally Admits That His Campaign Coordinated With Russia In Disastrous Tweet

    Trump was so intent on distracting and defending himself on Twitter that he didn’t realize that he accidentally admitted that a federal judge found that his campaign was coordinating with Russia.

    Trump tweeted: Donald J. Trump ✔ ‎@realDonaldTrump

    .@FoxNews from multiple sources: “There was electronic surveillance of Trump, and people close to Trump. This is unprecedented.”

    The problem here is that for there to have been surveillance of Trump or his campaign; a federal judge would have had to have granted an order permitting the surveillance. If there was no federal order or FISA warrant that means that the Trump campaign was caught talking to Russia because they were coordinating with the target of the surveillance.

    Rep. Adam Schiff revealed on Sunday that investigators are paying attention to what Trump is saying on Twitter. Trump’s tweets are a disaster for the White House. The more Trump tweets, deeper he digs the hole for himself.

    Donald Trump is building a path to impeachment one tweet at a time.

    http://www.politicususa.com/2017/04/03/trump-accidentally-admits-campaign-coordinated-russia-disastrous-tweet.html

  19. The internet recoils in disgust after report suggests Trump won because he’s handsome

    While more than half of America thinks President Donald Trump should resign, one columnist cited a recent study to claim that Trump’s success hinges on his physique.

    The columnist cited a study led by a professor of social psychology at the University of Helsinki, which concluded that good looks matter to conservative voters more than liberal ones in the U.S., Europe and other countries. The study is consistent with others, which have said that attractive people earn more money and are able to achieve greater success in life than those with average looks.

    http://www.rawstory.com/2017/04/the-internet-recoils-in-disgust-after-report-suggests-trump-won-because-hes-handsome/

  20. Morning Joe hammers Trump over self-destructive tweets: ‘Something is deeply wrong with this man’

    President Donald Trump spent much of his weekend watching TV news and tweeting, and MSNBC’s Joe Scarborough wondered if his longtime friend suffered from some mental disorder.

    “He’s repeated this over and over and over again,” Scarborough said. “It really is like picking the same scab over and over again — I’m sorry to say that — but that’s what he’s doing. His staff — like any sane, rational staff — would be pulling their hair out right now saying, my god. Instead, they keep making excuses for him.”

    http://www.rawstory.com/2017/04/morning-joe-hammers-trump-over-self-destructive-tweets-something-is-deeply-wrong-with-this-man/

  21. PART 2 of LA TIMES blistering editorial on Trump :

    Why Trump lies

    Donald Trump did not invent the lie and is not even its master. Lies have oozed out of the White House for more than two centuries and out of politicians’ mouths — out of all people’s mouths — likely as long as there has been human speech.

    His approach succeeds because of his preternaturally deft grasp of his audience. Though he is neither terribly articulate nor a seasoned politician, he has a remarkable instinct for discerning which conspiracy theories in which quasi-news source, or which of his own inner musings, will turn into ratings gold. He targets the darkness, anger and insecurity that hide in each of us and harnesses them for his own purposes. If one of his lies doesn’t work — well, then he lies about that.

    http://www.latimes.com/projects/la-ed-why-trump-lies/

  22. Good Morning Bludgers 🙂
    Whilst it might be okay for the world if Trump gets dumped, it won’t be okay for America as his pick for the Supreme Court, ultra conservative, Neil Gorsuch, looks like he will be confirmed. That will have ramifications for decades.

  23. Interesting bit of information out of that Morning Joe clip. For a fleeting moment I caught sight of one of the panelists being Australia’s very own Jonathan Swan, who used to appear on Insiders every now and again before he went off to America and now writes for The Hill.

    It was only supposed to be for 12 months but how could you pass up the sort of opportunities he seems to have been given over there?

