The Fairfax papers have an Ipsos poll showing Mike Baird’s government riding high in New South Wales, with a 56-44 two-party lead (up from 54-46) from primary votes of 46% for the Coalition (up two) and 34% for Labor (down two). Respondent-allocated two-party preferred is, as always, a lot stronger for Labor, with the Coalition lead at 53-47.
Mike Baird is unchanged on both approval and disapproval, with extremely healthy ratings of 60% and 18%. Luke Foley cops a big shrug in his first poll as leader, with approval at 30%, disapproval at 21% and the remainder uncommitted. Since only 15% of respondents were in fact able to name the new leader, this offers an interesting insight into the efficacy of much leadership polling, particularly at state level. Baird’s inevitable lead as preferred premier is 54-24. We are also told that 8 per cent of those who voted for the Coalition at the 2011 state election have changed their vote because of the federal government’s performance”.