    He always was a good journalist as well as being tres handsome. 🙂

  24. ItzaDream,
    Thank you for the link to The New York Review of Books article about the history of the Evangelicals. Interesting reading. 🙂

  25. Why is Mal taking this attitude?

    Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has steadfastly refused to address the need to act on negative gearing, choosing instead to blame the housing bubble on a lack of supply.

    The addition of a good deal of supply of inner-city apartments, particularly in Melbourne, hasn’t solved the problem. Rather it has created postcodes of distress – where prices are soft alongside postcodes of frothy values.

    He ignored state premiers of both political persuasions last December when they implored him to take a fresh look at negative gearing.

    http://www.theage.com.au/business/the-economy/malcolm-turnbull-has-the-medicine-to-fix-the-housing-bubble–he-just-wont-administer-it-20170403-gvcfbu.html

  26. Yep. The pusillanimous Prime Minister strikes again:

    Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has steadfastly refused to address the need to act on negative gearing, choosing instead to blame the housing bubble on a lack of supply.

    The addition of a good deal of supply of inner-city apartments, particularly in Melbourne, hasn’t solved the problem. Rather it has created postcodes of distress – where prices are soft alongside postcodes of frothy values.

    He ignored state premiers of both political persuasions last December when they implored him to take a fresh look at negative gearing.

    http://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/malcolm-turnbull-has-the-medicine-to-fix-the-housing-bubble–he-just-wont-administer-it-20170403-gvcfbu.html

  27. Snap! Lizzie. 🙂

    We all know that a large core of support for Turnbull is those very same Property Investors being made fat off the cream they are taking from the Property Bubble, and Turnbull is too weak to act against them.

    It will end in tears.

    Though the tears of the young who are unable to get into the property market don’t seem to have any effect on him. I guess when you live in a Mansion on Sydney Harbour you can’t hear them scream.

  28. Morning all. The Four Corners story on One Nation was good. I can’t help wondering if all the PHON “rules” were even legal?
    “The candidate agreement also required candidates to pay upfront fees as well as a quarterly donation if elected, and imposed a 75 per cent cap on the amount of expenses they would be reimbursed from the party, with One Nation keeping the other 25 per cent.”
    Is this a political party or a cash machine for Pauline Hanson? Do these rules comply with the Electoral Act? It is one thing to ask for money back from a candidate if they are successful, quite another to demand it both before and after.

  29. As for the urgent need for negative gearing reform to end the property bubble, it is not just Liberal supporters who oppose ending the rort. More than half of Cabinet, and a former Treasurer, are using this rort.

  30. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.

    Tax breaks for property investors must be tackled if the nation is to safely navigate the still-burgeoning property boom says the head of the government’s financial system inquiry. When will this mob do something about it?
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/tax-settings-need-to-be-examined-as-part-of-efforts-to-cool-housing-market-murray-20170403-gvc78x.html
    Elizabeth Knight agrees that Turnbull needs to act – but doesn’t think he will.
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/malcolm-turnbull-has-the-medicine-to-fix-the-housing-bubble–he-just-wont-administer-it-20170403-gvcfbu.html
    This peak business body also doesn’t like the distortions created by negative gearing.
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/negative-gearing-creates-distortions-in-housing-market-says-aicd-20170403-gvcbrh.html
    Michael Pascoe writes that it says plenty about the state of Australian politics that so much policy is viewed through the lens of Sydney and Melbourne housing affordability. With that in mind, the odds of an immigration cut next month are shortening.
    http://www.canberratimes.com.au/business/the-economy/politicians-eye-off-housing-market-as-they-consider-immigration-cut-20170402-gvc2ws.html
    In the meantime first home buyers will be forced to save an extra $2000 towards a deposit just to keep up with the last three months of price growth, according to CoreLogic data.
    http://thenewdaily.com.au/money/property/2017/04/03/housing-affordability-deposit/
    Peter van Onselen says that the glasshouse syndrome is stalking Malcolm Turnbull. Google.
    /opinion/columnists/peter-van-onselen/the-glasshouses-syndrome-is-stalking-malcolm-turnbull/news-story/e4724399f3b630f934839d735d60ee14
    The SMH editorial explains Trump’s problems with Russia.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/smh-editorial/donald-trumps-problems-with-russia-20170402-gvc2oi.html
    Public trust in the independence of the major audit firms to manage their conflicts of interest is once again in the spotlight thanks to a class action lawsuit against vocational training group Vocation Ltd and its auditor PwC. Michael West is on the job exposing auditors.
    http://www.michaelwest.com.au/tick-flick-pwc-embroiled-in-vocation-collapse/
    Popular Professor Brian Cox tells us how to select the politicians to vote for. It’s obvious Trump wouldn’t get his vote.
    http://www.smh.com.au/technology/sci-tech/professor-brian-cox-on-elections-dont-vote-for-politicians-who-say-they-have-all-the-answers-20170403-gvc6hu.html

  31. Section 2 . . .

    A renowned Nobel Peace Prize-winning economist and entrepreneur, who is considered the father of microfinance, has warned that growing inequality is a “ticking time-bomb” that will “explode” the political system if it is not addressed, arguing the amount of wealth locked up with the wealthiest in society is not tenable.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/growing-inequality-is-a-ticking-timebomb-nobel-prizewinner-muhammed-yunus-warns-australia-20170403-gvcujc.html
    Morison is quite evasive over the benefits if the tax cuts for companies with turnovers up to $50.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/apr/03/scott-morrison-evasive-over-impact-of-smaller-corporate-tax-cuts-package
    Shaun Carney explodes Turnbull’s “sensible centre” myth. Google.
    /news/opinion/middle-of-nowhere/news-story/bc5c8cd961b8e006d2e19178f6fd9536
    The Productivity Commission has recommended the axing of a controversial policy designed to boost ethanol use by NSW motorists because it increases petrol prices and reduces competition. This will get Manildra’s PR machine cracking!
    http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/productivity-commission-calls-for-nsw-to-axe-ethanol-mandate-20170403-gvcffu.html
    Dozens of companies from 10 countries are vying with Elon Musk’s Tesla to install Australia’s largest grid-scale battery in South Australia.
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/energy/firms-queue-up-to-build-sa-battery-20170403-gvcrz6.html
    Port Augusta’s plight has been known for years but the Coalition has made no plans to transition from coal-fired to renewable energy, writes Dr David Shearman.
    https://independentaustralia.net/life/life-display/port-augusta-coal-fired-power-and-the-xenophon-deal,10172
    Australian legal firms are experiencing unprecedented demand from people who have suffered alleged child sexual abuse in institutions such as churches, schools and youth groups.
    http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/law-firms-swamped-by-historical-child-sexual-abuse-cases-due-to-royal-commisison-20170331-gvarge.html
    Meanwhile in an open letter sent to all parishes, Catholics for Renewal has urged bishops and archbishops not to “defer to the Holy See”, or wait for the recommendations from the Royal Commission into Institutional Responses to Child Sexual Abuse, before acting on serious issues identified by the commission that contributed to the child sexual abuse crisis.
    http://www.smh.com.au/national/child-sex-abuse-catholic-bishops-must-meet-pope-francis-to-push-for-urgent-change-20170403-gvcmgu.html
    This is an interesting piece on the role of Australia’s Information Commissioner.
    http://www.smh.com.au/national/public-service/information-watchdog-celebrates-its-survival-though-many-challenges-await-20170328-gv8hny.html

  32. Section 3 . . .

    Pauline Hanson’s One Nation party has been accused of buying a private plane with funds from a high-rise Victorian property developer to “ferry” their leader around, without officially declaring it as a gift. This could finish up being quite entertaining. Google.
    /national-affairs/pauline-hansons-one-nation-party-accused-over-private-plane/news-story/1de9efe784e7b1e4a89e626dfac45c38
    Stephen Koukoulas on the economics of pet ownership.
    https://thekouk.com/item/480-cat-dog-or-a-racehorse-comparing-costs-may-surprise-you.html
    US public servants are facing quite a dilemma – support Trump or defend the state.
    http://www.smh.com.au/national/public-service/us-public-servants-face-a-dilemma-help-donald-trump-or-defend-the-state-20170403-gvcgkh.html
    There will be plenty of frantic legal manoeuvres over responsibility for the Essendon airport plane crash.
    http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/company-told-hours-after-essendon-dfo-crash-that-plane-was-in-its-name-20170403-gvcr89.html
    Labor will thrash out its position on the company tax cut in shadow cabinet, and has indicated it will wait until the May budget is handed down before announcing its position.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/business-group-warns-bill-shorten-is-morphing-into-tony-abbott-on-company-tax-cuts-20170403-gvchpu.html
    The European Union has taken the unusual step of publicly criticising new Australian Government purchasing rules that require consideration of national economic benefit.
    http://www.smh.com.au/national/public-service/eu-criticises-new-australian-government-procurement-guidelines-20170402-gvc5d9.html
    Erica is obviously suffering from relevance deprivation.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/fed-up-eric-abetz-slams-big-business-over-latest-samesex-marriage-push-20170403-gvcfjv.html
    Canberra’s status as the undisputed heart of the Australian Public Service has slipped a little more this year with fewer than 38 per cent of Commonwealth bureaucrats now working in the capital.
    http://www.canberratimes.com.au/national/public-service/canberra-losing-grip-on-public-service-20170403-gvc984.html
    Peter Hartcher writes about how the Chinese “stole” the West’s factories.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/how-china-bought-its-dominance-over-the-west-factory-by-factory-20170403-gvcm0y.html

  33. Section 4 . . .

    The number of Australians caught up in the global Credit Suisse investigation continues to rise as the Australian Taxation Office confirmed on Monday that it had obtained details of more than 1000 of the bank’s accounts linked to local clients. There will be quite a few tears shed as this goes further. Google.
    /news/policy/tax/phone-taps-as-inquiry-targets-1000-australian-credit-suisse-accounts-20170403-gvcign
    A former Prime Minister of Denmark gives Australia some advice about its place in the world.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/australia-must-not-be-selfish-in-this-time-of-global-unrest-20170403-gvcegc.html
    In the wake of an exodus of advertisers Google is training its computers to be offended.
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/media-and-marketing/google-trains-ad-computers-to-be-offended-20170403-gvcrqm.html
    Documents on turnbacks are the official record of one of the most important and divisive issues of our time, and they should be public writes Paul Farrell.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/apr/03/australias-government-muddles-its-way-through-to-hide-details-of-boat-turnbacks
    It’s past time for another independent review of public administration.
    http://www.smh.com.au/national/public-service/independent-review-of-public-administration-is-overdue–and-a-bizarre-viceregal-oath-no-one-needs-20170330-gv9r02.html

  34. Section 5 . . . Cartoon Corner

    Alan Moir’s really been on Turnbull’s case of late.

    Broelman on the 4 Corners job on Pauline Hanson.

    And he has one on Turnbull’s majestic powers.

    Cathy Wilcox reminds us of what she gave us a year ago.

    David Rowe and an increasingly gross Donald Trump.

    Jon Kudelka at auditions for a Mark Latham replacement at Sky News.

    Ron Tandberg with Jobson Growth.

    Matt Golding revisits Trump’s inauguration ceremony.

    A brilliant shot at Morrison from Jon Kudelka!
    http://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/a6240e81e6f370027773ee54a0656e10

  35. The Sydney Morning Herald
    3 mins ·
    The UAE arranged a secret meeting in January between Blackwater founder Erik Prince and a Putin confidant as part of an apparent effort to establish a back-channel line of communication between Moscow and Donald J. Trump.

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